NZDUSD trade ideas
NZD/USD Analysis & Trade Setup **Market Structure Update:**
- **Overall Trend:** Bearish continuation.
- **Break of Structure (BOS):** Multiple BOS confirming downward momentum.
- **Change of Character (CHOCH):** Seen at minor pullbacks but failed to reverse trend.
- **Liquidity Zones:**
- **Weak Low (~0.5678 - 0.5680)**: Price just touched this area.
- **Discount Zone (~0.5650 - 0.5670)**: Potential area for reversal.
- **Premium Zone (~0.5750 - 0.5780)**: Potential selling zone.
**Trade Setup & Probability Assessment**
**Scenario 1: Short Trade (High Probability - 75%)**
- **Entry:** **0.5700 - 0.5720** (Potential pullback to PDL level)
- **Stop Loss (SL):** **Above 0.5730**
- **Take Profit (TP):** **0.5650 (Discount Zone)**
- **Risk-Reward (RR):** **1:3+**
- **Probability:** **75%** (Bearish trend continuation, liquidity grab above PDL)
**Scenario 2: Long Trade (Medium Probability - 55%)**
- **Entry:** **0.5675 - 0.5680** (Current weak low area)
- **Stop Loss (SL):** **Below 0.5660**
- **Take Profit (TP):** **0.5720 (Equilibrium Zone)**
- **Risk-Reward (RR):** **1:2**
- **Probability:** **55%** (Possible short-term bounce but against overall trend)
**Conclusion & Recommendation**
- **Best Trade Setup:** Short trade from **0.5700 - 0.5720**, targeting **0.5650**.
- **Weak Low at 0.5680** may break, so a long trade is riskier.
- **Look for bearish confirmations near 0.5700 before entering a short.**
Thu 27th Feb 2025 NZD/USD Daily Forex Chart Sell SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a NZD/USD Sell. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
NZDUSD - Long from bullish OB !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on NZDUSD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a long. I expect price to continue the retracement to fill that small imbalance lower and then to reject from bullish OB.
Like, comment and subscribe to be in touch with my content!
NZD_USD REBOUND AHEAD|LONG|
✅NZD_USD went down from
The rising resistance just as
We predicted in our previous
Analysis now the pair has
Reached the horizontal support
Of 0.5690 from where we are
Already seeing a local bullish
Reaction and we will be
Expecting a further bullish rebound
LONG🚀
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
NZD/USD is approaching a significant support zonemarked with a blue area, aligning closely with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level. This suggests a potential reaction from buyers in this region. If the price holds above this support, we might see a bullish reversal. However, if the level fails, further downside movement could follow. Keep an eye on price action signals around this area to confirm a possible bounce.
NZDUSD Massive Long! BUY!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for NZDUSD is below:
The market is trading on 0.5691 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 0.5731
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NZDUSD at Key Support - Bullish Continuation SetupOANDA:NZDUSD has broken above a key resistance zone, which has now flipped to support, aligning with a potential bullish continuation. The recent retest of this level held successfully, indicating strong buyer interest and reinforcing the bullish outlook.
After making a new high, price has now pulled back for another retest of this support zone, presenting a potential continuation setup.
If buyers step in at this level, the price could resume its upward momentum toward 0.57610 as the next key target. A strong rejection from this zone would further confirm bullish strength.
However, a deeper breakdown below the support area could indicate a shift in momentum. Monitoring price action for bullish confirmation will be key before entering long positions.
What’s your outlook on this setup? Let me know your thoughts!
NZD/USD 4-Hour Time Frame Analysis
Technical Analysis:
On the 4-hour chart, the NZD/USD pair is exhibiting a bullish structure, forming higher highs and higher lows after breaking through two key resistance levels at 0.56900 and 0.57200, which are now acting as minor support zones.
Following a false breakout, the price retested the 0.56900 support level before resuming its upward movement, accumulating significant buying volume. This accumulation suggests a potential liquidity hunt as the market gathers momentum.
Key Trade Parameters:
Entry: Buy limit at 0.57250, contingent on a confirmed 4-hour candle close above 0.57200.
Stop Loss (SL): Positioned below the liquidity zone at 0.56840 to manage downside risk.
Take Profit (TP): Targeting the next resistance level at 0.58070.
Market Outlook:
Our primary focus is to monitor the price action within the liquidity zone. A confirmed break and sustained close above 0.57200 will validate a bullish continuation, providing a favorable opportunity for a long position.
Fundamental Analysis:
As of February 26, 2025, China's Politburo has announced plans to adopt proactive fiscal and moderately loose monetary policies to stimulate economic growth throughout the year. These initiatives were outlined during the December 2024 Central Economic Work Conference, which set the strategic economic agenda for 2025.
Key policy measures include:
Increased public spending through ultra-long treasury bonds.
Investment incentives targeting business growth and modernization.
Consumer stimulus programs, such as subsidies for vehicle and appliance upgrades.
While the full implementation of these policies is ongoing, their positive spillover effects are expected to influence global trade dynamics throughout 2025 (Source: Reuters).
Implications for NZD/USD:
China's proactive fiscal and monetary stance supports a positive outlook for the NZD/USD pair. As these policies drive economic activity, increased demand for New Zealand exports—particularly in agriculture and commodities—could provide upward momentum for the New Zealand Dollar.
If these measures are effectively implemented, the NZD/USD pair may experience sustained bullish momentum, offering attractive opportunities for market participants.
📌 Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading involves risk, and you should conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
President Trump's unsettling reminder | FX ResearchPresident Trump is tightening the screws on trade, reaffirming that tariffs on Canada and Mexico will proceed as planned next week. Financial markets have reacted with stocks selling off, already weighed down by softer US economic data and rising inflation.
The euro has been consolidating recent gains as it awaits developments in the German coalition. Meanwhile, the Australian and New Zealand dollars have held up well despite Trump’s trade stance, supported by China’s liquidity measures and new policies aimed at reviving its property market and promoting rural reforms.
Key events on Tuesday’s calendar include German GDP, UK CBI trade data, Canada manufacturing sales, US Case-Shiller house prices, consumer confidence, Richmond Fed manufacturing, and speeches from the BoE, ECB, and Fed officials.
Exclusive FX research from LMAX Group Market Strategist, Joel Kruger
NZD/USD Trade Setup: Long Position at Key SupportNZD/USD is currently testing trendline support around 0.572, and I’ve entered a long position with a defined risk-reward setup.
🔹 Trade Setup:
✅ Entry: Near 0.572 (Trendline Support)
🎯 Profit Target (Blue Zone): 0.5804 - 0.5814
🛑 Stop-Loss (Yellow Zone): Below 0.567
🔹 Market Outlook:
📊 Bullish Bias – As long as the trendline holds, we could see a push toward the 0.577 - 0.581 resistance area.
⚠️ Risk Management – A break below 0.567 would invalidate the setup, triggering the stop-loss.
I’m watching for bullish confirmation here. Will buyers defend this level, or will we see a breakdown? Let me know your thoughts! 👇
Falling towards overlap support?NZD/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.5692
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.5664
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.5745
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
NZD/USD 1H Timeframe SetupEntry conditions :
- DXY shows an FVG being touched on the Daily Timeframe , so I expect the market to move from internal liquidity (FVG) to External liquidity (Swing Point). So DXY is bearish.
- On NZD/USD we can see a trendline liquidity
- Order block created on Asia session , explosive order block creating FVG
Its important to understand the spacing and timing , right now DXY is moving down and the order block on NZD/USD just got touched, when DXY confirms the trend we need to see where the market is near on this pairs and waiting liquidity patterns and good Order blocks.
NZDUSD Short-term Channel Up aiming higher.The NZDUSD pair has been trading within a 20-day Channel Up and today hit its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line). Last time it did (February 18), it held and initiated a rebound marginally above the 1.236 Fibonacci extension.
Given that the current pull-back is almost as strong (-1.30%) as the previous, but more importantly the 4H RSI hit its 1-month Higher Lows trend-line, we expect a rebound. Our Target is again the 1.236 Fib ext, this time at 0.57900.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Could the Kiwi bounce from here?The price is falling towards the pivot which is an overlap support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 0.5693
1st Support: 0.5663
1st Resistance: 0.5744
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.