Potential bullish rise?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) is reacting off the pivot and could rise from this level to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 0.6018
1st Support: 0.5990
1st Resistance: 0.6061
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
NZDUSD trade ideas
July 13, Forex Outlook : This Week’s Blueprint to Profit!Welcome back, traders!
In today’s video, we’ll be conducting a Forex Weekly Outlook, analyzing multiple currency pairs from a top-down perspective—starting from the higher timeframes and working our way down to the lower timeframes.
Currency Pairs:
EURUSD
USDCAD
AUDUSD
EURGBP
EURJPY
GBPCHF
USDCHF
NZDCHF
NZDUSD
EURNZD
Our focus will be on identifying high-probability price action scenarios using clear market structure, institutional order flow, and key confirmation levels. This detailed breakdown is designed to give you a strategic edge and help you navigate this week’s trading opportunities with confidence.
📊 What to Expect in This Video:
1. Higher timeframe trend analysis
2. Key zones of interest and potential setups
3. High-precision confirmations on lower timeframes
4. Institutional insight into where price is likely to go next
Stay tuned, take notes, and be sure to like, comment, and subscribe so you don’t miss future trading insights!
Have a great week ahead, God bless you!
The Architect 🏛️📉
NZD USD / M15 / SHORTOn the 15-minute chart of NZDUSD, a shift in market structure is evident as the prior uptrend—previously supported by ascending trendlines—has been broken. The Ichimoku cloud (Kumo) outlines key support and resistance zones, and price movement outside the cloud reinforces the weakening of the bullish momentum. The crossover between the Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen lines aligns with the wave structure, signaling a potential bearish phase. This combination of technical signals suggests that the market may be transitioning into a corrective move or a short-term downtrend, presenting a potential opportunity for short positions.
Bullish bounce for the Kiwi?The price has bounced off the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could rise to the 61.8% Fibonacci resistance.
Pivot: 0.5899
1st Support: 0.5863
1st Resistance: 0.6000
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish drop?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) is reacting off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which is a pullback support.
Pivot: 0.6007
1st Support: 0.5946
1st Resistance: 0.6037
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish reversal for the Kiwi?The price has rejected off the pivot, which acts as an overlap resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 0.6038
1st Support: 0.5938
1st Resistance: 0.6079
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish drop?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) has rejected off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 0.6038
1st Support: 0.5938
1st Resistance: 0.6079
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish continuation?NZD/USD has rejected off the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.5967
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.5999
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.5888
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Market Analysis: NZD/USD SlipsMarket Analysis: NZD/USD Slips
NZD/USD is struggling and might decline below the 0.5980 level.
Important Takeaways for NZD/USD Analysis Today
- NZD/USD is consolidating above the 0.5980 support.
- There is a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at 0.6010 on the hourly chart of NZD/USD at FXOpen.
NZD/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of NZD/USD at FXOpen, the pair also followed AUD/USD. The New Zealand Dollar struggled above 0.6100 and started a fresh decline against the US Dollar.
There was a move below the 0.6050 and 0.6020 support levels. A low was formed at 0.5978 and the pair is now consolidating losses below the 50-hour simple moving average. The NZD/USD chart suggests that the RSI is back below 50 signalling a bearish bias.
On the upside, the pair is facing resistance near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.6120 swing high to the 0.5978 low. There is also a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at 0.6010.
The next major resistance is near the 0.6065 level or the 61.8% Fib retracement level. A clear move above the 0.6065 level might even push the pair toward the 0.6120 level. Any more gains might clear the path for a move toward the 0.6150 resistance zone in the coming days.
On the downside, there is a support forming near the 0.5980 zone. If there is a downside break below 0.5980, the pair might slide toward 0.5940. Any more losses could lead NZD/USD in a bearish zone to 0.5910.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NZD/USD 2 moves away from wiping out June’s rallyThe RBNZ is widely expected to hold the Official Cash Rate at 3.25% this Wednesday.
NZIER’s Shadow Board advises against a cut, noting the economy remains weak but inflation pressures are mixed. Markets see just a 10–15% chance of a cut this week but still price for further easing by October.
NZD/USD has pulled back sharply from 0.6100, with price now possibly consolidating around 0.6000. This area coincides with a key support-turned-resistance level that capped price action in mid-June.
If the pair breaks below 0.5980, the next support sits near 0.5935 – a level that triggered a strong bounce on June 21. A break below that could open the way toward 0.5900 and 0.5860.
On the upside, if the 0.6000 handle holds, short-term resistance lies at 0.6030, with stronger pressure at 0.6065.
Bearish continuation?The Kiwi is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6005
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss: 0.6032
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance.
Take profit: 0.5964
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that is slightly below the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
NZDUSD Faces Further Downside Amid Renewed Tariff ConcernsNZDUSD Faces Further Downside Amid Renewed Tariff Concerns
In July, NZDUSD created a false breakout after printing a new higher high.
Initially, the pair appeared set for further gains, but the U.S. dollar regained strength following stronger-than-expected Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data.
Today, market sentiment remains fragile as anticipation builds around President Trump's upcoming remarks on tariffs.
Our analysis suggests that the broader outlook remains unchanged—NZDUSD is still positioned for further downside.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Bullish bounce?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st support which has been identified as a pullback support.
Pivot: 0.5937
1st Support: 0.5820
1st Resistance: 0.6098
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
NZD/USD SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
NZD/USD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 0.607
Target Level: 0.592
Stop Loss: 0.617
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
"NZD/USD Bullish Heist! Steal Pips Before the Reversal Trap! 🏴☠️ NZD/USD Kiwi Heist Masterplan – Steal the Bull Run! 💰
🌟 Hola, Money Makers & Market Marauders! 🌟
Welcome to the Thief Trading Style raid on the NZD/USD "The Kiwi" Forex vault. Follow the blueprint sketched in the chart for a bold long takeover — escape the high‑risk Yellow MA Zone before guards tighten!
🎯 Heist Blueprint
1. Entry 🚀
"The vault swings wide—yank that Bull loot at any price!"
Drop your buy-limit orders within the next 15–30 min (or at the latest swing low/high). Don’t sleep—set chart alerts for the perfect breach.
2. Stop‑Loss 🛑
Thief-style SL lurks at the nearest 5h swing‑low wick (≈ 0.60400) for intra‑day.
Adjust your SL based on your risk appetite, position size, and combo of orders.
3. Target 🎯
Aim to escape by 0.62000, or bail early for safety.
4. Scalpers’ Edge 🔍
Only rob on the long side. Big bankroll? Go all‑in. Prefer safety? Slide into the swing crew with a trailing SL to lock in your spoils.
🔍 Market Intel
Why the Kiwi Loot is Ripe:
Bullish momentum marches on, fueled by macroeconomic clues, COT data, sentiment shifts, inter-market moves — all pointing upward.
📚 For Full Recon:
Dive into the fundamental, macro, COT, quant, sentiment & intermarket intel — plus trend targets and scorecards. Check the data here 👉🔗🔗
⚠️ Caution Zone
News Watch & Position Safety:
Major news = guarded vault. Don't open new trades during release windows.
If you're in already, use trailing stops to shield your haul and lock in gains.
💪 Support the Crew
Smash that “Boost” to fuel our team and keep the raid running smooth. With Thief Trading Style, every day’s a payday.
🗓️ Stay tuned for the next Kiwi Heist – we’re just getting started. Happy robbing, legends! 🐱👤💥
NZDUSD Hits Channel Top Bearish Momentum BuildingNZDUSD pair has touched a key resistance zone near the top of its rising channel and is showing early signs of rejection. This technical inflection point aligns with weakening New Zealand economic sentiment and renewed strength in the US dollar. The stage is set for a bearish rotation, with several support targets now in focus if momentum continues to build to the downside.
📉 Current Bias: Bearish
NZDUSD has failed to break above the 0.6085–0.6090 resistance area, marking repeated rejections at the channel’s upper boundary. Price action and structure suggest a potential move back toward 0.6000 and deeper levels such as 0.5960 and 0.5910 if support fails.
🔍 Key Fundamentals:
RBNZ on Hold and Dovish Leaning: The Reserve Bank of New Zealand has paused its tightening cycle, with Governor Orr signaling no urgency to hike further amid weakening domestic demand and subdued inflation momentum.
US Dollar Support: The USD is gaining traction amid Fed officials maintaining a hawkish hold tone, and with markets paring back bets on near-term rate cuts due to sticky inflation and resilient labor data.
NZ Economic Weakness: New Zealand’s growth has stagnated, with recent trade and retail data underwhelming. Business sentiment remains subdued, adding to downside Kiwi pressure.
⚠️ Risks to the Trend:
Soft US Data: Any major downside surprise in upcoming US labor market or inflation figures could reignite Fed rate cut bets and weigh on the dollar, lifting NZDUSD.
China Rebound: As China is a major trading partner for New Zealand, any strong recovery signs or stimulus headlines out of Beijing could buoy NZD on improved trade expectations.
Unexpected RBNZ Hawkishness: If the RBNZ pivots back to a more aggressive tone due to inflation persistence, NZD could find renewed strength.
📅 Key News/Events Ahead:
US PCE Inflation (June 28): Core metric closely watched by the Fed; any surprise will directly impact USD flows.
NZIER QSBO Survey (July 2): Offers insight into New Zealand business confidence.
US ISM Manufacturing & NFP (July 1–5): Major USD drivers with implications for broader market sentiment.
⚖️ Leader or Lagger?
NZDUSD is currently a lagger, often following directional shifts in USD majors like EURUSD and AUDUSD. However, due to its sensitivity to Chinese data and Fed rate expectations, it may accelerate moves once broader USD sentiment is established.
🎯 Conclusion:
NZDUSD looks poised for a bearish pullback from the channel top, with a confluence of macro and technical factors suggesting pressure toward 0.6000, 0.5960, and potentially 0.5910. While downside momentum builds, attention must remain on US data, China headlines, and RBNZ commentary for any sentiment shift. Bears hold the upper hand for now, but risk events ahead could challenge the momentum.
NZD/USD showing a potential bullish setupNZDUSD 4H Trade Breakdown – Bullish Reversal in Play 🔥📈
This setup is a textbook example of a smart money reversal backed by structure, market psychology, and clear technicals.
1. Change of Character (CHoCH):
- The market was previously in a downtrend.
- Price broke above the last lower high, signaling a CHoCH – the first sign that buyers are gaining control.
- This is a key point where many smart traders start paying attention.
2. Trendline & Channel Respect:
- Price tapped perfectly off the ascending trendline, confirming the long-term bullish channel.
- This adds confluence (multiple confirmations) to the bullish bias.
3. Market Structure Shift:
- After the CHoCH, price formed a higher low and started pushing up.
- This shows a shift to bullish structure (higher highs and higher lows).
4. Projected Move:
- The blue arrow shows a likely path: a bullish break, possible pullback to retest the broken structure, then continuation up.
- Targeting above 0.61200, with potential for further highs.
Why this trade stands out:
✅ Structure break (CHoCH)
✅ Strong support off trendline