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New Zealand Dollar / U.S. Dollar

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NZDUSD trade ideas

NZDUSD Daily Analysis: Slight Bullish Bias Expected Amid Global NZDUSD Daily Analysis: Slight Bullish Bias Expected Amid Global and Domestic Influences 08/11/2024 Introduction Today's analysis on NZDUSD presents a potential slight bullish bias, driven by recent fundamental and macroeconomic factors that influence the currency pair. In this article, we’ll dive into the primary factors shaping NZDUSD's movement, helping you make more informed decisions. Key drivers include New Zealand’s economic data, U.S. dollar strength, and global risk sentiment. --- Key Drivers Influencing NZDUSD Today 1. New Zealand Economic Data and RBNZ Policy The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) has maintained a stable interest rate, but recent comments hinted at a potential for future hikes if inflationary pressures persist. Positive employment data and steady GDP growth are also supporting the NZ dollar (NZD). This dovish stance from the RBNZ suggests economic resilience, giving a slight bullish momentum to the NZD. 2. U.S. Dollar Dynamics and Interest Rates The U.S. dollar index (DXY) has recently experienced fluctuations due to a series of mixed U.S. economic data points. With the Federal Reserve showing caution on additional rate hikes, the USD is facing downward pressure. A weaker USD directly supports NZDUSD’s bullish trend, especially if U.S. bond yields remain low. 3. Commodity Market Impact New Zealand is a major exporter of dairy, meat, and other agricultural products, and a rebound in these sectors contributes to the NZD's strength. Rising dairy prices in global markets add further support, as they tend to attract investors looking at NZD as a commodity-driven currency. 4. Risk Sentiment and Market Confidence Risk sentiment in the financial markets remains cautiously positive. The NZD, typically perceived as a risk-on currency, benefits from any signs of global economic stability. Positive risk sentiment fuels demand for the NZD, positioning NZDUSD for further bullish pressure. --- Technical Analysis Indicators Supporting a Bullish Outlook Moving Averages NZDUSD has been trading above its 50-day moving average, often interpreted as a bullish indicator. If it maintains this level, it could suggest sustained upward momentum. RSI and MACD Indicators Currently, the RSI (Relative Strength Index) is within a neutral to slightly bullish range, indicating potential room for upward movement before reaching overbought conditions. Meanwhile, the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) line has crossed above the signal line, supporting the bullish outlook. --- Conclusion Given the factors of strong domestic data, dovish U.S. monetary policy signals, and positive commodity prices, NZDUSD could exhibit a slight bullish bias today. However, market participants should monitor risk sentiment and any changes in the USD's strength, as these will likely influence NZDUSD's direction. --- SEO Tags: - #NZDUSDforecast - #NZDUSDtechnicalanalysis - #ForexTradingNZDUSD - #NewZealandDollarOutlook - #NZDUSDtoday - #NZDUSDnews - #NZDUSDanalysis - #ForexMarket - #NZDUSDprediction
Long
by PERFECT_MFG
1
NZDUSD in a Clear Bearish TrendNZDUSD in a Clear Bearish Trend NZD/USD is moving inside a "Descending Channel" in a well-defined bearish trend. The market's focus has been on the US election results, with the anticipated Trump victory supporting USD strength throughout the month. Now that the election period is winding down, market activity is slowing. However, as long as the price continues to respect this pattern, there is a chance for further downside in the short term, as shown on the 60-minute chart. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Short
by KlejdiCuni
5
NZD/USD Still Subdued, Here's Why..Markets are calming somewhat pre NFP and importantly pre election. The lack of USD weakness off the back of stronger economic data previously is the main culprit alongside a lack of demand for Antipodean currencies. This, unsurprisingly has not changed. Price levels below are far more favourable for traders and there is still no impetus for longs (see current price action, pushes lead to instant rejection off early MA's). I am willing to scale in lower, no rush to get massively long whatsoever. Only light entries if need be. See bottom black line in line with prev PA zones.
by WillSebastian
1
This is the liqidity Grab I was waiting for...Now I'm in the high-risk long trade with reduced risk. Price broke highs retail longed, now they are stopped out and retail shorted = perfect environment for taking price finally up after previous month sell-off. Accumulation / Manipulation / Distribution - No liquidity raid = No trade - Never buy high and never sell low “Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own.” Dave FX Hunter ⚔
Long
by Dave-Hunter
NZDUSD to turnaround?NZDUSD - 24h expiry Price action has continued to trend strongly lower and has stalled at the previous support near 0.5925. We expect a reversal in this move. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels. A move through 0.5975 will confirm the bullish momentum. The measured move target is 0.6025. We look to Buy at 0.5925 (stop at 0.5893) Our profit targets will be 0.6005 and 0.6020 Resistance: 0.5975 / 0.6000 / 0.6025 Support: 0.5925 / 0.5900 / 0.5875 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Long
by OANDA
Bearish drop?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) has reacted off the pivot and could drop from this level to the 50% Fibonacci support. Entry: 0.6016 1st Support: 0.5985 1st Resistance: 0.6038 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
Market Analysis: NZD/USD Rebound Could Be LimitedMarket Analysis: NZD/USD Rebound Could Be Limited NZD/USD is also correcting losses and might recover further if there is a clear move above the 0.6030 resistance. Important Takeaways for NZD/USD Analysis Today - NZD/USD is attempting a recovery wave above the 0.5960 resistance. - There was a break above a major bearish trend line with resistance near 0.5980 on the hourly chart of NZD/USD at FXOpen. NZD/USD Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of NZD/USD on FXOpen, the pair also followed a similar pattern and declined from the 0.6030 zone. The New Zealand Dollar gained bearish momentum and traded below 0.6000 against the US Dollar. The pair even dropped below the 50-hour simple moving average and tested 0.5940. A low was formed near 0.5939 and the pair is now attempting a fresh increase. It is back above the 0.5960 level and the 50-hour simple moving average. Besides, there was a break above a major bearish trend line with resistance near 0.5980. The pair surpassed the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.6031 swing high to the 0.5939 low. On the upside, the pair is facing resistance near the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.6031 swing high to the 0.5939 low at 0.6010. The next major resistance is near the 0.6030 level. If there is a move above 0.6030, the pair could rise toward the 0.6050 resistance. Any more gains might open the doors for a move toward the 0.6085 resistance zone. On the downside, immediate support on the NZD/USD chart is near 0.5975. The next major support is near the 0.5960 zone. If there is a downside break below 0.5960, the pair could extend the decline toward the 0.5940 level. The next key support is near 0.5910. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
NZDUSDT → False break of resistance may intensify the fallFX:NZDUSD in the Asian session tests resistance of the descending channel, excitement is formed by the reduction of interest rate in the U.S. by 0.25% The currency pair does not have a clear trend on the global timeframe, locally - a downward trend formed on the negative fundamental background, which only intensified after Trump's victory. The impact on the market has a medium and long-term character, accordingly, any strong resistance can easily hold the market. On H4, a false breakdown of trend resistance is forming. Consolidation is forming inside the channel, if bears hold the 0.602-0.603 zone, we should expect a decline to the zones of interest in the mid term Resistance levels: 0.603, 0.604 Support levels: 0.595, 0.593, 0.5915 The focus is on the mentioned resistance, as the market struggle and further movement depends on this key zone at the moment. The bearish structure will be broken when the local high of 0.6038 is broken and the price consolidates above this zone. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:NZDUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
1
Kiwi Updatethe 50-day EMA is rolling over and preparing to break below the 200-day EMA, forming the so-called death cross. Whether or not this will have a significant impact remains to be seen. It's important to note that the New Zealand dollar is highly sensitive to commodity markets, particularly soft commodities like food. If we break below the 0.5950 level, it's likely we could head down to the 0.5850 level, where a massive double bottom has formed. With rising interest rates in the United States over the long term, it makes sense that the US dollar may continue to strengthen.
Short
by mohammadhassanli
NZDUSD Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance ) Risk Disclaimer: Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in this analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
Long
by ShahedZare
NZDUSD → Speculators waiting for news.... FX:NZDUSD is moving into consolidation after a strong and progressive fall amid a halt in the dollar index. Markets are waiting for news related to the US presidential election.... The currency pair amid strong bullish DXY is not practicing attempts to update local highs with the aim of changing the trend to a bullish one. Buyers are not ready yet, and are waiting for November 5... If Trump is elected, the dollar, supported by a pro-inflationary president, may continue to recover, which, accordingly, will manifest itself in the form of negative dynamics in the currency pair. But, most likely, with the election of a politician from the Democratic Party, the regulators are likely to continue to hold the dovish rate, in which case the NZDUSD will have a chance to change the trend. Resistance levels: 0.6031, 0.6066 Support levels: 0.5953, 0.5915 Technically, bears continue to hold the dominant position. The area 0.5915, 0.585 is a zone of interest in terms of liquidity formation, thus, there is a high probability of reaching these areas... Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
1
NZDUSD H1 | Bearish Drop Based on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 0.6015, which is a pullback resistance. Our take profit will be at 0.5973, a pullback support level close to 50% Fibo retracement. The stop loss will be at 0.6040, above swing high resistance level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
NZDUSD Daily Outlook: Bullish Bias Expected Amid Key FundamentalNZDUSD Daily Outlook: Bullish Bias Expected Amid Key Fundamental Drivers (07/11/2024) Overview On 7th November 2024, NZDUSD is showing signs of a slight bullish bias, driven by key economic data releases and broader market sentiment. This article provides an in-depth look at the factors shaping NZDUSD today, including central bank commentary, global market trends, and recent shifts in risk sentiment. Keywords: NZDUSD forecast, New Zealand dollar, forex trading, USD, economic data, central bank policy, risk sentiment, technical analysis, forex market --- Key Factors Supporting NZDUSD Bullish Bias Today 1. Federal Reserve Dovish Outlook Recent Federal Reserve statements have taken a slightly dovish tone, with policymakers emphasizing a "wait-and-see" approach to further rate hikes. The possibility of a Fed pause on interest rates provides support to the New Zealand dollar, as market sentiment leans towards a softer USD. 2. RBNZ’s Hawkish Stance on Interest Rates The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) recently signaled a focus on inflation control, reinforcing a hawkish stance relative to the Fed. This contrasts with other central banks, positioning NZD as an attractive currency in the current global environment. Markets are pricing in a limited chance of a rate hike from the RBNZ in the near term, which could further support NZD. 3. Improved Risk Sentiment Global markets have seen an increase in risk appetite, with equities rebounding and commodities trading higher. This shift often benefits the NZD due to its reputation as a commodity-linked and high-yield currency. As investors seek yield, demand for the New Zealand dollar may rise, enhancing NZDUSD. 4. Strong New Zealand Economic Data New Zealand’s recent economic data, including employment figures and business confidence, indicate resilience in the economy. Solid domestic growth and low unemployment rates suggest underlying strength, which could further boost NZD demand against USD. 5. Technical Analysis Indicators From a technical standpoint, NZDUSD is approaching key support levels around 0.5900, showing upward momentum and signaling a potential reversal. RSI (Relative Strength Index) levels indicate that the pair may have room to move higher before hitting overbought territory, aligning with a bullish outlook. NZDUSD Today: What to Watch For - US Initial Jobless Claims – Scheduled later today, these figures may influence USD if they show a labor market slowdown, potentially adding to the Fed’s dovish stance and supporting NZDUSD. - NZDUSD’s Resistance Levels – Key resistance near 0.6050 could be tested if bullish momentum continues, while support at 0.5900 could offer a base. Conclusion Given the softer stance from the Federal Reserve and favorable economic data from New Zealand, NZDUSD shows signs of a slight bullish bias. As always, forex traders should monitor any significant data releases closely, as these could prompt volatility in NZDUSD. SEO Tags: #NZDUSDforecast #ForexTrading #NewZealandDollar #USD #NZDUSDtechnicalanalysis #ForexMarket #RiskSentiment #CentralBankPolicy #DailyForexAnalysis
Long
by PERFECT_MFG
Bearish drop for the Kiwi?The price is reacting off the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 0.5986 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 0.6024 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 0.5913 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
New Zealand dollar higher despite pessimistic RBNZThe New Zealand dollar has moved higher on Tuesday. In the North American session, NZD/USD is trading at 0.5998, up 0.46% on the day. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand released its semi-annual Financial Stability Report and the financial system received a favorable grade. That was it for the good news, as the report pointed to weak economic conditions that were hampering households and businesses. The report noted that rising unemployment was causing “acute” financial difficulties for some households and that businesses had been impacted by weak demand and high cost pressures. This had caused households to reduce spending and businesses to freeze investing. Although inflation and interest rates had fallen, “significant further weakening in the economy remains a risk.” The negative tone of the report could mean that the central bank will remain aggressive in its rate-cutting cycle. The RBNZ slashed rates by 50 basis points in October, lowering the cash rate to 4.75%. The final meeting of the year is on Nov. 27 and another 50-bp is likely, with a supersize 75-bp cut an outside possibility. The RBNZ will be keeping a close eye on Wednesday’s third-quarter employment report. Employment change is expected to decline by 0.4% after a 0.4% gain in the second quarter. As well, the unemployment rate is projected to jump to 5%, from 4.6% in the second quarter. With inflation easing, the RBNZ is keeping a closer eye on the labor market and if the deterioration in employment is worse than expected in Q3, the calls for a 75-bp cut at the next meeting will get louder. NZD/USD has pushed above resistance at 0.5987 and is testing resistance at 0.6002 There is support at 0.5957 and 0.5942
by OANDA