Kiwi H1 | Falling towards overlap support at 50% FiboThe Kiwi (NZD/USD) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 0.5628 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 0.5590 which is a level that lies underneath a confluence of Fibonacci levels i.e. the 50.0% retracement and the 161.8% extension.
Take profit is at 0.5687 which is a multi-swing-high resistance.
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Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
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Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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NZDUSD trade ideas
NZDUSD • Context:
• RBNZ: Signaled nearing the peak of the rate-hike cycle, while inflation is stabilizing.
• Domestic Economy: Strong reliance on agricultural exports and Asian demand.
• Possible Direction:
• Bias: Slightly bearish, given the Fed’s more restrictive monetary stance.
• Catalysts: News on the dairy market (Fonterra) and New Zealand macro data.
NZD/USD NEXT MOVESell after bearish candle stick pattern, buy after bullish candle stick pattern....
Best bullish pattern , engulfing candle or green hammer
Best bearish pattern , engulfing candle or red shooting star
NOTE: IF YOU CAN'T SEE ANY OF TOP PATTERN IN THE ZONE DO NOT ENTER
Stop lost before pattern
R/R %1/%3
Trade in 5 Min Timeframe, use signals for scalping
NZDUSD to see a temporary move lower?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
A lower correction is expected.
We expect a reversal in this move.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 0.5650 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 0.5700.
We look to Buy at 0.5625 (stop at 0.5605)
Our profit targets will be 0.5675 and 0.5700
Resistance: 0.5650 / 0.5675 / 0.5700
Support: 0.5625 / 0.5610 / 0.5600
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
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NZDUSDhello trader, here is another swing trade opportunity, price reached the main liquidity area.. price has rejected couple of times in day tf support.. try to get in as low as possible and use stop loss as suggested below... target is the main resistance zone..
News to watchout, upcoming RBNZ cash rate 02/19
good luck
Kiwi H4 | Rising into multi-swing-high resistanceThe Kiwi (NZD/USD) is rising towards a multi-swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 0.5692 which is a multi-swing-high resistance.
Stop loss is at 0.5733 which is a level that sits above the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and a swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 0.5589 which is an overlap support that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Market Analysis: NZD/USD Rebound: Signs of Trend Shift?Market Analysis: NZD/USD Rebound: Signs of Trend Shift?
NZD/USD is also rising and might aim for more gains above 0.5700.
Important Takeaways for NZD USD Analysis Today
- NZD/USD is consolidating gains above the 0.5600 zone.
- There is a key declining channel forming with resistance at 0.5680 on the hourly chart of NZD/USD at FXOpen.
NZD/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of NZD/USD on FXOpen, the pair started a steady increase from the 0.5515 zone. The New Zealand Dollar broke the 0.5600 resistance to start the recent increase against the US Dollar.
The pair settled above 0.5630 and the 50-hour simple moving average. It tested the 0.5700 zone and is currently correcting gains. The pair corrected lower below the 0.5660 level. However, the bulls are active above the 0.5630 level.
The NZD/USD chart suggests that the RSI is now moving higher toward 50. On the upside, the pair might struggle near 0.5660. The next major resistance is near the 0.5680 level. There is also a key declining channel forming with resistance at 0.5680.
A clear move above the 0.5680 level might even push the pair toward the 0.5700 level. Any more gains might clear the path for a move toward the 0.5750 resistance zone in the coming days.
On the downside, immediate support is near the 0.5630 level. The first key support is near the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.5516 swing low to the 0.5702 high. The next major support is near the 0.5560 level.
If there is a downside break below the 0.5560 support, the pair might slide toward the 0.5515 support. Any more losses could lead NZD/USD in a bearish zone to 0.5440.
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NZDUSD#NZDUSD seeing the daily graph we see what price comes from a downward trend, but after taking liquidity in a significant bass it has been accumulating and making an bullish push, Now we see in 4H that you can search for the OB that is at 0.56000 to 0.55800 and see if it is capable of rejecting it and going to the top that there is enough liquidity at the top in the 0.57000 to 0.572000. 👀 💆🏽
NZDUSD - 5 Feb 2025 SetupNZDUSD Market structure are making a bullish breakout with strong bullish rally. Spotted demand area (Green Rectangle). its a very good demand area structure after the price creating a higher high.
Entry Position : Long
Profit Target : 1:3 Shown on the chart image (Green Line)
Stop Loss : Slightly below demand area (Red Line)
Follow me if u guys making any gains from this idea.
Thanks
Coffee Trade Team
NZD/USD "The Kiwi" Forex Market Bullish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Thieves, 🤑 💰🐱👤
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the NZD/USD "The Kiwi" Forex market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the breakout (0.63300) then make your move - Bullish profits await!"
however I advise placing Buy Stop Orders above the breakout MA or Place Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at the recent / nearest low level Using the 4H timeframe (0.56500) swing trade basis
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 0.64400 (or) Escape Before the Target
Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
NZD/USD "The Kiwi" Forex Market market is currently experiencing a bullish trend,., driven by several key factors.
🔴Fundamental Analysis:
The NZD/USD pair is currently trading at 0.5677, with a 0.04% increase. The pair's upward movement is driven by weaker US PMI data, which has dragged the Greenback lower against the New Zealand Dollar. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand is expected to cut its 4.25% cash rate by 50bps at its upcoming meeting, which could impact the pair's movement.
🟣Macroeconomic Analysis:
The global economic trends are influencing the NZD/USD pair. The US inflation rate is at 2.90%, while New Zealand's inflation rate is at 2.20%. The interest rate difference between the two countries is also affecting the pair, with the US Fed Funds Interest Rate at 4.50% and the New Zealand Interest Rate at 4.25%.
🔵COT Report:
The latest COT report shows that speculative traders have increased their long positions in the NZD/USD pair, indicating a bullish sentiment.
🟠Sentimental Market Analysis:
The market sentiment for the NZD/USD pair is currently bullish, with 60% of investors expecting the price to increase in the next week. The social media sentiment is also bullish, with 55% of tweets and posts expressing a positive sentiment towards the pair.
🟢Aggregate Sentiment:
Bullish: 62%
Neutral: 26%
Bearish: 12%
🟡Positioning Analysis:
Institutional investors have increased their investment in the NZD/USD pair, indicating a growing interest in the pair. Retail investors are also optimistic about the pair, with 70% of investors expecting the price to increase in the next week.
⚫Overall Outlook:
Based on the analysis, the overall outlook for the NZD/USD pair is bullish, with a potential price increase of 5% in the next week. However, the market is subject to volatility, and investors should exercise caution when making investment decisions.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
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I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
Bearish reversal?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 0.5716
1st Support: 0.5631
1st Resistance: 0.5781
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
NZD/USD 4H Timeframe AnalysisTrend Analysis:
On the 4-hour timeframe, NZD/USD is in an uptrend, creating new highs and new lows. The price broke through the previous minor key resistance at 0.56750 and also broke our trendline, which can be considered another minor key level. Following this breakout, the price accumulated a high volume of buyer orders before retracing below the minor key. This move appears to be a liquidity grab—hunting for buyers’ stop losses—and represents a form of market manipulation. The price then retested the minor key level within our trendline.
Price Action Expectation:
After liquidity was formed, the price created a doji candle followed by a bullish engulfing pattern, suggesting that buyers are ready to push the price higher. The price then broke the minor key resistance again. Our objective now is to patiently wait for a retest of the minor key level.
Trade Setup:
Entry: 0.56780 (upon confirmation of the retest)
Stop Loss (SL): 0.56510 (placed below the liquidity zone)
Take Profit (TP): 0.57430 (targeting the next minor key level)
Fundamental Outlook:
The upcoming USD news on the Non-Farm Employment Change is set to report a forecast of 169K, a significant decline from the previous figure of 256K. This lower-than-expected reading could suggest a cooling U.S. labor market, potentially putting downward pressure on the USD. If the data confirms a slowdown in job creation, market participants may adjust their expectations for economic growth and Federal Reserve policy, which could lead to a weaker dollar. However, overall market reactions will depend on additional economic indicators and prevailing risk sentiment, so traders should be prepared for increased volatility.
Conclusion:
The NZD/USD 4-hour analysis reveals that the pair remains in an established uptrend, with recent price action indicating both a liquidity grab and potential accumulation. The formation of a doji followed by a bullish engulfing pattern signals that buyers are preparing to push the price higher. Our technical setup involves a buy entry at 0.56780—after a confirmed retest of the minor key level—with a stop loss at 0.56510 and a target of 0.57430, offering a clear risk/reward profile.
On the fundamental side, the upcoming Non-Farm Employment Change report—forecasted at 169K compared to the previous 256K—could point to a cooling U.S. labor market, potentially weakening the USD and adding volatility to the market.
Overall, while the technical setup looks promising, traders should remain cautious given the potential for increased volatility from the upcoming economic data. Adjust your risk management accordingly as you monitor the market for a confirmed retest before entering the trade.
Trading involves substantial risks and may not be suitable for all investors. Always seek guidance from a financial professional if you’re unsure about trading decisions.
NZDUSD Is Nearing The Daily TrendHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NZDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.57500 zone, NZDUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.57500 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.