NZD/USD Multi-Timeframe Analysis & Trade Setup
Timeframes Analyzed:
30-Minute (M30)
1-Hour (H1)
4-Hour (H4)
Daily (D1)
Market Structure Overview
✅ Bearish Trend: The overall structure remains bearish, with multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) confirming a downward momentum.
✅ Liquidity Sweeps: Weak lows were taken out, showing potential liquidity grabs before a possible reversal.
✅ Premium & Discount Zones:
Premium Zone (~0.5750 - 0.5800): Ideal for short positions.
Discount Zone (~0.5550 - 0.5580): Currently testing this area, a key decision point.
Trade Scenarios
📉 Scenario 1: Short Trade (Higher Probability - 70%)
Entry: 0.5620 - 0.5650 (If price retraces higher)
Stop Loss (SL): Above 0.5670
Take Profit (TP): 0.5550 (Discount Zone)
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3+
Probability: 70%
📌 Confirmation: Look for bearish price action near 0.5620 - 0.5650 before entering a short.
📈 Scenario 2: Long Trade (Moderate Probability - 55%)
Entry: 0.5550 - 0.5580 (Current Discount Zone)
Stop Loss (SL): Below 0.5530
Take Profit (TP): 0.5650 (Previous Support Turned Resistance)
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2
Probability: 55%
📌 Risk: The long trade is counter-trend but might work if a bullish CHoCH (Change of Character) appears.
Conclusion & Recommendations
Best Trade: Short from 0.5620 - 0.5650, targeting 0.5550.
Watch for a break of the weak low at 0.5580—if it holds, a reversal could be in play.
Confirmation Needed: Price action at key levels before executing trades.
NZDUSD trade ideas
NZDUSD Trade Idea - Bearish Bias### **📉 NZDUSD Trade Idea - Bearish Bias**
**🔍 Market Outlook:**
I am considering **NZDUSD bearish** based on the following analysis:
✅ **Bearish Trend Continuation:** The pair has shown consistent weakness and is aligned with a bearish trend. ⬇️
✅ **External Monthly Range Liquidity:** The price is likely heading towards the **monthly external range liquidity**, creating a good opportunity to short. 🏦💰
✅ **Break of Structure (BOS):** A recent **BOS** confirms downward momentum, suggesting further downside potential. 📉
✅ **SMC Alignment:** The trade aligns with **Smart Money Concepts**, supporting institutional-driven price movements. 💼
### **📌 Trade Plan:**
🔹 **Entry:** Wait for a minor retracement or liquidity sweep before entering short. ⏳
🔹 **Stop Loss:** Above the recent **swing high** or invalidation level. 🚨
🔹 **Take Profit:** Target **monthly external range liquidity** for a significant profit zone. 🎯💵
🔹 **Confluence:** Look for additional **bearish order flow** confirmation on lower timeframes (LTF). 🔄
Let me know if you'd like more details or a chart to visualize this! 📊
NZDUSD Will Go Up From Support! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for NZDUSD.
Time Frame: 8h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 0.559.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 0.566.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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How I Secured 100+ Pips on NZDUSD Sell This WeekHey Rich Friends,
Happy Friday. Today, I will dive deep into the NZDUSD sell I took this week. Fortunately, my analysis was correct, and with patience, I was able to secure 100+ pips. Here is what I did:
First, I used session breaks on the 1HR time frame to help me identify the previous days' high and low. This is important because based on how the market reacts in these areas, it will help me determine what to do. For example:
- rejection at PDH = SELL, break out above PDH = BUY
- support at PDL = BUY, break out below PDL = SELL
In this case, there was a break below the PDL which was my first indicator to go short.
Next, I used horizontal lines to mark additional lows for potential TPs since I was selling and I used a previous high for my SL.
The only indicator that I used was the stochastic. You can find a very detailed breakdown of how I use the Stochastic in my previous Editors' Pick video here: www.tradingview.com
I hope this was helpful. If you made it this far, comment a "7" and let me know what you've learned.
Peace and Profits,
Cha
NZDUSD Wave Analysis – 27 February 2025
- NZDUSD under bearish pressure
- Likely to fall support level 0.5600
NZDUSD currency pair is under bearish pressure after the earlier breakout of the support trendline of the daily up channel from the start of February.
The breakout of this up channel continues the active impulse wave 3, which started earlier from the key resistance level 0.5760 (former support from December), intersecting with the aforementioned up channel.
NZDUSD currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 0.5600, a low of the previous minor correction b.
Bullish bounce off pullback support?NZD/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback that is slightly below the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.5606
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Stop loss: 0.5567
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 0.5664
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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NZD/USD Analysis & Trade Setup **Market Structure Update:**
- **Overall Trend:** Bearish continuation.
- **Break of Structure (BOS):** Multiple BOS confirming downward momentum.
- **Change of Character (CHOCH):** Seen at minor pullbacks but failed to reverse trend.
- **Liquidity Zones:**
- **Weak Low (~0.5678 - 0.5680)**: Price just touched this area.
- **Discount Zone (~0.5650 - 0.5670)**: Potential area for reversal.
- **Premium Zone (~0.5750 - 0.5780)**: Potential selling zone.
**Trade Setup & Probability Assessment**
**Scenario 1: Short Trade (High Probability - 75%)**
- **Entry:** **0.5700 - 0.5720** (Potential pullback to PDL level)
- **Stop Loss (SL):** **Above 0.5730**
- **Take Profit (TP):** **0.5650 (Discount Zone)**
- **Risk-Reward (RR):** **1:3+**
- **Probability:** **75%** (Bearish trend continuation, liquidity grab above PDL)
**Scenario 2: Long Trade (Medium Probability - 55%)**
- **Entry:** **0.5675 - 0.5680** (Current weak low area)
- **Stop Loss (SL):** **Below 0.5660**
- **Take Profit (TP):** **0.5720 (Equilibrium Zone)**
- **Risk-Reward (RR):** **1:2**
- **Probability:** **55%** (Possible short-term bounce but against overall trend)
**Conclusion & Recommendation**
- **Best Trade Setup:** Short trade from **0.5700 - 0.5720**, targeting **0.5650**.
- **Weak Low at 0.5680** may break, so a long trade is riskier.
- **Look for bearish confirmations near 0.5700 before entering a short.**
Thu 27th Feb 2025 NZD/USD Daily Forex Chart Sell SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a NZD/USD Sell. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
NZDUSD - Long from bullish OB !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on NZDUSD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a long. I expect price to continue the retracement to fill that small imbalance lower and then to reject from bullish OB.
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NZD_USD REBOUND AHEAD|LONG|
✅NZD_USD went down from
The rising resistance just as
We predicted in our previous
Analysis now the pair has
Reached the horizontal support
Of 0.5690 from where we are
Already seeing a local bullish
Reaction and we will be
Expecting a further bullish rebound
LONG🚀
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
NZD/USD is approaching a significant support zonemarked with a blue area, aligning closely with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level. This suggests a potential reaction from buyers in this region. If the price holds above this support, we might see a bullish reversal. However, if the level fails, further downside movement could follow. Keep an eye on price action signals around this area to confirm a possible bounce.
NZDUSD Massive Long! BUY!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for NZDUSD is below:
The market is trading on 0.5691 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 0.5731
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NZD/USD 4-Hour Time Frame Analysis
Technical Analysis:
On the 4-hour chart, the NZD/USD pair is exhibiting a bullish structure, forming higher highs and higher lows after breaking through two key resistance levels at 0.56900 and 0.57200, which are now acting as minor support zones.
Following a false breakout, the price retested the 0.56900 support level before resuming its upward movement, accumulating significant buying volume. This accumulation suggests a potential liquidity hunt as the market gathers momentum.
Key Trade Parameters:
Entry: Buy limit at 0.57250, contingent on a confirmed 4-hour candle close above 0.57200.
Stop Loss (SL): Positioned below the liquidity zone at 0.56840 to manage downside risk.
Take Profit (TP): Targeting the next resistance level at 0.58070.
Market Outlook:
Our primary focus is to monitor the price action within the liquidity zone. A confirmed break and sustained close above 0.57200 will validate a bullish continuation, providing a favorable opportunity for a long position.
Fundamental Analysis:
As of February 26, 2025, China's Politburo has announced plans to adopt proactive fiscal and moderately loose monetary policies to stimulate economic growth throughout the year. These initiatives were outlined during the December 2024 Central Economic Work Conference, which set the strategic economic agenda for 2025.
Key policy measures include:
Increased public spending through ultra-long treasury bonds.
Investment incentives targeting business growth and modernization.
Consumer stimulus programs, such as subsidies for vehicle and appliance upgrades.
While the full implementation of these policies is ongoing, their positive spillover effects are expected to influence global trade dynamics throughout 2025 (Source: Reuters).
Implications for NZD/USD:
China's proactive fiscal and monetary stance supports a positive outlook for the NZD/USD pair. As these policies drive economic activity, increased demand for New Zealand exports—particularly in agriculture and commodities—could provide upward momentum for the New Zealand Dollar.
If these measures are effectively implemented, the NZD/USD pair may experience sustained bullish momentum, offering attractive opportunities for market participants.
📌 Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading involves risk, and you should conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results.