Elliott Wave View Looking for NZDUSD to Extend LowerShort Term Elliott Wave view in NZDUSD suggests that cycle from 9.30.2024 high is in progress as an impulse. Down from 9.30.2024 high, wave (1) ended at 0.5813 and wave (2) ended at 0.5929. Pair has resumed lower in wave (3) which ended at 0.5583 as the 1 hour chart below shows. Rally in wave (4) unfolded as a zigzag. Up from wave (3), wave A ended at 0.5684 and wave B ended at 0.5628. Wave C higher ended at 0.5692 which completed wave (4) in higher degree.
Pair has resumed lower in wave (5). Down from wave (4), wave ((i)) ended at 0.5568 and wave ((ii)) rally ended at 0.5603. Wave ((iii)) lower ended at 0.5539 and rally in wave ((iv)) ended at 0.5573. Final leg wave ((v)) ended at 0.5538 which completed wave 1. From there, pair bounce in wave 2 with internal subdivision as a zigzag. Up from wave 1, wave ((a)) ended at 0.563 and wave ((b)) ended at 0.558. Wave ((c)) higher ended at 0.565 which completed wave 2 in higher degree. Near term, as far as pivot at 0.569 high remains intact, expect rally to fail in 3, 7, 11 swing for more downside.
NZDUSD trade ideas
Short - If price pullbacks and form CLS on this levelyou are welcome to comment with your thoughts and share your charts or questions below, I like any constructive discussion.
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NZDUSD Possible ShortsW1 : Bearish
D1 : Bearish
4H : Bearish with 4H OB presented
Narrative: Price has rebalanced the upper weekly Weekly Imbalance and gave a shift in market structure on 4H Time frame aligning with the bearish Bias. We can look for entry on lower timeframe if price retrace back to tap into that 4H OB and target upto the weak low.
NZDUSD - LONG - strong Confluences of DIVERGENCE & Sentiments1- Market has formed strong Bullish Divergence on Daily Time Frame
2- Market has tested and rejected with TWEEZER BOTTOM candle stick pattern from Weekly Support level
3- Market is approaching its LH (which is also a trend line resistance) if this gets break, market will follow a corrective move up-to FIB 0.382 level which is also a DAILY strong Resistance level.
4- ENTRY can be made once LH is broken
5- SL is placed below LL
6- TP is strong daily resistance level / FIB 0.382 level
7- Sentiments of this PAIR is also bullish of retail traders
Kiwi H1 | Approaching swing-high resistanceThe Kiwi (NZD/USD) is rising towards a swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 0.5630 which is a swing-high resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 0.5660 which is a level that sits above a swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 0.5590 which is a pullback support that aligns close to the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Falling towards pullback support?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could rise to the pullback resistance.
Pivot: 0.5586
1st Support: 0.5543
1st Resistance: 0.56567
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Falling towards overlap suppoprt?NZD/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.5600
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.5578
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.5641
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
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NZDUSD | 15.01.2025BUY 0.56120 | STOP 0.55650 | TAKE 0.56650 | The New Zealand dollar is trying to consolidate above the 0.5600 mark during the Asian session on January 15, with moderate support from the New Zealand Institute of Economic Research (NZIER) fourth-quarter business confidence data. On the eve, representatives of New Zealand and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) signed a comprehensive economic partnership agreement with the aim of expanding trade and increasing investment between the countries.
Bullish bounce?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 0.5571
1st Support: 0.5542
1st Resistance: 0.5620
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
NZDUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NZDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.56400 zone, NZDUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.56400 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Why is the NZD attracting buyers?The NZD/USD pair has shown significant resilience, climbing to 0.5631 this week, marking a solid recovery from its previous low of 0.5542. This upward momentum is largely driven by China's proactive economic stimulus measures, which have positively impacted New Zealand due to their strong trade relationship. The People's Bank of China’s commitment to maintaining liquidity and stabilizing the Yuan has provided additional support to the kiwi, enhancing its trade outlook. However, traders remain vigilant, focusing on forthcoming decisions by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand and monitoring global market conditions closely. Despite the recent gains, the US dollar's overall strength, supported by a robust economic outlook for 2025, continues to exert pressure, creating a dynamic trading environment for the NZD/USD pair. As these factors converge, the pair's trajectory will depend on the interplay between domestic policies in New Zealand and broader international economic developments.
Bullish bounce for the Kiwi?The price is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.5572
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.5542
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 0.5611
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
NZDUSD Potential Bullish RunJust saw that a strong bearish divergence was on the play on the daily chart from top down digging a bullish structure was forming and I calculated my risk and reward on 1 hour chart after checking every possible bullish aspect of the possible bullish return. On the safe side. I'm going for the buy stops instead of instant buys.
My Positions
Entry Price : 0.56425
Stop Loss : 0.55774
TP 1 :0.5708
TP 2 :0.5773
NZDUSD Will Go Lower From Resistance! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for NZDUSD.
Time Frame: 6h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 0.558.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 0.551 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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NZD/USD SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
NZD/USD is making a bullish rebound on the 3H TF and is nearing the resistance line above while we are generally bearish biased on the pair due to our previous 1W candle analysis, thus making a trend-following short a good option for us with the target being the 0.552 level.
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Kiwi H4 | Rising into multi-swing-high resistanceThe Kiwi (NZD/USD) is rising towards a multi-swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 0.5683 which is a multi-swing-high resistance that aligns close to the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 0.5745 which is a level that sits above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and a descending trendline resistance.
Take profit is at 0.5540 which is a swing-low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Bearish drop off 50% Fibonacci resistance?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) has reacted off the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could drop to the 50% Fibonacci support.
Pivot: 0.5576
1st Support: 0.5557
1st Resistance: 0.5640
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.