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New Zealand Dollar / U.S. Dollar

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NZDUSD trade ideas

NZDUSD to continue in the downward move?NZDUSD - 24h expiry There is no indication that the selloff is coming to an end. Although we remain bearish overall, a correction is possible without impacting the trend lower. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels. A move through 0.5775 will confirm the bearish momentum. The measured move target is 0.5750. We look to Sell at 0.5820 (stop at 0.5844) Our profit targets will be 0.5760 and 0.5750 Resistance: 0.5800 / 0.5820 / 0.5850 Support: 0.5775 / 0.5760 / 0.5750 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Short
by OANDA
New Zealand Dollar / U.S. Dollar | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General 1. Push Set Up 2. Range Set up 3. Break & Retest Set Up Notes On Session New Zealand Dollar / U.S. Dollar - Double Formation * 0.58750 USD | Support Area * 0.62250 USD | Resistance Area - Triple Formation * Angle 1 | A+ Set Up | Subdivision 1 * Neckline | Continuation Set Up | Subdivision 2 * 012345 | Wave 3 Ongoing + Pennant | Subdivision 3 Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities; London(Upwards) - NYC(Downwards) Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand; Overall Consensus | Sell
Short
by TradePolitics
1
NZDUSD - Short + medium term direction predictionHigher Timeframe trend = Sell Retail trader bias = Buy Institutional bias = Sell Short term target = retail trader stoploss zone I would like to clarify that I dont trade with extended targets like the secondary and tertiary ones marked. This might be handy for people who leave runners on their trades. Also keep in mind that I am only providing my own SUBJECTIVE potential target levels here. The best thing to do would be to drop down to lower timeframes and look for good areas of value to enter that are part of your own plan. S : -9 C : 15,85 - 56,44 R : 75-25
Short
by Gamblers-Fallacy
NZDUSD Wave Analysis 18 December 2024 - NZDUSD broke long-term support level 0.5770 - Likely to fall to support level 0.5500 NZDUSD currency pair earlier broke below the long-term support level 0.5770 (which acted as the lower border of the weekly sideways price range inside which the pair has been trading from the start of 2023). The breakout of the support level 0.5770 accelerated the active impulse wave C of extended downward ABC correction (2) from last year. NZDUSD can be expected to fall further to the next support level 0.5500 (former multiyear low from 2022 and the target price for the completion of the active impulse wave C).
Short
by FxProGlobal
New Zealand slides after Fed rate cut, NZ GDP nextThe New Zealand dollar has declined sharply on Wednesday. In the North American session, NZD/USD is trading at 0.5685, down 1.2% on the day. The New Zealand dollar has been in freefall, plunging 11.6% since Oct. 1. New Zealand's economy is expected to contract in the third quarter by 0.4% q/q, after a 0.2% decline in Q2. If the economy  contracted for back-to-back quarters as expected, it would mean that the economy is in a technical recession.  Construction and manufacturing activity declined in the third quarter and a severe power crisis led to a decrease exports, all of which dampened GDP. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand slashed rates by 50 basis points last month, lowering the cash rate to 4.25%. The central bank has trimmed rates by 125 bp since August but the economy is clearly in need of further cuts. Inflation is back within the target of 1% to 3% and we can expect another cut at  the next meeting in February barring a surprise jump in inflation. There wasn't much excitement around today's Federal Reserve meeting, as the market had priced in a quarter-point cut at close to 100%. This is exactly what happened, as the Fed cut rates for a third time this year. The Fed signaled that it expected to cut rates only two times in 2025, lower than previous projections of four rate cuts. With the US economy in solid shape and the downswing in inflation stalled, the Fed can afford to take its time before the next rate cut. The market will hear from Fed Chair Powell shortly. Powell could reiterate that the Fed plans to cut rates "gradually", which means modest cuts of 25 basis points. NZD/USD is testing support at 0.5715. Next, there is support at 0.5665 There is resistance at 0.5801 and 0.5849
by OANDA
Let’s Get Kiwi with It: Time to Long NZD/USD!remember that trading is like a box of chocolates, you never know what you're gonna get. So, let's dive in: Interest Rate Differentials: The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) and the US Federal Reserve may have different stances on interest rates. If the RBNZ is expected to raise interest rates or the US Federal Reserve is expected to lower them, this could lead to an appreciation of the NZD/USD pair. It's like a seesaw, when one goes up, the other goes down. Unless it's broken, then you're just sitting on the ground. Economic Indicators: Economic indicators such as GDP growth, unemployment rate, inflation, and consumer sentiment can influence the exchange rate. If the New Zealand economy is expected to perform better than the US economy, this could lead to an appreciation of the NZD/USD pair. It's like a race, and right now, the Kiwi bird might just be wearing the running shoes. Commodity Prices: New Zealand is a major exporter of commodities, especially dairy products. If milk prices are expected to rise, this could lead to an appreciation of the New Zealand dollar. So, if you see a cow, thank it for potentially boosting your profits. Political Risks: Political events and policy changes can influence exchange rates. If there are political risks in the US that are expected to negatively impact the US economy or if there are positive political developments in New Zealand, this could lead to an appreciation of the NZD/USD pair. Politics, am I right? It's like a soap opera but with potentially more drama. Market Sentiment: Market sentiment can influence exchange rates. If traders are bullish on the New Zealand dollar or bearish on the US dollar, this could lead to an appreciation of the NZD/USD pair. Remember, the market is like a party. You want to join when everyone is having fun, not when everyone is leaving. Technical Analysis: The NZD/USD pair may be at a key support level, and a reversal pattern may be forming. If the pair breaks above this level, it could signal a move upwards. It's like reading tea leaves, but instead of predicting your future love life, you're predicting currency movements. Remember, these are potential reasons and the actual movement of the NZD/USD pair will depend on a variety of factors. It's important to conduct thorough research and consider the potential risks before making a trading decision.
Long
by FtradeFXArabic
NZD/USD Bears Remain in ControlSince early October, sellers have largely taken control of the NZD/USD (New Zealand versus the US dollar) and sent price to lows not seen since late 2022, with limited pullbacks seen. Overall, the currency pair is down nearly 10% from October highs. Ichimoku Resistance Supporting Sell-On-Rally Setups What is technically important to recognise is that the current downtrend remains supported by the area formed between the Ichimoku’s Conversion Line (blue at US$0.5830) and Base Line (red at US$0.5892). Consequently, as long as the pair continues to explore lower levels, any pullback will likely prompt traders to closely monitor price action for signs of bearish intent from within the aforementioned area. Adding to the bearish outlook for the NZD/USD, in addition to the 200-day simple moving average (US$0.6050) rotating lower, and price crossing south of the line in early October, it is clear that the Ichimoku’s Leading Span A (light green at US$0.5861) crossed below the Leading Span B (light orange at US$0.6012). This provides a bearish signal and helps establish another resistance area that investors will watch closely should a deeper pullback come to fruition: the Ichimoku Cloud. Price Direction? With the downtrend clear, should a pullback to resistance at US$0.5816 materialise – which, at that point, will likely line up with the resistance area between the Ichimoku’s Conversion/Base Lines – this could be an area that sellers are drawn to.
Short
by FPMarkets