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New Zealand Dollar / U.S. Dollar

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NZDUSD trade ideas

NZDUSD: ITF CURVE ANALYSIS (8H) - DOWNTREND✨NZDUSD: ITF CURVE ANALYSIS (8H) ✨ (DOWNTREND) SLO4 @ 0.63439 ⏳(LOW POTENTIAL) SLO3 @ 0.62919 ⏳ SLO2 @ 0.62886 ⏳ SLO1 @ 0.62689 ⏳ SSO1 @ 0.62587 - TRIGGERED SSO2 @ 0.62508 - TRIGGERED SLO3 @ 0.6240 - TRIGGERED TP1 @ 0.61929 TP2 @ 0.60484 TP3 @ 0.59538 BLO1 @ 0.59310⏳ (✨NEW✨- TANDEM ORDER - PAY ATTENTION) NOTE: IF PA gets to TP2 before triggering any of the above SLO's, they we will ALL be null and void on any RT or PB unless new info presents itself. If this occurs, I'll present a new buy opportunity to work alongside the HTF long position currently running. See "NZDUSD: HTF CURVE ANALYSIS (9D) - UPTREND" post for further details. Happy trading all. 🔑 BLO = BUY LIMIT ORDER HTF = HIGH TIMEFRAME ITF = INTERMEDIATE TIME FRAME PB = PULLBACK RT = RETRACEMENT SLO = SELL LIMIT ORDER SSO = SELL STOP ORDER TP = TAKE PROFIT Intermediate time frames (4 hours to 6 day): — Offer a clearer picture of the underlying trend compared to short-term frames. — Provide more opportunities for confirmation signals and technical analysis. — Allow for more flexible trading schedules, trades can be held overnight. — Suitable for swing traders and some positional traders.
Short
by oktane
NZDUSD: HTF CURVE ANALYSIS (9D) - UPTREND✨ NZDUSD: HTF CURVE ANALYSIS (9D) ✨ (UPTREND) BLO2 @ 0.55692 ⏳ (DON'T FORESEE THIS ONE GETTING TRIGGERED) BLO1 @ 0.57812 - TRIGGERED BLO1a @ ???? - (✨NEW✨) I'LL UPDATE IN A TANDEM POST FOR THE LTF/ITF! PAY ATTENTION TP1 @ 0.61279 - TRIGGERED (POTENTIAL FOR THIS TO BE HIT AGAIN....PAY ATTENTION TP1a @ 0.6310 (Secret TP) TP2 @ 0.67027 TP3 @ 0.70657 TP3a @ 0.7133 (Secret TP) SLO1 @ 0.71665 ⏳ SLO2 @ 0.73662 ⏳ 🔑 BLO = BUY LIMIT ORDER HTF = HIGH TIME FRAME ITF = INTERMEDIATE TIME FRAME LTF = LOW TIME FRAME SLO = SELL LIMIT ORDER TP = TAKE PROFIT NOTE: THIS IS A LONG TERM TRADE.... ONCE IN FOR THE LONG....JUST STAY PUT! Long-term time frames (1 week to 1 year): — Shows the big picture, revealing major trends and economic factors. — Less volatile, price movements are slower and smoother. — Suitable for long-term trend trading and position trading. — Requires less frequent monitoring but may offer fewer trading opportunities.
Long
by oktane
NZD/USD powering higher as business confidence, milk prices surg- NZD/USD hits highs not seen since early January - Latest leg higher fueled by big improvement in New Zealand business confidence - Kiwi likely to outperform as long as traders continue to see a soft US economic landing About the only thing rising as fast as dairy prices is New Zealand business confidence right now, and both are beneficial for NZD/USD which has surged to seven-month highs. Who said Kiwis can’t fly? Kiwi flying on dairy strength, soaring business confidence As covered in a separate note last week, NZD/USD has been a major benefactor of recent US dollar weakness, not only enjoying tailwinds from narrowing interest rate differentials but also soaring dairy prices. You can now add bullish New Zealand business confidence to the growing list of Kiwi tailwinds. The confidence measure in the ANZ Bank New Zealand Business Outlook survey surged to a decade-high in August, surging 23 points to +51. Expectations for own activity also bounced, hitting fresh seven-year highs. The bounce in optimism followed the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s (RBNZ) first interest rate cut of the cycle earlier in the month, with the bank signalling a further 100 basis points of easing by the middle of next year. “Things are definitely looking up, albeit from a pretty dark place for many firms,” ANZ’s economics team wrote. “It wasn’t the Reserve Bank’s cut to the Official Cash Rate (OCR) that kicked off the lift – we saw an increase across much of the survey already in July, and the further large jump in August was already evident when the survey first opened at the very beginning of the month. The table below from ANZ details just how impressive the improvement in the surveys internal components was during the month. NZD/USD remains a buy-on-dips play Having chopped back and forth through former resistance at .6218 earlier this week, the data has seen the Kiwi rocket higher in Asian trade on Thursday, hitting levels not seen since early January, breaking through another layer of resistance at .6277 in the process. The question now is whether it can hold there? RSI (14) and MACD continue to provide bullish signals on the daily timeframe, although the former is now bordering on overbought territory. Even so, the inclination remains to buy dips rather than sell rallies in the near-term. With nothing else on the New Zealand calendar this week, the biggest threat to the bullish trend arguably comes from incoming US labour market data which has been highly influential on Fed interest rate pricing over recent months, placing emphasis on initial jobless claims that will be released later in the session. For a cyclical currency like the Kiwi, mild weakness screens as bullish. So too mild strength as both would allow the Fed to begin cutting rates without sparking fears of an impending recession. But if the data were to weaken dramatically, that would be problematic given the Kiwi comes across as a high beta play on the global economy. If the US were to fall into recession, narrowing interest rate differentials would be more than overridden by fears of weaker demand, hammering risker cyclical plays as a consequence. However, such an outcome screens as unlikely on this occasion, potentially opening the door for the Kiwi to keep rising. My preference would be to see how the data prints before entering positions. If the price pushes above .6277, you could buy with a stop below the level for protection. .63695 is one potential target. Alternatively, if it can’t hold .6277, you could sell with a stop above the level for protection targeting a pullback to either .6218 or .6150. -- Written by David Scutt
Long
by WHSelfInvest
Market Analysis: NZD/USD Regain StrengthMarket Analysis: NZD/USD Regain Strength NZD/USD is showing positive signs and might attempt a fresh increase above 0.6275. Important Takeaways for NZD USD Analysis Today - NZD/USD is correcting gains from the 0.6300 zone. - There is a major bullish trend line forming with support at 0.6255 on the hourly chart of NZD/USD at FXOpen. NZD/USD Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of NZD/USD on FXOpen, the pair started a steady increase from the 0.6140 zone. The New Zealand Dollar broke the 0.6200 resistance to start the recent increase against the US Dollar. The pair settled above 0.6235 and the 50-hour simple moving average. It tested the 0.6300 zone and is currently correcting gains. The pair corrected lower below the 0.6275 level. The pair also traded below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward wave from the 0.6194 swing low to the 0.6298 high. The NZD/USD chart suggests that the RSI is now below 50. On the downside, there is major support forming near 0.6255 and a trend line. The next major support is near the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward wave from the 0.6194 swing low to the 0.6298 high at 0.6235. If there is a downside break below the 0.6235 support, the pair might slide toward the 0.6195 support. Any more losses could lead NZD/USD in a bearish zone to 0.6160. On the upside, the pair might struggle near 0.6275. The next major resistance is near the 0.6300 level. A clear move above the 0.6300 level might even push the pair toward the 0.6340 level. Any more gains might clear the path for a move toward the 0.6400 resistance zone in the coming days. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
NZDUSD M30 I Bearish Reversal Based on the M30 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 0.6272, which is a pullback resistance and a 50% Fibonacci retracement. Our take profit will be at 0.6250, an overlap support level. The stop loss will be at 0.6299, a swing high resistance level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 62% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider.You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 59% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
NZD USD REJECTED SUPPORT Certainly! Here’s the description in English: Currently, the NZD/USD currency pair is showing a clear bullish trend on the 1-hour (1H) timeframe. The price has recently bounced off a key support area, indicating potential for continued upward movement. The bullish signals on this timeframe, evidenced by positive price action and supporting momentum, suggest that the uptrend is likely to persist. With the bounce from the support area, there is an increased potential for testing and breaking through the next resistance level. If NZD/USD manages to surpass and maintain its position above this resistance, the bullish trend could extend further, providing opportunities for traders to capitalize on potential gains. Traders are advised to monitor technical indicators and price movements closely to confirm the continuation of the trend and make informed trading decisions. FOREXCOM:NZDUSD
Long
by PipPocketfx
NZD/USD MAY Slide Down#trading_idea #NZDUSD 💡 🥝Pay Attention to NZD/USD! On the 1-hour chart, the price is moving within a short-term ascending channel, showing growing bullish strength. However, the MACD indicates a potential correction downward. Meanwhile, the kiwi dollar surged to an eight-month high of $0.6295, fueled by an upbeat business outlook survey revealing a significant rise in confidence, the highest in a decade. The currency is currently up 0.73% to $0.6291, showing strong support following the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's recent rate cut and signals of possible future cuts. 🔼If the price rebounds from the lower lone of the uptrend channel we may see retest 0.6299 resistance. 🔽Otherwise, if the price breaks down the trendline rebound slide towards support 0.626 is likely. 👋 Show "👍" if you believe the price will increase and "👎" if you believe it will decrease. ➡️GET $20,000 JUST FOR $99
Short
by sabiotrade
1
NZD/USD: Watch for Key Levels as Uptrend Faces ResistanceNZD/USD is in a strong uptrend but is currently slightly overbought. The NZD/USD pair could potentially rise again within the 0.6219 to 0.6255 range, as the risk-to-reward ratio favors the upside in this range. If the price indeed turns higher, it might reach this morning's high of 0.6297, followed by 0.6340. However, a drop below 0.6219 could trigger profit-taking, driving the price down to 0.6192. This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information
Long
by ThinkMarkets
2
Probability-Driven NZDUSD Long: 54% Chance of Reaching TargetI'm sharing a bullish trade idea for NZDUSD, supported by several key fundamentals. The U.S. dollar is weakening due to expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, which is beneficial for the New Zealand dollar. Additionally, New Zealand's economy is showing resilience, especially with favorable trade balance data and stable commodity prices, particularly in dairy exports. To find the best entry points for my long positions, I will use my X1X2 strategy, which focuses on identifying high-probability trade setups. This strategy involves analyzing recent price swings where the probability of a successful trade is over 54%. 12M: 1W: 6H: Short-term 6H is holding bullish, aligning with our 1W bias.
Long
by Jasminex1x2
NZDUSD to continue in the upward move?NZDUSD - 24h expiry There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end. Although we remain bullish overall, a correction is possible with plenty of room to move lower without impacting the trend higher. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels. A move through 0.6235 will confirm the bullish momentum. The measured move target is 0.6275. We look to Buy at 0.6220 (stop at 0.6200) Our profit targets will be 0.6270 and 0.6275 Resistance: 0.6250 / 0.6270 / 0.6275 Support: 0.6225 / 0.6220 / 0.6210 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Long
by OANDA
NZDUSDNZDUSD have some potential for upside with target at 0.63. All setup on chart. Traders should not use my plans as signals; they are meant to share my market perspective based on price reactions to key levels. Relying on others' signals limits your learning and causes insecurity. Instead, use my plans to enhance your strategy. Perform your own analysis and risk management first, then consult my plans to identify the best trading zones, the best levels to buy or to sell. Learning from others is important, but copying them won't make you a professional. Developing your own strategy and critical analysis skills is crucial for long-term success. Always trust your judgment and focus on continuous learning to improve your skills. Your trading is your responsibility. Choose a good risk management.
Long
by miketiger
Massive triangle forming in NZDUSDPrice action has been building this triangle pattern for quite a long time now, starting its formation back in late 2022. Assuming price doesn't break out prematurely, it appears the trend is timing its setup to break free early next year, perhaps around the time of the US presidential inauguration? At price's current point, I am looking for a long setup, as both the weekly candle appears to be respecting the bottom trendline of the triangle with a convincing rejection, and the fact that RSI is showing way oversold conditions on the daily timeframe.
Long
by CJBlueNorther