NZDUSD trade ideas
NZDUSD Will Move Higher! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for NZDUSD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 0.584.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 0.603.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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Market Analysis: NZD/USD Under Pressure, Downtrend PersistsMarket Analysis: NZD/USD Under Pressure, Downtrend Persists
NZD/USD is also moving lower and might struggle to recover above 0.5900.
Important Takeaways for NZD/USD Analysis Today
- NZD/USD declined steadily from the 0.5930 resistance zone.
- There was a break below a short-term contracting triangle with support at 0.5865 on the hourly chart of NZD/USD at FXOpen.
NZD/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of NZD/USD on FXOpen, the pair also followed a similar pattern and declined from the 0.5930 zone. The New Zealand Dollar gained bearish momentum and traded below 0.5900 against the US Dollar.
The pair settled below the 0.5880 level and the 50-hour simple moving average. Besides, there was a break below a short-term contracting triangle with support at 0.5865.
Finally, it tested the 0.5830 zone and is currently consolidating losses. Immediate resistance on the upside is near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.5904 swing high to the 0.5831 low at 0.5840.
The next resistance is the 0.5865 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.5904 swing high to the 0.5831 low. If there is a move above 0.5865, the pair could rise toward 0.5905.
Any more gains might open the doors for a move toward the 0.5930 resistance zone in the coming days. On the downside, immediate support on the NZD/USD chart is near the 0.5830 level.
The next major support is near the 0.5800 zone. If there is a downside break below 0.5800, the pair could extend its decline toward the 0.5765 level. The next key support is near 0.5740.
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NZDUSDNZDUSD Daily Chart The price is in a correction phase. Now the price is near the support zone 0.58441-0.58052. If the price cannot break through the 0.58052 level, it is expected that there is a chance that the price will rebound. Consider buying the red zone.
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Heading into 50% Fibonacci resistance?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) is falling towards the pivot which is an overlap resistance and could reverse to the 1st support level which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 0.5866
1st Support: 0.5820
1st Resistance: 0.5908
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NZDUSD - Short + medium term direction predictionTrend is down on higher timeframes and also down atm on medium term ones.
The majority of retail traders are also long this market, adding a confluence to a downside trade.
There is a pullback here following a break of some structure that signals continuation on overall trend.
The primary target would make a decent short term target as there will be plenty of stop losses sitting below that structure level so I would not be surprised to see an aggressive movement toward this level and even further toward the proposed secondary target marked.
I would like to clarify that I dont trade with extended targets like the secondary and tertiary ones marked. This might be handy for people who leave runners on their trades.
Also keep in mind that I am only providing potential target levels here. The best thing to do would be to drop down to lower timeframes and look for good areas of value to enter. This pullback is bringing us back to where the neckline of this head and shoulders are taken out so this might be an area of value but only trade this if its part of your plan.
Scenario on NZDUSDHere I see a quite similar scenario as in the audusd analysis, it is quite possible that we have already established a sfp low after support where the price continues to consolidate, so from my point of view a final triangle is possible from which I would like to look for a long set up on the exit
Daily watchlist for Tuesday and potential short in play.Morning forecast for the pairs i have on watch moving forward for the day, I currently took a short on the GBPCAD at the early hours of 5am EST in anticipation for a move lower. Key pairs that i am looking at are CADCHF, GBPUSD and NZDUSD. These are all very interesting pairs on the positions on the HTF and LTF structures.
NZDUSD Short ideaCOT Report
- Non Commercials are reducing there position in NZD, showing weakness in NZD.
- Non Commercials are much neutral in USD, showing steadiness to strength in USD>
Endogenous Factors
- NZD score after all indicators moved from +4 to -2 in last three months.
- USD score remains stable and mix making it neutral.
Exogenous Factors
- NZD is looking weaker against USD in exogenous factors as shown.