NZDUSD: Bearish Continuation & Short Trade
NZDUSD
- Classic bearish setup
- Our team expects bearish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short NZDUSD
Entry Point - 0.6018
Stop Loss - 0.6051
Take Profit - 0.5952
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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NZDUSD trade ideas
US Dollar May Face a Major Downtrend — NZDUSD Full Case Study
One-sentence key takeaway:
"The coming dollar downtrend is unfolding—NZDUSD has already taken off! Catch the structural breakout; the next station may witness a major dollar reversal."
1. Key Breakout Trigger — May 13
Signal time: 2025-05-13 22:01
Trigger price: 0.58932
Insight: Multi-timeframe signal confluence on NZDUSD, 0.58932 marks a major bullish breakout.
Strategy: As long as price holds above 0.59, stay bullish and ride the trend from the start.
《NZD(纽元)大级别上涨启动点(05月13日)》
2. First Follow-up — May 20
Price remained above 0.59; signal confirmed
Conclusion: Signal fully respected, trend intact, stay long and patient.
《NZD(纽元)大级别上涨启动点 —— 跟踪篇(1)(05月20日)》
3. Temporary Resistance — May 26
Current price: 0.60206
Non-USD pairs facing resistance, some consolidation appearing.
Strategy: Any pullback is not a concern; watch the structure, the main trend is unchanged.
《NZD(纽元)大级别上涨启动点 —— 跟踪篇(2)(非美遇到阻力)(05月26日)》
4. Second Breakout — May 28
Current price: 0.59691
Non-USD currencies re-ignite; strong inflow and bullish momentum.
Strategy: Buy dips in line with the trend, bullish bias unchanged.
《https://cn.tradingview.com/chart/idea/hDlgFQsc/》
5. Latest Update — June 2
Current price: 0.6005
Dollar Index: 98.965, down 0.48% today
NZDUSD and other non-USD pairs remain strong, Dollar Index keeps weakening.
Conclusion: The major dollar downtrend is clearly in play; non-USD bullish momentum remains dominant.
My Bias
Strongly bearish on USD; looking to buy NZDUSD and other non-USD pairs on dips
As long as 0.59 holds, the main trend stands
Every correction is a new chance to get on the next leg up
"Only big signals. Only key inflection points—miss one, and you could miss an entire cycle of wealth!"
NZD/USD Trade IdeaThe NZD/USD pair appears to be forming an ascending triangle, a pattern that typically indicates increasing bullish momentum and buyer strength.
Should price break above the established resistance zone at 0.60300, I would wait for a confirmed retest of this area before considering a long position.
Potential take-profit targets are set at the next key resistance levels of 0.61215 and 0.63740, based on previous structure.
NZDUSD 2.06.2025NZDUSD
We see a horizontal level from above, which usually breaks through upwards.
In addition, ALL liquidity has been reached from below, and the remaining liquidity is above, and we are moving towards it.
Best regards EXACAVO
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
NZDUSD BUYSNZDUSD is expected to buy to complete the crab pattern around 0.61200 psychological level BOUNCING FROM A 1HR FVG(Fair value Gap). we saw an expected rate cut of NZD interest rate at 25 basis point(0.25%) was was a dovish stand by the central bank. with investment sentiment still high on risk-on assets, I expect nzd to bully the green-back which is struggling with low interest rate figures as a result of declining inflation figures nearing its 2024 inflation target of 2% and global trade wars.
NZD_USD RISKY SHORT FROM RESISTANCE|
✅NZD_USD has been growing recently
And the pair seems locally overbought
So as the pair is approaching a horizontal resistance of 0.6030
Price decline is to be expected
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
NZD/USD Setup – Smart Money Demand Zone ReactionPrice has been respecting a well-defined demand zone with multiple rejections and clear signs of accumulation. We're now seeing strong bullish intent building up, especially with the current weakness in the U.S. Dollar (DXY).
This trade idea is structured around:
🔹 A clean liquidity sweep below recent lows
🔹 Strong reaction from institutional demand
🔹 Favorable RRR and market structure support
🔹 Aligns with broader macro sentiment
Momentum is shifting — and this looks like the beginning of an expansion leg to the upside.
#nzdusd #forextrading #smartmoneyconcepts #priceaction #liquidityzone #supplyanddemand #forexsetup #tradingview #telegramsignals #forexcommunity
adm:I would like to apologize especially to EuroMotif, for breaking a rule and I am sure that this will not happen again. I am responding through the post because unfortunately the SMS does not arrive. I thank you in advance for the opportunity.
Bullish bounce?NZD/USD is has bounced off the support level which is a pullback support and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.5931
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop loss: 0.5898
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 0.6017
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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NZDUSD: weekly overviewTraders, this is weekly view of the pair.
Our long-term TP is the 0.6300 but for now we have a strong trendline on our way! the only tradable zone for this week is 0.58497.
In case of bullish trades, from 0.60264 level. Please consider the trend line as mid-way TPS.
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The indicated levels are determined based on the most reaction points and the assumption of approximately equal distance between the zones.
Some of these points can also be confirmed by the mathematical intervals of Murray.
You can enter with/without confirmation. IF you want to take confirmation you can use LTF analysis, Spike move confirmation, Trend Strength confirmation and ETC.
SL could be placed below the zone or regarding the LTF swings.
TP is the next zone or the nearest moving S&R, which are median and borders of the drawn channels.
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Role of different zones:
GREEN: Just long trades allowed on them.
RED: Just Short trades allowed on them.
BLUE: both long and short trades allowed on them.
WHITE: No trades allowed on them! just use them as TP points
NZDUSD: Move Up Ahead 🇳🇿🇺🇸
Thursday's and Friday's sessions were bullish on NZDUSD.
After a test of a rising trend line, the price formed
a double bottom pattern on a 4H time frame and violated its neckline.
I think that the pair may rise next week and reach at least 0.6 level.
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NZDUSD Trading Opportunity! BUY!
My dear friends,
NZDUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 0.5954 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 0.5969
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NZDUSD poised to break out after 38 days stuckNZDUSD is forming a key pattern after 38 days of consolidation. Whether it’s an inverse head and shoulders or an ascending triangle, a break above 0.6030 could trigger a big move. Learn how to trade it.
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Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) is rising towards the pivot, which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support, which is also a pullback support.
Pivot: 0.6024
1st Support: 0.5846
1st Resistance: 0.6131
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New Zealand central bank sees less growth, FOMC says it will remThe New Zealand dollar declined as much as 0.67% earlier but has recovered. In the European session, NZDS/USD is trading at 0.5969, up 0.04% on the day.
A day after the Reserve Bank of New Zealand lowered interest rates, Governor Christian Hawkesby testified before a parliamentary committee on Thursday. Hawkesby said the central bank could hold rates in July and that rate decisions would be data-dependent. The Governor said he expected slower global growth would dampen New Zealand's recovery and there was uncertainty around the impact of the US tariffs.
The RBNZ has been aggressive, chopping 225 basis points in the current easing cycle, which has brought the cash rate down to 3.25%, its lowest level in almost three years. At yesterday's meeting, the RBNZ said that the cash rate was currently in a neutral zone, where it neither stimulates nor curbs economic growth.
FOMC minutes: Increasing uncertainly could mean "difficult tradeoffs"
In the FOMC minutes of the May 7 meeting, members expressed concern about the government's fiscal and trade policy. Members said that "uncertainty about the economic outlook had increased further", making it appropriate to remain cautious until these policies became clearer. Members warned that if inflation remained high and growth and employment weakened, the Fed might have to make "difficult tradeoffs".
There was another twist to the Trump tariffs saga as the US Court of International Trade declared the tariffs illegal. The Court ruled that Trump had exceeded his authority by imposing wide-sweeping tariffs against US trading partners. The decision puts a hold on the tariffs, but that may not last long as the US Justice Department has filed an appeal.
NzdUsd Trade IdeaWith NU flipping bullish on higher time frames my priority was to go long on the pair as long as the smaller time frame could give some type of long opportunity to support the higher time frame bias. NU broke and retested a level of resistance with bullish structures in play to support the long idea. If all goes well we could expect price to tap back into the high and potentially end the week creating a new high. I'll be targeting a 1:3rr on this set up. We'll see how it goes.
Recovery or Just a Bull Trap? All Eyes on PCE This WeekNZDUSD – Recovery or Just a Bull Trap? All Eyes on PCE This Week
🌐 MACRO & FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEW
After the FOMC’s decision to keep interest rates unchanged, the US Dollar has shown signs of recovery driven by expectations that core inflation remains persistent — especially ahead of the upcoming US Core PCE Price Index release this Friday.
On the New Zealand side, the Kiwi remains under pressure due to recent weak economic data and negative sentiment from China — its largest trading partner. The RBNZ continues to maintain a neutral stance, offering little support for the currency in the near term.
Market sentiment remains cautious as investors await the PCE data to determine inflation trends and potential Fed policy shifts.
📉 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (H1–H2 TIMEFRAME)
NZDUSD is forming a technical rebound after a strong bearish leg from the 0.60300 region. Current price is trading around the 38.2%–50% Fibonacci retracement zone (0.5964–0.5976), struggling to break above EMA89 and EMA200 resistance.
Overall structure: Bearish bias remains intact with lower highs.
EMA alignment: EMA13, EMA34, and EMA89 are in bearish formation.
Key support zone: 0.5926–0.5940, trendline confluence + consolidation base.
🔑 KEY LEVELS TO WATCH
Resistance:
0.5976 – Fibonacci 0.5 retracement + previous rejection zone
0.5990 – Structural resistance of the week
0.6007 – 78.6% Fib + liquidity sweep potential
Support:
0.5940 – Trendline retest + short-term structure
0.5926 – Key demand zone with previous fake breakout
🎯 TRADE IDEAS
SELL SETUP – Fade the pullback into resistance:
Entry: 0.5976 – 0.5990
Stop Loss: 0.6010
Take Profit: 0.5940 → 0.5926
BUY SCALP – On strong bullish rejection from support:
Entry: 0.5926 – 0.5930
Stop Loss: 0.5900
Take Profit: 0.5960 → 0.5976
Note: Confirm with bullish candlestick and volume spike before entry.
⚠️ STRATEGY OUTLOOK
NZDUSD remains in a corrective phase. This week’s PCE inflation data will be critical. A hotter-than-expected reading could strengthen the USD and push NZDUSD below 0.5926, resuming the medium-term downtrend.
Avoid chasing mid-range price action. Focus on price reactions near the key resistance and support levels.
NZDUSD to form a higher low?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end.
The correction lower is assessed as being complete.
A move through 0.5960 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 0.6000.
Pivot resistance is at 0.6000.
We look to Buy at 0.5940 (stop at 0.5915)
Our profit targets will be 0.5990 and 0.6000
Resistance: 0.5975 / 0.5990 / 0.6000
Support: 0.5940 / 0.5925 / 0.5900
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