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New Zealand Dollar / U.S. Dollar

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NZDUSD trade ideas

NZD/USD Falls Following Failed Attempt to Test November HighNZD/USD carves a series of lower highs and lows following the failed attempt to test the November high (0.6038), and the bearish price action may persist as it continues to fall from a fresh yearly high (0.6032). A move/close below the 0.5920 (61.8% Fibonacci extension) to 0.5930 (78.6% Fibonacci extension) zone may push NZD/USD toward the monthly low (0.5847), with the next area of interest coming in around 0.5740 (78.6% Fibonacci retracement) to 0.5760 (100% Fibonacci extension). Nevertheless, NZD/USD may snap the bearish price series should it defend the advance from the monthly low (0.5847), with a breach above the November high (0.6038) bringing 0.6070 (61.8% Fibonacci extension) on the radar. --- Written by David Song, Senior Strategist at FOREX.com
by FOREXcom
Bullish bounce for the Kiwi?The price has bounced off the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement and could potentially rise from this level to our take profit. Entry: 0.5931 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 0.5898 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Take profit: 0.6017 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
NZDUSD What Next? SELL! My dear friends, My technical analysis for NZDUSD is below: The market is trading on 0.5966 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation. Target - 0.5933 Recommended Stop Loss - 0.5989 About Used Indicators: A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1
NZDUSD holds near 60c after the RBNZ’s cutNZDUSD has remained in a sideways trend since peaking in late April as trade tension has generally calmed down significantly and traders reevaluated probabilities for monetary policy in the second half of the year. Of the two central banks, the RBNZ seems clearly more dovish than the Fed, which creates potential headwinds for the Kiwi dollar. The normal situation before 2020 of a carry from buying seems likely to remain reversed until early next year at least. Strong recovery in mid-late April moderated fairly quickly, with somewhat lower volume and volatility for most of May so far. The 20 SMA is a potential dynamic support but not a very strong one; the 50 SMA from Bands might be more reliable as a dynamic support. The influence of fundamentals seems generally negative and 60c looks like a strong static resistance, having been tested three times, so the upside might be limited for NZDUSD for now. 55c would be the obvious medium-term target for sellers as last month’s low, but a new downtrend from here would probably depend on the Fed’s minutes late on 28 May and American second estimate GDP the next day being received broadly positively. Traders are also looking ahead to personal consumption expenditures on Friday 30 May. This is my personal opinion, not the opinion of Exness. This is not a recommendation to trade.
by Michael_Stark_Exness
Market Analysis: NZD/USD Faces Pressure, Dips AgainMarket Analysis: NZD/USD Faces Pressure, Dips Again NZD/USD is also moving lower and might extend losses below 0.5935. Important Takeaways for NZD/USD Analysis Today - NZD/USD declined steadily from the 0.6000 resistance zone. - There is a major bearish trend line forming with resistance at 0.5960 on the hourly chart of NZD/USD at FXOpen. NZD/USD Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of NZD/USD on FXOpen, the pair also followed a similar pattern and declined from the 0.6030 zone. The New Zealand Dollar gained bearish momentum against the US Dollar. The pair settled below the 0.5960 level and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, it tested the 0.5930 zone and is currently consolidating. Immediate resistance on the upside is near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.6031 swing high to the 0.5929 low at 0.5960. There is also a major bearish trend line forming with resistance at 0.5960. The next resistance is the 0.5985 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.6031 swing high to the 0.5929 low. If there is a move above 0.5985, the pair could rise toward 0.6030. Any more gains might open the doors for a move toward the 0.6080 resistance zone in the coming days. On the downside, immediate support on the NZD/USD chart is near the 0.5930 level. The next major support is near the 0.5910 zone. If there is a downside break below 0.5880, the pair could extend its decline toward the 0.5850 level. The next key support is near 0.5820. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
NZDUSD: Dips as Investors Await RBNZ Decision on May New Zealand Dollar Dips as Investors Await RBNZ Decision on May 28 The New Zealand dollar fell to around $0.6000 on Tuesday, following a volatile Monday session where it briefly reached its highest level in nearly seven months. Now, all eyes are on the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s upcoming policy announcement on Wednesday. The central bank is widely expected to cut interest rates for the sixth time in a row, possibly lowering the official cash rate by 25 basis points to 3.25%. Market participants will also pay close attention to the bank’s latest economic forecasts, looking for clues about how China Trade Tariffs could affect future growth. Meanwhile, NZDUSD remains below the Daily Pivot Point, signaling a higher likelihood of further declines ahead of the RBNZ rate decision, as seen in the chart. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Short
by KlejdiCuni
12
NZDUSD Range Tightens – Breakout Setup BuildingNZDUSD continues to coil within a contracting triangle, forming a symmetrical wedge bounded by lower highs and higher lows. Price is approaching the resistance zone near 0.6028, with visible indecision and rejection wicks, signaling potential for either breakout or rejection. Key Levels: Resistance: 0.6028 (structural ceiling, key pivot) Support: ~0.5800 (ascending support line of wedge) Breakout Target (Bullish): 0.6150–0.6200 Breakdown Target (Bearish): 0.5650–0.5550 Scenarios to Watch: 🔹 Bearish Rejection Price rejects off 0.6028 and returns inside range Watch for momentum drop and move toward wedge base (0.5800) Clean breakdown opens path toward April lows (~0.5509) 🔹 Bullish Breakout Break and hold above 0.6028 Confirmation on 4H close + retest Opens room for bullish extension toward 0.6150+ Outlook: Price is nearing apex compression, suggesting breakout is imminent. Bias is neutral until price breaks out of the current wedge structure. Expect volatility spike around the 0.6028 test.
by ultreosforex
3
NZDUSD Wave Analysis – 27 May 2025- NZDUSD reversed from the pivotal resistance level 0.6020 - Likely to fall to support level 0.5900 NZDUSD currency pair recently reversed down from the pivotal resistance level 0.6020 (which has been reversing the price from November). The downward reversal from the resistance level 0.6020 formed the daily Shooting Star – which stopped the C-wave of the previous ABC corrections (2). NZDUSD currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 0.5900, which has been reversing the price since the middle of May.
Short
by FxProGlobal
NZDUSD is in the Selling DirectionHello Traders In This Chart NZDUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today GBPUSD analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (NZDUSD market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on NZDUSD Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Short
by ForexMasters2000
NZDUSD 1D Golden Cross, final bull signal.The NZDUSD pair has been trading within a Channel Up pattern that only broke during the early April sell-off and has found Support near its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) on its recent May consolidation. As the 1D MACD just formed the 4th Bullish Cross of the year we expect this long with the emerging 1D Golden Cross to be the final buy signal before a long-term correction. Our Target is 0.60900 representing a +4.30% rise, the minimum previous within this pattern. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
New Zealand dollar sharply lower, RBNZ cut expectedThe New Zealand dollar is sharply lower on Tuesday. In the North American session, NZD/USD is trading at 0.5950, down 0.83% on the day. A day earlier, the New Zealand dollar touched a high of 0.6031, its highest level since Oct. 2024. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand is widely expected to lower rates by a quarter-point to 3.25% on Wednesday. With little doubt about the decision, investors will be focusing on the Reserve Bank's updated forecasts. The markets are looking at another rate cut in July and perhaps one more later in the year, which would lower the cash rate below 3.0%. The RBNZ has been dealing with a weak domestic economy and a deteriorating outlook for the global economy due to US President Trump's erratic tariff policy. The RBNZ would like to continue trimming rates and restore consumer and business confidence. New Zealand's inflation was higher than expected in the first quarter at 2.5%, up from 2.2% in Q4 2024. This is within the Bank's inflation target of 1%-3% and means that inflation levels won't prevent the Bank from lowering rates on Wednesday. US durable goods orders plunges, consumer confidence surges In the US, Durable Goods Orders declined by 6.3% m/m in April, after a 7.5% gain in March, which was the fastest pace of growth since July 2020. The soft reading managed to beat the market estimate of -7.8%. The Conference Board Consumer Confidence index, which has fallen steadily this year, surged to 98.0 in May, up from 86.0 in April and blowing past the market estimate of 87.0. We'll hear from more Federal Reserve members on Wednesday, which could provide some insights into the Fed's rate path. The Fed has adopted a wait-and-see stance and is widely expected to hold rates for a fourth straight time at the next meeting on June 18. NZD/USD has pushed below support at 0.5978 and is testing 0.5955. Below, there is support at 0.5928 There is resistance at 0.6005 and 0.6028
by OANDA
RBNZ rate decision coming upKeep your eyes on the rate cut tomorrow by the RBNZ and on the NZD reaction to all of it. We have an interesting technical set up building on FX_IDC:NZDUSD . Let's dig in... MARKETSCOM:NZDUSD Let us know what you think in the comments below. Thank you. 77.3% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
by Marketscom
NZD/USD 4 Hr. Real-Time Bias!1). Place Fib tool wherever it works, as theses will be key levels of Buy/Sell entries! 2). Strike a trendline off of whatever works best! 3). Establish a 5-wave/ABC sequence that seems to work! 4). Remember, wave 1 defines directional bias of price action! 5). Wave 5 slightly broke above a previous high, therefore the upward bias is likely still intact! 6). It's all the same price action principles on any timeframe any Instrument! 7). Practice...It's actually quite simple!
Long
by ScotThomsen
NZD/USD4H Chart Analysis Bullish Reversal Setup from Demand Zone📈 Price: 0.59552 📊 EMA 70: 0.59410 (🟤 Brown Line) Chart Zones & Key Levels 🔷 Resistance Zone: 🔼 Around 0.60298 – 0.60304 🔹 Price reacted strongly here (🔽 white arrows) 🔹 Acts as a ceiling for now 🟢 Demand Zone: 🔽 Around 0.58800 ✅ Buyers stepped in here before 📉 If price drops again, might bounce from here 🟥 STOP LOSS: ❗ 0.58793 🔸 Protects from deeper losses if trend breaks down. TRADE IDEA 1️⃣ Entry Idea: Wait for a pullback into the Demand Zone 📉⬇️ 2️⃣ Bullish Reversal Expected: ⬆️ Bounce toward Target Zone 🎯 Target Point: 0.60300 🟦 Profit zone marked in blue 💸 Good Risk/Reward ratio. Indicators & Pattern 📐 Wedge Pattern: 🔹 Bullish breakout potential 🔹 Currently respecting the channel 📉 EMA Crossover Area: 🔸 Could act as dynamic support/resistance 🟤 Price hovering around EMA (0.59410) Summary: ✅ Buy Setup if price holds above 0.58800 🎯 Target: 0.60300 🛑 Stop Loss: 0.58793 ⚠️ Watch the price reaction at the Demand Zone for confirmation!
Long
by Jameshead007
30
NZDUSD - growth ended with a false breakout NZDUSD makes a false breakout of resistance after strong growth in the Asian session. The dollar is correcting a bit before the news at this time, which may give a chance for the currency pair to correct Scenario: Strong growth of 2.3% is tempered by a false breakout. The price is not ready to continue rising. Consolidation of the price below 0.60200 may intensify the sell-off and trigger a correction to the support at 0.5969 (0.5)
Short
by AndeWave
23
Momentum builds in GBP/USD and NZD/USD following tariff delayThe U.S. dollar weakened sharply in recent sessions as President Trump's announcement that the proposed 50% tariffs on EU imports will now be delayed until July 9, giving markets temporary relief. GBP/USD edged toward 1.3600, testing levels last seen three years ago. The RSI sits just under 60, suggesting there’s still room before overbought conditions are reached. Volume has been gradually increasing, potentially reinforcing the strength of the breakout. Risk-on flows also lifted the Australian and New Zealand dollars. NZD/USD has broken above the Ichimoku cloud and rose 0.62% on the day. Price is well above the Tenkan-sen (blue) and Kijun-sen (red), indicating strong upward momentum. However, the pair is pulling back slightly after the sharp breakout, suggesting short-term consolidation.
by BlackBull_Markets
NZDUSD 3MONTHS CHARTNZD/USD Interest Rate Differential, 10-Year Bond Yields, and Carry Trade Analysis (May 25–30, 2025) Current 10-Year Bond Yields New Zealand 10-Year Bond Yield: 4.70% (as of May 21, 2025) . US 10-Year Treasury Yield: 4.54% (as of May 22, 2025) . Interest Rate Differential (IRD) The yield spread between New Zealand and US 10-year bonds is:4.70%(NZD)−4.54%(USD)=+0.16% the 4.70% (NZD)−4.54% (USD)=+0.16% This modest differential slightly favors the New Zealand dollar, creating a limited carry trade opportunity. Carry Trade Advantage Investors can borrow USD at lower US rates and invest in higher-yielding NZD assets, earning the 0.16% yield spread. The strategy is supported by New Zealand’s elevated bond yields despite recent Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) rate cuts. However, the narrow spread reduces potential returns compared to higher-yielding currency pairs. Key Events and Risks (May 25–30, 2025) RBNZ Monetary Policy Meeting (May 27–28): Markets expect a 25 basis point rate cut to 3.50% , which could pressure NZD yields lower and narrow the IRD. Further easing signals may weaken NZD, offsetting carry trade gains. US Economic Data and Fed Policy: US inflation data and Fed Chair Powell’s speeches could influence USD strength. Traders currently price in five Fed rate cuts by year-end , which may limit USD upside. China Trade Dynamics: New Zealand’s trade ties with China (its largest partner) make NZD sensitive to US-China trade tensions. Progress in tariff negotiations could support NZD . Summary Table Metric New Zealand (NZD) United States (USD) 10-Year Bond Yield 4.70% 4.54% Interest Rate Differential +0.16% (NZD over USD) — Carry Trade Appeal Modest, but narrowing — Conclusion The 0.16% yield advantage for NZD over USD provides a limited carry trade opportunity. However, the upcoming RBNZ rate cut (May 27–28) and potential Fed easing could narrow the spread further. NZD/USD remains vulnerable to: RBNZ policy: Further rate cuts may reduce NZD’s yield appeal. US-China trade developments: Escalating tensions could pressure NZD due to its reliance on Chinese trade. While the carry trade offers marginal gains, traders should prioritize risk management amid volatility from central bank decisions and geopolitical risks.
by Shavyfxhub