DAX - To Lead US Indices Into The Next Wave Down?The German DAX index printed a strange flash dump on Friday and then gapped up today to print what you might call an Expanded Hanging Man candle.
The Hanging Man is somewhat similar to the Shooting Star but the whipsaw is inverted.
Both are considered bearish but Shooting Star is often more immediately bearish.
The Shooting Star is a sudden push up that quickly whipsaws back down - often to strike higher liquidity above.
Whereas the Hanging Man is the opposite - the "trap door" suddenly opens with a quick impulse down, only for it is quickly bounce back up and recover.
In this instance notice that it slumped to strike higher liquidity below previous resistance.
This is a first weave of that liquidity landmark and may be the start of a reversal.
The reason why I said it was "expanded" is that it didn't recover until it gapped up today.
And so we see different candles to the blended candle in the image.
With that gap up it means there is a gap on the week chart.
As I have said many times; high time frame gaps (mostly week gaps) are often Exhaustion Gaps as part of a reversal.
And so we may see that this gap is the beginning of my favourite "Gap-up-dump-down" shakeout pattern.
Current price is only a small distance higher than resistance and so this is an area of higher liquidity; ideal for a reversal.
So I have considered that perhaps DAX is leading US stock indexes - because it has been the most bullish in this area.
And if it starts rolling over at the key liquidity point then perhaps US stock indexes will follow - wherever they are.
I am making this point because neither S&P or Nasdaq are in ideal liquidity zones in regard to ratio.
But DAX making is slightly higher high, is in an ideal zone of liquidity for a pivot.
So perhaps if DAX rolls over in this area then other indexes including US will follow 🧐.
Not advice
DE30EUR trade ideas
#DAX30 Surges to 24,000: What’s Behind the Record-Breaking RallyOn May 20, 2025, Germany’s benchmark stock index, the #DAX30, crossed the 24,000-point threshold for the first time in its history, reaching an all-time high of 24,079.40. This historic milestone reflects growing investor confidence in the prospects of Europe’s largest economy.
The surge of the #DAX30 beyond the 24,000 mark was driven by a combination of key factors:
Improved geopolitical climate : Global tensions have eased — most notably between the United States and China. Signs of de-escalation in trade policy between the world’s largest economies have bolstered investor confidence. Additionally, an improved negotiation climate in Eastern Europe, particularly due to reduced conflict in Ukraine, has helped lower market uncertainty.
Strong corporate earnings : Major German corporations within the #DAX30 have posted robust quarterly results. Leading the charge were technology giants (e.g., SAP) and industrial powerhouses (such as Siemens and BMW), which reported increased profits despite a challenging macroeconomic environment. This has reinforced confidence in the resilience of German businesses.
ECB monetary policy expectations : Markets are pricing in a potential easing of the European Central Bank’s monetary policy. Although interest rates remain elevated, growing signals of a possible rate cut in the second half of 2025 are stimulating equity markets and making stock investments more attractive.
Export growth and trade optimism : The reduction of trade barriers, a stronger euro, and a rebound in global trade have positively impacted export-driven German companies. As one of the world’s leading export economies, Germany is benefiting from a renewed global demand recovery.
Hopes for domestic reforms : The German government is actively pushing investments in infrastructure, digital transformation, and the green economy. These initiatives are boosting investor sentiment, particularly in the technology and sustainable energy sectors.
Technical momentum : From a technical perspective, the breakout above the 24,000 level served as a catalyst for speculative capital inflows. Many traders and funds that follow trends and resistance levels initiated buy positions after the breakout, amplifying the upward momentum.
This combination of fundamental and technical drivers has created a powerful growth impulse for the # DAX30 . According to analysts at FreshForex, the index may continue its upward trajectory — provided current macroeconomic stability is maintained.
DAX Stock Index Rises Over 20% Year-to-DateDAX Stock Index Rises Over 20% Year-to-Date
The German DAX 40 index (Germany 40 mini on FXOpen) is showing significantly stronger performance than other major global stock indices as of the end of May. For comparison, since the beginning of 2025:
→ The tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 has remained largely flat;
→ The S&P 500 is down by 1%;
→ Japan’s Nikkei 225 has fallen by approximately 4.5%.
Why Is Germany’s Stock Index Climbing?
The rally may be driven by a combination of factors, including:
→ An ambitious fiscal stimulus programme launched by the German government, featuring substantial public investment in defence and infrastructure development.
→ A dovish monetary policy stance from the European Central Bank (ECB) amid slowing inflation. Expectations of further interest rate cuts in 2025 have made equities more attractive than bonds, drawing capital into the stock market.
Technical Analysis of the DAX 40 Chart
These fundamental drivers have supported the formation of an upward trend channel (marked in blue), with the median line acting as a key area of support.
The DAX stock index experienced a sharp drop on Friday (highlighted by the arrow) after the US President unexpectedly announced 50% tariffs on EU imports, citing slow progress in trade negotiations. By Sunday, however, Trump postponed the tariffs until 9 June following a “constructive conversation” with European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen.
Since then, the price has:
→ Rebounded from the lower boundary of the channel, which is reinforced by support at the 23,350.0 level;
→ Approached the 24,100 level — a strong resistance zone this month.
Given the uncertainty sparked by Trump’s impulsive policy shifts, investors may be shifting capital from US to European markets, further supporting the DAX 40’s position as a leader among global stock indices.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
DE40 / GER40 "Germany40" Index Market Bullish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰💸✈️
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the DE40 / GER40 "Germany40" Index Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is to escape near the high-risk Red Zone Level. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bullish loot at any price - the heist is on!
however I advise to Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level. I Highly recommended you to put alert in your chart.
Stop Loss 🛑:
📍 Thief SL placed at the recent/swing low level Using the 4H timeframe (22250.0) Day/Swing trade basis.
📍 SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
🏴☠️Target 🎯: 24700.0 (or) Escape Before the Target.
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
💰💵💸DE40 / GER40 "Germany40" Index Market Heist (Swing Trade Plan) is currently experiencing a neutral trend there is high chance for bullishness,., driven by several key factors. .☝☝☝
📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro economics, COT Report, Geopolitical and News Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Index-Specific Analysis, Positioning and future trend targets with Overall Score..... go ahead to check👉👉👉🔗🔗🌎🌏🗺
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
DE40 / GER40 "Germany40" Index Market Heist Plan (Day Trade)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰💸✈️
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the DE40 / GER40 "Germany40" Index Market Heist. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is to escape near the high-risk ATR Line Zone. It's a Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the Crossing previous high (22600) then make your move - Bullish profits await!"
however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the Moving average (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level for Pullback entries.
📌I strongly advise you to set an "alert (Alarm)" on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs.
Stop Loss 🛑: "🔊 Yo, listen up! 🗣️ If you're lookin' to get in on a buy stop order, don't even think about settin' that stop loss till after the breakout 🚀. You feel me? Now, if you're smart, you'll place that stop loss where I told you to 📍, but if you're a rebel, you can put it wherever you like 🤪 - just don't say I didn't warn you ⚠️. You're playin' with fire 🔥, and it's your risk, not mine 👊."
📍 Thief SL placed at the nearest/swing low level Using the 4H timeframe (21700) Day trade basis.
📍 SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
🏴☠️Target 🎯: 24000
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
💰💵💸DE40 / GER40 "Germany40" Index Money Heist is currently experiencing a bullishness,., driven by several key factors. .☝☝☝
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰🗞️🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
DAX: 1H MA200 supporting the Channel Up. Target 24,400.DAX is on strong bullish levels on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 67.780, MACD = 423.600, ADX = 73.133) maintaining a short term Channel Up. The last HL bottom was priced on the 1H MA200 on an oversold 1H RSI. Buy and target the 0.618 Fibonacci (TP = 24,400).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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Dax INTRADAY bullish breakout supported at 23520The DAX index remains in a long-term uptrend, reflecting a bullish overall sentiment. The recent price action shows a bullish breakout above sideways consolidation.
The key support level is at 23,520, which marks the lower boundary of the recent trading range. If the index pulls back and holds above this level, it would suggest continued bullish momentum. A rebound from 23,520 could see the DAX pushing toward resistance levels at 23,990, then 24,200, and potentially 24,450 in the longer term.
On the downside, a confirmed break and daily close below 23,520 would weaken the bullish case. This would open the door for further declines, with the next support at 23,300, followed by a deeper retracement toward 23,060.
Conclusion:
The DAX outlook remains bullish while holding above 23,520. A bounce from this level supports a move higher, but a break below it would shift the outlook to bearish in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
From Euphoria to Exhaustion: DAX 8H Short LoadedAfter an impressive rally, DAX has now returned to its previous highs. But this upward move looks more like an engineered push rather than a healthy breakout. From a technical and sentiment-based perspective, it feels overextended. That’s why I initiated a short position from this level. No need to predict the top—just follow the setup and manage risk.
Technicals:
• Price has returned to previous highs after a sharp V-shaped recovery.
• The rally lacks structure—no clear consolidation or volume support.
• We’re also near a historical EQ level that has acted as a turning point before.
Fundamentals:
• Philips cut its 2025 profit margin forecast citing U.S. tariffs as a major drag—this isn’t an isolated signal.
• Hugo Boss and other exporters confirmed revenue weakness due to U.S. trade tensions, adding to the bearish bias for European equities.
• President Trump’s warning about additional tariffs on pharmaceuticals could severely affect key European sectors.
• Global trade uncertainty and tariff retaliation fears have returned. These external shocks are significant for export-heavy indices like the DAX.
• With the Fed’s policy decision pending and no concrete trade deals, markets are shaky. Sentiment remains fragile.
This isn’t just a chart move — it’s a narrative setup. Markets can push higher on euphoria, but engineered rallies without backing tend to snap. I don’t need to catch the top perfectly — just be in when reality bites back.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
DAX Long From Support! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
DAX is trading in an
Uptrend and the index
Is retesting the horizontal
Support level at 23,319
So we are bullish biased
And we will be expecting
A bullish rebound and
A move up next week
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
DAX GE40 on the Move! Bullish Trend Breakdown + Trade PlanI'm currently watching the GER40 / DAX 🇩🇪📈 and can see it’s been in a strong bullish trend on the weekly timeframe 🕒🔥. Price is pushing into new highs 🚀, and I’m eyeing a potential buy opportunity based on this bullish momentum 💪.
However, since we don’t have previous structure levels to work from 📉⛔, we're using the Fibonacci extension tool 🔢📐 — focusing on two key levels for potential take profit targets 🎯💰.
In the video, we break all of this down — including the trend, price action, market structure, and the full trade idea 🧠📊: entry 🎯, stop loss 🛑, and targets 🎯✅.
⚠️ Not financial advice.
DE40 – Buy on Dip Within Bullish Trend StructureTrade Setup
Type: Buy Limit
Entry: 23,850
Target: 24,550
Stop Loss: 23,500
Risk/Reward Ratio: ~2:1
Duration: Intraday
Expires: 23/05/2025 21:00
Technical Overview
The broader trend in DE40 remains bullish, with no clear technical signals suggesting the uptrend is ending.
A short-term correction is likely, and there is ample room for a pullback that does not invalidate the overall uptrend.
Buying at 23,850 offers a strong risk/reward entry near key support, avoiding the poor setup of chasing the market at current highs.
A confirmed move through 24,250 would strengthen bullish conviction, aligning with a measured move target of 24,600.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
DAX/GER - TIME TO KILLHi everyone, I have been very patience on DAX
last week, we kill them nicely
and now we are waiting for them to hit our short zone and kill more
when you look at the chart, ensure to add extra short at those price ranges.
There will be two target
70-110 points - take 50% profit and bring stop loss to BE
Aim for second target between 120-230 points
Today we did LIVE trading on NAS and very profitable. In fact everyday we kill the market well.
Hope everyone making millions
DAX Bearish RSI And FIB protection zone Topping The DAX chart is been updated and seems to have entered another fib projection zone But now we see a RSI bearish divergence . .The fact we made New all time highs as the world has rallied back to .786 .618 and some to 50 % is rather negative for world markets as a group . I am entering the spirals cycle turns once again from 5/17 to june 9 th plus on minus 2.2 days I have moved to a high level short .
DAX: Strong Growth Ahead! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DAX together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 24,119.04. Therefore, a strong bearish reaction here could determine the next move down.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 24,214.64.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
DAX/GER - setting up a perfect SHORTTeam, please carefully review the chart.
We have a soft short position at this market price of 24037-24056
However, I would love to ADD extra volume at 23135-23155
Our first target at 23950-23925
NOTE: once it reaches the target - take 30-50% volume partial and bring stop loss to BE
Our second target is 23865-23825
Please follow the instructions carefully.
DAX INTRADAY sideways consolidation brekoutThe DAX index remains in a long-term uptrend, reflecting a bullish overall sentiment. The recent price action shows a bullish breakout above sideways consolidation.
The key support level is at 23,520, which marks the lower boundary of the recent trading range. If the index pulls back and holds above this level, it would suggest continued bullish momentum. A rebound from 23,520 could see the DAX pushing toward resistance levels at 23,990, then 24,200, and potentially 24,450 in the longer term.
On the downside, a confirmed break and daily close below 23,520 would weaken the bullish case. This would open the door for further declines, with the next support at 23,300, followed by a deeper retracement toward 23,060.
Conclusion:
The DAX outlook remains bullish while holding above 23,520. A bounce from this level supports a move higher, but a break below it would shift the outlook to bearish in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
German DAX – Bearish Alt-Bat Pattern in Play?FX:GER30
The German DAX remains technically trapped in a defined range, with resistance now under pressure at €23,960 and intraday support printed at €23,358 . Notably, the index continues to reject the idea of reclaiming the weekly fractal resistance from March, forged at €23,478 .
The index is forming a bearish at-bat pattern , with a PRZ projected at €24,075 , corresponding to the 113% Fibonacci extension of the prior XA leg. This extension presents a technically significant reversal point and warrants close observation for price exhaustion.
📉 Bearish Scenario:
We could see a corrective leg targeting the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement at €22,085, which also aligns with prior structural lows. The daily fractal support at €22,306 becomes a critical interim level to watch during this potential pullback.
🔍 Key Levels:
Resistance: €23,960 / €24,075 (alt-Bat PRZ)
Intraday Support: €23,358
Weekly Fractal Resistance (broken): €23,478
Daily Fractal Support: €22,306
Bearish Target (38.2% fib): €22,085
📌 Outlook:
Bias leans bearish while below €24,075. A reaction at the PRZ could provide tactical short opportunities, especially if confirmed by momentum divergence or candlestick rejection signals on lower timeframes. As always, manage risk accordingly.
Happy Trading,
André Cardoso