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JP225USD trade ideas

Nikkei Hits Bear Market after BoJ HikeAfter a cautious approach away from its ultra-easy monetary setting, the Bank of Japan bolstered its normalization efforts last week. Policymakers raised rates to around 0.25% after the March watershed exit from sub-zero levels, pointed to more moves ahead and also announced sizable reduction in bond purchases. This action signaled tightening resolve and also accelerated the Yen rebound, threatening to unravel the two key pillars of the stock markets’ rally to record highs. Along with broader recession fears after the US jobs report, JPN225 slumps into a bear market as it loses more than 20% for July’s all-time high and could be in for further losses. On the other hand, the BoJ is still in accommodative territory and warned that could increase its bond buying if needed, while the broader market rout could push it back into a more conservative approach. Furthermore the rate differential is still huge and the carry trade may persist. From a technical standpoint the RSI points to the most oversold conditions in years and that could help JPN225 rebound out of bear territory and towards a cluster of hurdles that starts with the 200Days EMA, but significant sentiment improvement needed. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 62% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider . You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 59% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider . You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website: Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Europe Ltd clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Trading Pty. Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC clients please see: www.fxcm.com Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
FX:JPN225
by FXCM
Where is the support level for the Nikkei 225?www.tradingview.com The Bank of Japan (BOJ) raised the policy interest rate, the unsecured overnight call rate, from 0-0.1% to 0.25% at its monetary policy meeting on July 31st. This is the first rate hike since the BOJ abandoned its negative interest rate policy in March. This rate hike is not considered a departure from the accommodative monetary policy stance, given the real interest rate, which remains deeply negative. The BOJ indicated its intention to continue raising the policy rate and adjusting the degree of monetary easing if the economic and price outlook materializes. The foreign exchange market reacted to this decision with a sell-off of the US dollar and buying of the Japanese yen, leading to a huge appreciation of the yen. This caused the Nikkei 225 to drop sharply for two consecutive trading days, exceeding 2,000 points. Fibonacci analysis was used to derive support zones for the Nikkei 225 to predict its future movements. * Low 24,681.74 - High 42,426.77: 0.618 → 35,048.41 * Low 30,487.67 - High 42,426.77: 0.382 → 35,648.17 These support zones have already been breached, and the next support point is 33,554.25. * Low 24,681.74 - High 42,426.77: 0.5 → 33,554.25 The focus this week will be on whether this support level holds.
TVC:NI225
by tf_method
Japan 225 Double Top in the Making Price has made a First Peak with a retest of the BOS line at 33150. A Neckline can be identified at 32130 , on lower volume. Price is rising , and yet volume is decreasing. It is this Divergence of Price and Volume that sets up the short side. Wait for a break of the BOS line ( Bull Trap) Two places to consider a short 1. A candlestick confirmation after the false break on low volume. ie Pinbar, Bearish Engulfing. 2. Break and Retest of the neckline with similar candlesticks, but this time on High Volume. The weekly VWAP will act as resistance .
OANDA:JP225USDShort
by Umlingo
The Nikkei 225 Index Has Plummeted to a Nine-Month LowThe Nikkei 225 Index Has Plummeted to a Nine-Month Low As shown by the Nikkei 225 (Japan 225 on FXOpen) chart: → In less than a month, the index price has dropped by more than 25%, providing grounds to suggest the start of a bear market; → The price has approached the psychological level of 30,000 points – the last time the price was this low was in autumn 2023. Bearish sentiment is being driven by a combination of the following factors: → Negative news from the US labour market, published on Friday – this has significantly increased discussions about the likelihood of a recession; → The Bank of Japan’s interest rate hike last Wednesday to support the excessively weak yen. As we wrote on 15 July, while analysing the Nikkei 225 index (Japan 225 on FXOpen): → Signs of bearish activity were observed around the 41,330 level; → The upward channel may break in the second half of the year. It turned out that the bullish channel was broken much earlier and in an extremely aggressive manner – the bulls attempted to resume the trend from its lower boundary (shown by the black arrow), taking advantage of the 38,000 support, but were defeated. What could happen next? Technical analysis of the Nikkei 225 (Japan 225 on FXOpen) chart shows: → The price broke through (shown by the orange arrow) the previous resistance at 34,000, which is around 50% of the upward move from A to B; → The RSI index has moved into deep oversold territory; → The price has fallen into the region of the block formed by the 30,400 support and the psychological level of 30,000 – note the strong rebound from it, indicating the activation of demand (these are signs of an emotional selling climax in Wyckoff method terminology). Given the abnormal surge in volatility, it is reasonable to assume that the market may enter a consolidation phase to establish a new balance of supply and demand, taking into account the latest news releases. It is possible that the mentioned support block will hold, and the 34,000 level will influence the Nikkei 225 (Japan 225 on FXOpen) price in forming the upper boundary of the anticipated consolidation range. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:J225
by FXOpen
2
#NIKKEI 225 - Is a world economic crisis coming?#NI225 #NIKKEI 225 Japan Stock Exchange First of all, let me start by stating that the graph is based on 3-Month data I have detailed all the necessary notes on the chart. The white trend line is the balance zone. Below and above it caused completely different reasons as can be seen. With the beginning of 2024, the mismatch on the RSI side signaled that it would fall. Therefore, a serious profit was realized. Perhaps the first steps of a major crisis may have been taken as Japan raised interest rates for the first time since 1997 and the Japanese Yen was recalled to the country.
TVC:NI225Short
by ugurtash
Nikkei 225 Suffers Worst Decline Since 1987 Amid U.S. Economic CThe Nikkei 225 index in Japan plunged by 12.4%, marking its worst day since the 1987 "Black Monday" crash. The index closed at 31,458.42, shedding 4,451.28 points. The sell-off was triggered by concerns about the U.S. economy and followed a 5.8% drop on Friday. Major companies like Toyota, Honda, and Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group saw significant declines. The Bank of Japan's interest rate hike and a stronger yen have further pressured the market. Investors now focus on upcoming trade data from China and Taiwan, and central bank decisions from Australia and India.
INDEX:NKYShort
by signalmastermind
Long Japan 255 at 30677.3 using SMC conceptTrade Idea: Long Japan 255 at 30677.3 Entry: 30677.3 Stop Loss (SL): 27869.0 Take Profit (TP): 41133.8 Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) Zone: 28625.0 Terminology Explained Demand Zone: A price area where buying interest is expected to be strong, potentially causing the price to rise. In this trade, the demand zone at 30677.3 suggests an opportunity to enter a long position. Smart Money Concept (SMC): A trading strategy that identifies the movements of institutional investors ("smart money") to make informed trading decisions. This concept is used to recognize the demand zone for the entry point. Stop Loss (SL): A predetermined price level at which a trade will be closed to prevent further losses. For this trade, the SL is set at 27869.0. Take Profit (TP): A predetermined price level at which a trade will be closed to secure profits. The TP for this trade is set at 41133.8. Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) Zone: A strategy of buying an asset at multiple price points, rather than a single entry, to average out the cost basis. The DCA zone for this trade is set until 28625.0, meaning additional buying could occur if the price drops to this level. Please like Follow and Share to your friends.
OANDA:JP225USDLong
by smarttrader012
2
Strong Ninja & Nikkei Under Bearish PressureJapanese Yen: • The yen has strengthened as a safe-haven currency amid economic uncertainty. • Foreign investors are withdrawing from Japanese markets, seeking safety in yen-denominated assets. Nikkei 225: • The Nikkei 225 recently fell by 5.5%, dropping 26.25% from the July highs, indicating a possible bear market. • Contributing factors include profit-taking, a stronger yen, and cautious signals from the Bank of Japan about potential rate hikes. • Poor corporate results from major companies like Toyota and mixed expectations for others like Sony and SoftBank have also impacted the market. In essence, the yen's appreciation and significant declines in the Nikkei 225 reflect broader economic concerns and investor reactions to both local and global financial signals. If we observe the chart, a correction has developed in both the Ninja and the Nikkei 225 since July 11. On Thursday, Friday, and today Monday, the figure of the three black crows has appeared in the candles. At the end of an uptrend, this indicates a trend change to a downtrend. If the three crows appear in the middle of a downtrend, the formation loses reliability, as it could mean exhaustion of the trend. In this case, it seems to be seeking a return to the area where the upward movement began on October 31, 2023. The RSI shows an oversold condition at 18.44%, and the price bell curve indicates that the most traded price places the Point of Control (POC) at approximately 38,546 points, well below the current line of 31,475 points. It is possible that this correction is temporary and that the Nikkei will regain positions as soon as the Ninja stabilizes in a zone of stability. Ion Jauregui –ActivTrades Analyst ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
ACTIVTRADES:JP225Long
by ActivTrades
NIKKEI 225: Support and resistanceHello, Red lines are all parallel lines, looking at the charts it's almost hit the support on parallel red line. Panic has set in, it takes some assurance from Japan central bank to calm the selling. If this continues, expect US FED to come out in an emergency meeting and start easing the policy. We are still in the bull phase I think, until 2025 and 2026 based on BTC cycle and 2-10 yield curve. Unemployment created panic, it is a lagging indicator, expect numbers to sky rocket in upcoming months. Scare is real, but FED got all the tools to get out of this situation. Hap TVC:NI225 py investing.
TVC:NI225
by MarathonToMoon
jp225 buy tradeCertainly! Let's take a look at the technical analysis for the Nikkei 225 (JP225) on the H4 chart: 1. **Trend Channel (Medium Long Term):** The Nikkei 225 is showing strong development within a rising trend channel in the medium long term. This signals increasing optimism among investors and indicates continued rise⁴. 2. **Short-Term Support Breakdown:** However, in the short term, the price has broken a support level, giving a negative signal for the short-term trading range⁴. Here's a summary of key technical indicators: - **Moving Averages (MA):** The simple and exponential moving averages (MA5, MA10, MA20, MA50, MA100, MA200) provide buy and sell signals. For instance, the MA10 is currently in a buy zone, while the MA50 is in a sell zone¹. - **Relative Strength Index (RSI):** The RSI (14) is currently at 49.149, indicating a neutral stance¹. - **Stochastic Oscillator:** The STOCH (9,6) is overbought at 99.289¹. - **MACD (12,26):** The MACD is in a sell zone at -149.07¹. - **ADX (14):** The ADX is at 38.543, signaling a sell¹. - **Williams %R:** It's slightly overbought at -0.755¹. - **Camarilla Pivot Points:** Key levels include S3 (38194.66), S2 (38331.83), R1 (38554.83), and R2 (38640.66)¹. Remember that technical analysis provides insights, but it's essential to consider other factors and market context. Always exercise caution and use additional research before making trading decisions. 📈🔍 Source: Conversation with Copilot, 7/31/2024 (1) Nikkei 225 (NIKKEI) - Technical Analysis - World Indices - Investtech. www.investtech.com (2) Nikkei 225 Technical Analysis (N225) - Investing.com. www.investing.com (3) JPN225 Index Charts and Quotes — TradingView. www.tradingview.com (4) Technical Analysis of Nikkei 225 Index (TVC:NI225) - TradingView. www.tradingview.com (5) Nikkei 225 Technical Analysis & Signals - Investing.com India. in.investing.com (6) FX Blue - JP225 technical analysis. www.fxblue.com (7) Nikkei 225 Analysis and Opinion - Investing.com. www.investing.com
FOREXCOM:JP225Long
by Mansa_Musa_Capital
JPN225 Drops to Correction Levels Ahead of the BOJThe Japanese benchmark index is having another banner year, which culminated to July’s record peak. The central bank’s accommodative stance despite the policy pivot and the Yen’s protracted slump, were the key drivers. But even if slowly, the Bank of Japan is moving towards a less loose setting, after exiting negative rates regime in a historic decision in March. Policymakers have pointed to less bond buying ahead and there are mounting expectations that policymakers will hike again next week. These prospects help the ailing Yen rebound (along with intervention speculation) and send the JPN225 to correction territory, with a more than 10% slide for the all-time highs. This threatens the pivotal 200Days EMA (blue line) and a breach would open the door to bigger losses towards and beyond 35,771. However, there is ambivalence around the timing of the next rate increase, while officials have disappointed hawkish expectation in the past and have wrong-footed markets before. Furthermore, the Yen’s demise has made Japanese equities more appealing to foreign investors and ultra-loose monetary policies may have been key drivers of the rally in Japanese equities, but they are not the only culprits. Structural reforms, favorable policies by the government and strong corporate earnings are among the supportive factors. Furthermore the drop is stretched from a technical perspective, as the RSI reached the most oversold in years. This can help JPN225 stage a comeback as it already defends the 200Days EMA. It may get the opportunity to reclaim the EMA200 (black line) at around the 40K mark. Successful effort would reinstate the bullish bias, but strong catalyst would be needed. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 62% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider . You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 59% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider . You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website: Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Europe Ltd clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Trading Pty. Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC clients please see: www.fxcm.com Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
FX:JPN225
by FXCM
Long GJCurrently looking at a long on GJ. Had a massive sell off from the upward trend, looking for the best possible point of entry into a long. Fundamentally the Yen is still bearish and Japan's manufacturing and service sectors fall into contraction, since Japan is an exporter country these are fundamentally negative for the Yen. UK elections bring some optimism for the pound in terms of planned policy changes by the new government, but this is all smoke and mirrors until they actually implement a course of action. Confluences: 61.8% fibo Key level D 100EMA Alignment with the Nikkei at a possible buy zone Catch you later traders ▲
EIGHTCAP:JPN225Long
by FalkenFx