NAS100USD trade ideas
NASDAQ 100 INDEX BREAKDOWN FROM A 100% TECHNICAL VIEWPOINTHello everybody JosePips here hope you are all having an amazing week so far! I wanted to come on here and make a post for the Nasdaq 100 index from a 100% technical analysis perspective. There has been SO MUCH talk around the stock market and the indices lately (frankly mostly emotional) & I wanted to come on here and share my outlook and the technical outlook for you guys so you can actually gain some insight not from an emotional perspective but from a technical/subjective viewpoint.
Hope you guys enjoy this video and find some value in it and can use it in your trading & investing. Please boost this post and comment if you enjoy and see you in the next one!
Cheers!
NAS100...Ever The Bullish Instrument (The Return)After my 1 month ban from tradingview I am resuming my commentary on my eternal bullish stance for the NAS100.
Despite my absence, my strategy has not changed and will remain so until the Monthly starts creating LH's to LL's.
With that being said here is my current outlook on the NAS100:
1. Weekly currently at HL
2. H7 currently completed a daily new high at the end of today's session
3. H1 currently completed a daily new high at the end of today's session.
What does this mean for me?
Well, since I am taking my HL's and exiting on my HH's (trend move), I am aware that today's move only produced a daily LH and as such signals continued consolidation on the lower to mid hour timeframes...This allowed me to TP at the end of today's session and now I have to wait for the retracement to be over and the new lows completed so that I can enter on the next round of HL's on my larger timeframes.
As I have always mentioned, to understand this requires constant practice, consistency and patience...so give yourself time and do not rush.
Any sells in the market are only temporary retracements to produce the HL on the larger timeframes...Case in point... 4 weeks worth of selling on the H1 only managed to create a HL on the weekly timeframe...leaving the market still in trend for the HLs to another ATH in the future.
Have a great week.
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Order Block @20140 |Sell SignalPrice was in an overall downtrend but has now retraced to mitigate an order block that created a break of structure. So now I'm waiting for a confirmation for short entries.
Confirmation can be anything from change of character on the order block to candlesticks confirmation depending on what I see first.
NAS100NAS100, also known as the Nasdaq-100 Index, is a stock market index that includes 100 of the largest non-financial companies listed on the Nasdaq Stock Market. It is heavily weighted toward technology stocks, making it a popular choice for traders and investors who focus on the tech sector.
Key Features of NAS100:
โข Composition: Includes major companies like Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Nvidia, and Tesla.
โข Volatility: Tends to be more volatile than other indices, offering high-risk, high-reward opportunities.
โข Tech Dominance: Heavily influenced by the technology sector, making it sensitive to innovation trends and economic conditions.
โข Trading Hours: The Nasdaq market operates from 9:30 AM to 4:00 PM (ET), but NAS100 futures trade nearly 24/7.
Why Traders Like NAS100?
โข Strong Growth Potential: Tech companies often outperform the broader market.
โข Liquidity: High trading volume ensures tight spreads and smooth execution.
โข Good for Day Trading & Swing Trading: Due to frequent price movements.
Nasdaq - The Most Decisive Point Ever!Nasdaq ( TVC:NDQ ) might break below all structure:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis๐๐ป
After breaking above the major channel resistance trendline just a couple of months ago, the Nasdaq is now being dominated by bears and starting to break everything back to the downside. So far we didn't see any confirmation but the next couple of days will decide just everything.
Levels to watch: $20.000, $16.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
NAS100 I Potential Gap Fill and More Growth to 21,000Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** NAS100 Analysis - Listen to video!
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NAS 100 LONG 2000 POINT MOVE TO BE CAUGHT LIVE TRADE Nasdaq 100 Technical Analysis
The Nasdaq 100 has broken above the 20,000 level, an area that, of course, has a lot of psychology attached to it in the pre-market trading on Monday, and as a result, Iโm watching this index very closely because one of my main criteria for getting interested in buying the NASDAQ has been whether or not we can close above this level. If we can, then itโs very possible that we will continue to go higher. After all, it would make a certain amount of sense to see a bear market rally, especially after the extreme negativity of this market. But as things stand right now, I would anticipate that volatility continues.
NASDAQ The recovery has officially started.Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a 2-year Channel Up and with today's opening, it broke above the Lower Highs trend-line of February's Bearish Leg. Even though the confirmed bullish reversal signal technically comes above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), we already have the early bottom signals.
First and foremost, the 1D RSI rebounding from the same oversold (<30.00) level where all major Higher Lows of the Channel Up did (August 05 2024, April 19 2024, October 26 2023). Every time the price reached its -0.5 Fibonacci extensions following such bottoms. Also each Bullish Leg tends so far to be smaller than the previous.
As a result, targeting a +24% rise (-3% less than the previous Bullish Leg) at 23500 is a very realistic Target technically, as it is considerably below the -0.5 Fibonacci extension.
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USTEC (NASDAQ 100) Analysis โ 30M Timeframe
1๏ธโฃ Market Structure & Current Position
Current Price: 19,758
Recent Swing Low: 19,200 (March 14)
Recent Swing High: 19,900 (March 20)
Key Observations:
The market is ranging between 19,200 โ 19,900.
Breakout above 19,900 could trigger a strong rally due to thin liquidity above.
If rejected, price could retest 19,600 or 19,200 before resuming upside.
2๏ธโฃ Key Technical Levels (Support & Resistance)
Support Zones (Demand Areas)
19,600 โ 19,650 โ High volume node, key retest level.
19,200 โ 19,250 โ Major liquidity zone, potential bounce area.
Resistance Zones (Supply Areas)
19,900 โ 19,950 โ Immediate resistance, key breakout level.
20,400 โ 20,450 โ Fibonacci 1.618 extension.
20,850 โ 20,900 โ Fibonacci 2.618 extension, potential exhaustion zone.
๐ Gann Confluence Levels:
19,800 โ 19,850 โ 1/8th division of the last major range.
20,250 โ 20,300 โ 2/8th division, possible reaction point.
3๏ธโฃ Probable Scenarios & Probability (%)
๐ Bullish Scenario (70% Probability)
Break & Retest of 19,900 โ Target 20,400 โ 20,850.
Confirmation: Volume spike above 19,950 & bullish close on H4.
Wave 3 of Elliott Cycle could push price to 20,900 if momentum is strong.
๐ Bearish Scenario (30% Probability)
Rejection at 19,900 โ Drop to 19,600, possibly 19,200.
Confirmation: Bearish engulfing candle below 19,750 & increase in sell-side liquidity.
If 19,200 breaks, expect deeper pullback to 18,900 โ 18,800.
4๏ธโฃ Conclusion & Trading Strategy
๐ฏ Bias: Bullish above 19,900, cautious if rejected.
โ
Long Entries:
Break & Retest of 19,900 โ TP1: 20,400, TP2: 20,850, TP3: 21,300
Aggressive Buy: Bounce from 19,600 with strong bullish rejection.
โ Short Entries:
Rejection from 19,900 โ Target 19,600 & 19,200.
Aggressive Short: If price fails to break 19,750 with increasing sell volume.
๐ฏ Stop Loss Levels:
For Longs: Below 19,500.
For Shorts: Above 20,600.
๐ Final Thoughts
If USTEC clears 19,900 with volume, we could see an explosive move to 20,400 โ 20,850.
If rejected, price may revisit 19,600 โ 19,200 before another breakout attempt.
NQ: Weekly/Daily AnalysisGood Week and Day!
Finally, buyers showed up late Friday and market opened with a gap up. Both Asian and European sessions continued the move up. We should expect NY session to continue up.
Few notes here:
1- As I mentioned it few times now, this is not "buy the dip", this is just to allow large hands to clear their positions. The chart identifies the VA area to sell.
2- The ST/MT/LT outlooks for all US Equities is Sell. Unless, major change happens to US policy (i.e., tariffs, bullying) which it has 0.0001% chance! The self-inflicted destruction is so amazing! Three months ago, US economy was almost the only solid economy worldwide!
3- April 2nd: tariffs come into effect.
3- Money is fleeing US market towards BRICS and European Markets.
So, for this week, price will continue up until 20500-20700 area.
We have key economic data to fuel the move up. But it won't change anything fundamentally. The damage is structural. So good news is good news for Equities, but bad news it will be neutral.
NAS100 - Potential TargetsHow I see it in the shorter term:
KEY LEVEL OF CONFLUENCE, NOW SUPPORT @ 19960.00
Potential "LONG" -
TP 1 = 20490.00
TP 2 = 20834.00
Potential "SHORT" - To Fill Imbalance
(Requires a break and hold below KEY SUPPORT)
TP 1 = 19975.00
Keynote:
Stocks had a GAP weekly open, which indicates potential bullish momentum.
At some point the GAP needs to be filled.
Thank you for taking the time to study my analysis
Nasdaq short: Hit Previous High and 2 Fib Ext TargetsAs explained in the video, I have 3 hits that suggests that we have hit the peak for Nasdaq:
1. Hit previous high made on 20th March 2025.
2. Fibonacci Extension where wave 5 = 1.618x Wave 1.
3. Entire wave e = 2.618x Wave 1.
Important here is the stop loss of around 19978. This is a positional play, meaning to ride this position if it goes in our favor.
Good luck!
NAS100 Analysis: Potential higher timeframe pullback in playOn the higher timeframe, NAS100 remains bullish. However, recent price action suggests that a higher timeframe pullback may be underway, providing a discounted price opportunity.
On the daily chart, a market structure shift occurred when NAS100 broke below the 20,477 level. The most recent price action indicates a short-term pullback to the upside on lower timeframes, potentially to mitigate the internal supply zone and reach premium price levels.
I am closely watching the 61.80% Fibonacci retracement level around 21,028 for potential selling opportunities, with downside targets at 19,113 and 18,297.
How Are You Trading NAS100 This Week?
Share your thoughts in the comments!
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NAS100 Sell-Off Isn't Over Yet! | Watch This Key Level for the NAfter a major sell-off, NAS100 still shows strong bearish potential. We're currently seeing price consolidate in a 4-hour range, and all eyes should be on a potential pullback to the trendline or range high. In this video, I break down exactly what Iโm watching for the next high-probability short opportunity.