NASDAQ: Close to a strong bounce.Nasdaq is about to turn overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 68.736, MACD = 505.460, ADX = 18.046) as it is extending an uptrend since the 4H MA50 test/bounce. Such low paced price increase typically precedes strong breakouts. Since the long term pattern is a Channel Up, we are still on its 3rd bullish wave overall. The prior ones were +9.50% on avg, so we remain bullish on the short term, TP = 22,500.
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NAS100USD trade ideas
Bearish SignalPrice is currently at the highest resistance NAS100 ever reached in its lifetime and failed to break, the last time it tested the resistance it dropped dismally confirming it’s a very strong resistance. There’s also a dynamic resistance supported by the trend line in green which was a support zone prior. Im very confident the resistance won’t break, if it were to ever break it’ll need a strong pull back which will definitely suppress TP1
USNAS100 | CPI Data to Drive Next Move – Key Pivot at 21790USNAS100 | OVERVIEW
The index is showing sensitive price action, especially after stabilizing above the pivot level at 21790. The release of U.S. CPI data will likely dominate today's movements.
If CPI > 2.5%:
Stronger inflation could pressure the index lower. A drop toward 21790 is expected, and a break below this level may extend the bearish trend toward 21635, and possibly 21480. However, holding above 21790 may keep the bullish structure intact.
If CPI < 2.5%:
Weaker-than-expected inflation would support bullish momentum, with potential to push higher toward 22090 and test the all-time high at 22200.
Support Lines: 21790, 21635, 21480
Resistance Lines: 22090, 22200
NASDAQ TRADING ROADMAP 16 - 20 JUNI 2025📉 NASDAQ TRADING ROADMAP – STRATEGY OUTLOOK 📉
The NASDAQ has rejected Magnet Area (SpH4) 21767.00 – 22067.00, signaling potential downside movement.
As long as price stays below Magnet Area (dmD) 21736.00 – 21863.00, the market is likely to continue its decline toward Magnet Area (dmH4) 21136.00 – 21020.00, especially if price breaks through Magnet Area (dmH4) 21524.00 – 21445.00.
📌 Roadmap Summary:
🔻 Rejection confirmed from (SpH4)
⬇️ Bearish bias valid while below (dmD)
🚨 Breakout trigger: (dmH4) 21524.00 – 21445.00
🎯 Target zone: (dmH4) 21136.00 – 21020.00
⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
This content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk. Always conduct your own analysis and apply proper risk management before making any trading decisions.
Hanzo / Nas100 30 Min ( Accurate Tactical Break Out Zones )🔥 Nas100 – 30 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup)
⚡️ Objective: Precision Breakout Execution
Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Mode: Only after verified breakout — no emotion, no gamble.
👌Bullish After Break : 21930
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
👌Bearish After Break : 21770
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel
➕ Zone Activated: Strategic liquidity layer detected — mapped through refined supply/demand mechanics. Volatility now rising. This isn’t noise — this is bait for the untrained. We're not them.
🩸 Momentum Signature Detected:
Displacement candle confirms directional intent — AI pattern scan active.
— If upward: Bullish momentum burst.
— If downward: Aggressive bearish rejection.
🦸♂️ Tactical Note:
The kill shot only comes after the trap is exposed and volume betrays their position.
USNAS100 | Bearish Below 21635 Amid Geopolitical UncertaintyUSNAS100 | OVERVIEW
The index is currently under bearish momentum driven by escalating geopolitical tensions.
As long as the situation remains unresolved, downward pressure is expected to continue.
Outlook:
As long as the price stays below the pivot at 21635, the index is likely to drop toward 21470.
A confirmed break below 21470 could accelerate the decline toward 21250, and eventually 21065.
Pivot Line: 21635
Support Levels: 21470, 21250, 21065
Resistance Levels: 21790, 21930, 22090
USNAS100 | Breakout or Breakdown?USNAS100 | OVERVIEW
The price is currently stabilizing below the pivot level at 21790, suggesting continued bearish momentum.
📉 As long as the index remains below 21790, we expect a decline toward 21635. A confirmed 1H candle close below this level could extend the bearish trend toward 21470.
📈 A shift to bullish momentum will require a 1H candle close above 21820, which could open the way to 22090 and potentially a new all-time high at 22200.
Support Lines: 21635, 21470
Resistance Lines: 21930, 22090, 22200
USNAS100 - Mideast Conflict & Fed Uncertainty Pressure FuturesWall Street Futures Edge Lower Amid Prolonged Mideast Conflict
U.S. stock index futures slipped slightly on Tuesday as the ongoing Middle East conflict entered its fifth day, weighing on global sentiment ahead of the Federal Reserve’s upcoming policy meeting.
Technical Outlook:
Price action remains in a sensitive zone, but the bias stays bearish below 21930.
🔻 A confirmed 1H close below 21790 would likely trigger a deeper move toward 21635, and potentially 21470.
🔺 On the upside, a break above 21930 would indicate renewed bullish momentum, opening the path toward 22065 and 22200.
📌 If price holds above 21790, a test of 21930 is likely.
Any positive geopolitical developments or ceasefire negotiations could spark a stronger upside move.
Key Levels:
• Pivot: 21790
• Resistance: 21930 / 22065 / 22200
• Support: 21635 / 21470 / 21375
Nasdaq - This starts the next +50% rally!Nasdaq - TVC:NDQ - might break out soon:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
Despite the quite harsh correction of about -25% which we saw in the beginning of 2025, the Nasdaq is clearly heading for new all time highs. It sounds almost incredible but if the Nasdaq breaks above the current confluence of resistance, a breakout rally of +50% will follow thereafter.
Levels to watch: $21.500, $33.000
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
Nasdaq Challenges Record HighsNasdaq continues to trade just below a one-month resistance line, which connects consecutive higher highs formed between May and June 2025. This line has capped the index just shy of the 22,000 mark, as price action navigates the push and pull between summer momentum, geopolitical tensions, and economic uncertainty.
To the upside, a decisive break and hold above 22,200 would be a bullish trigger, potentially opening the path toward the 23,700 resistance zone. This level notably aligns with the 0.618 Fibonacci extension, projected from the 2023 low, 2025 high, and 2025 retracement low.
On the downside, risks remain for a deeper correction if the index retraces toward the 21,000–20,600 region. This zone represents the neckline of the December–January double top, and stands as a critical threshold separating a bullish continuation scenario from the possibility of a deeper bearish pullback.
- Razan Hilal, CMT
Nasdaq-100 H1 | Swing-low support at 61.8% Fibonacci retracementThe Nasdaq-100 (NAS100) is falling towards a swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 21,479.25 which is a swing-low support that aligns closely with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 21,320.00 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support.
Take profit is at 21,721.90 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?USTEC is rising toward the pivot, which serves as a pullback resistance. A reversal from this level could indicate a double top pattern, potentially leading to a price drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 22,270.83
1st Support: 21,142.23
1st Resistance: 23,070.85
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My trade idea on NASDAQ 100 For the coming week I'm seeing NAS100 dropping lower to pull/draw on liquidity below there heading to where we have what looks like a strong POI...
Drop your comment below if you're seeing something totally different from what I'm seeing here and lets have a discussion about our views.
NSDQ100 uptrend consolidation supported at 21300Markets Rattled After Israel Strikes Iran
Israel launched major airstrikes on Iran, targeting nuclear and missile sites, as well as top military leaders. The move sharply escalates tensions in the Middle East and came despite warnings from former President Donald Trump, who was told of the attack only shortly beforehand. He later warned Iran that future strikes would be “even more brutal” if no deal is made.
Market Reaction:
Oil jumped up to 13% on fears of supply disruptions.
Gold climbed as investors rushed to safe-haven assets.
Stock futures and crypto fell on rising geopolitical risk.
The U.S. dollar dipped, then rebounded, as its role as a safe-haven asset came into focus.
Other Key Updates:
Trump wins court backing to keep troops in Los Angeles amid ongoing protests. A hearing is set for Tuesday.
Meta invests billions in Scale AI, bringing on its CEO to boost efforts in building artificial general intelligence. Meta is aggressively hiring top AI talent from firms like Google.
For Traders:
Watch oil and gold closely for continued volatility.
Safe-haven flows could drive further USD and gold moves.
Meta’s AI push may influence tech sector sentiment.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 22070
Resistance Level 2: 22370
Resistance Level 3: 22680
Support Level 1: 21300
Support Level 2: 21060
Support Level 3: 20820
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Nasdaq will reach 25'000 still no body see it?Current level: 21,876
Previous ATH: 22,222.61
Next stop? Well… if you ask the pivot levels they're whispering "23347.20, baby."
What we’re looking at is not just a strong recovery it’s a market that refuses to take a breather. With weekly candles forming higher lows and pivot zones behaving like polite suggestions rather than resistance, it’s hard not to think the index is gearing up for a proper breakout.
Sure, skeptics will say we’re overextended. Bears will point to the volume spikes and say “exhaustion.” But momentum? She's dancing in stilettos on top of R3 like it's a catwalk.
Now, here's the fun part:
If this rhythm keeps up and if inflation, rates, and the Fed behave like decent background characters then 25,000 by the end of the year isn’t just possible. It's that slightly overconfident friend at the party who's already halfway into a celebratory toast.
So… who dares to trust the trend?
Because let’s be honest: being early is painful, being late is expensive but being in the trend? That’s just good business.
📈 Trade safe, manage risk, and don’t fight the trend. Unless you're into that kind of thrill.
#tradehills #Pscarfo
US100Correlation Between US100 (Nasdaq 100), 10-Year Bond Yield, and Bond Prices
1. Relationship Between 10-Year Treasury Bond Yield and Bond Prices
Inverse Relationship:
Bond prices and yields move inversely. When the 10-year Treasury yield rises, bond prices fall, and vice versa. This is because the fixed coupon payments become less attractive when yields increase, causing existing bond prices to drop to offer comparable yields to new issues.
Current Data (June 13, 2025):
10-Year Treasury yield is around 4.40%, with the bond price near 98.81 (below par), reflecting recent yield increases.
Term Premium:
The term premium on the 10-year Treasury has risen sharply since early April 2025, reaching the highest level in over a decade. This premium compensates investors for risks that short-term yields may not evolve as expected, keeping long-term yields elevated and bond prices suppressed.
2. US100 (Nasdaq 100) and 10-Year Treasury Yield Correlation
Negative Correlation Generally Observed:
The Nasdaq 100 (US100), a tech-heavy equity index, often shows a negative correlation with 10-year Treasury yields. When yields rise, borrowing costs increase, discount rates for future earnings rise, and equities—especially growth stocks—tend to decline. Conversely, falling yields often boost equities.
Recent Trends:
In 2025, rising yields have put pressure on equities, including the Nasdaq 100, as investors demand higher returns from riskier assets. However, periods of yield stabilization or decline can support equity rallies.
Risk Sentiment:
The correlation can vary with market sentiment; during risk-off episodes, both equities and bond yields may fall as investors flock to safety.
3. US100 and Bond Prices
Indirect Relationship via Yields:
Since bond prices move inversely to yields, and yields often move inversely to equities, bond prices and equities like US100 often show a positive correlation in risk-off environments (both falling) and a negative correlation in risk-on environments (equities rising, bond prices falling).
Safe-Haven Demand:
In times of market stress, investors may sell equities and buy bonds, pushing bond prices up and yields down, while equities like US100 decline.
4. Yield Curve and Market Implications
The US yield curve has steepened recently, with the 10-year yield (~4.40%) above the 2-year yield (~3.95%), reflecting expectations of higher long-term inflation and growth risks.
A steepening curve can signal improving growth prospects but also higher financing costs, which can weigh on tech stocks in the US100.
Conclusion
The 10-year Treasury yield and bond prices move inversely, with recent yield increases pushing bond prices below par.
The Nasdaq 100 (US100) typically moves inversely to 10-year yields, as higher yields raise borrowing costs and discount rates, pressuring growth stocks.
The relationship between US100 and bond prices depends on market risk sentiment: in risk-off periods, bond prices rise while equities fall; in risk-on periods, the opposite occurs.
The current steepening yield curve and elevated term premium suggest ongoing volatility and cautious investor positioning affecting both bonds and equities.
#NAS100 #DOLLAR
US100Correlation Between US100 (Nasdaq 100), 10-Year Bond Yield, and Bond Prices
1. Relationship Between 10-Year Treasury Bond Yield and Bond Prices
Inverse Relationship:
Bond prices and yields move inversely. When the 10-year Treasury yield rises, bond prices fall, and vice versa. This is because the fixed coupon payments become less attractive when yields increase, causing existing bond prices to drop to offer comparable yields to new issues.
Current Data (June 13, 2025):
10-Year Treasury yield is around 4.40%, with the bond price near 98.81 (below par), reflecting recent yield increases.
Term Premium:
The term premium on the 10-year Treasury has risen sharply since early April 2025, reaching the highest level in over a decade. This premium compensates investors for risks that short-term yields may not evolve as expected, keeping long-term yields elevated and bond prices suppressed.
2. US100 (Nasdaq 100) and 10-Year Treasury Yield Correlation
Negative Correlation Generally Observed:
The Nasdaq 100 (US100), a tech-heavy equity index, often shows a negative correlation with 10-year Treasury yields. When yields rise, borrowing costs increase, discount rates for future earnings rise, and equities—especially growth stocks—tend to decline. Conversely, falling yields often boost equities.
Recent Trends:
In 2025, rising yields have put pressure on equities, including the Nasdaq 100, as investors demand higher returns from riskier assets. However, periods of yield stabilization or decline can support equity rallies.
Risk Sentiment:
The correlation can vary with market sentiment; during risk-off episodes, both equities and bond yields may fall as investors flock to safety.
3. US100 and Bond Prices
Indirect Relationship via Yields:
Since bond prices move inversely to yields, and yields often move inversely to equities, bond prices and equities like US100 often show a positive correlation in risk-off environments (both falling) and a negative correlation in risk-on environments (equities rising, bond prices falling).
Safe-Haven Demand:
In times of market stress, investors may sell equities and buy bonds, pushing bond prices up and yields down, while equities like US100 decline.
4. Yield Curve and Market Implications
The US yield curve has steepened recently, with the 10-year yield (~4.40%) above the 2-year yield (~3.95%), reflecting expectations of higher long-term inflation and growth risks.
A steepening curve can signal improving growth prospects but also higher financing costs, which can weigh on tech stocks in the US100.
Conclusion
The 10-year Treasury yield and bond prices move inversely, with recent yield increases pushing bond prices below par.
The Nasdaq 100 (US100) typically moves inversely to 10-year yields, as higher yields raise borrowing costs and discount rates, pressuring growth stocks.
The relationship between US100 and bond prices depends on market risk sentiment: in risk-off periods, bond prices rise while equities fall; in risk-on periods, the opposite occurs.
The current steepening yield curve and elevated term premium suggest ongoing volatility and cautious investor positioning affecting both bonds and equities.
#NAS100 #DOLLAR
Nasdaq-100 H1 | Approaching a pullback resistanceThe Nasdaq-100 (NAS100) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 21,719.73 which is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss is at 21,870.00 which is a level that sits above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and a swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 21,477.88 which is a multi-swing-low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.