RISK ON or RISK OFF?? Correlations between JPY and the IndicesAs a trader it is imperative that you understand the correlation between the indices and 'flight to safety' currencies and how this determines whether you are in a risk on or risk off environment and how quickly that can change. You can use this information to help you make informed trading decisions in the market
NAS100USD trade ideas
Bullish bounce?USTEC has reacted off the pivot and could potentially rise to the 1st resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 19,631.95
1st Support: 19,126.61
1st Resistance: 20,332.42
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US100 dropping? here's why I think soAs we can see the previous trend was an uptrend, we got a Change of Trend before the market dropped showing strong selling pressure and now the price looks like it's Retracing(Retest) before it continues it's movement down
what are your opinions on NAS100?🙃comment below
Hanzo | Nas100 15 min Breaks Structure – Confirm the Next Move🆚 Nas100 – The Way of the Silent Blade
⭐️ We do not predict—we calculate.
We do not react—we execute.
Patience is our shield. Precision is our sword.
🩸 market is a battlefield where hesitation means death. The untrained fall into traps, chasing shadows, believing in illusions. But we are not the crowd. We follow no signal but the one left behind by Smart Money. Their footprints are our way forward.
🩸 Bullish Structure Shatters -
Key Break Confirms the Path – 19750
reasons
Liquidity Swwep
liquidity / choch
key level / multi retest before
weekly / monthly zone
🩸 Bearish Structure Shatters
Key Break Confirms the Path – 19540 Zone
our reversal always at key level
even a reversal area is well studded
reasons
Liquidity Swwep
liquidity / choch
key level / multi retest before
weekly / monthly zone
🔻 This is the threshold where the tides shift. If price pierces this level with authority, it is no accident—it is designed. The liquidity pool above has been set, and the institutions will claim their prize. Volume must confirm the strike. A clean break, a strong push, and the path is set.
Watch the volume. Watch the momentum. Strike without doubt
NAS100 Bullish Trading IdeaMarket Structure & Key Levels
Bullish Market Structure: The price has been making higher highs and higher lows.
4-Hour Order Block (OB): The price recently reacted from a 4-hour order block, confirming bullish intent.
Unmitigated Wick: There’s an unmitigated wick above 20,160, acting as a liquidity target.
Liquidity Pool Below: A possible retracement to sweep liquidity before the next bullish push.
Trade Setup (ICT)
Entry Zone: Look for a retracement to the 19,800 - 19,820 region, which aligns with an order block and potential fair value gap (FVG).
Stop-Loss: Below 19,700 (under the liquidity sweep level).
First Target (TP1): 19,995 (previous high and potential resistance).
Final Target (TP2): 20,160+ (liquidity grab from the unmitigated wick).
Confirmation Factors
Displacement & FVG: Look for an aggressive bullish push from discounted price levels.
London & New York Session Influence: NY session open may trigger liquidity grab before the bullish move.
Trading View Idea: Nasdaq 100 SPOT (Technical & Fundamental OutlTechnical Analysis:
Key Levels: Immediate support at 19,664.50 (current price), with critical demand zones near 19,200–19,600. A break below could target 18,268.75 (next major support). Resistance levels begin at 20,400–20,800.
Price Action : Consolidation between SELL (19,664.25) and BUY (19,665.05) zones suggests indecision. Watch for a breakout; holding above demand zones may signal bullish reversal potential.
Fundamental Drivers:
USD Influence: Monitor the US Dollar Index (DXY). A stronger dollar could pressure Nasdaq 100, given its tech-heavy export exposure.
Macro Factors: Fed policy shifts, inflation data, and tech sector earnings will drive sentiment.
Trade Idea:
Bullish Scenario: Hold above 19,664.50 with SL at 19,200, targeting 20,400.
Bearish Trigger: Close below 19,200 opens downside toward 18,268.75.
Call to Action:
👉 Follow for alerts on breakout/breakdown scenarios.
👉 Share this analysis to empower others with data-driven decisions.
Engage with My Latest Trading Setup & Share Insights!
Risk Note: Tight stops advised amid volatility. Align entries with DXY trends and economic catalysts.
Nasdaq 100 key levels to watch as index tries to extend recoveryMarkets have been grappling to establish a definitive bottom in recent sessions, before finally the bulls showed up on Friday to stage a strong rebound from oversold levels. Could the Nasdaq 100 now be poised for a more substantial recovery?
After Friday’s recovery, the big question now is whether we are witnessing the early stages of another rally or just a pause before deeper losses.
Last week, the Nasdaq 100 found some footing in the 19,115-19,240 zone, which coincides with a prior support/resistance region and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the August rally. With the daily RSI firmly entrenched in oversold territory, the index was able to find dip buyers yet again.
The key technical factor to watch today is to see whether the index will show follow-through after Friday’s sharp recovery. A positive close would further erode the bears’ control, while a negative close would suggest there is more selling to come.
A few nearby resistance barriers are in focus now. The first of these hurdles is at 19,735—the low from Friday that was breached in Monday’s sharp sell-off. This level also marks the underside of a broken trendline stretching back to January 2023. A decisive break above this area could open the door to additional upside, targeting psychological resistance at 20,000, followed by the 200-day moving average near 20,340. Should dip buyers regain control, these levels could soon come into focus.
On the flip side, if renewed selling pressure emerges, downside targets include 18,800 and potentially the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement near 18,310.
Taking everything into account, my Nasdaq 100 forecast has shifted. Where I previously leaned towards further correction—now largely realised—I am now inclined to anticipate a recovery.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
NASDAQ Most critical 4H MA50 test in 7 months!Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a Channel Up since the July 11 2024 High. The price action since the February 18 2025 High was been the patterns Bearish Leg and like the August 05 2024 bottom on the Higher Lows trend-line, it was done on an oversold (<30.00) 1D RSI.
Now that the price has Double Bottomed and bounced, it came across today with a 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) test. 7 months ago it was that test and eventual break-out that initiated Nasdaq's 4-month non-stop rise. Initially once broken, the first target was just below the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level.
As a result, you can get a confirmed buy signal once the index closes above the 4H MA50 and target 21450 (just below the 0.786 Fib).
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Nas100 Weekly BiasBased on how the market ranges are laid out, I am keen to seehow is it that the market will unfold and what is it that the Institutional Orderflow will rea h out for first. Overall I will be trading on internal ranges and keeping my focus narrowed on that. Anything else outside that will not be of my interest. Due to manual intervention I am expecting because of fundamentals.
OVERALL I would like to see a small run on the upside, going for the Premium arrays and then a deep run for shorts for the purpose of purging sell orders below Lows and then buying them prior long term reversals for longs
stocks vs gold race to recession safety since fed did its last rate cut in december 2024 fomc, Stocks down gold up
this is classic recession trade - dump risk assets and buy safe heaven
gold hit $3000 on recession panic market crash
if stocks bounce, panic may price out
if stocks fall more, panic selling will trigger which could slow the speed of gold rally
this market action and recent gold bars flying to New York from london may be recession panic buying not the tariff inflation hedge
in 2020 market crash everything went down but when recovery started gold proved better than stocks.