NAS100USD trade ideas
NASDAQ: Opening selloff is a buy opportunity.Nasdaq remains bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 60.351, MACD = 161.240, ADX = 29.408) despite today's selling early into the session. This indicates that relative to the bullish long term trend, this correction is a buy opportunity, especially as the index hit its 4H MA50. This happens to be at the bottom of the 20day Channel Up, a pattern potentially identical to the December 10th low of the Channel Up. We are long, expecting a new +3.80% rise (TP = 22,700).
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SHORT ON NAS100Nas has been failing to break highs.
Highs continue to get Lower coming from a major resistance area.
Telsa, Amazon and others facing back lash for many political reasons. (negative)
I will be selling nas before unemployment news today that expect more people to be unemployed. (negative)
News could set this trade on Fire to the downside.
US100 3H Bearish Setup – Key Resistance HoldingUS100 is testing a strong resistance zone around 22,247, showing signs of rejection on the 3-hour timeframe. If price fails to break higher, we could see a potential drop towards 21,818 support in the next sessions.
🔹 Resistance: 22,247 (Rejection Zone)
🔹 Bearish Confirmation: Breakdown below 22,100
🔹 Target: 21,818 support
This setup follows a lower high formation, indicating possible downside momentum. Watching price action closely for confirmation! 🚨
This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and manage risk properly.
NASDAQ Technical AnalysisTrade Setup Overview
Entry Price: 21,530.33
Target Price: 22,232.41
Stop Loss: 21,297.97
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3
Trade Type: Long Position
Suggested Position Size: 0.25-0.5% of capital
Timeframe: 1-Hour Chart
Position Sizing and Risk Analysis
Conservative position sizing (0.25-0.5%) indicates proper risk management
Total Risk per Position: 232.36 points (Entry - Stop Loss)
Potential Reward: 702.08 points (Target - Entry)
Maximum capital risk at 0.5% position size provides buffer for market volatility
Technical Timeframe Considerations
4-Hour chart setup suggests a swing trading approach
Longer timeframe reduces noise and false signals
Allows for proper development of price action and trend confirmation
Consider holding position through multiple sessions if needed
Catalyst Analysis
Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) Impact Scenarios
Positive NFP Scenario:
Strong jobs data could accelerate upward momentum
Consider trailing stop adjustment on strong move
Watch for potential extension beyond initial target
Negative NFP Scenario:
Have preset stop loss in place
No emotional attachment to position
Accept defined risk and move on to next opportunity
Trade Management Strategy
Entry Execution
Enter at specified price of 21,530.33
Consider scaling in if market provides opportunity
Maintain discipline on entry price
Position Management
Initial stop loss at 21,297.97 (non-negotiable)
Consider partial profit taking at 1:1 risk-reward
Trail stop loss after significant movement in favor
Maximum hold time based on 4H chart context: 5-7 trading days
Exit Strategy
Primary target: 22,232.41
Consider market context at target approach
Use price action at target level for exit timing
Don't force trades beyond technical invalidation
Risk Management Rules
Strict adherence to position sizing (0.25-0.5%)
No averaging down on losing positions
Respect stop loss level - no exceptions
Consider market hours volatility
Account for pre/post market gaps
Technical Price Levels
Entry Zone: 21,530.33
Critical Support: 21,297.97
Psychological Levels:
21,500
22,000
22,200
Target Zone: 22,232.41
Session Considerations
Monitor pre-market sentiment
Watch correlated markets (S&P 500, DOW)
Consider reduced position size during high-impact news
Be aware of market hours volatility spikes
Trade Invalidation
Clear invalidation below 21,297.97
Technical structure breaks
Significant shift in market sentiment
Unexpected negative catalyst impac
t
Key Reminders
"Live to trade another day" - maintain emotional discipline
NFP is a known catalyst - plan accordingly
4H timeframe requires patience
Stick to planned position size
Monitor correlated tech sectors for confirmation
Remember: Trading success comes from consistent execution of a well-defined plan, not from any single trade outcome.
Lets Focus On the lows for NowIf we were to forget a bit about the higher high that can possibly be formed, and consider the idea that there is a low that is a FVG on a daily timeframe and it is likely going to become our $ target, sweeping the sell stops towards mitigation. If we are to do so, let us be considerate of our entries and salvage the highs so we can hold, SHOULD the market allow us to.
R multiples count
NSDQ - sideways consolidation after reaching intraday ATHThe NSDQ (USTec) index pair price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. The recent intraday price action appears to be a sideways consolidation after reaching the intraday all time high.
The key trading level is at 21890 level, the consolidation price range and also the previous resistance now newly formed support zone. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 21890 level could target the upside resistance at 22373 followed by the 22500 and 22620 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed loss of the 21890 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of 21770 support level followed by 21640.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
US100 / NASDAQ ANALİZPossible bullish scenario;
* If the price breaks through the upper band of the ascending channel (upper border of the yellow zone), the upward movement may intensify. Target zones 22,800 - 23,200 This is the price if the upper band of the channel acts as resistance.
Possible bearish scenario
* If the price breaks the blue trend lines, the first solid support for the bearish move is 20,715. If this level is breached, a fall to the lower band of the channel (around 20,000) may occur. A more violent sell-off could see a test of 19,800.
At the moment, the US100\/NASDAQ is in a decision phase, so the price is at a critical point. If the trend lines are not broken, the direction will not be clear.
My NAS Long Scalp IdeaUS stocks and indices are very neutral recently. I however remain slightly bullish and found a small setup. This is pure price action bias but including the fundamental view we are in a neutral state as we are waiting for upcoming economic news. This week has been neutral due to the lack of news. We got a bunch of Trump speech but nothing more.
This idea is meant for short term It could completely reverse on me so do your own research and trade safely.