NAS100USD trade ideas
US100 WILL GO DOWN|SHORT|
✅US100 price grew again to retest the resistance of 20,300
But it is a strong key level
And we are already seeing
A local bearish pullback
So I think that there is a high chance
That we will see a bearish move down
SHORT🔥
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Nas100 Diamond BottomAt the 16400 gap down the play was simple, buy, fill the gap and bullish engulf this puppy.
So it happened, and the 10 percent pump is the middle of the diamond. Then what was left to be bullish on the final retraces onto the right side of the diamond.
Now we are in. I expect exponentiaal growth, but first target is the magic average plotted on this chart.
Good luck and remember, no guarantees. I play the chart and trust it, but if it backfires thats my risk im willing to take.
NASDAQ (NDX) Market OutlookCurrently, the NASDAQ is trading around 19,723. We're anticipating a short-term pullback toward the 19,462 level, where a significant pool of liquidity awaits. This zone could act as a magnet for price in the near term. Once price reaches this area, we’ll closely monitor the lower timeframes for a potential bullish reaction or accumulation, which could signal the next leg higher.
Stay patient and let price confirm at key levels.
Technical Breakdown on US100 | 1H TimeframeTechnical Breakdown on US100 (1H) using Volume Profile, Gann, and CVD + ADX
1. Key Observations (Volume, Gann & CVD + ADX Focused)
a) Volume Profile Insights:
Value Area High (VAH): 20,050
Value Area Low (VAL): 19,800
Point of Control (POC): 19,927.77
Volume Nodes:
High-volume node: Consolidation around 19,930–20,000 (strong interest/acceptance zone).
Low-volume gap: Below 19,800 (potential area for fast price movement).
b) Liquidity Zones:
Clustered Stops:
Above recent highs at ~20,100 (liquidity trap).
Below recent lows near 19,650 and 19,500.
Order Absorption Zones:
Near 19,930–19,980: multiple rejections + high delta volume = passive sell pressure.
c) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows:
Volume spike highs: 20,050 (indicating rejection and potential reversal).
Volume spike lows: 19,600–19,650 (reaction points with increased volume and defense).
d) CVD + ADX Indicator Analysis:
Trend Direction: Turning bearish.
ADX Strength:
ADX slightly above 20 with DI- crossing above DI+ = Confirmed downtrend.
CVD Confirmation:
Falling CVD alongside price weakness = Strong supply taking control.
Multiple failed bullish attempts above POC.
2. Support & Resistance Levels
a) Volume-Based Levels:
Support:
19,800 (VAL)
19,650 (swing low with high absorption)
Resistance:
20,050 (VAH and rejection zone)
19,927.77 (POC, now resistance)
b) Gann-Based Levels:
Swing High: 20,100 (Gann reversal point)
Swing Low: 19,650
Key Gann Retracements:
1/3 retracement = ~19,820
2/3 retracement = ~19,980
3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure
a) Trend: Bearish
b) Notable Patterns:
Bearish flag forming inside descending channel.
Break below POC and VAL suggests breakdown continuation.
Retest failure near POC confirms resistance validation.
4. Trade Setup & Risk Management
a) Bearish Entry (CVD + ADX confirm downtrend):
Entry Zone: 19,920–19,940 (retest of POC)
Target:
T1: 19,650
T2: 19,400
Stop-Loss (SL): 20,060 (above VAH and swing high)
Risk-Reward (RR): Minimum 1:2
b) Position Sizing:
Risk only 1–2% of trading capital per setup.
NSDQ100 INTRADAY uptrend continuationUS-China Trade Talks:
The Trump administration is considering cutting tariffs on Chinese goods to below 60% during upcoming talks. China may reciprocate. Chinese exports to the US have already dropped sharply following earlier steep tariffs.
Global Market Reaction:
Germany's DAX index hit a new high, recovering losses from the trade war. European stocks are rising on hopes of lower tariffs and potential rate cuts from the European Central Bank.
US Tax Policy:
Trump is urging Congress to raise taxes on the wealthy, proposing a 39.6% rate for individuals earning $2.5 million or more (or $5 million for couples).
Panasonic Job Cuts:
Panasonic plans to cut 10,000 jobs to improve profitability by focusing on growth areas and reducing operations in weaker sectors like TVs and industrial devices.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 20530
Resistance Level 2: 20730
Resistance Level 3: 20950
Support Level 1: 19640
Support Level 2: 19325
Support Level 3: 19030
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NASDAQ YEARLY CHART Chart done on 03.05.2025
Nasdaq market conditions are very similar to the 2020 market conditions
as we can see for both years we had a drop in market price for the first few month, then the recovery happened as markets started to stabilize.
this looks to be the same with 2025 as trumps appointment into the white house has caused a similar effect
for the next year nasdaq looks to be bullish so that the US economy can adapt to the new changes.
this is a very basic analysis. if a more in depth analysis is needed. Please feel free to comment
NAS100USD: Price Respects Bearish Structure at 62% FibGreetings Traders,
In today’s analysis on NAS100USD, we observe sustained bearish institutional order flow, and we aim to align with this directional bias by identifying high-probability selling opportunities.
KEY OBSERVATIONS:
1. Retracement into Premium Resistance:
Price has recently retraced into premium pricing levels, reaching the 62% Fibonacci retracement zone—a level that often acts as dynamic resistance. This retracement also aligned with a bearish breaker block, confirming institutional resistance at that level. The market has since shown signs of rejection, reinforcing the bearish narrative.
2. Emergence of Fair Value Gap (FVG) as a Key Resistance Array:
Following the rejection, a new FVG has formed, acting as a potential short-term resistance zone. This area provides a refined point of interest where institutions may look to re-engage in selling activity. The alignment of the FVG with previous resistance adds further confluence to the bearish setup.
TRADING PLAN:
We will monitor the newly formed FVG zone for signs of bearish confirmation. Upon confirmation, the plan is to execute short positions targeting liquidity pools in discounted price zones, in line with institutional price delivery patterns.
Remain focused, wait for confirmation, and make sure this idea aligns with your overall trading plan.
Kind Regards,
The Architect
NASDAQ Buy idea🔸 Structure Breakout → Pullback → Consolidation beneath resistance
🔸 Support Zone Multiple rejections from 19,370–19,385 demand zone
🔸 Liquidity Stops likely resting above 19,420 → potential fuel for breakout move
🔸 Candle Behavior Strong rejection candles from demand zone + no bearish follow-through
🔸 Momentum Price failing to make lower lows → bullish pressure building
Hits Supply ZoneAfter a sharp drop, price is retracing and reacting to the 19,214.3 resistance zone.
Still inside a descending channel, targeting 18,947.0, where dynamic support and the 200% Fibonacci extension align.
🎯 Entry: Clear rejection from resistance
🛑 Stop: 19,380
✅ Target: 18,947
⚠️ Active management recommended – possible reaction at mid-channel
Structure still confirms bearish momentum (wave 4 in progress). Watch out for fake breakouts!
Are You Ready For Nasdaq Next Flight ? 500 Pips Waiting For Us !Here is my opinion on Nasdaq , i think we have a very good closure and we can say we will go up for sometime in the next few days , so i`m waiting the price to go back to my support area ( Lower One ) that already broken , and then we can enter a buy trade and targeting 500 pips . also if the price touch the higher place and give me a good bullish price action , we can enter a buy trade with small lot size and if the price go to the lower one we can add one more contract .
Is a reversal about to happen?Hello, traders
Orange circles highlight repeated price rejection and the formed doji that suggests a slowdown in a bullish wave and potential reversal. The confluence of the descending trendline and horizontal supply/resistance zone creates a high-probability reversal or breakout from this triangle.
If the price rejects again from the current supply zone and triangle, short setup toward the Fibonacci retracements or demand zones (18300 and below).
If the price breaks above the descending trendline, bullish continuation will likely target 20,000+ (Swing H).
Trend remains down.
Entry 19300
TP 18300 below
Target 14k.