NASDAQ 100 Long up to 22,000 then shortLooking for the short around 22,000-22,1000 region. Only valid on bearish PA confirmation. Looking for that 1,500+ point downside move. Some target in between.
NAS100USD trade ideas
NASDAQ Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NAS100 for a buying opportunity around 21,300 zone, NASDAQ is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend 21,300 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Nasdaq-100 (NDX) Weekly Chart 2025 Chart Context
This weekly timeframe analysis of the Nasdaq-100 Index (NDX) forms a key pillar in our 2025 macro analysis series. Following the breakout structure seen in TOTAL, TOTAL2, BTC.D, and US10Y, this chart utilizes 2 Fibonacci tools (1 trend-based extensions and 1 retracement) to project potential corrective and expansion scenarios.
Fibonacci Tools Used:
Fibonacci Retracement : Applies to the recent smaller swing to determine micro retracement zones and cluster supports.
0=20674 and 100=10504
Trend-Based Fibonacci Extension: Drawn using a three-leg structure (point A= 3993 to B=16724 to C10504) to forecast upside targets beyond ATH.
All take-profit (TP) levels: TP1 (~23,400), TP2 (~26,700), and TP3 (~30,344.49)—are located at confluence zones where Fibonacci levels from different tools align, reinforcing their validity and strength.
There is a 4TP above all the Visible TPs
Key price references:
0% retracement: ~20,674.71
Next Resistance ~23,400 (confluence of extensions and psychological resistance)
Projected TPs:
1TP=~23,400,
2TP=~26,700,
3TP=~30,344.49,
4TP=44000
Support/Resistance:
Red zone: ~16,700–18,300 (historical S/R and correction target and Fib Confluences)
Resistance zone: ~23,000–23,400 ,
22000(ATH area)
Key Technical Observations:
Fibonacci Retracement from ~20674 to ~15732 marks the initial corrective range.
Trend-Based Extensions forecast:
TP1 (~23,400): First breakout resistance
TP2 (~26,700): Medium-term expansion zone
TP3 (~30,344): Long-term target if macro tailwinds persist
Scenario Pathways:
Bullish Continuation: Breaks above ATH to reach TP2/TP3
Healthy Correction: Pullback to ~20,600 or deeper ~18,300 before resumption
Deep Correction: Revisits ~16,700 zone if macro environment deteriorates
Fundamental Context:
Tech Stocks & Economic Sentiment: NDX is often the first to move during liquidity expansions. Its performance signals risk-on behavior across global equity markets.
Rate Cuts in 2025: With anticipated Fed rate cuts, tech stocks are primed for inflows. Forward earnings valuations rise, justifying extended upside in high-beta tech.
AI Boom & Earnings Growth: Nasdaq is heavily weighted toward AI, cloud, and semiconductors—sectors expected to lead earnings surprises.
NDX Influence on Gold and Crypto
When NDX rallies:
Crypto: Risk appetite improves. Capital rotation flows into altcoins and layer-1 assets.
Bitcoin: Often sees parallel inflows, especially during strong tech rallies (e.g., 2020).
TOTAL & TOTAL3: Begin breakout patterns if NDX continues to surge.
Gold: May stall or correct as investors favor risk assets. However, gold still holds due to macro hedging and real yield pressures.
When NDX corrects:
Crypto: Volatility spikes. Altcoins bleed faster.
Bitcoin: Short-term dip but may decouple if viewed as digital gold.
Gold: Benefits from flight-to-safety behavior.
US10Y: Often reacts inversely to NDX moves—used for confirmation.
Search Highlights (2024–2025):
Institutions view NDX correction as signal to rotate into commodities (incl. gold).
Cross-market correlations show NDX peaks often precede crypto mini-rallies.
De-risking from NDX often triggers gold strength, especially in geopolitical or inflationary backdrops.
Bias & Strategy Implication
Primary Bias: Bullish
Expecting upside continuation to 26,700–30,000 zone
Multiple correction opportunities are present even during rally
Strategic Actions:
Monitor for correction to yellow/red zones for accumulation
Use NDX behavior as leading macro signal for crypto rotations
Watch resistance at 23,400 closely; breakout confirms trend extension
Time Horizon
Short-Term (1–2 months): Watch for breakout or correction to ~20,600–18,300
Mid-Term (3–6 months): Probable test of ~26,700
Long-Term (6–12 months): Potential expansion to ~30,344.49
Nasdaq-100 H1 | Potential bullish bounce off 50% Fibo support?The Nasdaq-100 (NAS100) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 21,703.02 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 21,400.00 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support and the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 22,022.32 which is a resistance that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
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A Nasdaq Black Hole - Unprecendented yes, Impossible no Before anyone says anything...yes Elliot Waves are completely subjective BUT IMHO i have drawn these correctly....
The NAS made a violent move from 22100 down 16300 in a very short space of time. So what? It will just make another ATH right?
Well, of course. It almost certainly will, the real question is when. If this pattern plays out, it won't be in 2025.
After every impulse on any timeframe, long or short, you'd naturally expect a pullback.
However, not all pullbacks are the same. Usually, the first significant pullback for a corrective wave is no more than 50%.
However, if you have a pullback that is 61.8% or more, it is usually considered an impulsive wave.
What the difference? Corrective waves have3 waves, ultimately trending in one direction, and impulsive waves have 5 waves trending in one direction.
If the Nasdaq falls beneath 20900, with increasing volume, this will signify confirmation to me at least, that we could be starting one of the most violent impulsive bearish waves in the history of financial markets.
NASDAQ TRADING ROADMAP 09 - 13 JUNI 2025📊 NASDAQ TRADING ROADMAP
Trade Plan & Market Outlook
The NASDAQ is currently trading within the H4 Supply Zone (21767.00 – 22158.00) after a bullish rejection from the H4 Demand Zone (21524.00 – 21404.00).
🔹 Key Zones to Watch:
🟩 Demand Zones:
H4 Demand: 21524.00 – 21404.00
Strong H4 Demand: 21136.00
Daily Demand: 20740.00
🟥 Supply Zones:
H4 Supply: 21767.00 – 22158.00
Daily Supply: 21736.00
🔹 Market Outlook & Scenarios:
If price breaks out above the H4 Supply Zone (21767.00), there's potential for a continued rally toward the strong Supply at 22158.00
However, if price gets rejected from this supply area, a pullback may occur toward the H4 Demand Zone (21524.00 – 21404.00), and possibly extend lower to the strong Demand at 21136.00
📌 Monitor price action closely around the current supply area.
Wait for breakout or rejection confirmation before entering trades, and always manage your risk properly.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER ON
This content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
Trading involves substantial risk and may not be suitable for all investors.
Always conduct your own analysis and apply appropriate risk management strategies.
Hanzo / Nas100 15 Min Path ( Confirmed Break Out Zones )🔥 NAS100 – 15 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup)
Bias: Waiting For Break Out
Time Frame: 15 Min
Entry Type: Confirmed Entry After Break Out
👌Bullish After Break : 21450
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
👌Bearish After Break : 21365
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel
➕ Zone Activated: Strategic Reaction from Refined Liquidity Layer
Marked volatility from a high-precision supply/demand zone. System detects potential for both long and short operations.
🩸 Momentum Signature Detected:
Displacement candle confirms directional intent — AI pattern scan active.
— If upward: Bullish momentum burst.
— If downward: Aggressive bearish rejection.
💯 Market Zone: Transition Phase
Asset in premium-to-discount (or vice versa) range — valid for both reversal and continuation trades. Execute with precision.
NAS100 Is Bearish! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for NAS100.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 21,771.1.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 20,767.2 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
NAS100...Ever The Bullish Instrument Part 39I know I sound like a broken record, however the NAS100's behavior does not make it easier for me to be anything different.
This historically bullish instrument only makes HL to HH's and will continue to do so unless there is a total collapse of the United States economy and the Monthly timeframe would then have to start making LH's to LL's...There would be more than enough time for one to make adjustments to trade that move if that scenario were to happen..
So for all you conspiracy theorists out there who are waiting for a sudden collapse of the markets...NOT GOING TO HAPPEN...
As I have said time and time again, ever sell that the market makes is only a temporary retracement to form a HL on a larger timeframe and so if you are really trading the trend, you just wait for your largest HL to be completed and then you enter your buy back to your HH...that is all that is required...plain and simple.
The sooner you master this practice is the faster you will see phenomenal results in your trading profits and the ease with which the markets produce profits.
Now for the real analysis:
1. The Lowest point of 2025 was made on 4/6/2025 @7:10 pm
2. That signaled the HL on the monthly timeframe.
3. Since then the price has been steadily climbing back towards the previous ATH so that it will break it and produce another ATH
4. Once this ATH has been made, the market will then start creating opportunities for another retracement however, only after the buy has been completed and all the necessary retests have been done
Entry and Exit points
1. Remember once you take your largest HL...your TP will be your HH
2. Once you TP on your HH...you wait for another largest HL to take another buy...
Remember this strategy requires patience and observation of every single timeframe and understanding how every single timeframe talks to each corresponding timeframe.
It does not happen overnight and by reading a few posts...
It requires constant practice and adjustments on your part.
So have another great trading week.
#oneauberstrategy
#auberstrategy
#whywewait
#zigzagtheory
#patience
NASDAQ 100 at Heavy Supply – Time to Sell the Top?The US100 (NASDAQ) has entered a strong supply zone near 21,800, and history suggests this is no time to get greedy…
🧠 Key Observations:
Price is now inside a critical resistance area marked by LuxAlgo’s Supply & Demand indicator.
We've had multiple rejections at this level going back to March.
Momentum is slowing even as price pushes higher — divergence alert 🚨
📉 Potential Drop Zones:
21,765 = immediate resistance-turned-support to watch
19,185 = former consolidation + breakout base (likely bounce zone)
16,948 = demand cluster where bulls are likely to reload
📆 Timing Is Key:
With macro catalysts (⚡🌍📰) scheduled in the coming week — including inflation and Fed signals — volatility could spike and force a sharp move down if sellers take control.
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📌 My Setup:
If price fails to break and hold above 21,800, I’m watching for bearish confirmation to short, targeting 19,185 short-term and 16,948 mid-term.
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💬 What’s your take on NASDAQ?
Do you trust this breakout or is it just another bull trap?
👉 Comment below, leave a ❤️ if this helped, and follow for more chart breakdowns.
USNAS100 – Bearish Bias Below 21780 Ahead of CPI and Trade TalksUSNAS100 – Bearish Pressure Below 21780, CPI & Trade Talks in Focus
Overview:
USNAS100 remains under downward pressure ahead of a key macro week, including US-China trade talks and the upcoming US CPI data.
Technically, price remains bearish while below the pivot level at 21780.
A break below 21635 may lead to further downside toward 21470 and potentially 21360.
On the upside, a 1H close above 21780 could invalidate the bearish view and open the path toward 21920 and the ATH at 22200.
Key Levels:
Pivot: 21780
Support: 21635, 21470, 21360
Resistance: 21920, 22200
SELL NAS100This is my analysis of NAS100. These are the sell confirmations:
1. Doble top
2. Double top aligned with Fair Value Gap
3. Currently retesting the neckline of the double top
4. The trendline has been touched 3 times and therefore it is a weak trendline. It will be broken.
5. Please do not follow my take profit positions - when your profits make you smile, close the trade.
Trade what you see and not what you feel!
NAS100 Technical Analysis – Bearish Rejection at ResistanceNAS100 Technical Analysis – Bearish Rejection at Resistance 🚨
📅 Date: June 6, 2025
📈 Instrument: NAS100 (US Tech 100 Index)
🔍 Chart Overview:
The price action shows a clear rejection from the 21,800 USD resistance zone, marked by two strong bearish wicks (indicated by red arrows 🔴). This level has proven to be a strong supply zone, as sellers repeatedly step in to push prices lower.
🔵 Key Zones:
🔺 Resistance Zone: 21,750 – 21,800 USD
✅ Multiple rejections and bearish pressure.
🔻 Support Zone 1: 21,100 – 21,200 USD
📍 Acts as a mid-range demand zone and a potential take-profit level for short positions.
📉 Support Zone 2 (Major): 20,700 – 20,850 USD
📦 High-probability bounce area due to historical demand.
🔄 Price Action Insight:
The chart outlines a bearish double rejection pattern at the resistance level.
The current candlestick setup suggests bearish momentum, with a potential drop toward the mid-support zone.
If the price breaks below the mid-support, it could cascade down toward the major support near 20,800 USD.
📌 Projected Move:
🔻 From current levels (~21,750), expect:
Pullback from resistance,
Target 1️⃣: 21,100 USD zone,
Target 2️⃣: 20,800 USD major support.
🚫 A clean break and close above 21,800 invalidates the bearish outlook and may trigger a bullish continuation.
✅ Conclusion:
The chart favors a short bias below the resistance zone. Patience is key—wait for confirmation (like a bearish engulfing or break of structure 📉) before entering positions.
📊 Always use risk management. Set stop-loss above resistance in case of reversal.
nasdaq. a good time to sellIn my view, it’s time to sell the Nasdaq. We’ve reached new highs, and last month was the best May in over 30 years — statistically, this alone calls for caution.
Even though the economy appears strong on the surface, and market fears around DAS and Trump have faded, investors are ignoring the real issue: U.S. public debt. This is the elephant in the room.
With recent labor data pointing toward potential weakness, the risk of a major recession is increasing. If employment starts to deteriorate, the U.S. won’t be able to refinance its ever-growing debt. Trillions in interest payments are coming due soon — around $3 trillion, which is equivalent to the entire Italian public debt. The U.S. needs to roll over roughly a third of its debt, and fast.
Given all this, I don’t see any solid reason to be buying Nasdaq at current levels. It’s rallied extremely fast, and I see a retracement toward 20,000 as a realistic scenario — potentially even lower if upcoming economic data disappoints.
Nasdaq 100 - Bearish Elliott Wave CountThe Nasdaq 100 (NDQ) has a completed extended Elliott five wave Impulse pattern from the 04/07/25 bottom.
Three - hour Stochastic is in the overbought zone and on the verge of a bearish cross.
RSI and MACD have bearish divergences.
A break below the rising trendline could be an important sell signal.
NASDAQBearish structure has formed, Waiting for further confirmation before looking for short positions.
SolarFX
Hanzo / Nas100 15 Min ( Accurate Tactical Break Out Zones )🔥 Nas100 – 15 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup)
⚡️ Objective: Precision Breakout Execution
Time Frame: 15-Minute Warfare
Entry Mode: Only after verified breakout — no emotion, no gamble.
👌Bullish After Break : 21825
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
👌Bearish After Break : 21690
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel
➕ Zone Activated: Strategic liquidity layer detected — mapped through refined supply/demand mechanics. Volatility now rising. This isn’t noise — this is bait for the untrained. We're not them.
🩸 Momentum Signature Detected:
Displacement candle confirms directional intent — AI pattern scan active.
— If upward: Bullish momentum burst.
— If downward: Aggressive bearish rejection.
🦸♂️ Tactical Note:
The kill shot only comes after the trap is exposed and volume betrays their position.
Hanzo / Nas100 15 Min ( Accurate Tactical Break Out Zones )
New High. Flat Divergence Bearish Divergence due to highs within price action with a double top on our RSI index. Ultimately we're in a large chopping block waiting to be released. If you assess SPX prior to downfall, you don't see unusual large rejections, it's progressive and it has been for a while. Safe bets... to 21,400
Stocks on the rise...The NASDAQ is on its way to print a new ATH. Shoutout to the lads still waiting on a 2008-style meltdown.
NASDAQ 100 - Potential TargetsDear Friends in Trading,
How I see it: (Upside seems limited)
** NFP DATA RELEASE TODAY - Be safe!
Key Resistance @ 21700 - 21800
Potential Targets - "SHORT"
1] 21388.00
2] 21288.00
3] 21188.00
I sincerely hope my point of view offers you a valued insight.
Thank you for taking the time to study my analysis.
USTECH (Nasdaq) Daily Trade SetupIn this update we review the recent price action in the Nasdaq and identify the next high-probability trading opportunity and price objectives to target. To review today's video analysis, click here!
we all have eyes right?buy every base. lets take this to olympus, moon, maybe the sun. this is bullish.
