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NASDAQ 100 Bullish Breakout Potential: What to Watch NextI'm currently monitoring the NASDAQ 100 (NAS100) very closely. Building on yesterday’s outlook, we've now seen a clear bullish structural shift — price is holding firm above a recent higher high and higher low, suggesting the early stages of a potential trend continuation 📈 Zooming into the 30-minute chart, we can track price action more precisely. I’m watching for a decisive break above the current range high on this timeframe. If we get the break → retest → rejection pattern, this would confirm bullish momentum and provide a long opportunity 🚀 Should this scenario play out, we could also see JPY pairs strengthen to the upside, as a risk-on sentiment flows through the markets 🧭 🔍 This setup is developing — as always, patience and precision are key.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by fxtraderanthony
NASDAQ Analysis: Navigating Uncertainty in a Shifting LandscapeThe NASDAQ has been on a rollercoaster ride lately 🎢, reflecting both global macro shifts and sector-specific dynamics. After dipping into bear market territory earlier in the year, the index has rebounded strongly, powered by mega-cap tech and the ongoing AI boom 🤖. However, the mood remains cautious as investors weigh political and economic cross-currents. Note how price action is stalling at the current level. Fundamentals & Earnings 💼 Earnings Resilience: Q1 2025 earnings for NASDAQ heavyweights were robust, with tech giants posting double-digit growth. Yet, forward guidance is more muted, as companies brace for the impact of higher tariffs and global supply chain adjustments. Valuations: The recent rally has pushed forward P/E ratios well above long-term averages, making the market more sensitive to any negative surprises 📈. AI & Innovation: Capital expenditure on AI is set to exceed$300 billion this year, keeping the sector in the spotlight and fueling optimism for long-term growth. Political & Geopolitical Factors 🌍 Trade Policy: The U.S. and China have agreed to a temporary pause on new tariffs, easing some immediate concerns. However, the average effective tariff rate remains much higher than last year, and uncertainty lingers as legal challenges and further negotiations loom. Fiscal Policy: U.S. deficit worries are back in focus, with new legislation projected to add trillions to the national debt over the next decade. This has contributed to higher Treasury yields and a weaker dollar 💵. Global Competition: International equities have outperformed U.S. stocks over the past six months, but history suggests this may be stretched, and a reversal could be on the horizon. Market Sentiment & Technicals 📊 Volatility: While volatility has eased from its spring highs, sentiment remains fragile. Consumer and business confidence indices are at multi-year lows, even as hard economic data (like jobless claims) remains resilient. Sector Rotation: Growth and cyclical sectors—especially tech, consumer discretionary, and industrials—have led the rebound, but investors are increasingly selective, favoring companies with strong fundamentals and global reach. Outlook: The NASDAQ is cautiously optimistic for the second half of 2025. The market is pricing in a couple of Fed rate cuts by year-end, but the path forward depends on inflation trends, trade clarity, and corporate earnings. Key Takeaways 🚦 The NASDAQ is in recovery mode, but faces headwinds from trade policy, fiscal uncertainty, and stretched valuations. Political developments—especially around tariffs and fiscal policy—will be key drivers of volatility. Long-term, the AI and tech innovation wave remains a powerful tailwind, but near-term caution is warranted. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Markets are volatile and subject to rapid change. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by fxtraderanthony
NAS100 - Stock market awaits an important week!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is trading in the specified pattern. If it does not rise again above the broken trend line, I expect a correction. If the index returns above the broken trend line, we can expect a new ATH to be recorded on the Nasdaq. It is better to wait for confirmation on the breakout in order to control further risk. Last week, U.S. stock markets—particularly the Nasdaq index—experienced significant volatility, driven by a combination of economic and geopolitical factors: • A reduction in trade tensions due to ongoing U.S.-China negotiations • The release of inflation indicators • Heightened geopolitical tensions According to Politico, as G7 leaders meet in Canada, the escalating conflict between Israel and Iran will top the agenda. Politico reported that leaders of the free world have gathered in the Rocky Mountains to discuss the very real threat of a full-scale war in the Middle East. The initial sessions of the G7 summit will take place in Kananaskis, where the worsening Israel-Iran conflict will be the primary focus. Donald Trump, who in recent days has fueled tensions through social media, is now expected to join discussions aimed at de-escalation. On the economic front, lower-than-expected inflation in May could encourage the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates sooner than markets had previously anticipated. On Wednesday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that inflation rose 2.4% in May compared to a year earlier. Housing costs were identified as the primary driver of this inflation, while price increases in categories most affected by high tariffs were not as pronounced as economists had expected. So far this year, the Fed has refrained from cutting its benchmark interest rate, citing concerns that tariffs might push consumer prices higher. While the likelihood of a rate cut at this week’s meeting remains low, the latest report could ease some of these worries and accelerate the timeline for potential cuts. Meanwhile, Bloomberg reported that a growing group of President Trump’s advisers is urging him to consider Besant for the Fed chair position. Jerome Powell’s current term extends until May 2026, and he was originally nominated by Trump in November 2017. Other names reportedly under consideration include Kevin Warsh (considered a favored candidate), Kevin Hassett (head of the White House National Economic Council), Christopher Waller (a current Fed board member), and David Malpass (former World Bank president). After a week dominated by U.S. inflation data, investor attention in the coming days will shift toward central bank decisions and potential signals regarding the future path of interest rates. The trading week kicks off Monday with the Empire State Manufacturing Index, offering an initial snapshot of the industrial sector in New York. Later that day, the Bank of Japan will announce its first interest rate decision, an event that could shape Asian market trends and the yen’s valuation. On Tuesday, May’s U.S. retail sales data will be released—a key indicator of consumer strength. Signs of weakness in this report could bolster expectations for rate cuts. Wednesday will be the focal point of the week, as the Federal Reserve announces its policy decision. While markets have already priced in a pause in tightening, investors will scrutinize Jerome Powell’s remarks for clues on the likelihood of rate cuts in the months ahead. Additionally, data on May housing starts and weekly jobless claims will also be released that day. On Thursday, with U.S. markets closed for Juneteenth, attention will turn to monetary policy decisions from the Swiss National Bank and the Bank of England. Changes in tone or interest rates from these key European central banks could influence currency market volatility. Finally, the week will conclude Friday with the release of the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index—a leading indicator closely watched by traders for insights into the health of the manufacturing sector in the U.S. East.
CAPITALCOM:US100
by Ali_PSND
Smart money NASDAQ analysis 🚦 SMART MONEY SIGNAL – NASDAQ H4 You're on the 4-hour (H4) timeframe. Price tapped the 200 EMA (white line) — commonly seen as a Smart Money Demand Zone. Strong bullish candle formed = possible rejection from an institutional level. RSI at 47 = neutral zone, still room to go higher. --- 📊 Smart Money Interpretation: 🟢 Market Structure: Liquidity sweep below (stop-loss hunt under 200 EMA). Bullish rejection candle = clear sign of Smart Money involvement. 🔻 Liquidity Grab: Price broke the recent low then quickly reversed = manipulation phase complete. Likely H4 Bullish Order Block formed (area of institutional buying). --- ✅ Entry Signal (Buy Setup) 🔹 Direction: Buy / Long 🔹 Entry Zone (Buy Limit): 🔸 Between 21,650 and 21,680 🔹 Stop Loss: 🔸 Just below the wick = 21,570 🔹 Take Profit Levels: TP1: 21,900 TP2: 22,000 > Targeting imbalance fill + possible structure break 🔹 Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2 to 1:3 (solid for Smart Money setups) --- 🔁 Entry Confirmation (Lower Timeframe): Wait for price to pull back into the H4 Order Block. Look for M15 or M5 bullish reaction (pin bar or bullish engulfing). RSI > 50 on M30 or H1 = momentum confirmation 🧠 Pro Tip (Smart Money Style): Draw the H4 Order Block (last bearish candle before the move up). If price returns to this area and shows a strong bullish reaction — you’ve got a high-probability institutional entry. Talion-promosale -
TVC:NDQLong
by Talion-promosale
NASDAQ - Medium term prediction - 16/06/25On the NQ around 21,638, I’d estimate roughly: Rally up through 22,248 first ~60% Slide down through 21,024 first ~40% Why? Up-trend bias: Since the April low (≈16,000), the market has been in a strong rally, clearing multiple interim highs. Resistance vs. support: 22,248 has capped rallies twice (Jan & Feb), so a break would be bullish but not guaranteed. Meanwhile 21,024 flipped to support in late May. Momentum: The recent pullback from 22,000 was shallow, and daily MACD/RSI remain in bullish territory, suggesting a higher chance to retest the upper line before failing.
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by Gamblers-Fallacy
Venta en Nasdaq impulsada por volatilidad macroeconómicaThe Nasdaq presents a technical short opportunity following a strong reaction to volatility triggered by recent macroeconomic events. This pressure has activated a risk-off environment, with capital flowing out of tech assets into safe havens like the dollar or bonds. The price is respecting a bearish structure on higher timeframes and, after a technical pullback into supply zones, rejection is confirmed with volume and reversal candlesticks. I expect bearish continuation as long as key levels remain intact and macro uncertainty persists. 📍 Trade based on price action and fundamental context. ⚠️ Risk is managed according to the trading plan, adjustable based on macro developments.
EIGHTCAP:NDQ100Short
by axelmatiasilva
1
SNIPER Smart money NASDAQ 🟢 Smart Money Sniper Analysis – NASDAQ (US100) H4 ✒️ By Talion-Promosale 📅 June 12, 2025 🔹 Current Price: 21,867 🔹 RSI(14): 52.49 (neutral to slightly bullish momentum) 🔹 Market Structure: Bullish – price forming higher lows above key EMAs 🔹 Price is above the 200 EMA (white), and testing the 50 EMA (red) 🔹 Smart Money Zone: Last bullish order block between 21,700 – 21,740 --- 🎯 Trading Signal – BUY (Smart Money Sniper Setup) Sniper Entry Zone: 21,700 – 21,740 (Bullish Order Block + dynamic EMA support) Confirmation Entry: Above 21,870 Take Profit 1 (TP1): 22,000 Take Profit 2 (TP2): 22,150 Stop Loss (SL): 21,620 💡 Context: Price action remains bullish, supported by the 200 EMA and a clean rejection near the 50 EMA. RSI is above 50, indicating potential for upward continuation. The Smart Money zone between 21,700 and 21,740 serves as an ideal sniper re-entry area. If price re-tests this order block with bullish rejection candles, it presents a high-probability buy opportunity. A break and close above 21,870 confirms momentum toward 22,000 and higher. --- ⛔ Invalidation: A strong bearish close below 21,620 on the H4 chart would invalidate the bullish scenario.
TVC:NDQLong
by Talion-promosale