Products
Community
Markets
Brokers
More

Markets
Bonds
USB10YUSD
Ideas

US 10Y T-Note

No trades

See on Supercharts

Overview

Ideas

USB10YUSD trade ideas

USB10Y Monthly Outlook March 2023 Fundamental Analysis With NFP around the corner, I wanted to do a fundamental breakdown of the US economy. US Dollar strength has been sustained although economic indicators are showing signs of recession. The crypto market is showing signs of a possible bullish reversal.

Long

by FFCPROPFARM

USTN10.f Up Textbook trade. First leg down showed full conviction. Second leg is active.

Long

by jforex78

Treasury market seeing a bounce - #bonds The market for the 10 year treasury notes has seen to bottom out for now as we are getting come clear bids coming through in the market. As we speak, the market has bounce off of 118.770 and appears to be testing the 120 handle to the upside. Further resistance can be found at 120.25 and 121 if we could get more buying momentum coming in. If not, we will likely to a retest to the most recent low on the downside at 118.770.

by GhostSquawk

3% on the 10 year treasury yield - #bonds Powell's message from yesterdays meeting was received by the markets load and clear; 50 bips is coming at the next meeting. This forward guidance by the FED has been the primary driver of higher yields in the markets over the last several weeks. Now that we are sitting at 3% on the 10 year treasury yield and still having not bottomed out, we are likely to test the next level to the downside in the bond market. That level can be found at approx. 117 or roughly 3.25% on the yields.

Short

by GhostSquawk

Ranging bond market - #bonds #yields #recession The 10 year treasury note saw a small bounce after nearly hitting 3% on the yields. Since then we only recover a few points and began to establish a sideway trading range at 120.3 and 118.78. As of now those are the key levels to watch in the bond market as this market decides to take a breather from the most recent selloff.

by GhostSquawk

Bond market hit 3% and bounced - #bonds The 10 year treasury market hit 2.98% overnight, just 2 bips shy of the 3% mark before rallying back up. As we mentioned earlier in the week, the 3% target was the likely area the treasury market wanted to revisit so it would be likely that it will see buyers coming in around there. As of now, the risk on nature in the overall markets suggest that the treasury market could come back and retest that low level in the bond market. There is no distinct levels for the 10 year treasury market until we get to 117.60 or around 3.25%. We will continue to monitor the weakness in the bond market for further signs of economic risk.

by GhostSquawk

Bond market settling in at 2.9% yield - #bonds The treasury market has been dropping hard with a predicted target at 3% on the yield. Currently we are only sitting at 2.9%, which means we still have another 10 bips to fall before the market is satisfy with pricing in the aggressive FED tightening cycle. We are looking for a break of the most recent low at 119.45 and the next target for the 10 year treasury note can be found at 117.60.

Short

by GhostSquawk

Bond market correcting back up - #bonds The bond market appears to making a corrective wave back up after creating a new weekly low. As we move higher in the bonds, the technical analysis is suggesting to us that a short term reverse head and shoulder may be building up. With the neckline at 121.35, a break of this resistance can quickly see bonds trading back towards the 122.07 or 123.10 levels.

Long

by GhostSquawk

More weakness in bonds - #bonds The bond market continues its march towards 3% yield in the price action as we made a new daily low in the 10 year. At this point its a matter of when the bond market sell off will take us to 3%, not if. With a slew of economic and central banking data being released this week, its highly likely that we get there sooner rather than later. Next target in the price for the 10 year treasury market is at 117.60.

Short

by GhostSquawk

Another day, another new low in bonds - #bonds Bond market continues to see selling pressure from the market as the hawkish fed is driven investors out of the safe asset. As we currently sit at the 120 handle in bonds, we are seeing further selling pressure to the start of this week and a move towards 3% yield is likely to happen. This means the price for bonds can continue to drop further towards 117.60 area.

Short

by GhostSquawk

Bonds continues to price in rate hikes - #bonds The 10 year treasury market continues to price in further rate hikes from the fed by selling off. This has driven the price down to our support level 120.25. Any further deterioration in the bond market and we can see the yields start driving towards the 3% mark or further downside in the bond market towards the 117.60 level.

Short

by GhostSquawk

Bonds headed towards 3% - #bonds The bond market continues to sell off further while pricing in the FED rate hikes. As of this week, we have already touched the 2.66% and likely will be headed towards the 3% handle, taking the bond prices much lower as we go there. Key levels to watch for to the downside would be at 120.25 and 117.60 zone.

by GhostSquawk

Treasury yield hit 2.66% overnight - #Bonds #recession The bond market trade lower in the overnight session driving the yields on the 10 year towards 2.66%. At this rate, all the FED hawkishness will likely keep pushing the yields towards 3%, perhaps even 3.25%. As for the price, that means trading around 120.50 at the current rate with more downside pressure to get the price of bonds trading around 117.60 to the downside.

Short

by GhostSquawk

treasury notes looking weak - #bonds The bond market has seen further selling in the overnight session while still maintaining the range of 123.12 resistance and the floor price at 121.15. Currently looks like the bond market wants to retest the lows set back last week as we enter the NA trading session. With a slew of FED speakers scheduled to speak today, its likely that any further hawkish tones from the central bank could take bond prices down further as they tried to wheel in inflationary pressure.

Short

by GhostSquawk

Bonds Catching Bids - #bonds After bottoming out at 2.55% on the 10 year treasury yields last week, bonds seems ready to move high. We have made a new lower high and appear to find more buyers coming in. With that say, there is currently levels at 123.12 and 123.60 to watch out for if bonds continue to see more bids coming at the start of the month of April.

Long

by GhostSquawk

Bond market bounces - #bonds The bond market catch a bounce to our resistance point during the previous trading session to settle into the 123.20 area. As we get close to the Payrolls Number from Friday, one of two things is likely to happen: remain neutral or priced in bias. The day before the payrolls release usually will be a strong tell tale sign from the bond market as to what those numbers are expected to be when release. Therefore, monitoring the bond market today will provide a clue as to what's expected.

by GhostSquawk

Bond market is flashing red - #bonds The 2-10 year spread inverted for the first time since 2019 and is suggesting a recession is imminent. The 10 year treasury note catch a bounce back to the 123.12 level in the overnight trading session and has since pulled back from resistance. With a slew of data being released this morning, its hard to pin point which direction the bond market wants to trade in, however, if we expand or timeframe further out we can see that the trend is clearly down. Watch out for event volatility that can drive prices back up to the 123.12 or 123.58 level. Both of which would be good levels to short at.

Short

by GhostSquawk

Bond market sell off continues - #bond The bond pushes forward with its slide lower as we settle at the 2.5% mark on the yield and look to the next levels. Currently 2.75 and 3% seem to be the ideal targets that bond traders are gunning for. The follow yield levels on the bond prices would be at 120.8 or 117.80 respectively.

Short

by GhostSquawk

Bond market collapsing overnight - #bonds The bond market made another new lower low in the overnight trading session. Its becoming clear to bond market participants that the FED and central bankers around the way are serious about fighting inflation. As of now, the yields on the 10 year hit 2.56% overnight and is likely going to continue to go this way until something breaks. Next target for the bond market would be 2.75% yield with bond prices at 120.80 or 3% on the 10 year at 117.80.

Short

by GhostSquawk

Bonds are oversold - #bond FED members have been hard at work this week reiterating to the markets their stance on interest rates. As a result the bond market has been selling off quite a bit, bottoming out the 122.65 level. We believe that this bottom will hold for now and that a bounce is likely to happen going into the Friday close. As a result, we will be looking for short target to the upside for today. There are levels to be found at 123.57 and 124.26.

Long

by GhostSquawk

Bonds looking to catch some bids - #bonds After creating a new low at the 129.92 area yesterday we are currently trying to retest that level again. With the current market sentiment looking towards risk off, its highly likely that this will be the bottom of bond market for today as we try to hold these levels to rotate back up. Watch out for resistance at the fib levels to the upside at 124.25, 125 handle or 125.30.

Long

by GhostSquawk

New lows in the bond market - #bonds After making another new low in the European trading session, the 10 year treasury note is getting a small bounce as we enter the NA trading session. Current market sentiment would suggest further selling in the 10 year taking it down to the 120.25 area. However, after a tremendous selloff like this, we believe a relief bounce is likely to take place. Ideally, we would like to see the 10 year treasury note bounce up to test on of the fib levels at 124.20, 125.18 or 126.07.

Long

by GhostSquawk

Bond market looking to retest support - #bonds The 10 year treasury note is still falling further despite the 25 dips rate hike from Powell last week. It seems that the bond market is getting the memo on the fact that the FED wants to continue to remain hawkish, leaving ever rate hike on the table. As such. the momentum to the the downside has not let off. Currently we are looking to see if the level from last week at 124 handle will continue to hold as support or if it break down further.

Short

by GhostSquawk

11 22 33 44 55

…999999

Love in every #TradingView

100M+

Traders and investors use our platform.

Top website in the world when it comes to all things investing.

1.5M+

Mobile reviews with 4.9 average rating. No other fintech apps are more loved.

10M+

Custom scripts and ideas shared by our users.

@i_am_mauricee_

@letstalkstocks_

@WaltherCrypto

@jordan_fx_

@roxanna_fx

@ya_tu_sabes_1983

@tradingjunkies.shop

@mytradingsetup

@Cenobar

@ryan_kelly_forex_trader

@brybrekoz_

@ya_tu_sabes_1983

@most_luxurious_lifestyle

@stocktcm

@baldurmedina

@tobiasfrx

@marco_costanza_94

@voyager_far_and_wide

Whatever the trade

Here's why Here's why

Products

Supercharts
Pine Script®
Stock Screener
ETF Screener
Bond Screener
Crypto Coins Screener
CEX Screener
DEX Screener
Stock Heatmap
ETF Heatmap
Crypto Heatmap
Economic Calendar
Earnings Calendar
Sparks
News
TradingView Desktop
Mobile app
CME Group futures
Eurex futures
US stocks bundle

Company

About
Features
Pricing
Social network
Wall of Love
Athletes
Manifesto
Careers
Blog
Security vulnerability
Status page
Terms of use
Disclaimer
Privacy policy
Cookies policy
Media kit
Accessibility statement
Tarot cards for traders
TradingView merch store

Community

Refer a friend
Ideas
Scripts
House rules
Moderators
Pine Wizards
Pine freelancers
Chat

For business

Widgets
Advertising
Charting libraries
Lightweight Charts™
Advanced Charts
Trading Platform
Brokerage integration
Partner program
Education program