BUY OILCrude oil is giving us a buying opportunity. Targets 70.000 stops 67.284 use proper risk management.
OILUSD trade ideas
Crude oil - selling pressure again?
Crude prices were firmer in early trade this morning, making back a proportion of yesterday’s sharp losses. The jump came after the US said that it plans to purchase crude oil to replenish its Strategic Petroleum Reserve. But the gains so far fall well short of what’s needed to take crude back to Friday’s close which saw front-month WTI trading close to $72 per barrel. Oil gapped lower as it reopened on Sunday night as details emerged of Israel’s retaliation for Iran’s missile bombardment earlier this month. Israel’s attack focused on military targets, including Iranian air defences, as well as missile and drone production and launch facilities. There was widespread relief that Israel chose not to attack Iran’s oil and nuclear infrastructure, and this in turn could give Iran a way out from taking tit-for-tat measures with all the escalation risk such a move would have. So, with oil supply from the region still unaffected, and global demand growth forecast to slow further, it looks as if the path of least resistance is down, at least in the medium term. Front-month WTI could be in the process of completing a near-text book head and shoulders pattern, particularly if prices were to retest the September lows around $65.
Crude Oil (WTI) may rise to 69.90 - 70.65Pivot
67.85
Our preference
Long positions above 67.85 with targets at 69.90 & 70.65 in extension.
Alternative scenario
Below 67.85 look for further downside with 67.25 & 66.70 as targets.
Comment
The RSI is bullish and calls for further upside.
Supports and resistances
71.35
70.65
69.90
68.94 Last
67.85
67.25
66.70
Number of asterisks represents the strength of support and resistance levels.
Bearish reversal off 50% Fibonacci resistance?USO/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 70.14
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 72.32
Why we like it:
There is a an overlap resistance level that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 68.39
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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Bearish reversal?WTI oil (XTI/USD) is rising towards the pivot which acts as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the pullback support level.
Pivot: 709.24
1st Support: 68.44
1st Resistance: 72.88
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USOIL BULLS ARE STRONG HERE|LONG
Hello, Friends!
It makes sense for us to go long on USOIL right now from the support line below with the target of 71.76 because of the confluence of the two strong factors which are the general uptrend on the previous 1W candle and the oversold situation on the lower TF determined by it’s proximity to the lower BB band.
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Crude Oil WTI, final leg downWTI in the final leg towards long term support (62$). Around that price level, you can find multiple prior lows, the lower Mogalef volatility band, the YTD VWAP 3 SD band, and very oversold levels
Note that below that support level, there's nothing stopping the price from going down to the 43$ level, as very little volume was traded in the 40$ to 60$ range and there's no strong pivot points.
Please share your thoughts!
WTI - How will oil react to the elections?!In the 4H timeframe, oil is below the EMA200 and EMA50 and is moving in its descending channel. In case of rising due to increasing tensions, we can see the ceiling of the channel and sell in that range with appropriate risk reward. If the downward trend continues and the support range is broken, you can buy oil at the bottom of the downward channel.
Under President Joe Biden, U.S. oil and gas production has reached new records, and the outcome of the U.S. election is unlikely to significantly impact commodities like energy in the short term. Analysts at Capital Economics believe that the election result will have minimal influence on most commodity prices over the next few months.
However, differences in candidates’ views on vehicle greenhouse gas emissions, liquefied natural gas (LNG) exports, and foreign policy toward Iran could notably impact oil and gas prices over the next five years.
The CEO of Goldman Sachs stated that the U.S. economy is very resilient, expressing concerns over global inflation, spending, and the U.S. budget deficit. He advised focusing on the long-term interest rates in the U.S.
Solomon emphasized the importance of U.S. long-term interest rates and mentioned that the Federal Reserve will base its 2025 decisions on economic data. He also noted that geopolitical impacts on Goldman Sachs’ business are minimal but voiced concerns about geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
Yesterday, Saudi Arabia’s energy minister announced that the country remains committed to maintaining a production capacity of 12.3 million barrels of crude oil per day.
In Q3, British Petroleum (BP) reported a net profit of $2.3 billion, exceeding analysts’ expectations. This compares to $2.8 billion in Q2 and $3.3 billion in Q3 2023. BP shares have declined by over 14% since the start of the year.
BP is also targeting new investments in the Middle East and the Gulf of Mexico to boost oil and gas production. A BP spokesperson stated that the company will continue as a simpler, more focused, and higher-value entity. Other oil companies like Shell and Total are also preparing to release their quarterly reports shortly.
Potential bullish reversal?USO/USD is reacting on the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 67.63
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Stop loss: 65.52
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level .
Take profit: 70.16
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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CRUDE OIL Potential Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
CRUDE OIL made a huge
Gap down recently and
The price has almost
Reached a horizontal
Support of 66.50$
From where we will be
Expecting a local
Bullish correction
Buy!
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WTI Oil H4 | Potential bearish breakoutWTI oil (USOIL) is falling towards a potential breakout level where the bearish momentum could drive it lower.
Sell entry is at 67.16 which is a potential breakout level.
Stop loss is at 68.20 which is a level that sits above the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level and a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 65.64 which is a swing-low support.
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WTI creates a price gap, room for price declineTVC:USOIL dropped sharply in the Asian trading session today, October 28, at press time WTI crude oil maintained a decrease of 3dollars on the day, equivalent to 4.18% and is currently trading at 68.6USD/barrel.
The current risk aversion in the geopolitical situation has subsided. Israel's weekend retaliatory strike against Iran bypassed Tehran's oil and nuclear infrastructure without disrupting energy supplies, easing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and further weakening pressure on the supply side, at the same time causing disadvantages for rising oil prices.
With the US election approaching and demand expected to show no signs of recovery, some fundamental pressures have returned, causing the energy market to fall into a negative state again.
Technically, on the daily chart of TVC:USOIL It created a GAP jump right at the opening of trading earlier this week and recovered slightly from the upper edge of the price channel.
Although WTI crude oil recovered, it still has not reached the closest support level with the target of around 67.14 - 66.44USD, so WTI crude oil still has the ability to fall further before "filling the GAP".
Usually, price gaps are filled, but this is sometimes not immediate, it can happen over the next one or more months, the important thing in trading is that it depends on the trend.
WTI crude oil has been under pressure from the EMA21 moving average. Note to readers in the previous issue of WTI crude oil, along with that, the Relative Strength Index broke down from the 50 level, showing that The downside potential is very wide and the slope of the RSI also shows a huge downward momentum.
Technically, WTI crude oil has enough pressure to decrease in price with main resistance at EMA21 and the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level. Along with the downtrend, notable technical levels of WTI crude oil will be listed as follows.
Support: 67.14 – 66.44USD
Resistance: 68.59 – 69.73 – 70.56USD
US-Oil will further push upside After Testing TrendlineHello Traders
In This Chart XTIUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today XTIUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (XTIUSD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on XTIUSD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Risk-on Risk-off Report, October 29, 2024October 29, 2024. Market sentiment reflects a cautious risk-off environment. Factors contributing to this include ongoing geopolitical tensions, such as the Israel-Gaza conflict and Russia-Ukraine situation, which increase market volatility and drive investors toward safe-haven assets.
Currency Movements and Bond Yields:
Safe-Haven Currencies: The Japanese yen (JPY) and Swiss franc (CHF) have strengthened, typical in risk-off periods. The U.S. dollar (USD) remains strong, especially against risk-oriented currencies like the Australian (AUD) and New Zealand dollars (NZD), which have weakened as investors avoid riskier markets.
High-Yielding Currencies : Commodity currencies like the CAD, AUD, and NZD are currently facing selling pressure, reflecting an overall aversion to risk in forex trading. This is evident in the downtrend for AUD/USD, with further bearish sentiment expected as investors shift focus away from risk assets.
Bond Yields : Short-term bond yields in the U.S., Canada, and other developed economies remain high but are starting to plateau due to concerns about long-term economic stability and potential adjustments in monetary policies. Japan’s Bank of Japan has hinted at possible rate normalization, which could see gradual rate increases ahead.
Commodities:
Gold: Demand for gold, a traditional safe haven, has increased, buoyed by both its safe-haven appeal and an anticipated easing in U.S. rates. The commodity’s upward trend is expected to continue, especially if risk aversion remains high.
Crude Oil and Natural Gas : Crude oil prices have been volatile but are somewhat supported by constrained OPEC+ production. However, natural gas prices face downward pressure from a supply overhang in the U.S. and subdued global demand.
Stock Indices:
Global stock indices, including those in the U.S. (S&P 500), Europe (DAX), and Japan (Nikkei), are under pressure. The U.S. indices, in particular, are vulnerable to declining earnings outlooks and inflation concerns, making them less attractive amidst risk-off sentiment. Japanese markets reflect a similar pattern, affected by both local and global risk factors.
Crypto Market:
The total crypto market cap is facing headwinds, with limited upward momentum in Bitcoin and other leading cryptos, as investors remain cautious about volatile assets during risk-off periods. Meme coins, known for their speculative nature, have seen reduced interest.
Influential News and Events:
The Forex Factory economic calendar lists significant upcoming central bank announcements and economic data releases, with the Federal Reserve's stance on rate cuts closely watched. Bank of Japan board members have also hinted at a gradual approach to rate normalization, reflecting heightened caution in economic adjustments. In addition, global geopolitical issues, especially in the Middle East, are adding uncertainty, bolstering demand for safe-haven assets like USD, CHF, and JPY.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. The information provided is for general informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial or investment advice. Always consult with a professional financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
USOIL - SELL Wait for a break and close below 71.45. This helps confirm the market's direction and minimizes the risk of false breakouts.
BUY CL / USOILBeen a while since I last posted a trade, today I'm sharing with you this trade on CL / USOIL, you can but at the level showing on the chart, SL and TP take the same ones as mine.
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USOILUSOIL seems like it might complete this bearish wave and start going long. Look out for a bounce around these support areas. WAIT for price to respect and give breakout. It's a big move no need to catch the reversal. Overall we are in a complex correction. For now we are completing a linking structure normally it will retrace the previous move by 1.2 - 1.618
USOIL BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are now examining the USOIL pair and we can see that the pair is going up locally while also being in a uptrend on the 1W TF. But there is also a powerful signal from the BB upper band being nearby, indicating that the pair is overbought so we can go short from the resistance line above and a target at 68.29 level.
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CRUDE OIL Bearish Bias! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
CRUDE OIL is already making
A bearish pullback from
The horizontal resistance
Of 72.54$ so we are bearish
Biased locally so we will be
Expecting a further move down
Sell!
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Hi, crude is following a pattern could take a support Crude is following a nice pattern also making a triangle pattern in weekly and monthly tf,
could try to takes support at the lower tl or triangle low ,will try to give important levels below
Drill baby, drill - oil price to follow down underground?Predicting the price of oil is risky business.. So many factors at play, and so many factors out of anyone’s control, influenced by world events and the actions of unpredictable players. So do your own research, base your decisions on your beliefs. Here’s my two cents.
The US president elect has stated he will open the wells on drilling, fracking and anything else that can produce oil. Increased supply - reduced price. Tension between Iran and Israel will likely soften, in the way that Iran will think twice about retaliating the Israeli attack now that a more direct person is at the wheel in the US. That being said, his takeover is still a few months away, but the sitting President has now nothing to lose. And, we are heading into winter, with reduced gasoline demand. The attached chart shows a horizontal channel, however I don’t think that is relevant in this situation. World events take the driving seat, and I believe oil price will decent going forward.
CRUDE OIL WILL GO DOWN|SHORT|
✅CRUDE OIL has retested a key resistance level of 72.50$
And as the price is already making a bearish pullback
A move down to retest the demand level below at 69.40$ is likely
SHORT🔥
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