OILUSD trade ideas
OIL: Sideways - Waiting for R2/S2 BreakoutsOil has been in a clear sideways consolidation for several days, reflecting a period of indecision in the market. While this tight range holds, a patient approach to trading is warranted. A long position will be considered if a confirmed breakout and sustained price action above R2 occur, indicating strong bullish momentum. Conversely, if oil breaks down and holds below S2, a short position will be initiated, anticipating further bearish movement. This current consolidation phase suggests a significant directional move is likely imminent, and observation of these key resistance and support levels will be crucial for entry signals.
USOIL:Narrow trading strategy
USOIL: There is no update in the past two days, because the oil price still continues to fluctuate in a narrow range, and the space for volatility is gradually reduced, which is not very different from our overall trading idea. The original long target of 65.9-66.4 can be adjusted to 65.8-66.2 with the reduction of the space for volatility. It is expected that the trend will come out this week, and we will adjust our thinking then.
Friends who do not trade at present can refer to the interval trading strategy within a day:
BUY@64.7-65
TP: 65.8 to 66.2
SELL@65.8-66.2
TP: 64.7-65
More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here ↗↗↗
Keep updated, come to "get" ↗↗↗
USOIL:Today's trading strategy
Oil prices have been sideways for the fourth trading day, volatility began to narrow, the market is brewing a new round of trend, short-term range 64-66.4. Today you can sell high and buy low around a narrow range.
Trading Strategy:
BUY@64.7-65.1
TP: 65.9-66.4
SELL: 66-66.4
TP: 65.1-64.5
More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here ↗↗↗
Keep updated, come to "get" ↗↗↗
Latest Long - Short Trading Recommendations for Crude OilDuring Monday's Asian trading session, international oil prices fell, primarily due to the combined impact of eased geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and expectations of OPEC+ production increases, which raised market supply outlooks. Although the two major benchmark oil prices recorded their largest weekly decline since March 2023 last week, they are still set to post consecutive monthly gains for June, with increases exceeding 5% each. The market had previously surged due to Middle East tensions. Since Israel struck Iranian nuclear facilities on June 13, the situation rapidly deteriorated, and the U.S. subsequently air-raided Iranian nuclear targets, pushing Brent prices to briefly surge above $80 per barrel. Current oil price movements are clearly constrained by a dual influence of geopolitics and supply expectations. While geopolitical conflicts have temporarily eased, the long-term stability of the Middle East situation remains uncertain. On the other hand, the game between OPEC+'s orderly production increase and insufficient U.S. shale oil production momentum will determine the direction of oil price fluctuations in the coming months. Against the backdrop of a moderate global economic recovery, oil prices maintaining a range of $60-70 per barrel may become a short-term norm.
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Trading Strategy:
sell@66.3-66.9
TP:63.1-63.3
USOIL:Sharing of the Latest Trading StrategyAll the trading signals last week have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉
Fundamental Analysis:
The ceasefire agreement between Israel and Iran has eased tensions in the Middle East, the primary factor behind the recent decline in oil prices. Meanwhile, market rumors suggest the U.S. may ease sanctions on Iran, which—if realized—would raise expectations of increased crude supply and further pressure oil prices.
Additionally, OPEC+ plans to continue increasing production by 411,000 barrels per day in July, with supply growth expectations exerting long-term downward pressure on oil.
Technical Analysis (4-Hour Chart):
USOIL prices have pulled back from highs and currently hover near $65.20, approaching the S2 pivot point at around $64.69 and the 4-hour 200-period moving average. The prior appearance of a long candlestick may signal short-term support.
Notwithstanding, the current market remains in a bearish trend, so the strategy prioritizes buying on rebounds.
Trading Strategy:
Sell@67-66
TP:65-64
WTI Oil H1 | Rising into an overlap resistanceWTI oil (USOIL) is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 66.82 which is an overlap resistance that aligns closely with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 70.90 which is a level that sits above the 50% Fibonacci retracement and a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 62.51 which is a multi-swing-low support.
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Losses can exceed deposits.
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USOIL HEIST ALERT: Thief Entry Loaded – Target Locked!🚨 The Ultimate US OIL / WTI Heist Plan – Thief Trading Style 🎯💸
Hey Money Makers, Hustlers, Market Bandits! 🌍
Hola, Ola, Bonjour, Hallo, Marhaba! 👋🌟
We’re back with a slick WTI energy market heist based on our 🔥Thief Trading Style🔥—powered by a mix of technical & fundamental strategies. The vault is wide open and the bullish loot awaits!
🗺️ Strategy Brief:
We’re aiming for a clean bullish getaway near the high-risk MA zone—where traps are set and bearish robbers lurk. Watch out for overbought zones, trend reversals, and consolidation ambushes.
📈 Entry Point:
“The vault is open! Enter the bullish heist at will.”
Look to place Buy Limit Orders around swing highs/lows or pullback levels on the 15m–30m timeframe.
🛑 Stop Loss:
Set your Thief SL around the recent swing low using the 3H timeframe (example: 60.300).
Adjust based on your risk appetite, lot size, and number of entries.
🎯 Target: 65.200
That's where we celebrate the score, traders! 🥂💸
📊 Heist Justification (Fundamentals + Sentiment):
The WTI market is currently bullish, fueled by a mix of:
✅ Macro economics
✅ COT data
✅ Seasonal trends
✅ Intermarket signals
✅ Inventory & storage dynamics
📌 For full analysis and future target breakdowns, check the linkk in our profilee 🔗👀
⚠️ Important Alert – Manage Your Risk During News:
🚫 Avoid fresh entries during major news releases
✅ Use trailing stops to protect running gains
Stay sharp, stay safe.
💥 Hit the Boost Button if you support the Thief Strategy!
Join the crew, ride the wave, and let’s rob the market like pros 💼🕶️💰
📅 Stay tuned for the next master plan. Another heist is always around the corner.
Until then – steal smart, win big! 🐱👤🔥
Weekly Market ReportIn this week’s video, I break down the key technical levels and market dynamics across four major instruments: S&P 500 (/ES), Gold (XAUUSD), Crude Oil (WTI), and Bitcoin (BTCUSD).
We explore price structure, liquidity zones, and potential setups with a focus on probability-based trade planning and risk management. Whether you're a swing trader or intraday participant, this breakdown offers valuable insight into the week ahead.
USOIL: Next Move Is Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse USOIL together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 65.100 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 65.468 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
The idea of oscillating crude oil
💡Message Strategy
Asia's crude oil imports hit a record high in recent years
In the first half of 2025, Asia's crude oil imports showed a significant increase. The average daily import volume in Asia reached 27.36 million barrels, an increase of 620,000 barrels from 26.74 million barrels in the same period last year, an increase of about 2.3%. The highlight of this growth was concentrated in June, when Asia's crude oil arrivals soared to 28.65 million barrels/day, setting a record high since January 2023, far exceeding 27.3 million barrels/day in May and 26.42 million barrels/day in June last year.
Import boom driven by price
What drove the surge in Asian crude oil imports in June? The answer has a lot to do with price. China and India are known to be extremely sensitive to crude oil price fluctuations, usually increasing imports when prices are low and choosing to shrink when prices are high. Crude oil arriving in June is usually scheduled six to eight weeks in advance of delivery, which means that these cargoes were purchased when oil prices were low in April and May.
Geopolitics and market uncertainty
The sharp fluctuations in oil prices in June are inseparable from the fueling of geopolitics. Israel's military action against Iran and the subsequent intervention of the United States once pushed crude oil prices to a five-month high. After Trump announced the ceasefire agreement, the market risk premium quickly subsided, but geopolitical uncertainty is still an important variable affecting oil prices. In the future, any new geopolitical events may push up oil prices again, which will further pressure Asia's import demand.
📊Technical aspects
The short-term trend of crude oil (1H) continues to fluctuate in a narrow range, with a small fluctuation. The oil price repeatedly crosses the moving average system, and the short-term objective trend direction fluctuates. The momentum is stalemate between long and short positions, and it is expected that the trend of crude oil will maintain a fluctuating consolidation pattern during the day.
However, crude oil is never that simple. It is greatly affected by international trends. At present, crude oil is still waiting for direction. So how can we obtain greater future returns in a volatile market?
The answer is simple. At this time, what we need to do is to use a small stop loss to leverage large returns within the pressure and support range.
💰Strategy Package
Short Position:67.00-67.20,SL:67.80,Target: 64.50-63.50/60.00
Long Position:64.00-64.20,SL:63.50,Target: 65.50-66.50/70.00
Shorts on Oil.... And on the NEWS and via brokers - they all wanted to go LONG because of war news....
🛢️ Massive Oil Selloff Caught by ELFIEDT – RSI + Reversion
Instrument: US Crude Oil (WTI)
Timeframe: 15-Minute
Date: Monday, 23 June 2025
Indicator: ELFIEDT RSI + Reversion
🔍 What Happened:
On Monday, the ELFIEDT system printed a clear “DOWN” signal on WTI Crude right near the local high before the market collapsed over the next two days.
The market looked strong—until it wasn’t. ELFIEDT flagged early signs of exhaustion while most traders were still bullish. What followed was a freefall from above $77 all the way to near $65.
💰 The Result:
From the signal candle, price dropped over 1,000 points (more than $12 per barrel).
That single short signal gave traders:
✅ A high-probability entry at the top
✅ A strong risk-reward setup
✅ A clean ride through the trend without confusion
This is what the ELFIEDT system is built for—finding early entries with strong downside follow-through.
📌 Why This Matters:
There was no need to chase the trend or react late.
ELFIEDT gave the heads-up, visually and confidently.
You don’t need to guess trend tops or bottoms anymore.
You just need to trust the process.
📈 One Signal. One Opportunity. Massive Result.
This WTI example shows the precision of ELFIEDT during volatile markets.
Whether it’s indices or commodities, the logic holds.
This is how you take control of reversals.
Here is the latest analysis of the crude oil market trendOn Wednesday, international oil prices stabilized and rebounded after two consecutive days of correction, as the market reassessed the short-term easing of the Middle East situation and changes in crude oil supply. Brent crude oil futures rose by $0.75, or 1.1%, to $67.89 per barrel; WTI crude oil rose by $0.71 to $65.08. Previously, U.S. air strikes damaged key Iranian facilities. Although they did not completely destroy its capabilities, they triggered short-term market concerns about supply chain disruptions.
When geopolitical tensions temporarily eased, the market also turned its attention to inventory data. The latest data from the American Petroleum Institute (API) showed that for the week ending June 20, U.S. crude oil inventories fell by 4.23 million barrels, far exceeding the market expectation of a 2.5 million barrel decline, indicating that refinery demand remained strong. Under the dual effect of the mitigation of geopolitical risks and the bullish API inventory data, oil prices showed signs of stabilization, but the foundation for the rise was still fragile.
In the next few trading days, the safety of the Strait of Hormuz and the EIA official inventory report will become the key to whether the bulls can continue. In the current volatile pattern, it is necessary to remain cautious and pay close attention to changes in the technical support area and U.S. policy dynamics.
However, in terms of momentum, the MACD indicator has formed a bearish crossover below the zero axis, signaling a weakening of bullish momentum. This suggests that the medium-term trend of crude oil is likely to fall into a high-level consolidation pattern.
you are currently struggling with losses,or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow,You have the option to join our VIP program. I will assist you and provide you with accurate trading signals, enabling you to navigate the financial markets with greater confidence and potentially achieve optimal trading results.
Trading Strategy:
sell@67.0-68.0
TP:63.0-64.0
WTI looks to end bearish run after bullish inventories dataWe have had some more bullish oil news from the weekly US inventories report. It remains to be seen whether the news is enough to lift the oil price.
Following the API data overnight we had even more bullish-looking official inventories report from the US Department of Energy.
The fact that crude stocks fell for the 5th straight week certainly points to strong demand, pushing stockpiles to their lowest levels since January.
As well as the big headline draw, stocks of crude products fell sharply too. The 2 million barrel draw in gasoline inventories was much higher than the API report, and suggests the driving season is well and truly at full steam, when demand for gasoline tends to rise.
In case you missed it, the DoE reported the following numbers:
• Crude -5.84mm
• Cushing -464k
• Gasoline -2.08mm
• Distillates -4.07mm
Whether or not oil can now stage a meaningful rebound remains to be seen. It has certainly lost its entire risk premium associated with the Iran-Israel conflict. Perhaps it is up to the OPEC+ now to decide with the alliance due to hold discussions on July 6 to consider a further supply boost in August. Any hints of a slower supply boost could provide support to prices.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com