WTI OIL Buy opportunity or more meltdown coming?WTI Oil (USOIL) has been trading within a long-term Channel Down since the September 25 2023 High and the recent Trade War sell-off helped the price drop towards the pattern's bottom (Lower Lows trend-line) much quicker.
Technically this has been a 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) rejection, previously a Lower High rejection on the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line). Notice how the 1W RSI has also been trading within a Channel Down of its own, with the indicator near its bottom as well.
Being more than -31% down (more than the -29% of the first Bearish Leg), we can technically claim that this is a solid level for a medium-term buy again. The previous Bullish Leg marginally exceeded the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level before the Lower High. As a result, our new Target is $70.00.
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OIL_CRUDE trade ideas
Oil holds below $60: demand likely down, supply upSince the announcement of higher than expected new American tariffs, especially on China, oil’s decline has been dramatic. The very high tariffs on China are important because China is the largest importer of oil, so economic headwinds there usually have a significant effect on demand. OPEC+ decided last week to increase supply next month.
4 April was American light oil’s lowest weekly close since August 2021, so it’s difficult to estimate the next potential support. The 78.6% monthly Fibonacci retracement is around $40, but even in the circumstances that’s a very long way from where the price is now. The unusual strength of the oversold signal and the size of recent candlesticks call into question whether the price might continue immediately lower unless significant fresh trade news reaches markets.
Equally, buying oil now looks like trying to ‘catch the knife’. Fundamentals are quite strongly negative and 7 April’s failed bounce suggests that demand is likely to remain low for some time unless there’s another round of strong losses or the tone of the news changes. Short-term trading of retracements seems to be the least bad option now.
This is my personal opinion, not the opinion of Exness. This is not a recommendation to trade.
USOIL CATCHING THE FALLING KNIFE|LONG|
✅CRUDE OIL lost 18% of it's
Value in the last 5 days on the
Trade war news, which makes
The market to expect a recession
And a sharp drop in the oil demand
However, I still think that Oil
Is locally oversold, therefore
A local bullish correction is
To be expected from the
Horizontal support below
Around 57.34$ and the
Target being the resistance
Above around 61.81$
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
WTI Crude Oil Analysis: My Bearish Outlook Towards $25.OANDA:WTICOUSD
We need to shift to the weekly chart to better understand the potential downside for OANDA:WTICOUSD Crude Oil.
Crude Oil has already broken below the daily, weekly, and monthly fractal support levels. The drop below the monthly fractal support at $65.65 has opened up the potential for a significant decline. With this key support level breached, Crude Oil is now at risk of testing much lower levels, possibly approaching the April lows. This would create the possibility of a bullish bat pattern forming around $24.88, signaling a potential reversal from these much lower prices.
On the resistance side, the monthly fractal resistance at $80.75 continues to be a major barrier, as well as the weekly fractal resistance, which reinforces the difficulty of any upward movement. The daily fractal resistance at $72.48 remains another obstacle for any short-term recovery attempts.
As for the support levels, Crude has already broken below the daily fractal support at $69.07 and the weekly fractal support at $65.40. These breaches now threaten the monthly fractal support at $65.65, confirming the bearish sentiment in the market. With these key levels broken, the market is showing clear signs of weakness, and the potential for further downside movement remains high.
At this stage, we should be cautious and watch closely for signs of a bottoming formation or a reversal pattern, but the immediate outlook suggests further downside risk.
Happy Trading,
André Cardoso
USOIL ChatGPT: Chart Analysis for WTI Crude Oil (1-Hour Timeframe) – April 08, 2025
Key Observations:
1. Trend and Price Action:
- WTI Crude Oil has been trading in a range-bound pattern, as shown by the blue trendlines. The price has been bouncing between the resistance and support levels. Currently, the price is at the lower end of this range near the support level around 58.88.
- The resistance level is at 59.05, and this has been tested multiple times without a sustained breakout, indicating that sellers have been in control around this level.
- The price just tested the support level and bounced slightly higher, which suggests the market may be consolidating before deciding the next move.
2. Order Block and FVG (Fair Value Gap):
- The order block is located…
ChatGPT: - Fair Value Gap (FVG) has been formed around the order block. This means there’s an imbalance in the market that could eventually be filled. Traders should watch for price action near this gap for further insight into whether the gap will be filled or left untested.
3. Volume:
- Volume is relatively low, which suggests a lack of strong momentum in the market. This is typical in range-bound markets, where buying and selling activity are often balanced.
- However, the volume has spiked during the downward move, which could indicate a potential bearish continuation if the price breaks below 58.88.
4. Bearish Setup and Target:
- The chart is showing a bearish setup with the price trading below the resistance zone, and it is testing the support level near
USOIL:Continue to look for opportunities to go longCurrently, in the daily chart trend, crude oil continues to maintain a somewhat stronger oscillating trend at a low level. (👉signals👉)
The technical pattern is gradually adjusting, and the K-lines are slowly rising above the short-term moving averages, indicating that there may still be room for a continued rebound in the daily chart trend. In the 4-hour chart, the trading range is currently relatively narrow. The short-term trend is slightly weaker, but the adjustment space is likely to be limited. In terms of trading operations, consider the opportunity to open long positions near the range of 62 to 62.5.
Trading Strategy:
buy@62.5-62.8
TP:64-64.5
The signals resulted in continuous profits, and accurate signals were shared daily.
👇 signals👇
Crude Oil Breaks Out — Is $65.5 the Next Wall?Price started its bullish move in the first week of April, and since then, it’s been making higher lows. Today’s candle broke cleanly above a key trendline, and price is now heading toward the $65.5 resistance, which could act as a critical decision zone.
Key Levels:
- Support: Around $63.2
- Resistance: $65.5 (next major wall)
- Setup: Trendline Breakout
What I’m Watching:
When price gets to 65.5, I’ll be looking for:
- A strong breakout (maybe even retest + continuation) to hold my buy
- Or a clear rejection to scale out or re-evaluate
I’m staying patient. I’ve picked my setup and I’m sticking to it — no jumping around. Let’s see how this plays out.
Cheers!
pClem Trades
MAY 1-1-1 TRADING CHALLENGEI’ve been thinking about how messy trading can get.
One day you're watching a video on scalping, the next you're trying to swing trade five different pairs. Then before you know it, your screen is cluttered with a million indicators, your confidence is shot, and your results? Even worse.
So for the month of May, I’m doing something different.
I’m calling it the 1-1-1 Challenge
1 Mentor. 1 Instrument. 1 Setup.
For me, that means:
- I’m sticking with Tori as my mentor. No other videos, no mixed signals.
- I’m focusing only on Crude Oil. That’s my chart, my market.
- And I’m trading only Trendline Breaks. Clean and simple.
That’s it. Pure focus. Pure discipline.
Let’s see what happens when I stop trying to trade everything — and start mastering one thing.
If you’ve been feeling the same kind of overwhelm, maybe this challenge is for you too.
Want to join me in May?
Let’s go all in:
1 Mentor
1 Instrument
1 Setup
I'll be sharing my progress and documenting my journey here. Follow me!
Concerns about demand limit the upside potentialYesterday's strategic analysis noted that U.S. sanctions on Iranian oil exports limited crude oil's upside, though short-term rebounds occurred. Combined with the U.S. plan to zero out Iranian energy exports, short-term news-driven oil price gains primarily reflect supply disruptions and sentiment repair rather than fundamental improvements.
While U.S.-Iran sanctions and OPEC quota adjustments may trigger periodic tensions, intensified global trade concerns and institutional downward revisions to demand forecasts will cap the upside potential of oil price rebounds.
USOIL
sell:64.5-65
tp:63-62
I hope this strategy will be helpful to you.
When you find yourself in a difficult situation and at a loss in trading, don't face it alone. Please get in touch with me. I'm always ready to fight side by side with you, avoid risks, and embark on a new journey towards stable profits.
USOIL Technical Analysis! SELL!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the USOIL next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 63.68
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 61.56
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
The analysis of usoil is roughly in line with the market trendThe analysis of usoil is roughly in line with the market trend.👉👉👉
Today's trading advice: Go long in the vicinity of 62.10, set a sl at 61.70, and tp at around 63.50.
Oil trading strategy:
buy @ 62.00-62.20
sl 61.70
tp 63.20-63.60
If my strategy is helpful to you, please give a thumbs-up for support. If you have different opinions, you can leave your thoughts in the comments.
USOILCrude oil currently has a low opening and low trend in the 4-hour level, and the price has fallen below the short-term moving average. The K-line began to bear the pressure and the short-term moving average maintained a weaker oscillating trend. In the hourly level trend, after the European session, the price fell below the previous terraced support band. In the short-term trend, there is a high probability that there will be room for continued adjustment.
Operational suggestions: short near 63, stop loss 63.7, or long near 61-61.1, stop loss 60.3.
Crude Oil Stabilizes Above Key Fibonacci LevelFenzoFx—Crude Oil is consolidating after testing $63.9 resistance, trading near $62.23, supported by the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement.
While the bullish trend persists above the 50-period simple moving average, the Stochastic Oscillator shows an oversold condition, hinting at a rebound.
A bullish wave may target $64.00 if Oil holds above $62.00. However, if it dips below this level, momentum could extend down to $60.77, near the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
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WTI Oil H4 | Potential bullish bounceWTI oil (USOIL) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 62.01 which is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 58.60 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 65.63 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
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USOIL: Summary of Last Week'st and Analysis for Next WeekLast week, the crude oil market experienced (violent volatility amid the interplay of multiple factors, including concerns over supply glut, bleak demand prospects, and geopolitics. It fluctuated sharply in the game between "production increase expectations" and "geopolitical risks," but eventually closed higher supported by the escalation of sanctions on Iran and compensatory production cuts by OPEC+. The market saw significant volatility.👉👉👉
Next week, geopolitics will remain a core variable. It is recommended that investors pay close attention to the development of confrontations between the U.S. and Iran, as well as the policy trends of OPEC+. They should flexibly adjust their positions. In terms of operations, short-term trading should mainly focus on range-bound strategies, while in the medium to long term, vigilance is required against the continuous suppression of demand by a global economic recession.
Oil trading strategy:
buy @ 60.90-61.50
sl 59.50
tp 63.20-63.60
If my strategy is helpful to you, please give a thumbs-up for support. If you have different opinions, you can leave your thoughts in the comments.
Great opportunity, crude oil is still rising!Crude oil rebounded sharply on Thursday, reaching above 64, and will continue to rise in the short term, but don't be greedy, the Shanghai Stock Exchange is limited!
Focus on the two important pressure levels around 64.5 and 66. If there is no breakthrough, you should choose the opportunity to short sell!
Oil’s Red-Hot Crash: the Iranian Trigger? 🛢️☕ #OilisMyCoffee | 📐 #TechnicalAnalysis
The most frustrating thing is when the market follows the script, but your account is in a drawdown 😭 Corrections are sneaky 🐍 Mid-week, I leaned toward the red scenario 🔴 (see last week’s chart), but the market suddenly shifted to black ⚫️.
Now the uncertainty: How and when will the diagonal end? I see at least 3 scenarios:
🔴 Red
⚫️ Black
🔵 Blue
Waiting for a resolution ⚡️ — so I closed positions ahead of the weekend. Iran negotiations in Rome on Saturday 🤝 With moderate progress, prices might dip slightly before surging upward ahead of a reversal next week.
What will trigger a crash? No clue 🤷 But S&P500 is also eyeing a downside after consolidation 📉 Possible triggers: U.S. market events or global financial shocks dragging oil down without geopolitics.
Weekly results:
➖ -10% on the master account
➖ Oil & gas portfolio yield dropped to 103%
🔥 Sharpest weekly drop in the account’s history
⚠️ Disclaimer:
Our analysis is food for thought 💡, not trading signals 🚫📊.
Trade with a cool head ❄️, a clear plan 📝, and your own analysis 👁️🗨️.
💬 Your predictions?
🔄 Drop your analysis below ➡️: How do you assess risks and opportunities? 🎯