BTCUSD18J2025 trade ideas
BTCUSD (Long) Turtle soup Trading Strategy
The Turtle Soup strategy, however, flips the script, aiming to profit when those anticipated trend.Linda Raschke’s Turtle Soup strategy is a counter-trend trading approach that capitalizes on failed breakouts.
It takes inspiration from the famous Turtles trading experiment, where novices were trained on a trend-following system.
BTC soon breakout?Hello traders!
Here's a quick update on BTC. My thoughts remain the same—it's likely that we'll see growth soon.
The reasons are:
1) Bears are quite weak.
2) According to wave patterns and the flag, we're moving toward the top.
3) Historically, autumn has shown upward movements.
IMPORTANT! Always follow your risk management strategy. Don’t risk more than 5%. Happy trading!
More Upside For BTC?Presently BTC is sitting in a period where neutral seems to be the best outlook and bullish on the short term.
Looking at the wave trend oscillator we can see the momentum waves are rotating to the upside. We have seen price make decent push back to the upside but is presently stuck at the value area low.
IF there is more downside potential as shown in our last model we could see a rejection here or slightly higher. With momentum rotating to the upside it looks more like we will see a larger push up closer to the high volume area around 65k with out brakeing the down trend model.
IF more upside for a potential higher high I would still expect a reaction in the 65k area but a brake out from here braking the down ward momentum would be a good indication there is more room for more upside.
Trade Well...
Your Friend,
Degen
BTC(LONG)Turtle soup Trading Strategy
The Turtle Soup strategy, however, flips the script, aiming to profit when those anticipated trend.Linda Raschke’s Turtle Soup strategy is a counter-trend trading approach that capitalizes on failed breakouts.
It takes inspiration from the famous Turtles trading experiment, where novices were trained on a trend-following system.
Bitcoin will go up sharplybitcoin has had a scary fall; everyone is thinking now that bitcoin will go on to break new low.
But my algorithm is saying bitcoin will go up sharply from here.
I had guided my people to the downside target and now that target is hit and bitcoin has gapped up. Now i think we will continue going up
The target is menthioned in the chart
Bitcoin CME Futures focused on the potential top at 112,125Current Situation:
The futures are trading at 60,885, down 4,800 points or 7.31%. This indicates a significant short-term correction.
Fibonacci Levels:
The chart shows several key Fibonacci levels, with the 2.618 extension at 112,125. This level is identified as a potential top for this cycle.
Price Projections:
The chart projects a bullish scenario with Bitcoin potentially reaching the 112,125 level (2.618 Fibonacci extension).
There's an even higher projection to 135,765 (3.618 Fibonacci extension), but this seems less likely in the near term.
Current Trend:
Despite the recent pullback, the overall trend remains bullish. The price has been making higher highs and higher lows over the past few months.
Support Levels:
Immediate support is around the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement at 64,840.
A stronger support lies at the 0 Fibonacci level at 50,225.
Volume:
Current trading volume is 110.51K, indicating significant market activity during this correction.
Seasonal Patterns:
September has historically been a weak month for Bitcoin (-5.97% average).
October and November tend to be stronger (18.62% and -4.20% averages respectively).
Historical Performance:
Bitcoin has shown extreme volatility in past years, with both significant gains and losses across different months.
Potential Scenarios:
a) Bullish: If support holds, Bitcoin could resume its uptrend towards the 112,125 level.
b) Bearish: A break below key support levels could lead to a deeper correction before any attempt at reaching new highs.
Conclusion:
The 112,125 level (2.618 Fibonacci extension) appears to be a reasonable target for Bitcoin's current bullish cycle. However, reaching this level is not guaranteed and depends on various factors:
Market sentiment and adoption rates
Regulatory developments
Macroeconomic conditions
Technical support levels holding during corrections
Investors should be aware that while the potential for reaching 112,125 exists, Bitcoin's notorious volatility means that significant pullbacks can occur along the way. Risk management and careful position sizing are crucial when trading or investing in such a volatile asset.
The current correction and historically weak September performance suggest caution in the short term. However, if seasonal patterns hold, a stronger performance in Q4 could support a move towards the 112,125 target.
As always, traders and investors should conduct their own research and consider their risk tolerance before making any investment decisions.
$BTC bearish indicator pointing towards the $40,000 level.
Current trend: The chart indicates a bearish trend in the short term, with the price currently at $56,685, down 6.03% for the week.
Historical patterns: The chart shows significant volatility over the years, with notable bull runs in 2020 and 2021, followed by a bearish 2022.
Seasonality: There's a pattern of strong performance in Q4, particularly in October and November, across multiple years.
2024 performance: Bitcoin started strong in 2024, with substantial gains in January (46.58%) and February (13.97%), but has shown weakness in recent months.
Key levels: The $56,895 level appears to be a significant support/resistance level that the price is currently testing.
Volume: Trading volume has been relatively consistent, with some spikes correlating with major price movements.
Future outlook: The chart suggests a potential further downside, with a bearish indicator pointing towards the $40,000 level.
Comparison to previous years: The current year's pattern differs from historical trends, showing strength in early months rather than later.
Bitcoin Correctoion Up Is Possible#trading_idea 💡
💸# Bitcoin - Breakout Up is Possible
Following a significant correction, Bitcoin isn't showing clear signs of a definitive trend. Market experts and participants are divided on the cryptocurrency's future direction.
There is speculation that the key resistance level might be breached soon. The price is being squeezed towards this level, with the RSI holding above the 50 line. The current 26% correction mirrors a past scenario when Bitcoin dropped from $650 to $474, a 27% decline, before surging to $790. Corrections after halving events in the last two cycles suggest that new all-time highs during bullish rallies are often reached several weeks post-halving. This historical context provides some optimism
🔼 If the price goes up to resistance 57296 the further rise to 59995 is possible.
🔽 Otherwise, a return to the support at 55014 is likely with next target at 51222.
😎 Hit "👍" if you foresee the price will rise and "👎" if you foresee it dropping.
CME gap still not closed! Expect uptake of price and more ATH Increadibly, CME is still open now with a secondary formation because of bitcoin volatility
The gap is marked with the orange box with range 59,445 and 62,470
Extremily possible that price will need to go there, so big players do not lose money
Another evidence that price will go there, is that the price of bitcoin is finishing a flag pattern
Target of bull flag is around 85,000 usd per CRYPTOCAP:BTC
BTC CME Futures chart update - Aug 6 2024Just as what we anticipated weeks ago, the Gap in BTC's chart (58,790 - 60,845 zone) got partially filled. Since it was the weekend and #BTC had a big downward move, another Gap is formed in 59,300 - 62,400 zone which will probably get filled as well.
Gaps act as Support/Resistance zones and since the new Gap is above the candles, it is considered a resistance zone and we can expect to see another sell pressure as BTC reaches this zone.
If BTC manages to push above 62,400 level, targets of higher levels will be activated.
Bitcoin - Reversal is imminent - CME Future Gaps#BTC/USDT #Analysis
Description
---------------------------------------------------------------
+ It's unusual to see consecutive unfilled CME futures gaps, but recent market volatility has created just that scenario. Historically, CME gaps tend to be filled sooner or later, and current market conditions suggest that prices may be heading directly towards these gaps.
+ The appearance of two consecutive unfilled gaps is a rare occurrence. Given the strong historical tendency for these gaps to be filled, it’s likely that the market will attempt to revisit these levels.
+ The recent bounce from support has been robust, indicating strong upward momentum. This move bolsters confidence that the gaps will be filled in the coming weeks, especially as traders and investors often target these areas.
+ With the current price action showing strength after the bounce, it seems increasingly probable that the price is headed towards the gaps. If this momentum continues, we could see these gaps filled relatively soon.
---------------------------------------------------------------
VectorAlgo Trade Details
------------------------------
Entry Price: 57000
Stop Loss: 50000
------------------------------
Target 1: 59900
Target 2: 61000
Target 3: 65000
Target 4: 70000
------------------------------
Timeframe: 1D
Capital Risk: 1-2% of trading amount
Leverage: 5-10x
---------------------------------------------------------------
Enhance, Trade, Grow
---------------------------------------------------------------
Feel free to share your thoughts and insights.
Don't forget to like and follow us for more trading ideas and discussions.
Best Regards,
VectorAlgo