Elliott Wave View: Nikkei (NKD_F) Reaching Support AreaShort term Elliott wave view in Nikkei (NKD_F) suggests the Index is doing a larger degree pullback to correct the cycle up from August 26, 2019 low in wave IV, which is unfolding as a flat. Wave ((A)) of IV ended at 22630 low and wave ((B)) ended at 24030 high. From there, it has extended lower in wave ((C)), which is unfolding as a 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure. Down from wave ((B)) high, wave (1) ended at 23090 low. The bounce in wave (2) ended at 23803 high.
After that, the index extended lower in wave (3) which subdivides in lesser degree 5 waves. Wave 1 of (3) ended at 23415 low and wave 2 ended at 23635 high. The index continued lower in wave 3, which ended at 22165 low. Then, the bounce in wave 4 ended at 22365 high. The push lower in wave 5 of (3) ended at 22075 low. From there, the index then bounced in wave (4), which ended at 22735 high. Near term, the index has reached the 100% extension area from December 17, 2019 high between 21483-22489. However, expect another leg lower before the cycle from December 17 high ends in wave IV as long as 23803 pivot stays intact. Afterwards, the index should see a larger 3 waves bounce at least from the blue box area.
NK225M1! trade ideas
Elliott Wave View: Nikkei Has Resumed HigherShort term Elliott wave view in Nikkei (NKD_F) suggests the Index ended the correction from December 17, 2019 high in wave ((4)) at 22628. The Index has resumed higher in wave ((5)) although it still needs to break above wave ((3)) on December 17, 2019 high at 24140 to avoid a double correction. However, the rally from February 1, 2010 low (22628) is unfolding as a 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure, favoring the upside. Furthermore, other world indices such as $YM_F (Dow Jones Futures) and $NQ_F (Nasdaq) have already broken to new high, supporting the view the next leg higher has started.
Up from February 1, 2020 low (22628), wave 1 ended at 23015 and wave 2 pullback ended at 22800. The Index has resumed higher in wave 3 which subdivides in lesser degree 5 waves. Dips is expected to find support while above 22628 for further upside. We don’t like selling the Index. Near term, expect a few more highs before cycle from February 1 low ends as 5 waves in wave (1). Afterwards, it should correct cycle from February 1 low in wave (2) before the next leg higher. As far as pivot at 22628 low stays intact, expect dips to continue finding support in 3, 7, or 11 swing for further upside.
Elliott Wave View: Nikkei Finding SupportElliott Wave view on Nikkei (NKD_F) suggests the rally to 24148 on December 17, 2019 ended wave ((1)). Index is now doing a wave ((2)) pullback and the internal is unfolding as double three Elliott Wave structure. Wave ((2)) pullback should correct the entire rally from August 26, 2019 high before Index resumes higher again later. Structure of the decline from December 17 high looks corrective which favors the idea the decline is a correction instead of a new bearish cycle in larger degree perspective.
Down from 24148 high, wave W ended at 23320 as a zigzag. Wave ((a)) of W ended at 23710 and wave ((b)) of W bounce ended at 23960. Index then resumed lower in wave ((c)) of W which ended at 23320. Bounce to 23800 ended wave X and wave Y lower ended at 22950 as another zigzag structure. Wave ((a)) of Y ended at 23170 and wave ((b)) bounce ended at 23570. Wave ((c)) of Y ended at 22950 which also completed wave (W) in larger degree. Expect the Index to bounce in wave (X) to correct cycle from December 17, 2019 high before the decline resumes. As far as pivot at 24148 high stays intact, expect the rally to fail in 3, 7, or 11 swing for further downside.
Elliott Wave View: Nikkei Should Extend HigherElliott Wave view in Nikkei (NKD_F) suggests that the Japanese Index ended wave (4) on December 3 at 22898. This is part of a bigger impulsive 5 waves rally from August 25, 2019 low (not shown on the chart). Up from August 25, 2019 low, wave (1) ended at 21970, wave (2) pullback ended at 21070, wave (3) ended at 23660 and wave (4) ended at 22898.
In the 1 hour chart below, we can see the Index has resumed higher in wave (5). The rally from December 3, 2019 low is unfolding as a 5 waves Elliott wave impulsive structure. Up from 12/3/2019 low, wave ((i)) ended at 23565 and wave ((ii)) pullback ended at 23265. The Index then extended higher in wave ((iii)) towards 24075 and pullback in wave ((iv)) ended at 23770.
Index is expected to end wave ((v)) soon with another leg higher. This final leg should also end wave 1 in higher degree. Afterwards, Index should correct cycle from December 3, 2019 low within wave 2 before the rally resumes. We don’t like selling the proposed pullback and prefer buying wave 2 dips in 3, 7, or 11 swing as far as pivot at 22898 low stays intact. Potential target for wave (5) is 100% – 123.6$ Fibonacci extension of wave (1) towards 25171 – 25707.
Nikkei 225 Japanese supply and demand forecastNikkei 225 Japanese Index has been rallying for a few weeks creating new strong weekly demand imbalances. Nikkei 225 index has unfortunately not retraced yet to any of these two strong weekly imbalances and continues to rally on its way to weekly supply imbalance around 23600.
Nikkei 225 Japanese Index futures forecast. As per the weekly timeframe analysis, Nikkei 225 Index futures is in a clear uptrend creating new weekly demand imbalances at 21850 and lower at 20570. Nikkei tried to correct and reached bottom weekly demand level but it just couldn’t and kept on rallying ending up creating another strong weekly demand imbalance around 21850.
Long term long bias on Nikkei index. This is the kind of price action technical analysis you will learn in our trading community. You will learn how to locate new supply and demand imbalances and trade without using any indicators, no news, no fundamental analysis, no earnings announcements, no volume or VSA analysis. Just supply and demand imbalances.
Trading supply and demand imbalances is ideal for beginners and those with a full or half time job, you won’t need to stay in front of the computer all day long trying to move price action with your mind.
Elliott Wave: Nikkei Bullish Sequence Favors More upsideNikkei incomplete sequence from December 26, 2018 low and August 26, 2019 low, favoring further upside. A 100% Fibonacci extension from August 26, 2019 low comes at 23360 while 100% extension from December 26, 2018 low comes at 23380. Until the Index reaches this area, short term dips likely remain supported in 3, 7, or 11 swing. On the chart below, we can see the pullback to 21070 ended wave ((2)). The Index resumes higher in wave ((3)) with the internal subdivision unfolding a 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure.
Up from 21070, wave 1 ended at 21650 and wave 2 pullback ended at 21325. Index then resumed higher in wave 3 towards 2300, and wave 4 pullback ended at 22661. Index should soon complete wave 5 of (1). Afterwards, it should pullback in wave (2) to correct the cycle from October 3 low before the rally resumes. We don’t like selling the Index and expect buyers to appear in the sequence of 3, 7, or 11 swing as far as pivot at 21070 low stays intact.
Elliott Wave View: Nikkei Buyers in ControlNikkei shows Elliott Wave bullish sequence from December 26, 2018 low and August 26, 2019 low. This suggests that buyers are in control and favors further upside in the Index. The pullback to 21079 ended wave ((2)) and the Index has resumed higher in wave ((3)). Internal subdivision of wave ((3)) takes the form of a 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure.
Wave (1) of ((3)) is currently in progress as a leading diagonal. Up from 21079, wave 1 ended at 21650, wave 2 ended at 21325, wave 3 ended at 22265, and wave 4 ended at 21905. Expect Index to soon complete wave 5 of (1). Afterwards, Index should pullback in wave (2) to correct the cycle from October 3 low before the rally resumes. We don’t like selling the Index and expect buyers to appear in the sequence of 3, 7, or 11 swing as far as pivot at 21079 low stays intact.
Nikkei Soars Boosted by Conciliatory Tone on Trade WarAsian stocks markets it's traded mostly bullish this Friday aided by a conciliatory tone between China and the United States. This week, the Nikkei 225 (CME:NKD) index futures soars 2.38%, but in the long-term, the Japanese index could see more drops.
Elliott Wave View: Nikkei Looking for More DownsideShort Term Elliott Wave View in Nikkei suggests the decline to 19900 on August 6 ended wave (3). The Index is currently in wave (4) bounce and the internal subdivision is unfolding as a double three Elliott Wave structure. Up from 19900, wave W ended at 20795 as a zigzag. Wave ((a)) of W ended at 20650 and wave ((b)) of W ended at 20220. Then the move higher to 20795 completed wave ((c)) of W.
The Index then pullback to 20075 which ended wave X with internal subdivision as a zigzag. Wave ((a)) of X ended at 20300, wave ((b)) of X ended at 20765, and wave ((c)) of X ended at 20075. Wave Y is in progress with the internal subdivision of a double three in lesser degree. Up from 20075, wave ((w)) ended at 20685 and wave ((x)) ended at 20450. Near term, while above 20075, Index has scope to extend higher towards 20974 – 21530 area to end wave Y of (4). Expect sellers to appear from the above area and Index to either resume lower or pullback in 3 waves at least. We don’t like buying the Index.
Elliott Wave & Intermarket Analysis For NIKKEI And USDJPYHello traders!
Today we will talk about stocks, specifically Nikkei and why USDJPY can see higher prices.
Well, as you may already know, in EW theory after a three-wave corrective decline, the trend should remain to the upside. This is what we see in the stock market all the time. However, Nikkei got our attention, because we can see a nice five-wave rally after that three-wave a-b-c correction, which means that Nikkei remains in uptrend, but after another three-wave correction in the lower degree, where ideal support would be here around 21450 - 21250 levels, just keep in mind that bullish confirmed can be only if it manages to turn back above 21770 region!
In the right picture you can see tight positive correlation between NIKKEI and USDJPY, which means that if NIKKEI points higher, then even USDJPY can see higher prices, so don't be surprised if USDJPY remains bullish towards 109 area or higher!
So, seems like risk-on sentiment may continue and when we are in risk-on, we usually see bullish stocks, which are followed by recovery on XXX/JPY crosses. That being said, be aware of a bullish continuation on stocks, while XXX/JPY cross pairs may see a bigger recovery!
Be humble, trade smart and wait for the right sentiment to enter the market!
Disclosure: Please be informed that information we provide is NOT a trading recommendation or investment advice. All of our work is for educational purposes only.