Alibaba - This Chart Speaks In Money!Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) prepares for a significant pump:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Basically since Alibaba was listed on the NYSE, it always perfectly respected market structure. With the recent rejection away from the key neckline, Alibaba is now creating a bullish break and retest. After bullish confirmation, this forms a bottom and we might see new all time highs.
Levels to watch: $110, $140
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
BABAF trade ideas
BABALICOUS Outlook Part 2 BABA continues the bullish outlook since we called it last on October 23rd.
Babalicous outlook Part 1 :
We continue with our update here!
Baba has broken through our previous resistance/ area of demand and has perfectly retested the zone.
As you can see our Area of demand has always been an area of tough resistance and as of now it is becoming strong support. In addition we have spotted a beautiful rounded bottoming pattern with a target of 80% or $210.00 price target from current levels. If BABA can close this monthly candle as is the $210 price level is sure to be tested!
Alibaba - Don't Forget Chinese Stocks Now!Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) still remains super interesting:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
After we saw the very expected parabolic rally on Alibaba about four months ago, Alibaba is now perfectly retesting major previous structure. Yes, we could see a short term pullback in the near future but this just offers a perfect break and retest after the rounding bottom pattern.
Levels to watch: $110, $140
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
$BABA slingshot ++ china long previsous bullish divergence ;
new scenario
Uptick in volume , slinght shot RSI & MACD oversold ,
China & Trump deal is inevitable china needs a plan but Trump keeps poking , you know you have the upper hand just wait a while ++ pushed back the TikTok deal so you have an extra 75 days with that you know they need some time as China was clearly unprepared ;;;;
anyways, I'm bullish and this goes for NASDAQ:JD NASDAQ:BILI aswell .
BABA Showing Potential, But Not Quite ReadyNYSE:BABA has gone on a crazy run this year showing signs of strength. Recently price has stall out leaving us at a cliff hanger. The bull run was more than likely fueled by large investors accumulating shares at previous years lows as shown on the chart. In Wyckoff that typically happens in Phase B, the cause building phase. During this phase price consolidates with multiple tests or fake outs of the range as 'big money' accumulates shares at lows and soaks up the remain liquidity. The recent breakout confirms that supply has been absorbed, and price is ready to move higher, this marks the end of Phase B. The breakout is also called a 'Sign of Strength' in Wyckoff Method, which is also used a trap for buyers, hence the quick move back into the trading range. This move marks the beginning of Phase C, which typically creates a Spring or LPS (Last Point of Support). The Spring will fall below the trading range and quickly recover, while the LPS will find the last point of support within the range and gradually move higher. As you can see in the chart price has not fallen to either, which means there may be more downside to ensue. This correlates with recent "Tariff Wars", so pay attention to the news when or if price retraces to these lower levels. I have currently identified a redistribution pattern on the 1H timeframe which is showing signs of completion and that price is ready to continue down. If prices breaks above $117.50 this will more than likely invalidate the redistribution.
Alibaba (BABA) Technical Analysis:Retracement Within an Ascending Channel
Alibaba (BABA) has faced strong supply pressure at $149, a key price level that previously acted as support in 2019 and has now flipped into resistance. The inability to reclaim this level has triggered a retracement, with the stock currently trading around $132, showing signs of continued corrective movement.
Despite the short-term weakness, BABA remains within a developing ascending channel, suggesting a potential higher timeframe bullish structure. If the retracement extends, the next significant level to watch is $110, a historical 2016 resistance level that could now act as a demand zone. A strong reaction and rejection from this level would reinforce the validity of the ascending channel and increase the probability of a trend continuation toward previous all-time highs.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: $149 (2019 support turned resistance)
Current Price: $132 (active retracement zone)
Support Levels:
$110 – Historical resistance from 2016, potential demand zone
$100 – Psychological level, further downside risk
Traders should monitor price action around these key levels, as a confirmed breakdown below $110 could invalidate the channel and shift market structure to a more bearish outlook, while a strong bounce could provide a high-probability long setup within the channel’s framework.
Beginning of the Uptrend for Stock #01Beginning of the Uptrend for Stock #01: 9988 (BABA)
The price has broken out of a consolidation range that lasted approximately two years, supported by a normal volume distribution.
The stock has risen to meet the Fibonacci Extension resistance level of 161.8 at a price of 144 HKD. Currently, it is forming a sideways consolidation pattern on the smaller timeframe, establishing a base structure viewed as re-accumulation.
The 6-month target is set at the Fibonacci Extension level of 261.8, which corresponds to a price of 189 HKD. This target aligns with a price cluster based on the valuation from sensitivity analysis, using the forward EPS estimates for 2025-2026 as a key variable for calculations, along with the standard deviation of the price-to-earnings ratio.
Wait for the Right Moment to Accumulate Shares within the Consolidation Range
Purchase near the support level of the range when the price pulls back. Look for a candlestick reversal pattern as a signal to add to your position.
However, should the price break down to the lower consolidation range, the stock would lose its upward momentum, potentially leading to a prolonged period of consolidation or a deeper pullback to around 90 HKD.
Always have a plan and prioritize risk management.
$BABA on its way to $120s into AprilI would honestly be surprised if it doesnt gap down this Monday before the open. The weekly imo, looks like a mess atm and could gap into $120s easy. If it doesn't, I would expect some consolidation for a fall into the First week of April. We're right at the golden pocket retrace at the .618, very common retracement level, if we look at Fibs with a bearish perspective and measure a retrace back to the lower golden pocket at 1.61 fib from highs, $112.30 would be my ultimate target if we can break $126. $126 opens the flood gates to our ultimate target at $112.
Alibaba (BABA) Share Price Declines from 40-Month HighAlibaba (BABA) Share Price Declines from 40-Month High
As shown in the Alibaba (BABA) share chart, the price reached a 40-month high this week, surpassing $145 per share.
Bullish sentiment is being fuelled by news related to AI prospects in China. According to media reports:
→ China’s AI spending is increasing through investments from state-owned enterprises, private companies, and local authorities, aiming to keep pace with the US $500 billion Star Gate project.
→ Alibaba plans to invest $52 billion over three years in artificial intelligence and cloud computing.
Technical Analysis of Alibaba (BABA) Shares
Despite a positive fundamental backdrop, the chart signals potential concerns:
→ The price is near the upper boundary of the ascending channel, which could act as resistance.
→ Bulls attempted to break the $145 level (which has acted as resistance since late February) on 17 March but failed, as the price could not hold above this mark.
→ Using your preferred oscillator, you are likely to observe a bearish divergence between peaks A and B.
This suggests that bullish momentum may be weakening, and investors could consider taking profits after Alibaba’s exceptionally strong price rally—up approximately 70% since early 2025. If so, a break below the orange trendline could lead to a correction towards the median of the blue channel.
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BABA Breaks Out as AI Assistant Makes Waves in ChinaAlibaba’s share price has been on a tear in 2025, surging more than 70% in the first eight weeks of the year before settling into a period of consolidation. That consolidation phase has now given way to a fresh breakout, as the stock pushed through resistance in an ascending triangle pattern.
Let’s take a look at the technical and fundamental catalysts that have aligned to make Alibaba a stock to watch this year.
The AI Catalyst
Alibaba’s latest breakout isn’t happening in a vacuum. The company’s AI assistant, Quark, has been making waves in China, drawing positive reviews and raising hopes that it could become a dominant player in the AI agent space. Powered by Alibaba’s Qwen reasoning AI model, Quark has been repositioned as an all-in-one AI assistant, incorporating online search, cloud storage, and generative AI capabilities.
The timing of this development is critical. AI is one of the biggest battlegrounds in tech, and Alibaba is making its presence felt with an open-source approach designed to spur innovation. Broker Jefferies has highlighted Alibaba’s view of AI as a vast, addressable market, and the company’s recent commitment to investing 380 billion yuan ($52 billion) in cloud computing and AI infrastructure underscores the scale of its ambitions. If Quark gains real traction, it could be a meaningful growth driver.
Bull Flag Breakout
From a price action perspective, Alibaba’s recent move is a textbook bullish breakout. After its rapid rally to start the year, the stock pulled into a consolidation phase, forming a series of higher swing lows against a horizontal resistance level. This created an ascending triangle – a classic continuation pattern that signals a potential breakout when resistance is finally breached.
Monday's price action delivered that confirmation, with Alibaba breaking and closing above the bull flag formation. This move suggests the uptrend is back in full swing, and breakout traders will be watching two key levels to ensure the bullish momentum remains intact.
The first is the former resistance level, which should now become support. A successful retest would reinforce the breakout. The second is the volume-weighted average price (VWAP) anchored to the bottom of the flag – as long as price stays above this level, the bullish structure remains in place.
Alibaba (BABA) Daily Candle Chart
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Alibaba Wave Analysis – 17 March 2025
- Alibaba broke the key resistance level 145.00
- Likely to rise to resistance level 155.00
Alibaba recently broke the key resistance level 145.00, which stopped the previous waves 3 and (b), as can be seen from the daily BABA chart below.
The breakout of the resistance level 145.00 accelerated the active impulse wave 5 of the intermediate impulse wave (C) from January.
Given the strong daily uptrend, Alibaba can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 155.00 (target price for the completion of the active impulse wave (C)).
Alibaba potentional scenario here close to resistanceNYSE:BABA Technical Analysis
Alibaba (BABA) is showing a strong uptrend, with bullish momentum targeting $166.44 as a key resistance level.
However, once it reaches $166.44, we may see a sharp pullback, with price retracing towards the $103 level. This area serves as a strong support zone, historically acting as a demand level.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: $166.44
Support: $103