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BABAF trade ideas

BABA - Support and Resistance (Educational)Happy Day to all you traders out there! Alright, lets get down to business. Fact of the matter is, areas where price action previously found support likely will act as resistance in the future and vice versa. This is important for any trader out there that isn't interested in being an investor in a company and is only looking for short term upside. What we can see is that going back to BABA's early days listed on the NYSE in 2014/2015, we had significant resistance around the 120 level before BABA retreated to ~$59. It then overtook that level in 2017 and for a short period of time, tested that level and eventually blasted off to $320. Then, on the way down (eventually back to that $60 level - a huge loss for top buyers), it found resistance after it lost that $120 level. Well, here we are again. We're back near $120 now. If we can get through this level, we should see a move back to a level I've identified using the Trend-Based Fibonacci Extension tool (built into TradingView) which is around $140. You can see in late 2021 and early 2022, we found both support and resistance at that level. I'd expect we'll initially find resistance there and it matches with the 100% extension of the move I'm measuring (check out the video for a simpler explanation). Ultimately, short term, I'm looking for this $120 level to be reclaimed to get that move to $140, which I've been discussing here for a while. We'll see what happens in October which historically has been a bearish month, but so far it's not terrible. Safe trading out there, fellas!
NYSE:BABALong
by bitdoctor
BABA Winds Have Shifted - Macro EntryAs always, I try not to publish trades without having a big view of multiple factors so this one is based on a long term view over the next 1-2 years. Macro: I have outlined China's Central Bank (PBoC) liquidity injections (through reverse repo and MLF data) as very seasonal at the bottom pane on the chart. I do NOT believe history or seasonals should dictate future action but it is worth noting the seasonal nature of the PBoC liquidity injections and we are seeing an early rise in total and frequency since June. In fact, a recent print on 8/15 was the biggest spike since the height of 2023. China is also coming out of the rough no tolorence policy during the "pandemic" so some of their stocks are poised for major breakouts. That said, the U.S. M2 money supply is breaking out of a range with global liquidity on the rise heading into central bank easing around the world. No doubt we have some volatility in global liquidity ahead (US debt ceiling to name one) but the general trend is up and to the right over the next 2 years once we get through the vol. Price Action: As I mentioned, the price of this stock has been on a downward trend since Fed Funds rates started moving up in 2021 and has completed the bearish bat making 3 consecutive higher highs since the low in 2023. Looking at Fibonacci the targets are clear but for target 2 I am looking at the massive gap from end of 2021. My first exit before the stop loss would be losing any of the recent higher highs and the S/L is set to under the 2023 low. However, I would rely on the macro section more than price action for the exit. Timeline: I am a 3 month to many year investor not a day trader so this is one I will layer in and buy dips for the next few months. I did take a 5% position at the entry point noted. I do think the next 2-3 years will be net positive for liquidity and assets. Thanks
NYSE:BABALong
by Trainwreck
Possible second leg for BABA!! Hi, everyone, As you can see in the chart, Alibaba's stock has formed a beautiful triangle pattern after a prolonged correction in both price and time. With the divergence observed on the MACD and RSI in the weekly chart, I believe that we can expect higher numbers in the near future. The first target is $121, and the second target is $131.can monitor the trade using the weekly time frame's RSI protection trend line. #baba #nasdaq #alibaba NYSE:BABA Disclaimer: This information or service is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be personal financial advice
NYSE:BABALong
by S_INV28
1
Alibaba is overboughtAlibaba is overbought now. With a +77 RSI on it's 1 week chart and also while it's trading at the top of it's 3 year range channel. Last week, China’s central bank shared plans to cut banks reserve requirement ratio (RRR) by 50 basis points or half a percentage point and lower the seven-day reverse repurchase rate to 1.5% from 1.7%. Additionally, China agreed to let homeowners refinance mortgages. Alibaba as the key beneficiary of the stimulus. BABA is trading nearly +30% in 2 weeks. I would expect a pullback 95 - 99 per share for bulls to wait for an entry and 115 -119 levels for bears to short it. Options data: 10/11/24 expiry Put Volume Total 4,415 Call Volume Total 12,021 Put/Call Volume Ratio 0.37 Put Open Interest Total 50,861 Call Open Interest Total 80,400 Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 0.63 10/18/24 expiry Put Volume Total 2,387 Call Volume Total 6,410 Put/Call Volume Ratio 0.37 Put Open Interest Total 205,644 Call Open Interest Total 234,503 Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 0.88 11/15/24 expiry Put Volume Total 2,111 Call Volume Total 1,661 Put/Call Volume Ratio 1.27 Put Open Interest Total 60,199 Call Open Interest Total 177,252 Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 0.34
NYSE:BABAShort
by Options360
2
BABA weekly is now Uptrend.BABA (and other chinese stocks) continue with Bullish momentum Successfully formed Higher High Higher Low and EMA20 crossing above EMA50 on weekly chart indicating long term Uptrend since April 2021. Price structure formed Support and Resistant at every 20$ Range. Breaks psychological 100 resistant with strong MCDX banker volume. Exposing next target at 120. MCDX Retailer is insignificant. Next Plan : Hold the position, look for further buy opportunity when pullback and retest at 100 zone.
NYSE:BABALong
by kgiap123
BABA: What happens next after this insane rally?Alibaba despite today's correction, remains massively overbought both on the 1D technical outlook (RSI = 81.819, MACD = 5.940, ADX = 34.506) and on 1W (RSI = 75.158, MACD = 5.970, ADX = 33.938). As the price almost reached the 1W MA200, we expect a technical correction near the 1W MA50, which is the pattern the stock followed on its previous historic expansion in 2016-2017. We expect a similar Channel Up to dictate the trend and peak late 2025 - early 2026 (TP = 200.00). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
NYSE:BABA
by InvestingScope
BABA - Great Rally - Can it overcome $140? $165?It's a great day! I hope you're all having a wonderful trading day! Quick update on BABA - in the video I discuss the Trend-Based Fibonacci Extension tool which is built right into Tradingview and how fibonacci tools are some of the ONLY forward looking projection indicators out there. Ichimoku Cloud is another (we'll save that complex beast for another day). We've had a serious rally on BABA (and really the whole Chinese stock market in general) recently and while I think that trend can continue, we should keep seasonality in check and realize that after big rallies, there are always pullbacks awaiting. This is how the market is designed to take your money. Here's the scenario: You see BABA trading at $70 and think it'll go lower - if you're a holder, maybe you sell. If you are looking to buy, you probably want to buy it lower. BABA starts to rally significantly, exhibiting a 67% rally over the course of approximately 10 months. You start to get anxious because you missed such a large move. You decide you want to buy because the last week alone has seen a significant move, but you didn't do a bunch of research to realize that BABA is about to potentially pull back, so you buy. BABA starts a pullback. Let's assume you buy today at $110 and it pulls back to $98 - a decrease of ~11% - your hypothetical $11,000 investment is now only worth $9,800 - so you decide to be "responsible" and cut your losses to prevent further losses, when in reality, that's the best time to actually buy in. What's my point? If you're only just now looking at BABA, you're probably feeling FOMO right now. Fear Of Missing Out. There's a reason Berkshire has loads of cash in their holdings. They're waiting for pullbacks in the markets to buy. You should, too. If you miss BABA, there will always be another opportunity. There's hundreds of new opportunities in the market every single day - you just have to do the grunt work and find it.
NYSE:BABALong
by bitdoctor
Alibaba Group (BABA) Share Price Rises Over 30% Since Early SeptAlibaba Group (BABA) Share Price Rises Over 30% Since Early September As shown on the Alibaba Group (BABA) stock chart, the price surpassed $107 on the NYSE on Friday, after trading below $85 at the start of the month. Bullish sentiment surrounding Chinese stocks is driven by the authorities' plans to stimulate the country's economy: → According to Benzinga, China’s Central Bank shared plans last week to lower the banks’ required reserve ratio (RRR); → The Central Bank also outlined further support measures for the struggling real estate market. It appears that market participants expect these economic stimulus measures to benefit Alibaba Group (BABA). Technical analysis of the Alibaba Group (BABA) stock chart reveals: → The historical high above $300 was reached in October 2020, after which bears dominated the market. Signs of bullish activity emerged between 2022 and 2024 as the stock fell to $70. → In 2024, the price broke through three descending trendlines (marked in red) drawn through key highs, and the price movements suggest a new upward channel is forming (marked in blue). → The RSI indicator is at a multi-month high, signalling strong overbought conditions, while Friday’s candle closed with a long upper wick (a sign of increased bearish activity). Although the current bullish momentum may still have room to lift Alibaba Group (BABA) shares to the upper boundary of the blue channel, given the information above, there is a significant likelihood of a correction forming in early October. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NYSE:BABA
by FXOpen
1
Alibaba (BABA): Stagnation Phase or Momentum Boost?We are currently experiencing a phase of stagnation with Alibaba, as the stock remains in a new accumulation phase after breaking out of the previous one. The price might retest the Point-of-Control along with the trendline that was broken during the breakout, potentially providing a good momentum boost. Despite the sideways movement, our position remains profitable. From a long-term perspective, our entry looks strong, with a 10% stop-loss from our entry point. The upside potential for Alibaba is significant, given how far the stock is from its historical highs. The main concern with Alibaba is the jurisdiction risk, as it is a Chinese stock and subject to influences from China, which adds a layer of risk not present with American stocks. Nevertheless, as long as the price stays above $72.38, the outlook remains positive. Losing this level would be unfavorable and could indicate further downside risk. In summary, we remain optimistic about Alibaba's potential, keeping a close watch on the key support levels to manage risk effectively.
NYSE:BABALong
by freeguy_by_wmc
Alibaba (Elliott Wave)Hello friends In Alibaba stock, we see the formation of a 5-wave impulse pattern, whose waves 1-4 have been completed. The alternation between wave 2 and 4 is also observed. So we expect the growth of the share in the majority of wave 5. Basically, wave 5 is not as fast and sharp as wave 3 and is usually slow and sluggish, but we expect the share to grow to $88. Consider the stop loss range of $73, because the upward trend has been broken and wave 4 has entered the range of wave 1, which invalidates our theory. To support me, I recommend you install Trading View software on your phone and see my analysis and support me with your comments and Boost. Be successful and profitable.
NYSE:BABALong
by M_Gheysvandi