China Strikes Industrial Plastics SectorChina Imposes Harsh Tariffs on POM Plastics: Which Companies Are Hit the Hardest?
By Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades
China has reignited trade tensions by announcing anti-dumping tariffs of up to 74.9% on imports of polyoxymethylene (POM) copolymers—a high-performance plastic widely used in the automotive, electronics, and consumer goods industries. The measure directly affects manufacturers from the United States, the European Union, Japan, and Taiwan, with varying degrees of severity.
U.S. exporters are the hardest hit, facing tariffs of up to 74.9%, followed by European companies at 34.5% and Japanese firms at 35.5%. Taiwanese exporters are also targeted, though with variable rates depending on the supplier.
Companies in the Crosshairs
Among the most affected are U.S. giants Celanese Corporation and DuPont de Nemours, both with strong exposure to China’s engineering plastics market. In Europe, BASF and Celanese’s German subsidiary Ticona GmbH could see their competitiveness eroded by higher costs. From Japan, firms like Mitsubishi Chemical and Asahi Kasei are also likely to feel the pinch due to their significant export volumes of POM to China.
BASF Pressured to Reinvent Itself
For BASF, the move comes at a critical time. The company is already under pressure from rising energy costs in Europe and weak industrial demand. Its share price has been volatile, influenced by macroeconomic factors and its significant exposure to China, where its engineering plastics division generates a major portion of revenue. These new tariffs may further hamper profitability in the region.
BASF is facing one of its most challenging periods in years. In addition to high energy costs and sluggish demand, the Chinese tariffs now threaten its position in Asia. The company has already launched a €2 billion cost-cutting program and is restructuring non-core assets. It also plans to reduce its annual dividend to €2.25 per share from 2025 to 2028, breaking with its long-standing stable payout policy. Shares are trading near €44, in a long-term downtrend. Still, analysts are watching the development of its new China chemical complex and upcoming divestitures, which could mark a turning point in future profitability.
Technically, BASF shares have been trading between a high of €52.33 in March and a low of €35.66 in April. Its current trading zone reflects a key support-resistance area, with the RSI currently neutral at 50%.
Impact on the Global Supply Chain
POM plays a vital role in manufacturing precision components such as gears, valves, electrical connectors, and automotive parts. With these tariffs in place, many Chinese firms may turn to domestic suppliers or regional alternatives like South Korea, reducing market share for Western and Japanese exporters that previously benefited from cost advantages.
A New Front in the Trade War
This decision emerges amid an already tense global environment, particularly between the U.S. and China. For investors, it adds a layer of geopolitical risk and raises the possibility of supply chain realignment in the medium term.
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BASFY trade ideas
BASF: Big Time Move!With the last couple of impulses, we can now assume that the following movements will bring the course above the 57.06€-mark. Afterwards, we expect the price to produce more significant downward trends. Falling below 41€, however, would mean that the alternatice scenario, currently equipped with a 40% chance, will be activated, pulling us directly down towards new lows.
BASF N (BAS.de) bearish scenario:The technical figure Triangle can be found in the daily chart of the German company BASF SE (BAS.de). BASF SE is a German multinational chemical company and the largest chemical producer in the world. The BASF Group comprises subsidiaries and joint ventures in more than 80 countries and operates six integrated production sites and 390 other production sites in Europe, Asia, Australia, the Americas and Africa. BASF has customers in over 190 countries and supplies products to a wide variety of industries. The Triangle broke through the support line on 29/11/2022. If the price holds below this level, you can have a possible bearish price movement with a forecast for the next 6 days towards 46.36 EUR. Your stop-loss order, according to experts, should be placed at 49.96 EUR if you decide to enter this position.
German chemicals giant BASF said it would downsize permanently in Europe, kindling concerns that persistently high energy prices could lead to a deindustrialization of the continent.
The company will slash costs in Europe by 500 million euros, or $501 million, annually up to 2024, focusing on cost savings in non-production units in its operating, service and R&D divisions as well as in its corporate headquarters.
The company said that in the first nine months this year, gas costs at its European sites were about €2.2 billion higher than a year earlier.
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BASF SE (BAS.de) bullish scenario:The technical figure Triangle can be found in the daily chart in the German company BASF SE (BAS.de). BASF SE is a German multinational chemical company and the largest chemical producer in the world. The BASF Group comprises subsidiaries and joint ventures in more than 80 countries and operates six integrated production sites and 390 other production sites in Europe, Asia, Australia, the Americas, and Africa. BASF has customers in over 190 countries and supplies products to a wide variety of industries. The Triangle broke through the resistance line on 03/09/2022, if the price holds above this level, you can have a possible bullish price movement with a forecast for the next 20 days towards 45.93 EUR. Your stop-loss order, according to experts, should be placed at 40.21 EUR if you decide to enter this position.
BASF stock should be very attractive to investors, given its recent performance. In a macroenvironment where costs are eating into the bottom line of every company, the firm managed to buck the trend. Sales reached 23 billion Euros in Q2, increasing by 16.3%. Net income increased by an even greater 26.3%, reaching 2.1 billion Euros. The strong quarterly results led BASF to increase sales guidance to between 86 to 89 billion Euros for 2022.
CEO Martin Brudermuller succinctly summarized the situation, “Despite the continued high raw materials and energy prices, we again achieved strong earnings in the second quarter.”
Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
Trading Idea - #BASF My trading idea for BASF - buy / LONG
Entry: 51.00 EUR
Target: 54.50 EUR
Stop: 49.50 EUR
After consolidating around the EUR 48.50 mark, the price rose steadily in the upward range. Support level confirmed. A further rise seems very likely.
Since the price is currently at the upper limit of the channel, I am also speculating on a short-term setback to about EUR 51.00. This is also my entry into the LONG position.
BASF SE (BAS.de) bullish scenario:The technical figure Triangle can be found in the German company BASF SE (BAS.de) at daily chart. BASF SE is a German multinational chemical company and the largest chemical producer in the world. The Triangle has broken through the resistance line on 27/05/2022, if the price holds above this level you can have a possible bullish price movement with a forecast for the next 8 days towards 53.32 EUR. Your stop loss order according to experts should be placed at 48.62 EUR if you decide to enter this position.
German chemical group BASF (BAS.DE) warned it could be hit by the fallout from Russia's invasion of Ukraine and counter measures in China to curb rising coronavirus infections. However, the world's biggest petrochemical firm's margins jumped as it benefitted from passing soaring raw material costs to industrial customers.
Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
BASF this is what I expect from such a companyMy advisor Marketmiracle generated a purchase signal on BASF at a price of 69.16 with a target price of 72.95 or with a potential profit of 5.48%
Effectively the last business results have been beyond the expectations and from the diagram it is clear as the title, after to have tried a sudden climb of fact has been collided with of the technical resistances that have rejected it.
Now seems back the time of collection and, considering also the market sentiment that has returned slightly positive (0.02) we should start to see an increase in prices definitely up to the price of 72.95 indicated by the advisor but perhaps even beyond.
It might therefore be interesting to start taking positions on BASF and then assess whether to close at that level or let go of positions for a more consistent climb.
This idea is based on a signal generated by the advisor Marketmiracle, down on this page you will find the link to the page of signals of the advisor that you can see for free without any cost or registration
65% trade planned - BASF share price analysisHello dear readers,
Today I would like to look at the dividend share BASF
Chart-technical assessment
- BASF is building a bottom and thus a trend reversal.
- Crossing the trend line and the last high are the first important steps.
- Within the next weeks/months, I expect the share price to initially approach the sell zone and then to undergo a strong correction to the buy zone.
- The subsequent rally should complete the bottoming and approach the target zone in a strong impulse movement.
The plan
- I do not want to start a short trade
- If the price approaches the buy zone, I would like to establish a long position here.
- The buy zone, just like the target zone, must be precisely adjusted later on. For this, a trend reversal towards the buy zone must first take place and the corresponding last high must be established.
- So far it is only a loose plan, updates of the idea will continue to be published by me here.
If you want to support my work I would be happy about a Like & Follow 🙏
Many greetings & success!
Chartdigger
BASF - bullish trend remains intactBASF SE is a German multinational chemical company and the largest chemical producer in the world. After the price correction of March 2020 (pandemic), the price has risen and is on its way to highs of Nov 2019. The 50 day MA (red) was recently touched, and price remains above it. RSI on the daily is above 50, indicating that the bullish trend is intact. Keen to know what others think. Please leave a comment or link to your own ideas! Charts are for information purposes only. Not trade suggestions. DYOR (Do your own research) - act responsibly with your money.
LONG // BAS // EU STOCKSTrade Safe! Don`t be greedy!
Take care and place small trades! If necessary, I will place more long trades at this asset! All new information or recommendations I will post on the comment section of this idea!
In my opinion, this stock is at a good opportunity and has good potential for the stock price to go up!