3 Earnings Season Winners You Should Know AboutAs the dust settles from a brutal earnings season which has seen stocks heavily punished for missing growth forecasts, we’re going to look at three UK stocks which bucked the trend and beat the market.
Associated British Foods (ABF)
ABF’s share price surged to new trend highs following the announcement of a surprise special dividend, a £500 million share buyback, and robust trading at its discount fashion chain Primark.
ABF reported annual results that exceeded previous guidance, showing a 16% increase in group revenue to £19.8 billion and a 9% rise in adjusted pre-tax profit to £1.47 billion. The company attributed this success to price hikes across its businesses to combat inflation.
Primark experienced a 17% rise in annual revenues to £9 billion, with like-for-like sales growth of 8.5%. Despite a 3% decrease in adjusted operating profit to £735 million, the company’s CEO, George Weston, described Primark’s performance as excellent under the circumstances, emphasising the brand’s attractiveness to both existing and new customers.
The conglomerate’s sugar business, particularly in Africa with Illovo, showed improved profits. Grocery revenues, driven by international brands like Twinings, Ovaltine, and others, performed well, especially in the US. The UK’s Allied Bakeries also saw improved performance.
With strong cash generation and successful strategic initiatives, ABF is well-positioned for further growth and progress in the coming year.
ABF Daily Candle Chart
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Auto Trader (AUTO)
Auto Trader raced to the top of the FTSE’s highest risers this month after posting a strong set of half-year results.
The online car dealerships operating profit margin remained stable at 71%, while the overall margin slightly dipped to 59%. Basic earnings per share grew by 4% to 12.74p, and cash generated from operations rose by 12% to £184.2 million. EBITDA increased by 9% to £182.1 million, and adjusted earnings per share climbed 2% to 13.96p.
The growth in average revenue per retailer by 12% was attributed to the adoption of additional products and services. Auto Trader expressed confidence in the second half, citing stable recurring revenue and successful execution of a first-half growth event. The integration of Autorama, a new car leasing firm, is underway, promising cost savings and anticipating volume growth.
Auto Trader’s CEO, Nathan Coe said:
“It has been a strong start to the year with more buyers spending more time and completing more of their car buying journey on Auto Trader.”
“We are working in partnership with record numbers of retailers and manufacturers, who are turning to our platform as the most effective and efficient way to source, price and sell their vehicles.”
On the price chart, Auto Trader’s results created the catalyst for a significant breakout. Prices are now consolidating in a tight range near recent highs.
AUTO Daily Candle Chart
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Experian (EXPN)
Experian’s share price gapped higher earlier this month following an impressive set of first half results.
Revenue from ongoing activities climbed by 6% to $3.41 billion during the six-month period, and profit hit $928 million, propelled by heightened consumer demand for affordability assessments and investment portfolio analysis during the cost-of-living crisis.
Experian attributed its positive results to growth across all regions. Latin America experienced double-digit growth, North America demonstrated improvement by focusing on new revenue streams and analysis tools, while EMEA and Asia Pacific showed signs of improvement, and the UK and Ireland sustained steady growth.
In North America, the company adapted its strategy to emphasise revenue streams like new datasets and analysis tools, offsetting the impact of stricter lending standards. Meanwhile, British lenders are increasingly seeking comprehensive financial data due to heightened concerns about borrowers managing debts in a high-interest rate environment.
The market's response to Experian’s results has been very bullish with the shares breaking above a descending trendline which had been in place since the summer. Prices are now consolidating within a small bull flag pattern.
EXPN Daily Candle Chart:
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance
Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 75% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money..
EXPGY trade ideas
EXPN, Experian plc - Trailing StopLSE:EXPN
What are the objections people usually make?
We share some of them...
A - The technical analysis doesn't provide any kind of reference.
B - Patterns give us the reference at which moment to enter.
A - When you enter the breakouts, you have the same odds as when you flip the coin with heads and tails.
B - It's true, but when we lose we lose by -1, while when we profit we get a minimum gain of +3 to even +10.
A - Technical analysis is a method in which traders are known to lose money.
B - Ah yes, then go and study historical traders like Peter Brandt, Jesse Livermore, Jack D. Schwager, and so many others.
A - How do you know where to place your Stop Loss?
B - We have been studying the history of charts for years, finding the best solutions by comparing them with each other and understanding which is the best possible Hedging, selecting the three best and practicing them in reality for a long time, getting the performance exactly in the parameters of our Backtest.
Is that enough to answer some of your doubts?
Good trading at all!
Experian Plc on breakout alert Experian Plc is a global information services company, which engages in the provision of data and analytical tools that are used to manage credit risk, prevent fraud, target marketing offers, and automate decision making. Its activities are grouped into four global business lines: Credit Services, Decision Analytics, Marketing Services, and Consumer Services. The Credit Services provides information to organizations to help manage the risks associated with extending credit and preventing fraud. The Decision Analytics unlocks the value of its vast store of credit and marketing information, as well as other data sources, by applying expert consulting, analytical tools and software to convert data into valuable business decisions. The Marketing Services helps many of the organizations target and engage to customers through sophisticated marketing strategies that generate significant return on investment. The Consumer Services provides credit monitoring services to millions of consumers via the internet. The company was founded by John Wilfred Peace in 1980 and is headquartered in Dublin, Ireland.
EXPERIAN PLC BULLISH UP TO $36Experian Plc is a global information services company, which engages in the provision of data and analytical tools that are used to manage credit risk, prevent fraud, target marketing offers, and automate decision making. Its activities are grouped into four global business lines: Credit Services, Decision Analytics, Marketing Services, and Consumer Services. The Credit Services provides information to organizations to help manage the risks associated with extending credit and preventing fraud. The Decision Analytics unlocks the value of its vast store of credit and marketing information, as well as other data sources, by applying expert consulting, analytical tools and software to convert data into valuable business decisions. The Marketing Services helps many of the organizations target and engage to customers through sophisticated marketing strategies that generate significant return on investment. The Consumer Services provides credit monitoring services to millions of consumers via the internet. The company was founded by John Wilfred Peace in 1980 and is headquartered in Dublin, Ireland.
EXPN, Experian plc - Trailing Stop on Experian plcLSE:EXPN
You have to understand that even if most of the time your trade turns against you, when the trend moves in your favour, you have to manage your position disciplinarily.
Look in this trade as in the first operation we have succeeded in doubling the value of our position realizing exactly a good 200% on the allocated, and in the second operation we are still long currently with a profit not yet realized of 1000% and protected in case the trend begins a reversal or we suffered a heavy retracement.
If these were my only two trades to profit in the last ten, so would be the situation of my profits/losses:
2 profit trades = (1*200%) + (1*1000%)
-
8 trades at a loss = 8*100%
=
1200% - 800% = 400%
on allocated capital
This is perfect position management.
Experian - Bearish divergence on hourlyPattern - Bearish price RSI divergence confirmed on hourly chart
4-hr and daily RSI is turning lower from the overbought territory as well.
Prices likely to test rising trend line support seen around 1400
Bearish invalidation is seen only above the recent high of 1495