GLNCY trade ideas
#GLEN comment: H&S formation is intact, fall pressure increases#GLEN topped in the beginning of this year but since then the price rally lost its power though the company announced better results compared to the previous year.
Technically, the share builds a H&S formation, which has a neckline around 339. If this level is passed down then there may be further fall, which can be interpreted as a correction (ABC) formation.
This is not financial advice!!! Do not make financial decisions based on this analysis.
Glencore in freefall Glencore shares are in freefall this morning as the US department of justice hands the company a subpoena in relation to money laundering. The company has been has been asked to hand over records to the US DoJ so they can look into activities in Nigeria, the Democratic Republic of Congo and Venezuela dating ranging as far back as 2007
Looking at the chart you can see there was a significant fall, at one stage the company was suspending from trading.
GLEN - Potential FormationLooking at the daily chart we have two interesting formations that could indicate a short term upswing. Indicators also seem to be slightly diverging to price.
We have a potential 'Wolfe Wave' and Cypher pattern. Wolfe wave price target of around 420 with projection time being Ex-Div date. The cypher target would be 395.
GLEN: Glencore is in a strong uptrendI'm long $GLCNF/$GLEN here. I like the outlook for Cobalt, as the EV race intensifies. Supply of this metal is constrained, and as demand surges, prices will follow, intensely.
With some luck, I'm correctly calling the bottom of this pullback, which gives us a low risk to join this trend. I'm already positioned from lower levels in $VALE, and also in $BHP, and $GLEN was the missing piece for my portfolio that gravitates around this and other themes currently.
Best of luck if joining me here,
Cheers.
Ivan Labrie.
Glencore a prime example of volume profile strengthI wanted to use this chart as an example of how useful market profile is!
Just below the 340 area you can see the main value area on the volume profile indicator.
In conjunction with the candle action you can see that area was rejected with some power.
Once the candle high was broken the approach to new highs was made.
Glencore - textbook topping patternThe daily chart shows a textbook topping pattern… here is the sequence –
Bearish RSI divergence
Breach of the rising trend line followed by sideways action
Bearish breakdown of sideways channel &
Now a falling channel
Looks like the share price is set to take out support at 292 and test the falling channel floor around 282 levels.
Glencore looks set to leave a lower top formationThe bearish divergence as is shown by the falling channel on the RSI, coupled with the fact that 50-DMA has topped out suggests the stock is more likely to leave a lower top formation followed by a bearish break from the sideways channel floor seen at 308.30. Such a move would open up downside towards 277 levels (target as per the measured height method).
On the higher side, only a daily close above the 50-DMA would revive bullishness.