OTHERS/BTCDoes the smaller cap crypto market bounce here or are we setting up for one more leg down?
Me personally I think this is a huge bounce zone. If the line gets broken to the downside I expect a very quick wick recovery within a week.
BTC Dominance looks like it's about to put in a Daily Bearish Divergence which would align with a temporary altseason to bring in the early retail before the summer lull of the markets. Be Prepared For Anything!
#NFFA #GodSpeed
OTHERS trade ideas
Altseason 2025: Bitcoin’s Next Phase, Thrill and Euphoria So, it seems that we are on track with the 4-year cycle, with our target to at least 150k for BTC, and entering the next phase: thrill, euphoria and altseason.
Of course, it’s not “up only” from here, and we do have specific market conditions that must align for this scenario to play out:
Bitcoin follows the 4-year cycle: Maintaining historical trends of market phases.
We remain in a crypto bull market: A rising tide lifts all boats.
Altseason begins: A period of intense growth and volatility for altcoins.
Retail money floods in: Increasing mainstream interest and participation.
Global markets are "healthy-ish": No major economic black swans.
Monetary policy shifts to QE (quantitative easing): A return to liquidity-friendly environments.
🌊 Our high risk altcoin picks for this altseason
#1 Glacier Network - best characterized as a Infrastructure, Smart Contract Platform and Layer 2 project.
#2 Karlsen Network - best characterized as a Smart Contract Platform, Layer 1 and Proof of Work project.
#3 Guacamole - best characterized as a Meme and DeFi project.
#4 Picasso Network - best characterized as a Smart Contract Platform, Layer 1 and Bridge Governance Token project.
#5 Three protocol - best characterized as a Smart Contract Platform and Payment Solution project.
#6 Octavia - best characterized as a Artificial Intelligence and AI Agent project.
#7 ZeroLend - best characterized as a DeFi, Governance and Lending/Borrowing Protocols project.
#8 LightLink - best characterized as a Infrastructure, Smart Contract Platform and Layer 2 project.
#9 enqAI - best characterized as an Artificial Intelligence project.
#10 AIT Protocol - best characterized as a Artificial Intelligence project.
#11 Juno Network - best characterized as a Smart Contract Platform and Juno Ecosystem project.
#12 UFO Gaming - best characterized as a GameFi project.
#13 AgentLayer - best characterized as an Artificial Intelligence and AI Agents project.
#14 Blendr Network - best characterized as an Artificial Intelligence and DePIN project.
#15 HyperGPT - best characterized as an Artificial Intelligence and AI Agents project.
💬 What is your top picks for this altseason?
This is not financial advice. Always do your own research before investing.
Tokenomics: How to avoid scams and fake projects?I've decided to write about the scams, Ponzi schemes, and fake projects in the crypto industry.
I'm a developer with 30+ years of experience in Web2, gaming (Unity, Unreal), and Web3. With this background, I can quickly spot fake projects riding a hot narrative that will never deliver or that mislead investors about their business model.
Meme Coins vs. Big Projects – Who's the Real Scam?
The common belief is that meme coins are scams. While some are, others have better tokenomics and fundamentals than major Layer 1 projects. On the other hand, big funded projects aren’t necessarily more honest—their scams are just more sophisticated, preying on investors' lack of technical knowledge.
Most Common Crypto Scams & Red Flags
1️⃣ Coins promising cheaper services using their own token 🚩
Many projects claim that using their token will make their services cheaper (e.g., Filecoin, Render). Why is this a scam?
If the coin succeeds and its price rises, then the service becomes more expensive—making it worse than the competition.
This contradicts their entire business model, proving it's unsustainable.
2️⃣ DeFi protocols without 1:1 backing 💰💀
Many bridges and lending protocols use their own token as collateral—this is a disaster waiting to happen (e.g., Thorchain, Thorswap).
As long as the token holds value, the system works.
But if FUD spreads, a bank run will wipe out liquidity and make the protocol insolvent—there’s no safety net.
3️⃣ Gaming projects claiming to use AI agents 🎮🤖 (It’s a lie!)
It is technically impossible to have AI-powered NPCs in a game at scale (e.g., Astra Nova).
AI agents require 12GB+ of VRAM per instance—you cannot have hundreds running in a game.
Many GameFi projects slap "AI" on their marketing because investors don’t know better.
🔍 How to spot a fake GameFi project:
No shadows on characters (e.g., BigTime, Valhalla) = outdated pre-2000s tech
"Arcade games" = nobody cares about them
League of Legends clones = LoL is 15+ years old!
Claims of 80+ devs = At EUROTLX:4K + per dev, that’s $380K/month in salaries—do the math!
Legit Meme Coins Can Be Better Than "Big Projects"
Example: CRYPTOCAP:PEPE 🐸
Despite being a meme, CRYPTOCAP:PEPE has better tokenomics than most of the top 200 projects.
✔️ No staking = No inflation (fixed supply, no endless token dilution).
✔️ No central ownership = No rug pulls (tokens distributed to the community).
✔️ Strong market makers (e.g., Wintermute).
✔️ No fake narrative—it’s just a meme, no BS.
✔️ Huge liquidity & low slippage on major exchanges.
Final Thoughts
🚫 Don’t judge a project by its marketing—check its fundamentals!
✅ Avoid inflationary projects
✅ Avoid projects with too many insiders
✅ Avoid narrative-based scams that sell you fairy tales
💡 Hope you found this post insightful!
DYOR! 🧐
Panic Selling Shakes the Market, Altseason Not Started Yet Hello,
Altseason has been delayed due to market manipulation and panic selling by retail investors. Many traders capitulated as fear took over, leading to cascading liquidations and further price drops. Whales took advantage of weak hands, triggering stop losses and accumulating at discounted prices. FUD-driven sentiment and regulatory concerns added to the sell-off, causing a temporary shift in market confidence. However, on-chain data suggests strong accumulation, and BTC dominance is peaking—both signs of an upcoming altseason. With liquidity returning and sentiment improving, altcoins are likely to see explosive moves soon.
Alt Coins Index (OTHERS): Bullish Cup & Handle PatternSimple chart pattern suggest that we can expect Alt Coins to have a bullish move.
Based on this Cup & Handle target, the Alt Coin market will have a market cap of 1.94 Trillion, a +600% increase from its current 263 million market cap.
Let me know what you think.
Good luck!
OTHERS - Bull Channel Looking for continuation of this large channel on the Weekly timeframe
This chart excludes BTC and ETH but there is such an oversaturation of alts that i expect a massive pump across the board, legitimately on every altcoin,
If the channel hodls we are in for a massive run
PUMP IT
ALT Coin Revival??? Is the 2025 Bull Run still on? Will there be an alt season?
I don't know that survival of a week of bad CPI and PPI data is enough to confirm that.
But there is some evidence that the massive wick to the downside on 2/2 for alts (this chart shows the 'OTHERS' index, the true alts, those out of the top ten in market cap) constitutes a bottom.
The latter was, I think, part of the largest liquidation event in the history of cryptocurrency. $2.2 billion, quite a shakeout.
What the 2D on 'OTHERS' shows me:
>Support of price action on the 100d & 200d SMA's (and the tightness of of the two).
>The acute bullish SMT Divergence vs BTC. (The drop in BTC, in itself, wasn't remarkable.)
>Long signals on multiple momentum indicators. (I show, here, Cipher B and Lux Algo's Oscillator.)
What I still need to see in order to invest in an Alt Season:
>A return of price action into the Value Area formed by 2024 price action. (A couple daily closes above the VAL? Or, better still, a weekly close above it?)
>A consistent increase in volume, the flow of money into the space. (Without out such, the 'rally' we've seen in spite of bad economic news, is likely to peter out.)
>Signs that BTC's excruciating slumber is over and that it is ready to take another shot at price discovery.
I do pay especial notice to those alts that have out performed 'OTHERS'. They are worth watching in March.
What the consensus on crypto?
OTHERS vs BitcoinApproximately, this is how I see things:
📊 General Analysis:
Fear and Greed Index: Currently in a zone of fear or indecision, which can influence market volatility.
Interest Rates and Federal Reserve Policy: Direct impact on capital flow into risky assets, including crypto.
📈 Estimated Direction:
Shitcoins vs. Bitcoin: Shitcoins might start gaining ground against Bitcoin if BTC dominance decreases, allowing altcoins to outperform.
The suggested chart indicates a trend toward narrowing the gap and possibly increasing interest in altcoins over BTC.
💡 Strategy:
Closely monitor macroeconomic indicators and capital behavior in the crypto market.
Altcoin profitability depends on bullish divergences and overall market support.
In conclusion: The market might present exciting opportunities, but we need to stay alert to the overall dynamics! 🚀
💭 I emphasize that this information is also new to me. I hope I understood it correctly and that it will help in interpreting the market. I share what I see with the hope that this analysis will bring clarity and value to everyone! 🙌
Are you ready for ALT Season 2025? #ALTSZN20253 days before the potential start.
Previous alt seasons have started:
ALTSZN 1: February 14, 2017
ALTSZN 2: January 1, 2021
ALTSZN 3: February 14, 2025?
- 1 candle = 44D
- New 44D candle due to 3D
- Alt-season = 1 year after halving
Now, the altcoin season can begin.
We saw a retest of the BTC Dominance chart breakout.
After that, an unforgettable run began in 2020.
Best Regards EXCAVO
Write your portfolio in the comments.
Altseason About to Begin?In both previous bull markets (2017 & 2021), the peak-to-bear market bottom took just over 1,000 days, with a similar drop of 73% & 74%.
We might currently be at the very bottom— right before an explosive altcoin season .
And it could come fast.
In both previous cases, once the bottom was hit, the insane altcoin rally kicked off within one or two weeks .
We can also use this pattern to estimate the time frame.
💥 The 2017 run lasted 336 days.
💥 The 2021 run lasted 378 days.
Taking the average (357 days), the next peak could be around January 2026.
That said, this is just one possible scenario.
From all the different time-based projections I’ve analyzed, most technical analyses suggest that altcoin season could peak around March or October 2025 .
A 2026 peak is a less common projection.
But knowing more possibilities means being better prepared.
I think this cycle will be short and explosive, with everything pumping and finishing fast.
If you like this kind of analysis, make sure to [🔥 follow me ]—I’ll be sharing more "guesses" like this!
---
🔥 I've dropped another 2 analyses for the 2025 altseason on the right hand side if you're using computer, and scroll down a bit to see the link if you're using mobile.
2-Day Green Dot Pivot – Trend ReversalWe just printed a 2-day green dot, signaling a potential end to the altcoin bleeding
Last time this signal appeared, we saw a 300%+ rally. 📉➡️📈
With 2025 altseason on the horizon, this could be the early warning sign smart money is watching. Time to position accordingly. 🎯
OTHERS - Threatening to Form Another Dippity Dip?Back in June 2024, price was well under the 50 EMA (Blue Ribbon) post death cross (When the 50 EMA ribbon crosses down the 200 EMA (Yellow Ribbon).
The same structure can be noted now. There were several attempts to cross the 500 EMA (Green Ribbon) from June to July, most of which failed.
Once price fell below June 2024 support (Labeled the Green Horizontal line) that signified the real danger zone.
The 500 EMA proved to be a significant resistance zone all the way through to November.
Fast Forward to now, OTHERS recently got rejected again by the 500 EMA. I have developed a support zone for this month February that can signify the same potential danger zone.
I believe if we fall though this months support structure, it could be a clue that we are not out of the woods quite yet.
The main question is, could we be facing another dip in the works?
These technicals could provide us with the clues, as we are in the post death cross stage. There is a possibility that this may not occur as it did before. This is only an assumption.
With that noted, I would rather share this information than keep it. If I'm wrong then no serious harm done. Making small entries during these times would be a wise decision as this is never a guarantee.
Good Luck Traders!
- Not Financial Advice -
Altcoin Season - 2017 vs 2021 vs 2025OTHERS/BTC is a good barometer for "Altcoin Season"
OTHERS charts the total market cap of every crypto excluding the Top 10 by market cap tokens
BTC is charting BTC by market cap
It's obvious we are in 4 year cycles, and obvious this season starts after BTC breaks all-time high.
The idea is simple - BTC breaking all-time high increases awareness from the public. People then enter into BTC. After they enter into BTC, they look further down the risk curve (altcoins). 2017, then 2021, now 2025. The "Altcoin Season" typically lasts for ~1 year.
Everyone in the crypto world is freaking out right now, calling for the cycle to be over with and that "altcoins are dead" --- this happens at this point every cycle. If you have been here for 8+ years, you will notice the same pattern repeating in people's emotions/psychology.
Steady Lads, "Altcoin Season" is coming soon.
- CURB (@CryptoCurb)
OTHERS data points to biggest ALT-Season Good Day Investors and traders,
This the OTHERS on the weekly and I have taken some measured moves in what could be expected in time and price.
The OTHERS chart in my opinion is the last form of the higher risk curve which generally happens at the very end of cycles The others does not include the top ten crypto, so it a very good form of risk on.
I have been looking at the OTHERS chart fairly often of recent times because this is the time for it to really outshine Bitcoin and lead the market with fairly explosive gains.
I have marked a couple of possible time lines that could occur and both seem to be lining up in sort of way or another. From what I can see, others has one big wave remaining, and it’s the one you don’t want to miss
The Indicators
Fibonacci retracement
I have placed a potential take profit zone from the 1.272 to the 1.618 levels and anywhere in between. I have added an up trending channel that OTHERS would have to hold to stay somewhat relevant or then could be susceptible to adjustment.
2.RSI
I have measured the first breakout of the RSI from the 2015-17 and 2019-21 bull runs along with this one so far. The one more relevant to us is 2015-17 as this is the cycle we are more closely following. There seems to be a recurring trend of 90 plus bars before a top to OTHERS. One more thing that really stands out to me in the RSI this the first time it has shown a very strong bearish divergence. normally it seems to maintain or gain strength. right to the very end. time will reveal the real issue here.
3. ISO
The average sentiment oscillator to also show very consistent data for us. I have two measurements. The one points to late July and the the other late October. To me this could be the potential ALT-season time frame from July as it fizzles in the October time frame.
My suggestion to you is follow what you have been taught so far, do not get greedy, take profits when they are there and trust your game plan and stick to it. ALT- SEASON can you a lot of money, or lose you a lot of money. By design, its there to take any profits you have may have, or catch any late coming stragglers. Don’t get caught up in the hoopla.
Once again, I ask you for you input, I really want to hear from you.
Check my bio for more links and information
Kind regards,
WeAreSat0shi
Crypto: Buy area for Altcoins (Alts - Others Index).The Chart depicts the current state of the market for Altcoins (excluding top 10 coins). It is a pity that the Trump election win catalyst was short-lived. The Bitcoin MVRV Z-Score still does not show that the Bitcoin has peaked so the long-term trend is still intact. However, even though Alts look really attractive they might need further consolidation (a further 30-50 percent drop from current levels). The index can simulate a parrallel drop from March 2024 high to August 2024 lows, similarly from early December 2024 peak to a potential late March early April 2025 lows. Apart from the trendlines, a 60% from the high of 451bn would give a market cap of 180bn. This is a very important index to follow, because it seems that the top 10 coins (including bitcoin/ethereum) are weathering the storm, whilst in reality, Altcoins have been battered, bludgeoned and beaten. No smart money so whilst there is more money going in Alts, preference is given to the top 10-20 coins (that have been supported). This is not financial advise, do your own due diligence.
Altseason Ahead? Bullish Divergence Signals a ShiftThere are conflicting views on whether we are entering an altseason. However, when comparing altcoins to Bitcoin, we can see a bullish divergence forming, signaling an increased probability of an upcoming altseason.
Do you think this is the beginning, or is Bitcoin dominance still too strong?