Tokenomics: How to avoid scams and fake projects?I've decided to write about the scams, Ponzi schemes, and fake projects in the crypto industry.
I'm a developer with 30+ years of experience in Web2, gaming (Unity, Unreal), and Web3. With this background, I can quickly spot fake projects riding a hot narrative that will never deliver or that mislead investors about their business model.
Meme Coins vs. Big Projects – Who's the Real Scam?
The common belief is that meme coins are scams. While some are, others have better tokenomics and fundamentals than major Layer 1 projects. On the other hand, big funded projects aren’t necessarily more honest—their scams are just more sophisticated, preying on investors' lack of technical knowledge.
Most Common Crypto Scams & Red Flags
1️⃣ Coins promising cheaper services using their own token 🚩
Many projects claim that using their token will make their services cheaper (e.g., Filecoin, Render). Why is this a scam?
If the coin succeeds and its price rises, then the service becomes more expensive—making it worse than the competition.
This contradicts their entire business model, proving it's unsustainable.
2️⃣ DeFi protocols without 1:1 backing 💰💀
Many bridges and lending protocols use their own token as collateral—this is a disaster waiting to happen (e.g., Thorchain, Thorswap).
As long as the token holds value, the system works.
But if FUD spreads, a bank run will wipe out liquidity and make the protocol insolvent—there’s no safety net.
3️⃣ Gaming projects claiming to use AI agents 🎮🤖 (It’s a lie!)
It is technically impossible to have AI-powered NPCs in a game at scale (e.g., Astra Nova).
AI agents require 12GB+ of VRAM per instance—you cannot have hundreds running in a game.
Many GameFi projects slap "AI" on their marketing because investors don’t know better.
🔍 How to spot a fake GameFi project:
No shadows on characters (e.g., BigTime, Valhalla) = outdated pre-2000s tech
"Arcade games" = nobody cares about them
League of Legends clones = LoL is 15+ years old!
Claims of 80+ devs = At EUROTLX:4K + per dev, that’s $380K/month in salaries—do the math!
Legit Meme Coins Can Be Better Than "Big Projects"
Example: CRYPTOCAP:PEPE 🐸
Despite being a meme, CRYPTOCAP:PEPE has better tokenomics than most of the top 200 projects.
✔️ No staking = No inflation (fixed supply, no endless token dilution).
✔️ No central ownership = No rug pulls (tokens distributed to the community).
✔️ Strong market makers (e.g., Wintermute).
✔️ No fake narrative—it’s just a meme, no BS.
✔️ Huge liquidity & low slippage on major exchanges.
Final Thoughts
🚫 Don’t judge a project by its marketing—check its fundamentals!
✅ Avoid inflationary projects
✅ Avoid projects with too many insiders
✅ Avoid narrative-based scams that sell you fairy tales
💡 Hope you found this post insightful!
DYOR! 🧐
OTHERS trade ideas
Panic Selling Shakes the Market, Altseason Not Started Yet Hello,
Altseason has been delayed due to market manipulation and panic selling by retail investors. Many traders capitulated as fear took over, leading to cascading liquidations and further price drops. Whales took advantage of weak hands, triggering stop losses and accumulating at discounted prices. FUD-driven sentiment and regulatory concerns added to the sell-off, causing a temporary shift in market confidence. However, on-chain data suggests strong accumulation, and BTC dominance is peaking—both signs of an upcoming altseason. With liquidity returning and sentiment improving, altcoins are likely to see explosive moves soon.
Alt Coins Index (OTHERS): Bullish Cup & Handle PatternSimple chart pattern suggest that we can expect Alt Coins to have a bullish move.
Based on this Cup & Handle target, the Alt Coin market will have a market cap of 1.94 Trillion, a +600% increase from its current 263 million market cap.
Let me know what you think.
Good luck!
OTHERS - Bull Channel Looking for continuation of this large channel on the Weekly timeframe
This chart excludes BTC and ETH but there is such an oversaturation of alts that i expect a massive pump across the board, legitimately on every altcoin,
If the channel hodls we are in for a massive run
PUMP IT
ALT Coin Revival??? Is the 2025 Bull Run still on? Will there be an alt season?
I don't know that survival of a week of bad CPI and PPI data is enough to confirm that.
But there is some evidence that the massive wick to the downside on 2/2 for alts (this chart shows the 'OTHERS' index, the true alts, those out of the top ten in market cap) constitutes a bottom.
The latter was, I think, part of the largest liquidation event in the history of cryptocurrency. $2.2 billion, quite a shakeout.
What the 2D on 'OTHERS' shows me:
>Support of price action on the 100d & 200d SMA's (and the tightness of of the two).
>The acute bullish SMT Divergence vs BTC. (The drop in BTC, in itself, wasn't remarkable.)
>Long signals on multiple momentum indicators. (I show, here, Cipher B and Lux Algo's Oscillator.)
What I still need to see in order to invest in an Alt Season:
>A return of price action into the Value Area formed by 2024 price action. (A couple daily closes above the VAL? Or, better still, a weekly close above it?)
>A consistent increase in volume, the flow of money into the space. (Without out such, the 'rally' we've seen in spite of bad economic news, is likely to peter out.)
>Signs that BTC's excruciating slumber is over and that it is ready to take another shot at price discovery.
I do pay especial notice to those alts that have out performed 'OTHERS'. They are worth watching in March.
What the consensus on crypto?
OTHERS vs BitcoinApproximately, this is how I see things:
📊 General Analysis:
Fear and Greed Index: Currently in a zone of fear or indecision, which can influence market volatility.
Interest Rates and Federal Reserve Policy: Direct impact on capital flow into risky assets, including crypto.
📈 Estimated Direction:
Shitcoins vs. Bitcoin: Shitcoins might start gaining ground against Bitcoin if BTC dominance decreases, allowing altcoins to outperform.
The suggested chart indicates a trend toward narrowing the gap and possibly increasing interest in altcoins over BTC.
💡 Strategy:
Closely monitor macroeconomic indicators and capital behavior in the crypto market.
Altcoin profitability depends on bullish divergences and overall market support.
In conclusion: The market might present exciting opportunities, but we need to stay alert to the overall dynamics! 🚀
💭 I emphasize that this information is also new to me. I hope I understood it correctly and that it will help in interpreting the market. I share what I see with the hope that this analysis will bring clarity and value to everyone! 🙌
Are you ready for ALT Season 2025? #ALTSZN20253 days before the potential start.
Previous alt seasons have started:
ALTSZN 1: February 14, 2017
ALTSZN 2: January 1, 2021
ALTSZN 3: February 14, 2025?
- 1 candle = 44D
- New 44D candle due to 3D
- Alt-season = 1 year after halving
Now, the altcoin season can begin.
We saw a retest of the BTC Dominance chart breakout.
After that, an unforgettable run began in 2020.
Best Regards EXCAVO
Write your portfolio in the comments.
Altseason About to Begin?In both previous bull markets (2017 & 2021), the peak-to-bear market bottom took just over 1,000 days, with a similar drop of 73% & 74%.
We might currently be at the very bottom— right before an explosive altcoin season .
And it could come fast.
In both previous cases, once the bottom was hit, the insane altcoin rally kicked off within one or two weeks .
We can also use this pattern to estimate the time frame.
💥 The 2017 run lasted 336 days.
💥 The 2021 run lasted 378 days.
Taking the average (357 days), the next peak could be around January 2026.
That said, this is just one possible scenario.
From all the different time-based projections I’ve analyzed, most technical analyses suggest that altcoin season could peak around March or October 2025 .
A 2026 peak is a less common projection.
But knowing more possibilities means being better prepared.
I think this cycle will be short and explosive, with everything pumping and finishing fast.
If you like this kind of analysis, make sure to [🔥 follow me ]—I’ll be sharing more "guesses" like this!
---
🔥 I've dropped another 2 analyses for the 2025 altseason on the right hand side if you're using computer, and scroll down a bit to see the link if you're using mobile.
2-Day Green Dot Pivot – Trend ReversalWe just printed a 2-day green dot, signaling a potential end to the altcoin bleeding
Last time this signal appeared, we saw a 300%+ rally. 📉➡️📈
With 2025 altseason on the horizon, this could be the early warning sign smart money is watching. Time to position accordingly. 🎯
OTHERS - Threatening to Form Another Dippity Dip?Back in June 2024, price was well under the 50 EMA (Blue Ribbon) post death cross (When the 50 EMA ribbon crosses down the 200 EMA (Yellow Ribbon).
The same structure can be noted now. There were several attempts to cross the 500 EMA (Green Ribbon) from June to July, most of which failed.
Once price fell below June 2024 support (Labeled the Green Horizontal line) that signified the real danger zone.
The 500 EMA proved to be a significant resistance zone all the way through to November.
Fast Forward to now, OTHERS recently got rejected again by the 500 EMA. I have developed a support zone for this month February that can signify the same potential danger zone.
I believe if we fall though this months support structure, it could be a clue that we are not out of the woods quite yet.
The main question is, could we be facing another dip in the works?
These technicals could provide us with the clues, as we are in the post death cross stage. There is a possibility that this may not occur as it did before. This is only an assumption.
With that noted, I would rather share this information than keep it. If I'm wrong then no serious harm done. Making small entries during these times would be a wise decision as this is never a guarantee.
Good Luck Traders!
- Not Financial Advice -
Altcoin Season - 2017 vs 2021 vs 2025OTHERS/BTC is a good barometer for "Altcoin Season"
OTHERS charts the total market cap of every crypto excluding the Top 10 by market cap tokens
BTC is charting BTC by market cap
It's obvious we are in 4 year cycles, and obvious this season starts after BTC breaks all-time high.
The idea is simple - BTC breaking all-time high increases awareness from the public. People then enter into BTC. After they enter into BTC, they look further down the risk curve (altcoins). 2017, then 2021, now 2025. The "Altcoin Season" typically lasts for ~1 year.
Everyone in the crypto world is freaking out right now, calling for the cycle to be over with and that "altcoins are dead" --- this happens at this point every cycle. If you have been here for 8+ years, you will notice the same pattern repeating in people's emotions/psychology.
Steady Lads, "Altcoin Season" is coming soon.
- CURB (@CryptoCurb)
Crypto: Buy area for Altcoins (Alts - Others Index).The Chart depicts the current state of the market for Altcoins (excluding top 10 coins). It is a pity that the Trump election win catalyst was short-lived. The Bitcoin MVRV Z-Score still does not show that the Bitcoin has peaked so the long-term trend is still intact. However, even though Alts look really attractive they might need further consolidation (a further 30-50 percent drop from current levels). The index can simulate a parrallel drop from March 2024 high to August 2024 lows, similarly from early December 2024 peak to a potential late March early April 2025 lows. Apart from the trendlines, a 60% from the high of 451bn would give a market cap of 180bn. This is a very important index to follow, because it seems that the top 10 coins (including bitcoin/ethereum) are weathering the storm, whilst in reality, Altcoins have been battered, bludgeoned and beaten. No smart money so whilst there is more money going in Alts, preference is given to the top 10-20 coins (that have been supported). This is not financial advise, do your own due diligence.
Altseason Ahead? Bullish Divergence Signals a ShiftThere are conflicting views on whether we are entering an altseason. However, when comparing altcoins to Bitcoin, we can see a bullish divergence forming, signaling an increased probability of an upcoming altseason.
Do you think this is the beginning, or is Bitcoin dominance still too strong?
Market in Consolidation, The Calm Before the Next Big MoveThe market is currently in a sideways consolidation phase, showing a lack of significant movement across altcoins. This is a natural occurrence following an impulsive move, where price action stabilizes before the next major breakout. Such phases often lead to a period of uncertainty as traders wait for a clear directional move.
After a strong price movement, it is common for the market to go into sideways consolidation before deciding its next direction. Right now, almost every altcoin is forming a symmetrical triangle pattern, which suggests that buying and selling pressures are balancing out. This pattern typically acts as a precursor to a major breakout, either upward or downward, depending on market sentiment and external factors.
During this phase, it is crucial to exercise patience and avoid making impulsive trades. The best strategy is to wait for confirmation of a breakout before entering the market. A decisive break above or below the current range will provide clarity on the next significant move. Traders should closely monitor key support and resistance levels to position themselves effectively.
Historically, prolonged periods of consolidation lead to strong moves in either direction. The longer the market remains in this phase, the more powerful the eventual breakout is likely to be. Being prepared and having a well-defined trading plan will be essential in capitalizing on the next market movement.
Altcoins potential to start rally!As pointer before by others, Altcoins may be about to start their bullish rally.
The 3 charts indicate:
BTC price history,
BTC dominance (%)
Altcoin dominance ( minus ETH, BTC, in %)
What we see in the chart are 2 possible escenarios:
1- BTC has reached top and is about to drop, like in 2016, leading to the rise in dominance of altcoins.
2- BTC has not reached top, but the incoming BTC short rally will come together with a bigger rally (in relative terms) for the alcoin market. In other words, the BTC price action will be parasited by a capital flip to altcoins.
Keep in mind always may happen a 3rd scenario, risk is always present:
3-BTC has reached its top and will start bear market, plus Altcoins will never see a true bullish market from now on. This is particularly probable, since politics and economics in US has turned in favor of BTC mainly, leaving "most" of the altcoin market as not recognized can be a very bad thing for investor, who are eager to reduce the huge risk this crypto market implies.
DISCLAIMER:
Remember, all of this is speculation of my own, based on others analysis. You are responsible for doing your own research, and this is not a financial advice. This only represents my sentiment and opinion in the market. I do hold several crypto-curriencies, including BTC. You are responsible for your own loses.
Happy trading !
:)
$OTHERS are bleeding, but it will stop soon! Be prepared!Altcoins are bleeding heavily. In my previous analysis, I identified the reversal and the initial bounce that led to the small altseason in December 2024. However, it was rejected twice, forming a double top, and now this pattern is playing out.
I understand the frustration, but things cannot keep going down forever. I’ve marked the possible resistance levels with green lines.
The MACD is still strongly bearish, but we’re nearing the end of this trend. A couple more weeks may be needed for a bullish MACD crossover.
The RSI supports this outlook, showing we’re close to the bottom.
A little more patience, and recovery will begin. From this chart, I can confidently say that accumulating now is likely to pay off when the bounce occurs.
Some coins are looking very cheap right now: CRYPTOCAP:PEPE , CRYPTOCAP:INJ , BME:UNI , SEED_DONKEYDAN_MARKET_CAP:BONK , SEED_DONKEYDAN_MARKET_CAP:FLOKI , CRYPTOCAP:SUI , etc.
The next mini altseason is approaching, and you could potentially see x2 or more gains by holding these coins at their current prices.
Another leg down is possible, so be prepared to buy the dip!
DYOR (Do Your Own Research).
Are you prepared for this possibility?Imagine that we actually keep on ranging, don't have an alt szn till a few years from now and we all get desperat.
Something i personally hope it won't happen as many aren't prepared for this type of situation but definitively something to keep in mind.
Is a pro crypto president really the good thing for crypto? I start to doubt it.