Palladium may still drop a bit, but best believe it is bullishDemand will resume soon which means price will go up. Exactly when is hard to say, but it is sound logic. Palladium is needed for your car, when factories open up again, it is obvious what is going to happen. We have touched the first Fib. level and now appear to be going sideways. We could still drop to the Golden ratio but this could be an accumulation phase.
PALLADIUM trade ideas
Palladium (XPDUSD): The end of its parabolic rise.Palladium has been rising non-stop for 4 years (since January 2016), a rise that after 2019 turned parabolic. This parabola has broken down this March as the pull back exceeded the 0.382 Fibonacci level that has been holding in the previous two cyclical pull backs (August 2018 and May 2019).
The 1W chart is on a neutral state (RSI = 53.141, MACD = 105.160, ADX = 39.528) as it has recovered 50% of the March sell-off, however the danger is far from over. Until the 2,900 High breaks, Palladium (XPDUSD) will most likely remain under selling pressure and the Higher Low trend line (red line) which has been supporting the 4 year uptrend may be tested. This test involves the 1W MA200 (orange line) both of which (HL trend line and MA200) can 'meet' on the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement (of the whole 4 year move). This (0.618 Fib) is at 1,390. If that breaks to then the next Support and potential sell target will be on the 0.786 Fib at 980 where Palladium can again start looking like a strong investment.
Keep in mind that we have been strong Palladium supporters for quite some time:
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PALLADIUM PointersTrading in middle of 1 - 1/2 Gann structure, a bullish scythe can be observed however it doesn't look that strong, do divergences continue through price lines? just curious. Clear fractal can be observed with these bearish divergences. Best to go long in this scenario, major precious metals will see large increases with global uncertainty rising.
XPDUSD | More DownsidePlease support this idea with LIKE if you find it useful.
Price was rejected by Resistance Node (50 MA, Ichi Cloud and the Resistance Trendline of the Descending Channel). It's more likely to continue the decline and retest the 200 MA
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The information given is not a Financial Advice.
Maybe toppingBreaking the support zone, and a structure wave B seems to be ready. Not crystal clear, but maybe ready.
So I expect to see a five-wave falling and the acceleration come.
There is a huge expectation because a would like to see a new low somewhere 1500, but I could compromise in a double bottom.
Palladium Rests Before It Makes Its Next MovePalladium trended really well from May 2019 to February 2020 and was set to reach the $3,000
round number but the current pandemic had other plans for the economy.
We soon saw a sharp decline in price, falling 47% in under 3 weeks, wiping out 6 months of gains
in a fraction of the time.
We are now seeing a different kind of behaviour in this commodity and price has become
unpredictable. This may be due to the fact that price may be entering consolidation following
the strong bullish trend.
During the trend, price used the 50sma as support to help it gain momentum to the upside, but now
the 50sma has turned to resistance which may help to force price down.
If we continue to see weakness then the next area of support is the $2,000 round number followed
by the 200sma.
Because we are seeing uncertainty in Palladium, the safest option is to wait for a break and close
above the current all-time high at $2,875 followed by the $3,000 round number.
While this commodity sets up for its next trend, which may take a while, we are focusing our attention
on forex pairs that are trending and we are also potentially looking for shorting opportunities in the stock market.
We will be looking at some shorting opportunities in our free Facebook group and we also cover this in our
4-Part series from the link below.
See below for more information on our trading techniques.
As always, keep it simple, keep it Sublime.
Palladium - showing the way forward?I'm interested in what is going on at the moment in this metal due mainly to it's decent correlation to the Nasdaq. Is there another leg up coming some time soon? The background chart is the Nasdaq 100.
Palladium - deeper correction before resuming uptrendPalladium has rallied strongly since a swift A wave down and I reckon this could be shaping up for a classic zigzag as this count suggests. Palladium has a decent correlation with the Nasdaq so if this count turns out to be right then we might also expect a good showing the US equities once again some time soon.
The anatomy of an Asset bubble (PALLADIUM)As shown in the chart, ive been talking about a palladium bubble for a very long time now. Now we can see the result of investor greed and momentum investing gone sour.
At section #1, the BIG parabolic move indicating we are close to the top.
#2, the loss of momentum, smart money has sold into the strength, the new high is created by greedy investors.
#3 A quick flash crash followed by a ''return to normal''. This final section were seeing now also reffered to as a ''bulltrap'' tends to fool many investors and for good reason, the volatility is astounding.
Be careful has as the retrace is mostly over, get ready to continue shorting as another down leg (#4) is almost sure to ensue.