PENDLEUSDT trade ideas
PENDLEUSDT 📈 PENDLEUSDT 4H Analysis:
Price rebounded from the 2.444 demand zone after a short-term breakdown and is now stabilizing above the 200 EMA, with the bullish trendline still intact. Key resistance lies at 3.219, and breaking it could open the path to 3.602. However, a drop below 2.626 and the trendline may trigger a deeper correction.
PENDLEUSDTshort selling set up 📉
DISCLAIMER:
what I share here is just personal research, all based on my hobby and love of speculation intelligence.
The data I share does not come from financial advice.
Use controlled risk, not an invitation to buy and sell certain assets, because it all comes back to each individual.
PENDLE/USDT Technical Analysis – April 9, 2025🔍 Market Structure & Price Action
PENDLE has recently bounced from a significant demand zone around the $2.00–$2.20 area, highlighted by the thick blue box at the bottom of the chart. This area has acted as strong support in the past and shows renewed buying interest, evident from the bullish reversal and increased volume around mid-March.
Price action suggests the formation of a potential reversal structure, with the most recent swing low marking a possible higher low compared to the previous downtrend. The chart shows multiple black horizontal lines representing historical support/resistance zones.
🧠 My Perspective & Additional Insight
This chart suggests an early-stage reversal with bullish momentum building. The fact that price bounced cleanly from a macro support zone and is attempting to break above key EMAs strengthens the bullish bias.
With this head&shoulder should give to the price a real boost!
However, volume confirmation will be critical—look for a breakout above $3.25 with strong buying volume to confirm the move.
If planning to enter:
Entry: On reclaim of $3.20 with volume.
Stop Loss: Below $2.60 (or tighter depending on risk).
Targets: $4.25 → $5.42 → $7.50.
Patience is key. If price consolidates above EMAs, the bullish structure will remain intact.
Good trading :-)
PENDLEI'm take short selling, cancel close position if break above strong high
RR 1 : 2
DISCLAIMER:
what I share here is just personal research, all based on my hobby and love of speculation intelligence.
The data I share does not come from financial advice.
Use controlled risk, not an invitation to buy and sell certain assets, because it all comes back to each individual.
#PENDLE/USDT#PENDLE
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame and is expected to continue upward.
We have a trend to stabilize above the 100 moving average once again.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator, which supports the upward move with a breakout.
We have a support area at the lower boundary of the channel at 2.63.
Entry price: 2.85
First target: 3.07
Second target: 3.20
Third target: 3.40
#PENDLE: Unlocking Yield Tokenization in DeFi**Description**:
This trading idea focuses on **PENDLE**, a DeFi protocol that introduces yield tokenization, allowing users to separate and trade future yield from underlying assets. By enabling a secondary market for yield-bearing tokens, **PENDLE** provides investors with new opportunities for maximizing returns and managing risk exposure in decentralized finance. With the growing demand for innovative yield strategies, **PENDLE** has positioned itself as a key player in the evolving DeFi landscape, attracting liquidity and institutional interest.
Despite its potential, the cryptocurrency market remains highly volatile, with factors such as regulatory developments, macroeconomic conditions, and investor sentiment influencing price movements. As always, a cautious approach and proper risk management are essential when trading **PENDLE** or any digital asset.
**Disclaimer**:
This trading idea is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading cryptocurrencies like **PENDLE** carries significant risk, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. Always conduct thorough research, assess your financial situation, and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
PENDLEUSDT CHART ANALYSİS - EDUCATIONAL POSTThe NFT Concept
You may already know that each unit of value in a blockchain is called a token. In an open blockchain, all tokens are equal and interchangeable. For example, one bitcoin can be easily replaced with another, and nothing will change.
Non-fungible tokens are a game-changer, which work differently. An NFT is a digital asset that cannot be replaced with another token without changing the value and basis of the object.
Like cryptocurrency, NFTs are created on a blockchain, which acts as a database to record all transactions. The blockchain guarantees the uniqueness, safety, and anonymity of non-fungible tokens. Thanks to this system, any user can verify the originality and transparency of the history of a particular NFT through the blockchain.
When you buy an NFT token, you are obtaining a certificate for a digital or real object. However, the work itself doesn’t move anywhere. You only use its digitized file or a certificate of ownership. Once created or purchased, the token sits in perpetual storage. This certificate is just lines of code that confirm it is the token owner who has the original copy of the object.
An NFT token can be compared to a painting, which may belong to a gallery, museum, or individual, but the audience can see it in a catalog or exhibition.
NFT tokens are sold in online marketplaces that operate like Amazon. The creators put them on marketplaces and wait for bids from buyers.
An NFT token can be created by you or by anyone for that matter. To do this, you need to take a digital object (picture, music, photo, etc.), register in a particular marketplace on a platform such as Rarible or OpenSea, and upload the object with a description and price. You will have to pay a fee for creating a blockchain entry on many platforms. However, the costs pay off in most cases, as NFTs are #1 in the crypto world today.
UNIVERS OF SIGNALS| Deep Search: In-Depth Of PENDLEIn this analysis, I want to fully analyze and review the Pendle project for you. First, we will read about the project's fundamentals and then perform a technical analysis.
◽️What is Pendle?
▪️Pendle is a decentralized finance (DeFi) protocol that enables the tokenization and trading of future yield. It introduces an innovative financial infrastructure that allows users to separate and trade the ownership of principal assets and their yield independently. This enables users to execute advanced yield strategies and provides more flexibility in managing yield-bearing assets.
🗝Key Components of Pendle
1. Yield Tokenization:
Pendle allows users to wrap yield-bearing tokens into SY (Standardized Yield Tokens), making them compatible with Pendle's AMM.
◽️These SY tokens are then split into two components:
▪️PT (Principal Token): Represents the principal value of the asset.
▪️YT (Yield Token): Represents the future yield generated by the asset.
This process allows for the separation of principal and yield, enabling users to trade them separately.
2. Pendle AMM (Automated Market Maker)
▪️Pendle's unique AMM is designed to support assets that experience time decay, allowing for efficient trading of PTs and YTs. Users do not need to fully understand the AMM mechanism to trade on Pendle.
3. vePENDLE Governance Model
▪️Pendle incorporates a vePENDLE model (vote-escrowed PENDLE), which enables users to participate in governance, directing incentives within the ecosystem and optimizing their yield strategies.
◽️Use Cases of Pendle
▪️Pendle's protocol enables a variety of financial strategies, including:
1) Fixed Yield Investments: Users can lock in fixed returns by selling their YT and holding PT.
2) Long Yield Positions: Users can buy YT, speculating that yields will increase.
3) Enhanced Yield Without Additional Risk: Providing liquidity in Pendle's pools can generate additional yield.
4) DeFi Yield Optimization: Combining different strategies to maximize yield opportunities.
◽️ Pendle Token Unlock and Allocation
▪️Unlocked Tokens: 283.33M PENDLE (92.14%)
▪️Locked Tokens: 24.17M PENDLE (7.86%)
◽️There are no large upcoming unlock events, but scheduled unlocks will occur gradually.
🔓Unlock Schedule
▪️From February 17, 2025, onward, small daily unlocks will take place, each unlocking around 9,750 - 9,980 PENDLE worth approximately $35,000 USD per batch.
◽️Token Allocation Breakdown
▪️Liquidity Incentives: 37%
▪️Team: 22%
▪️Private Round: 15%
▪️Ecosystem Fund (Allocated): 9%
▪️Ecosystem Fund (Unallocated): 9%
▪️Liquidity Bootstrapping Pool: 7%
▪️Advisors: 1%
▪️Vesting Schedule
◽️Team Tokens: 1-year cliff, then linear unlock over 1 year (50.98M PENDLE).
◽️Private Round: Linear unlock over 1 year after TGE (34.76M PENDLE).
◽️Ecosystem Fund: Unlocked in batches (20.86M PENDLE).
◽️Liquidity Bootstrapping Pool: 100% unlocked at TGE (16.22M PENDLE).
◽️Advisors: Linear unlock over 1 year (2.32M PENDLE).
◽️Untracked Tokens: 106.59M PENDLE (46%) – may be unlocked at any time.
◽️Pendle Wallet Compatibility
◾️Pendle is supported by various hardware, software, and extension wallets, including:
▪️Hardware Wallets: Ledger Nano X, Ledger Nano S, Trezor Model One, Trezor Model T, Ledger Stax.
▪️ Extensions: MetaMask, Enkrypt.
▪️ Software Wallets: GUARDIA, Atomic Wallet, Trust Wallet, MyCrypto.
▪️ Network Compatibility: ERC-20.
◽️Key Events & Developments
✅ Launch of Pendle Protocol – Established the foundation for yield tokenization and trading.
✅ Security Audits & Enhancements – Ongoing improvements for protocol security.
✅ Partnerships & Integrations – Expanding utility within the DeFi ecosystem.
✅ Exchange Listings – Increased accessibility and liquidity.
✅ New Pool Launches – Expanding yield opportunities.
✅ Community Growth & Governance – Active participation in decision-making.
◽️ Private Round (Ended on April 16, 2021)
▪️Funds Raised: $3.7 million
▪️Token Price: $0.1394 per PENDLE
▪️Pre-Valuation: $35 million
▪️Notable Investors: Alliance and 14 other investors
◽️Token Generation Event (TGE) & Public Listing (April 28, 2021)
▪️Price on Listing: $1.01 per PENDLE
◽️Reliable platforms for creating liquidity pools for Pendle:
▪️Uniswap
▪️Balancer
▪️Camelot
▪️LFJ
▪️Thena
▪️Pendle Finance
Reliable platforms for staking:
▪️Pendle Finance
▪️Magpiexyz
▪️Stake Dao
◽️Pendle TVL Analysis
▪️The Total Value Locked (TVL) in Pendle has shown significant growth over time, with notable fluctuations. Throughout 2024 and early 2025, the TVL followed an uptrend, peaking around mid-2024, experiencing a dip, and then recovering to new highs in early 2025.
📈 Current TVL & Percentage Change
▪️TVL on September 27, 2024: 801.26K ETH
▪️TVL on February 16, 2025: 1.91M ETH
◽️Pendle's TVL has more than doubled (+138.4%) in the last 5 months. after a temporary decline in late 2024, the platform has experienced a sharp rebound, reaching a new peak in early 2025. The TVL surge indicates higher participation and liquidity influx into Pendle, possibly driven by increased staking, new integrations, or higher user engagement in yield strategies.The TVL surge indicates higher participation and liquidity influx into Pendle, possibly driven by increased staking, new integrations, or higher user engagement in yield strategies.
◽️Analysis of On-Chain Data for Pendle
▪️The volume of Pendle tokens currently held at a loss within the price range of $3.61 to $3.71 is approximately 100 million PENDLE, indicating a significant resistance level. In contrast, the volume of tokens in profit is relatively low, suggesting that resistance is stronger than support at this stage.
▪️The volume of large transactions has exhibited a slight increase alongside price growth, signaling increased market activity. Additionally, network activity, including the number of active and new addresses, has also seen a minor uptick.
▪️Currently, 69% of all PENDLE tokens are held by whales, meaning that their movements have a substantial impact on market trends.
▪️Examining the wallet activity of large holders, we observe positive inflows, which is a bullish signal. However, network whales (addresses holding between 1 million and 100 million PENDLE) have started selling as prices increased, indicating some profit-taking behavior.
▪️Meanwhile, addresses holding less than 1 million PENDLE have increased their buying activity, contributing to sustained price growth. This suggests that retail investors and smaller holders are absorbing the supply offloaded by larger holders, helping to maintain upward momentum.
✅ Now that we have reviewed the project, let's move on to the technical analysis of this coin, which will be done in weekly, daily, and four-hour timeframes.
📅 Weekly Timeframe
In the weekly timeframe, we are observing an ascending trend that started from a base of $0.561 and continued up to a peak of $6.720, providing very good profits to its holders.
🔍 After the price reached this resistance, a ranging box formed between $2.385 and $6.720, where the bottom of the box coincides with the 0.382 Fibonacci area. This support has so far managed to support the price several times, each time sending the price back towards the top of the box.
✨ Currently, the price has hit this support with a very high volume and has formed a good supportive candle. Now we have to see if this support can again push the price upwards or if it will be broken. The RSI is also below 50, and if it sets lower highs and lows, it could continue its downward trend, bringing bearish momentum into the market.
🚀 On the other hand, if it can come back above this area 50 and stabilize, we can hope that the price will move upwards and bullish momentum will enter the market. If we want to use the Fibonacci tool for the target of this project for this move, you can see that the 1 Fibonacci area is at $31.90, which is almost 10 times more than the current market price.
📊 This means that Pendle would reach a market cap of $5 billion, making it a very successful project and placing it among the top 30 coins in the coin market cap. So if you think this project can be among the first 30 coins and have a $5 billion market cap, you can continue to hold until this target is reached.
💥 However, if the support at $2.385 breaks, the next important support areas are at the 0.618 and 0 Fibonacci levels, which overlap with $1.412 and $0.941, respectively.
📅 Daily Timeframe
In the daily timeframe, you can see the price range box with more details. As you see, in the last downward leg, the price reached $2.589 and was supported by a good candle from this area, and currently, it has reached $3.678, which is an important daily resistance. If the price can stabilize above this area, we can expect the price to move towards the top of the box again.
📈 But consider that during this upward movement that the price has had from $2.589, the volume has been decreasing, which indicates the weakness of the trend. Also, for a long position, the RSI has an important area at 52.16, which is a very important resistance, and if the break of this area overlaps with the break of $3.678, we can have a confirmation of the entry of momentum and a good position.
⚡️ the important thing is that buying volume must also enter the market, and the candle that breaks this resistance must be with good buying volume. For a short position, the situation is very clear; the support at $2.589 is a very good area, and if it overlaps with the break of 30 in the RSI, it turns into a very good trigger, and I suggest that you do not miss this position if the conditions are met.
⏳ 4-Hour Timeframe
In the four-hour timeframe, we can specify the futures trading triggers so that we can also perform futures trading with them.
🔼 For a long position, our situation is very clear. As you see in the daily timeframe, there is a very good ceiling above the price, which in the four-hour timeframe is at $3.763, and if this area breaks, we can open a risky long position. The main long position is if the break of $4.364 happens.
📉 But keep in mind that as I mentioned, the decreasing volume and the divergence with the upward trend can indicate the weakness of the upward trend. So, as a result, if the ascending trendline breaks and the trigger at $3.319 is activated, I personally try to have a short position on PENDLE.
🧩 Because the volume has a divergence with the upward trend, and if the selling volume increases after the break of this area and downward momentum enters, the price can move at least to the area of $2.2748, which is actually a very important support and will be the main trigger for short. The break of 45.48 in the RSI gives us a very good confirmation for the short position.
📝 Final Thoughts
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
TradeCityPro | Deep Search: In-Depth Of PENDLE👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro!
In this analysis, I want to fully analyze and review the Pendle project for you. First, we will read about the project's fundamentals and then perform a technical analysis.
◽️What is Pendle?
▪️Pendle is a decentralized finance (DeFi) protocol that enables the tokenization and trading of future yield. It introduces an innovative financial infrastructure that allows users to separate and trade the ownership of principal assets and their yield independently. This enables users to execute advanced yield strategies and provides more flexibility in managing yield-bearing assets.
🗝Key Components of Pendle
1. Yield Tokenization:
Pendle allows users to wrap yield-bearing tokens into SY (Standardized Yield Tokens), making them compatible with Pendle's AMM.
◽️These SY tokens are then split into two components:
▪️PT (Principal Token): Represents the principal value of the asset.
▪️YT (Yield Token): Represents the future yield generated by the asset.
This process allows for the separation of principal and yield, enabling users to trade them separately.
2. Pendle AMM (Automated Market Maker)
▪️Pendle's unique AMM is designed to support assets that experience time decay, allowing for efficient trading of PTs and YTs. Users do not need to fully understand the AMM mechanism to trade on Pendle.
3. vePENDLE Governance Model
▪️Pendle incorporates a vePENDLE model (vote-escrowed PENDLE), which enables users to participate in governance, directing incentives within the ecosystem and optimizing their yield strategies.
◽️Use Cases of Pendle
▪️Pendle's protocol enables a variety of financial strategies, including:
1) Fixed Yield Investments: Users can lock in fixed returns by selling their YT and holding PT.
2) Long Yield Positions: Users can buy YT, speculating that yields will increase.
3) Enhanced Yield Without Additional Risk: Providing liquidity in Pendle's pools can generate additional yield.
4) DeFi Yield Optimization: Combining different strategies to maximize yield opportunities.
◽️ Pendle Token Unlock and Allocation
▪️Unlocked Tokens: 283.33M PENDLE (92.14%)
▪️Locked Tokens: 24.17M PENDLE (7.86%)
◽️There are no large upcoming unlock events, but scheduled unlocks will occur gradually.
🔓Unlock Schedule
▪️From February 17, 2025, onward, small daily unlocks will take place, each unlocking around 9,750 - 9,980 PENDLE worth approximately $35,000 USD per batch.
◽️Token Allocation Breakdown
▪️Liquidity Incentives: 37%
▪️Team: 22%
▪️Private Round: 15%
▪️Ecosystem Fund (Allocated): 9%
▪️Ecosystem Fund (Unallocated): 9%
▪️Liquidity Bootstrapping Pool: 7%
▪️Advisors: 1%
▪️Vesting Schedule
◽️Team Tokens: 1-year cliff, then linear unlock over 1 year (50.98M PENDLE).
◽️Private Round: Linear unlock over 1 year after TGE (34.76M PENDLE).
◽️Ecosystem Fund: Unlocked in batches (20.86M PENDLE).
◽️Liquidity Bootstrapping Pool: 100% unlocked at TGE (16.22M PENDLE).
◽️Advisors: Linear unlock over 1 year (2.32M PENDLE).
◽️Untracked Tokens: 106.59M PENDLE (46%) – may be unlocked at any time.
◽️Pendle Wallet Compatibility
◾️Pendle is supported by various hardware, software, and extension wallets, including:
▪️Hardware Wallets: Ledger Nano X, Ledger Nano S, Trezor Model One, Trezor Model T, Ledger Stax.
▪️ Extensions: MetaMask, Enkrypt.
▪️ Software Wallets: GUARDIA, Atomic Wallet, Trust Wallet, MyCrypto.
▪️ Network Compatibility: ERC-20.
◽️Key Events & Developments
✅ Launch of Pendle Protocol – Established the foundation for yield tokenization and trading.
✅ Security Audits & Enhancements – Ongoing improvements for protocol security.
✅ Partnerships & Integrations – Expanding utility within the DeFi ecosystem.
✅ Exchange Listings – Increased accessibility and liquidity.
✅ New Pool Launches – Expanding yield opportunities.
✅ Community Growth & Governance – Active participation in decision-making.
◽️ Private Round (Ended on April 16, 2021)
▪️Funds Raised: $3.7 million
▪️Token Price: $0.1394 per PENDLE
▪️Pre-Valuation: $35 million
▪️Notable Investors: Alliance and 14 other investors
◽️Token Generation Event (TGE) & Public Listing (April 28, 2021)
▪️Price on Listing: $1.01 per PENDLE
◽️Reliable platforms for creating liquidity pools for Pendle:
▪️Uniswap
▪️Balancer
▪️Camelot
▪️LFJ
▪️Thena
▪️Pendle Finance
Reliable platforms for staking:
▪️Pendle Finance
▪️Magpiexyz
▪️Stake Dao
◽️Pendle TVL Analysis
▪️The Total Value Locked (TVL) in Pendle has shown significant growth over time, with notable fluctuations. Throughout 2024 and early 2025, the TVL followed an uptrend, peaking around mid-2024, experiencing a dip, and then recovering to new highs in early 2025.
📈 Current TVL & Percentage Change
▪️TVL on September 27, 2024: 801.26K ETH
▪️TVL on February 16, 2025: 1.91M ETH
◽️Pendle's TVL has more than doubled (+138.4%) in the last 5 months. after a temporary decline in late 2024, the platform has experienced a sharp rebound, reaching a new peak in early 2025. The TVL surge indicates higher participation and liquidity influx into Pendle, possibly driven by increased staking, new integrations, or higher user engagement in yield strategies.The TVL surge indicates higher participation and liquidity influx into Pendle, possibly driven by increased staking, new integrations, or higher user engagement in yield strategies.
◽️Analysis of On-Chain Data for Pendle
▪️The volume of Pendle tokens currently held at a loss within the price range of $3.61 to $3.71 is approximately 100 million PENDLE, indicating a significant resistance level. In contrast, the volume of tokens in profit is relatively low, suggesting that resistance is stronger than support at this stage.
▪️The volume of large transactions has exhibited a slight increase alongside price growth, signaling increased market activity. Additionally, network activity, including the number of active and new addresses, has also seen a minor uptick.
▪️Currently, 69% of all PENDLE tokens are held by whales, meaning that their movements have a substantial impact on market trends.
▪️Examining the wallet activity of large holders, we observe positive inflows, which is a bullish signal. However, network whales (addresses holding between 1 million and 100 million PENDLE) have started selling as prices increased, indicating some profit-taking behavior.
▪️Meanwhile, addresses holding less than 1 million PENDLE have increased their buying activity, contributing to sustained price growth. This suggests that retail investors and smaller holders are absorbing the supply offloaded by larger holders, helping to maintain upward momentum.
✅ Now that we have reviewed the project, let's move on to the technical analysis of this coin, which will be done in weekly, daily, and four-hour timeframes.
📅 Weekly Timeframe
In the weekly timeframe, we are observing an ascending trend that started from a base of $0.561 and continued up to a peak of $6.720, providing very good profits to its holders.
🔍 After the price reached this resistance, a ranging box formed between $2.385 and $6.720, where the bottom of the box coincides with the 0.382 Fibonacci area. This support has so far managed to support the price several times, each time sending the price back towards the top of the box.
✨ Currently, the price has hit this support with a very high volume and has formed a good supportive candle. Now we have to see if this support can again push the price upwards or if it will be broken. The RSI is also below 50, and if it sets lower highs and lows, it could continue its downward trend, bringing bearish momentum into the market.
🚀 On the other hand, if it can come back above this area 50 and stabilize, we can hope that the price will move upwards and bullish momentum will enter the market. If we want to use the Fibonacci tool for the target of this project for this move, you can see that the 1 Fibonacci area is at $31.90, which is almost 10 times more than the current market price.
📊 This means that Pendle would reach a market cap of $5 billion, making it a very successful project and placing it among the top 30 coins in the coin market cap. So if you think this project can be among the first 30 coins and have a $5 billion market cap, you can continue to hold until this target is reached.
💥 However, if the support at $2.385 breaks, the next important support areas are at the 0.618 and 0 Fibonacci levels, which overlap with $1.412 and $0.941, respectively.
📅 Daily Timeframe
In the daily timeframe, you can see the price range box with more details. As you see, in the last downward leg, the price reached $2.589 and was supported by a good candle from this area, and currently, it has reached $3.678, which is an important daily resistance. If the price can stabilize above this area, we can expect the price to move towards the top of the box again.
📈 But consider that during this upward movement that the price has had from $2.589, the volume has been decreasing, which indicates the weakness of the trend. Also, for a long position, the RSI has an important area at 52.16, which is a very important resistance, and if the break of this area overlaps with the break of $3.678, we can have a confirmation of the entry of momentum and a good position.
⚡️ the important thing is that buying volume must also enter the market, and the candle that breaks this resistance must be with good buying volume. For a short position, the situation is very clear; the support at $2.589 is a very good area, and if it overlaps with the break of 30 in the RSI, it turns into a very good trigger, and I suggest that you do not miss this position if the conditions are met.
⏳ 4-Hour Timeframe
In the four-hour timeframe, we can specify the futures trading triggers so that we can also perform futures trading with them.
🔼 For a long position, our situation is very clear. As you see in the daily timeframe, there is a very good ceiling above the price, which in the four-hour timeframe is at $3.763, and if this area breaks, we can open a risky long position. The main long position is if the break of $4.364 happens.
📉 But keep in mind that as I mentioned, the decreasing volume and the divergence with the upward trend can indicate the weakness of the upward trend. So, as a result, if the ascending trendline breaks and the trigger at $3.319 is activated, I personally try to have a short position on PENDLE.
🧩 Because the volume has a divergence with the upward trend, and if the selling volume increases after the break of this area and downward momentum enters, the price can move at least to the area of $2.2748, which is actually a very important support and will be the main trigger for short. The break of 45.48 in the RSI gives us a very good confirmation for the short position.
📝 Final Thoughts
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
The key is whether it can be supported and rise near 3.624
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-------------------------------------
(PENDLEUSDT 1D chart)
It has risen near the HA-Low indicator point of 3.624.
Accordingly, the key is whether it can be supported and rise near 3.624.
If the price maintains above the Trend Cloud indicator, it is highly likely to turn into an uptrend.
If the uptrend continues,
1st: 4.109
2nd: 4.907
3rd: 6.376-6.744
You can respond depending on whether there is support near the 1st-3rd above.
In particular, if the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart passing near 4.109 rises above and the price is maintained, I think there is a possibility that a full-fledged uptrend will begin.
-
If it falls from the 3.624 point, whether there is support near 3.113 is important.
If it falls below the Fibonacci ratio 0 (2.488), it is better to wait until it rises because you cannot tell when it will rise.
----------------------------------------
If you refer to too many indicators, there is a possibility that the transaction will proceed in the wrong direction.
Therefore, it is important to limit the indicators you want to refer to and try to trade according to the trend.
-
The indicators that indicate the trend in this chart are the Trend Cloud indicator and the M-Signal indicator of the 1D, 1W, and 1M charts.
Therefore, you can check whether the trend is rising or falling by checking the status and arrangement of the Trend Cloud indicator.
In addition, you can check the overall trend by checking whether the M-Signal indicator of the 1D, 1W, and 1M charts is in the correct arrangement or reverse arrangement.
-
The HA-Low and BW(0) indicators indicate the low point range.
Therefore, if supported by these indicators, there is a high possibility of rising.
However, if it fails to rise and falls below the HA-Low and BW(0) indicators, there is a possibility of starting a stepwise downtrend, so be careful.
-
The HA-High, BW(0), and BW(100) indicators indicate the high point range.
Therefore, if resisted by these indicators, there is a high possibility of falling.
However, if it fails to fall and rises above the HA-High and BW(100) indicators, there is a possibility that a stepwise upward trend will begin.
-
The indicators listed above are the core indicators among the indicators on this chart.
The indicators other than these are secondary indicators used when conducting split transactions.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
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- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
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(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, you can see that the upward trend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we expect that we will not see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
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The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
In other words, it is the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, it is expected that this Fibonacci ratio will be used until 2026.
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No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
How to view and respond to this is up to you.
When the ATH is updated, there are no support and resistance points, so the Fibonacci ratio can be used appropriately.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous when used as support and resistance.
This is because the user must directly select the important selection points required to create Fibonacci.
Therefore, since it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection points, it can be useful for chart analysis, but it can be seen as ambiguous when used for trading strategies.
1st : 44234.54
2nd : 61383.23
3rd : 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (Overshooting)
4th : 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (Overshooting)
5th : 178910.15
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Pendle: A DeFi tool for risk and revenue sharingPendle is not just another DeFi project, it's a tool that cuts to the heart of the cryptocurrency profitability problem. Most people in the industry are chasing quick profits, not realizing that the market is a zero-sum game in which most people lose. Pendle, on the other hand, offers something different: the ability to split an asset into principal and future gains by tokenizing them. It's not just clever, it's brilliant. Why? Because it allows traders and investors to manage risk and return in a way that no one else can. Most DeFi protocols are just pretty wrappers for high-risk schemes. They promise you returns, but they don't tell you that you're risking everything, especially in a bear market. Pendle solves this problem by allowing you to lock in a return in advance or speculate on it. It's like insurance against volatility, but with the opportunity to earn more if you know what you're doing. And here's the paradox: the DeFi market is growing, but most participants don't even understand how the underlying economics work. Pendle gives you the tools to stay one step ahead. One more point: tokenizing yield through PT (base token) and YT (yield token) is not just a technical trick. It's a way to separate risks and opportunities. You can sell YT if you want to get rid of uncertainty, or buy it if you believe in yield growth. It's like options, but in the DeFi world where the rules aren't settled yet. And guess what? Most investors don't realize this. They only see the price of the PENDLE token, but they don't see what's behind it.
Alex Kostenich,
Horban Brothers.
Pendle Long PositionPendle Long Position Thesis
Emotion & Narrative:
Pendle has experienced a ~50% correction, presenting a strong entry opportunity. I believe Real-World Assets (RWA) will be a key narrative in the upcoming bull cycle, and Pendle is well-positioned to benefit from this trend.
Risk Management:
Entry: $3
Stop Loss: $2.46 (below the long-term trendline from January 2024)
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 12
Take Profit: $9.8 (just below the psychological resistance at $10)
Leverage:
No leverage on this trade. The potential upside is substantial, and I prefer to minimize unnecessary risk.
Technical Analysis:
Support Bounce: Pendle has rebounded off a key support level on the weekly timeframe.
RSI Divergence: Hidden bullish RSI divergence is visible on the weekly chart.
Stoch RSI: Currently in oversold territory on the weekly timeframe.
MACD: Showing early signs of recovery this week (not yet confirmed).
Inverse Head & Shoulders: If Pendle reaches ~$7, it would confirm a bullish inverse Head and Shoulders pattern, with a projected target of $12. I plan to take out 80-90% of my position before this level to front-run the market.
Bearish View: Pendle remains in a downtrend and must close above $3.75 to confirm a trend reversal. If this happens, I will deploy more capital into the trade.