value is on chinese indexthe weekly channel has be playng very consistently, on montly frame hangseng had a huge break down but no retest yet, i preffer to pick up a weak index than a overvalued snp or nasdaq
HK50 trade ideas
The important prediction for the HSI trend 09 March 2022==========================
====== DISCLAIMER ==========
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This chart and trend analysis is MERELY an OPINION, not the PROFESSIONAL ADVISE
This analysis does not provide any trading suggestion and ask for selling and buying, please be responsible for your own investment behaviour
And we do not be responsible for your own loss
Also, the future might change anytime and everything won't go as what we predicted, so please accept this analysis as an entertainment, don't be serious about fail prediction or wrong concept and prediction. Thank you.
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Analysis Start ( GOOGLE TRANSLATE)
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Today we have observed a important signal of HSI, therefore we would like to share with you all faster.
Now the HSI trend has gone to 20102 this afternoon, and then it started to rebounce until 20600 above. The trade volume is increased this three day, But the decline began to shrink, and the trend is becoming a FAKE TRHEE CROW OF BLACK CANDLE.
What is this mean? It means THIS IS PROBABLY A BEST CHANCE TO BUY ON DIP.
If you check the Moving Average of HSI Month Period, you will find that the trend has touched the 250 MA. If the trend can close above 250 MA (20615), today will PROBABLY to be the last day of the bottom searching of HSI. Unless there is another war happen or new virus be found in future. I hope this trend analysis prediction may give you some clue to make decision
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At last, all the prediction above IS MERELY AN OPNION, and probably won't go as we predicted, so please jsut accept all this prediction as a entertainment .
Hope all of you may gain more and more profit in Stock market, good luck
HSI Weekly - Potential Technical Rebound? Since Feb 2016, there has only been 6 other instances where RSI (weekly charts) have been below 30.
5 out of the 6 instances saw a rebound at least into the next 4 bars (1 month).
Long term basis, HSI is below upward trend with decent valuations.
Sentiments remain bearish due to Ukraine war, proxy to China market (regulatory pressures) and sharp uptick of Covid cases. Barring any other further bad news, any improvements in sentiment may provide sharp rebound in the coming days.
However, low can get lower. Support levels at 19800 (or 20000 psychological number) and 18200.
** Not financial advice nor inducement to trade **
China Hang Seng Index - Bleeding closer to stop at 22200 - 225002021 has been insanely a difficult year of US investors invested in Chinese stocks due to the uncertainty revolving around the Tech crackdown, stock delisting, etc.. While the US and India market have been on hyper bull run, Chinese stock holders have lost more than 50-90% of their investment. Example, BABA is more than 60% down, education stocks GOTU & TAL are 95% down. Lot folks are nervous, holding bags with deep losses, staring at uncertainty. I have some good news for them, the bleeding is going to stop in next 2-4 months. I have gone all the way back to 1999 chart, looking at the major crashes. There's a strong support trend line that connects all these bottoms, the next one is pretty close. HSI should bottom out around 22200-22500 and then pick up for another massive bull run. Money will flow out of US markets to China, as the Fed tightens the policy and start raising interest rates. Chinese stocks are dead cheap now, and might drop a littler further, but long investors can start accumulating the good quality companies like BABA, BIDU, JD, etc.. Risk vs Reward ratio is very high.
CMP - 23618 , short term target 22500 - 22200 , long term target breach ATH in 2-3 years.
Long Hong Kong Digging into chinese fundamentals are tough to guage. However, sectoral and macro shifts can play out in 2022 for a while where long HSI will be a good play as a hedge as it does over 30% from ATH.
Now, since it's a game of MAcro Tsunami, so the impact and moves will be vicious in the market along with some geo-political tension that is brewing between China and Taiwan.
There looks a mild certainty that we could see China attempting to invade Taiwan and this can bring ripple effects into other sectors and markets across the world when we will be witnessing a waterfall in every single market across the world. However, before that, I am expecting HSI to move higher on a hedged basis and head down as a collateral partner with respect to SHCOMP and CN50 due to future potential instability that may come.
HangSeng Index likely to slide to 22,000 & possibly Covid lowThe Hang Seng Index is trading around the lower boundary of the long uptrend channel & looks poised to test support around the 22,000 level. A dip towards the Covid intra-day low 21,139 may not be out of the question given that 1,000 point intra-day moves in the HSI occurs frequently enough.
A critical level for me would be 23,150. I would establish a short position on a break below this level.
HSI -Current trend in monthly chartComment :
HSI has falling since the highest in February 2021, and it has reaches trend line in monthly chart that begins from August 1998.
It has either touch n' rebound or breakdown n' rebound in :
- April 2003
- March 2009
- February 2016
- March 2020
- March 2022 (will it be reverse the falling trend successfully?)
DISCLAIMER :
Analysis above SOLELY for case study purpose, not a PROFESSIONAL ADVISE. This analysis does not provide any trading advise and buy or sell. Trade at your own risk. Trade only after you have acknowledged and accepted the risks involved.
HSI - Stop falling at supportingComment :
Expecting a short rebound coming, the risk here is higher than reward as long as FundFlow+ indicator remain negative.
Rebound condition :
1) Oversold - Oversold (turquoise-color) is passed over
2) FundFlow+ indicator - Fund flow turn upward, it would be great if breakout MA5
3) Tricol+ indicator - no banker sentiment bar (RED)
Support & Resistance :
S : (a) Level-2 @ 22682 / lowest of W-bottom @ 22665
Remark:
- length of AB=CD=DE
DISCLAIMER:
Analysis above SOLELY for case study purpose, not a PROFESSIONAL ADVISE. This analysis does not provide any trading advise and buy or sell. Trade at your own risk. Trade only after you have acknowledged and accepted the risks involved.
HKG33 Bullish Divergence and Inverted Head ShoulderDue to the past few weeks being very hard on stock markets because of rising oil prises, it can also be seen that most markets have already (maybe) started with their recovery, these markets include most American Indexes (US500, NASDAQ, and others).
However European and Asian markets has been held back for the past few days and finally they may seem some light.
As seen in the chart HKG33 has formed a very clear head shoulder pattern and has created a hidden bullish divergence on the RSI.
PA has respected the descending channel sofar, however it gives us opportunity to take a small long if not greater long from the areas of 22290 - 22500.
If PA manages to move into the purple zone and keep its head afloat, we might look at the HSIs recovery. Oil prices still way heavily on European Pacific markets.
Any thoughts?
Bullish: HSI is at very strong support and showing divergenceLets see how this pans out, but in my view we will see some bullish days.
Using trend lines as Bigger picture helpsBy relying on indicators like double bottom as seen on this chart - it can be illusive and detrimental as well. We see that it tricked the buyers 3x before it finally bottomed and breaks out of the bearish trend line.
If one gets too impatient and bought at the first double bottom and hold till now, he would still be in a LOSS position.
By using the trend line and not buying prematurely, it helps to instil discipline and not let emotions rules the game.
Long term view on the Hang Seng Index.Monthly timeframe seems to be forming a symmetrical triangle with PA resting just above the 200 EMA. Relative strength index in a make or break position where we will bounce from over a decades support, or breakdown and visit oversold conditions. Fisher is at the lows and looking to start pointing up. We are also looking at a potential double bottom with the covid lows.
Finding short term trade opportunities in HSIHSI remains one of the most hotly traded index , imo. For those who are keen to do short term trading, there are many opportunities available. It piques my interest as I love Chinese stocks and watching this index going through a roller coaster ride over days, weeks , months and years reveal opportunities/gaps that can provide some form of monetary gains.
Of course, this is a game of probability and some may say depending on TA alone is not sufficient , I leave this topic to remain debatable so long as you are making money from the market.
To long , I will wait for 24366 , the first pink circle to be filled up first OR the confirmation of a long bearish candle on 920am as shown on chart for SHORTING opportunity.
Again, this is not for everyone as we perceive risks in very different ways . Some like the thrill while others prefer stability. To each his own so long you are making some money from the market.
HSI breaks support with bearish momentumFrom the technical view, we haven't seen any valid new highs since 2007 but a short-term new low today. While the US stock market (as well as other global emerging markets) shows stable and massive growth, Hong Kong stock market doesn't follow the trend but performs badly. The support line projected since 1998 is not likely to hold in the future. In a smaller timeframe, the bearish momentum seems to drive HSI to break this important support line in the upcoming weeks (or months).
From the fundamental perspective, there are increasing numbers of Mainland China-based companies being listed in HKEX and added into the components of Hangseng Index. The poor and deccelerated economic growth may be the catalyst of the future massive stock sell-off. Meanwhile the problematic dIsease controll and prevention policies by HK government may further destroy the HK economy. The economy of HK and China suffer and this trend will not reverse in short term.
HK50 LONGI've been watching HK50 chart for a while now, and here are the reasons on HK50 Long :
- Major Support (weekly) at 22483, and currently bouncing up
- Next resistance (Daily) at 23554, and could go more to the upper side if it breaks
- 4 hour chart is creating a double bottom pattern, and forming a leg up. Double bottom neckline is at 23152, if breaks then it's a confirmed long position
- Daily chart is creating a higher low
Here's a reasonable entry and exit based on support, resistance, and pattern analysis:
- Entry : 23160 (wait for sustainable break on 4H chart neckline)
- TP 1 : 23554, TP 2 :23703
- SL : 22338
Please mind your broker's spread and your money management.
PEPPERSTONE:HK50
HSI TREND PREDICTION FOR 28 FEB TO 4 MAR 2022==========================
====== DISCLAIMER ==========
=============================
This chart and trend analysis is MERELY an OPINION, not the PROFESSIONAL ADVISE
This analysis does not provide any trading suggestion and ask for selling and buying, please be responsible for your own investment behaviour
And we do not be responsible for your own loss
Also, the future might change anytime and everything won't go as what we predicted, so please accept this analysis as an entertainment, don't be serious about fail prediction or wrong concept and prediction. Thank you.
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Analysis Start ( GOOGLE TRANSLATE)
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War between Ukraine and Russia has temporarily stopped today, and there might be a chance for the global stock market to start a new turn of small uptrend.
Also, next Monday 28 FEB 2022 is the important change day for the HSI Trend.
If the western market tonight go well, next Monday Eastern Stock market will follow the steps too.
HOWEVER, ALL ASSUMPTION ARE BASED ON THERE IS NO MORE WARS OR INCIDENT TO INFLUENCE THE GLOBAL STOCK MARKET.
Believe or not, when a trend is near to the previous High point or low point, there is alway some incident will happen to influence the stock market, therefore when the trend is near to the previous High point or low point again next time, you may pay attention to the news and will find something interesting.
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At last, all the prediction above IS MERELY AN OPNION, and probably won't go as we predicted, so please jsut accept all this prediction as a entertainment .
Hope all of you may gain more and more profit in Stock market, good luck
HSI trend Prediction for 21 FEB 2022 to 25 FEB 2022==========================
====== DISCLAIMER ==========
=============================
This chart and trend analysis is MERELY an OPINION, not the PROFESSIONAL ADVISE
This analysis does not provide any trading suggestion and ask for selling and buying, please be responsible for your own investment behaviour
And we do not be responsible for your own loss
Also, the future might change anytime and everything won't go as what we predicted, so please accept this analysis as an entertainment, don't be serious about fail prediction or wrong concept and prediction. Thank you.
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Analysis Start ( GOOGLE TRANSLATE)
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Greetings, and now we will share some idea of HSI trending for next week with everyone.
Because of the possible war between Ukraine and Russia, influenced entire stock market in the world. Also, the infected amount of Covid-19 increased too, two reason caused the panic emotion of investors. In Hong Kong, CHINA government policy influence the food industry service charge and cause MEITUAN share price gap down closed at last Friday.
So, how the trend will go at next Monday 21 FEB 2022?
Since Nasdaq Index of USA close with Black candle last Friday, and next week will be the HSI futures Stock settlement week, the HSI night Futures closed at 24140 last Friday. IF the trend cant stand back above 24323, a short-term down trend is inevitable. BUT, 22 FEB 2022 will be the change date of HSI trend, if the trend will stop go down at 22 FEB 2022, then we may expect a small rebounce of the trend.
IF THE TREND WILL REBOUNCE SUCCESSFULLY AND WONT BE INFLUENCED BY THE OUTSIDE FACTOR, WE EXPECT THERE WILL BE A SECOND UPTREND WAVE FOR HSI AT THE BEGINING OF MARCH
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At last, all the prediction above IS MERELY AN OPNION, and probably won't go as we predicted, so please jsut accept all this prediction as a entertainment .
Hope all of you may gain more and more profit in Stock market, good luck
HSI D4: XABCD 50% BUY/HOLD 13 000 points(NEW)Why get subbed to me on Tradingview?
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HSI D4: XABCD 50% BUY/HOLD 13 000 points(NEW)
IMPORTANT NOTE: speculative setup. do your own
due dill. use STOP LOSS. don't overleverage.
🔸 Summary and potential trade setup
::: HK50 4days chart overview/outlook
::: speculative XABCD setup
::: BUY/HOLD swing trade setup
::: with 55% gains potential
::: lower risk position entry near point C
::: final TP BULLS / exit near 35 600
::: BEST reload bulls near 23 000 points
::: if we get a short-term pullback
::: great opportunity to re-accumulate
::: good luck traders
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::: Sentiment: BULLS
::: Sentiment outlook short-term: BULLISH
::: fundamentals are also STRONG
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Trading Crypto, Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
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prediction for HSI trend 10 FEB 202225025 will be a key posoition of HSI trending, if the trend can break through 25025 and end with red candlestick, then it will be a good signal for further up trend, if not and end with black candle stick, then be careful for the risk of down trend
Ichimuko: 2022 Stock index worth investing in | regionif you like my strategy, please strictly control the single loss between 1-2%. We have played many games in the market. The investment itself is very low-risk, and irrationality is the biggest risk.
My trading behavior report is available at the link below.
I can analyze the market in a short time, involving foreign exchange, encrypted currency, commodities and stock indexes.
Quality needs your long-term follow-up verification.
Your support and comments are the driving force of my update! and Thank you
HSI trend analysis for 25 JAN to 28 Jan==========================
====== DISCLAIMER ==========
=============================
This chart and trend analysis is MERELY an OPINION, not the PROFESSIONAL ADVISE
This analysis does not provide any trading suggestion and ask for selling and buying, please be responsible for your own investment behaviour
And we do not be responsible for your own loss
Also, the future might change anytime and everything won't go as what we predicted, so please accept this analysis as an entertainment, don't be serious about fail prediction or wrong concept and prediction. Thank you.
=========================
Analysis Start ( GOOGLE TRANSLATE)
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Greetings, and congrat to HSI enter into a good uptrend.
So, next week the trend will PROBABLY enter retracement phase and need at least two day to wash out the investors. The support line will be around 24600 and 24400
However, if WEDNESDAY the trend break through 24400, then it is a danger signal to keep observation. Next week is also HSI FUTURES SETTLEMENT, please keep in mind.
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At last, all the prediction above IS MERELY AN OPNION, and probably won't go as we predicted, so please jsut accept all this prediction as a entertainment .
Hope all of you may gain more and more profit in Stock market, good luck
HSI - Rebound coming soon?Rebound condition :
1) Hang Seng Index candlestick has reached to Level-1 of Raising Stage (D) and pull back. It has now reach W-Bottom neckline (N1) and rebound
2) FundFlow+ indicator - Broke down 5-day MA, it will be better if BO above 5-day MA
3) Tricol+ indicator - banker sentiment bar (RED) fall below 10-day MA
Support & Resistance:
S : W-bottom neckline (N1)
R : 25050 (Level-1) (+3.01%)
Remark:
- length of AB=CD=DE
DISCLAIMER:
Analysis above SOLELY for case study purpose, not a PROFESSIONAL ADVISE. This analysis does not provide any trading advise and buy or sell. Trade at your own risk. Trade only after you have acknowledged and accepted the risks involved.
entanglement and wavesAccording to the 4-hour graph analysis, the Hang Seng Index has experienced a wave of a+A+b+B+c decline from February 26, 2021 to December 20, 2021, the strength of segment c has weakened significantly, and the MACD has diverged. Small-level 30-minute MACD energy column area divergence, you can switch down from 30 minutes to the 1-minute chart to find its precise divergence point, which is an absolute long position. At the same time, the wave count has gone down for 5 waves, and the MACD diverges. The price stopped falling above the trend line in the weekly chart, and the K-line in the daily chart formed a double bottom. And found a potential butterfly harmonic pattern on the daily chart. If this rebound breaks above 26300, a bull period may come in 2022.
