US DOLLAR at Key Support: Will Price Rebound to 103.000TVC:DXY is currently approaching an important support zone, an area where the price has previously shown bullish reactions. This level aligns closely with the psychological $100 , which tends to have strong market attention.
The recent momentum suggests that buyers could step in and drive the price higher. A bullish confirmation, such as a strong rejection pattern, bullish engulfing candles, or long lower wicks, would increase the probability of a bounce from this level. If I'm right and buyers regain control, the price could move toward the 103.00 level.
However, a breakout below this support would invalidate the bullish outlook, potentially leading to more even more downside.
This is not financial advice!
USDX trade ideas
DXY - Is a relief bounce to the 4-h FVG coming?The US Dollar Index (DXY) has been in a clearly defined downtrend over the recent period, showing consistent lower highs and lower lows. During its latest downward move, the DXY formed a 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG), which aligns with a significant gap in price action. This confluence of technical factors marks a strong rejection area, and from a trading perspective, it presents an ideal zone to consider short positions, especially if bearish price action confirms the setup.
Currently, however, the DXY is sitting at a major support level. This level has historically acted as a demand zone, and given the extended move downward, a bounce or retracement to the upside is a realistic scenario. Traders should stay alert for signs of bullish momentum or reversal patterns, as the potential for a temporary recovery from this support is not unlikely before any continuation of the broader trend.
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USD Breakdown – Trump, Tariffs, and the End of King Dollar?📉 USD Breakdown – Trump, Tariffs, and the End of King Dollar?
In my February post, I said:
2025 would be the Year of the Normalized Dollar — where political pressure meets policy hesitation.
Now that scenario is unfolding.
The dollar is unwinding. The technicals are confirming it.
And the macro backdrop? Only intensifying the move.
📊 Chart Breakdown
100.95 — the key mid-level — is now broken
That level is resistance
Target remains 94.00 — the zone I first called as a bottom back in 2020
From that zone, I called the bull run.
Now, we’re completing the circle.
The King Dollar move is done.
🌐 Macro Pressure Mounts
CPI cooled to 2.4%
Trump wants a weaker dollar to push exports
Tariffs are back — and escalating
The Fed is paused , but still under fire to cut rates
Meanwhile:
🇨🇳 China is accumulating gold aggressively
🪙 Gold is at all-time highs
🧠 Bitcoin is rising as the U.S.'s digital hard asset hedge
⚔️ This Isn’t Just a Chart — It’s a Shift
What we’re watching is more than a breakdown in DXY.
It’s the realignment of monetary confidence:
→ Gold for protection
→ Bitcoin for evolution
→ Dollar for... survival?
The breakdown in USD may be normalizing on the surface...
But underneath it’s signaling a changing of the guard.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
DXY Forms a Contracting Triangle: Awaiting BreakoutDXY Forms a Contracting Triangle: Awaiting Breakout
On the 60-minute chart, DXY has developed a contracting triangle, which is typically a trend continuation pattern, suggesting a potential downward move.
However, since this consolidation is taking time and DXY’s price action remains complex, movement in either direction is possible.
The breakout will ultimately determine the next price direction, but based on current conditions, an upward move seems more likely in the near future.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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Dollar I Daily CLS I Weekly CSL Potential plays for next weekHey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument
If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS range, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model.
If you haven't followed me yet, start now.
My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution.
🧩 What is CLS?
CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets.
✅ Understanding the behaviour of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits.
🛡️ Models 1 and 2:
From my posts, you can learn two core execution models.
They are the backbone of how I trade and how my students are trained.
📍 Model 1
is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range.
📍 Model 2
occurs in the specific market sequence when CLS smart money needs to re-accumulate more positions, and we are looking to find a key level around 61.8 fib retracement and target the opposing side of the range.
👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
⚔️ Listen Carefully:
Analysis is not trading. Right now, this platform is full of gurus" trying to sell you dreams based on analysis with arrows while they don't even have the skill to trade themselves.
If you’re ever thinking about buying a Trading Course or Signals from anyone. Always demand a verified track record. It takes less than five minutes to connect 3rd third-party verification tool and link to the widget to his signature.
"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
— David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
DXY: Summer CRASH but here is why it will SKYROCKET after.The U.S. Dollar Index is oversold on both its 1D and 1W technical outlooks but on the 1M it just turned bearish (RSI = 42.641, MACD = 0.810, ADX = 21.680). This is because it crossed under its 1M MA50 for the first time since January 2022. For more than 3 years the 1M MA50 has kept it on the upper side of the 2008 Channel Up but now the time has come for it to aim at its bottom as every time it broke under it, the pattern dropped more and made a bottom a few months later.
We anticipate a bottom around July, ideally with the 1M RSI inside our Target Zone, which consists of the last two lows. Then the new bullish wave of the pattern should begin, reaching the January 2025 High by the end of 2026.
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A Zoom of the Weekly DXY into a Daily viewI kept the colored rectangels from my weekly analysis, to keep the focus and knowledge where we are on the chart.
DXY is doing a long A-B-C before it's is going into the last impulse og the C of Y of x of the larger degree.
It's quite a lot of corrections to manage, but if you swipe from the daily to the weekly timeframe, it makes good sense. For me at least :D.
The purple B wave took some time to figure out, but this was what made most sense to me. I was trying to look at it as a triangle, but that wouldn't have a good shape, so I ended out with this white ((w))-((x))-((y)) correction.
DXY is right now performing, what I see as, a extended 5th wave in the white ((iii) wave, before it goes into the white ((iv)) correction.
The white ((iv) wave correction could be become a long shallow drawn out correction for two reasons.
We had a steep and swift white (ii) followed by an extended white ((iii) wave. This usually means we are going to spend some time correcting that white (iii) wave and the rule of alternation tells us, if we have a quick 2nd wave, we are usually going to see a slow fourth wave.
I don't believe we have completed the white (iii) yet, so we have a long time to go still until that white (iv) wave is done.
When the white (iv) wave is done, the white (v) wave is probaly going to take us down to that green box.
So relax for the next 6 months and grab yourself a cup of coffee.
Dollar Index Testing Support - Possible TankI finally noticed today (haven't been doing my research) that the dollar has been dropping since January.
Bond yields rising at the same time as the market dropping and the currency dropping can only mean that the Euros are dumping ALL American assets. Trump has basically ruined confidence in the dollar, there was a 2% drop today. I only noticed because gold popped up 2%, because I'm looking at gold futures in dollars.
If the dollar breaks support, I'm buying gold (will post chart). Other alternatives are long on UDN, short on UUP, Euros, Yen or Swiss franc. You could even leverage with options if you want to make extra money.
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) – Key Resistance & Bearish Target Analys📊 Key Observations:
🔵 Resistance Zone (📍~103.5 Level)
A strong resistance area (🔵 blue box) is marked, indicating potential selling pressure if the price reaches this level.
The price is moving upwards (📈) towards this resistance, so watch for rejection or breakout.
🔵 Support/Target Zone (📍~101.5 Level)
A lower support zone (🔵 blue box) is marked as the bearish target 🎯.
If the price fails at resistance, it may head downwards (📉) to this level.
📉 Recent Price Action:
🚀 Sharp drop followed by a rebound (📈).
The price is currently moving back up (🔼), possibly forming a lower high before another drop.
📌 Exponential Moving Average (DEMA 9 - 102.488)
The price is hovering above the 9-period DEMA (📏), showing short-term bullish momentum.
If the price rejects resistance and falls below the DEMA, a bearish continuation (📉) is likely.
🚀 Potential Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Breakout: If price breaks above 🔵 resistance, it may continue rising (📈) to higher levels.
❌ Bearish Rejection: If price fails at resistance, expect a drop (📉) towards 101.5 🎯.
DeGRAM | DXY dropped below 100 pointsDXY is in a descending channel between trend lines.
On the downside, the price has formed a gap and dropped below 100 pips and has already reached the lower trend line.
The chart maintains a descending structure but has already formed a harmonic pattern and a descending wedge.
On the major timeframes, the index relative strength is in the oversold zone and on the 30m Timeframe it is forming a bullish convergence.
We expect a reversal after a support retest.
-------------------
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DXY - ANALYSIS👀 Observation:
Hello, everyone! I hope you're doing well. I’d like to share my analysis of DXY (Dollar Index) with you.
Looking at the DXY chart, I expect a price increase towards 101.267. After reaching this level, I anticipate a decline to around 96.00.
📉 Expectation:
Bullish Scenario: Price increases towards 101.267.
Bearish Scenario: After reaching 101.267, a decline to 96.00.
💡 Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 101.267
Support: 96.00
💬 What are your thoughts on DXY this week? Let me know in the comments!
Trade safe
What happens to markets when the dxy rallies?!Scanning through the markets during these turbulent times has me, wondering what would happen when the dollar index rallies to new highs? Will the real estate market be higher? Will Gold be higher? Will inflation be higher? With the great reset well underway and the sheep buying the left- right blame game, what will happen to our beloved investments?
How to Trade the Tariff Turmoil: Markets Now Move on HeadlinesMarkets in 2025 have become increasingly unpredictable, largely driven by one factor: tariffs. President Donald Trump’s aggressive trade policy has shaken investor confidence and turned global markets into a rollercoaster. The key to navigating this new environment? Understand that markets are no longer just reacting to economic data—they’re reacting to headlines.
The biggest shock came on April 2, when Trump announced a 145% tariff on all Chinese imports and “reciprocal” tariffs on dozens of other countries. The reaction was immediate: the S&P 500 dropped nearly 15% at its lowest point that week, and investors rushed to sell risk assets. Days later, markets sharply reversed after Trump temporarily suspended some tariffs. That sparked a rally—tech stocks soared, Apple rose 5%, and the Nasdaq gained over 2%.
But the relief was short-lived. Conflicting messages and partial rollbacks continued to send markets up and down. Earlier, on March 4, tariffs were placed on Canada and Mexico, while China’s rates were doubled. These moves led to more selling in stocks and a spike in demand for bonds. By mid-April, exemptions for electronics boosted tech names again, but overall market sentiment remained fragile.
How to Trade This New Market
The main lesson for traders and investors is clear:
We’re now in a headline-driven market. Traditional strategies that rely solely on fundamentals or economic cycles are being overshadowed by sudden political developments. Here’s how to adapt:
Stay Nimble and News-Aware
Be ready for fast moves. Market direction can flip in minutes based on a single press conference or tweet. Have alerts set for major geopolitical and tariff-related headlines. Reduce position sizes during uncertainty and avoid holding large trades through major announcements.
Rethink Your Safe Havens
The U.S. dollar is no longer acting like the safe haven it used to be. With rising fiscal concerns and volatile trade policy, investors are shifting toward alternatives. Gold and the Swiss franc (CHF) have become more reliable options during risk-off moments. If uncertainty spikes, these assets may offer better protection than the dollar.
Focus on Sectors Sensitive to Policy
Tech stocks have been among the most affected. Tariff exemptions caused sharp rallies, while new restrictions triggered big drops. If you trade sectors like tech, consumer goods, or industrials, stay especially alert for trade-related headlines.
Bottom line: In 2025, geopolitics is moving markets more than ever. The old playbook needs updating. By staying flexible, tracking headlines, and turning to traditional safe havens like gold and CHF, traders can better navigate the noise—and find opportunity in the chaos.
The Dollar's Gone Crab-Walking!!The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has recently breached the 100 level, marking the first instance of such a decline since July 2023.
This development signifies a potential shift in the dollar's strength against a basket of major currencies.
Market observers are now closely monitoring the index, particularly around the 99.3 mark, as some anticipate a possible rebound and upward trajectory from this level.
The near-term performance of the DXY will likely be influenced by a variety of factors, including evolving macroeconomic data, shifts in monetary policy.
SEYED.
DXY In Difficult Circumstances Since the Start 80's I decided to give a go at the Dollar Index given the circumstances around the world. And to be honest, I tried to put on the positive glasses.
I believe the dollar has been in a complex correction since the mid 80's. Starting out with a large dump in '85 with the a-wave, the correction slowed down and only grew more and more complex.
Thought about current wave: What I believe we are going through now is, that we are finishing up the purple C-wave in a green (C)-wave. This wave can end at any time now, since it's now at the 61.8% fib level of the purple A-wave. But it might go down to the 95 level (The green box) to complete at the 100% fiblevel of the purple A-Wave.
But first we will have the fourth wave meaning the DXY is gonna struggle for some weeks. Because we had a swift two week wave 2, which means we are probably going have a slow fourth wave according to the rule of alternation. This mean the purple C-wave could drag out into the end of '25 into early '26.
This is also with that in mind that a C-wave most likely will take longer than an A-wave. These are the Purple boxes.
BUT, after this, DXY is gonna experience some happy years again, going back up to the yellow box somewhere between 110 and 120 to finish the WXY of x of the larger degree. This will take DXY into a couple of years bull-run as long as the green (C) wave runs and completes no earlier than late '27, depending when the purple C-wave prior to the green (C) wave ends. But I believe the green (C)-wave will take about two years to complete.
But after this, DXY could again go into some dark ages and considering the high degree purple w-wave took 23 years to complete (blue giant box), there is no reason to believe this high degree purple y-wave will be a swift matter and actually don't complete before the year 2050. And it will take the DXY all the down to start 60's or lower.
The reason I said I tried to put on the positive glasses, is that I tried seeing the white channel as a leading diagonal for a new bull run, but I just don't see it as such.
I also tried seeing it as a C-wave of a flat diagonal, but this would result in another C-wave afterwards, and also take us down to the 60's level. So that didn't do us any good.
For the sake of DXY, I hope I'm wrong, but this is how I see it.
DXYDXY(DOLLAR) is overall bullish we are currently sitting on a demand zone once that level holds scale down to the daily timeframe for execution but once the first demand zone get invalidated we wait for the next demand zone to look for another bullish movement back into supply levels REMEMBER: TREND IS KING
The Great Long. DXY LIQUIDITY GAME.We knowgood old SEC days are coming, Fed Pivot is coming and a strong dollar is coming with it. But for now
Let me explain you this chart.
The chart is on a weekly timeframe but all the points of interest and liquidity can be perfectly seen on the monthly as well.
I want to show you how price moves from liquidity zone to liquidity zone touching specific areas no matter what.
Following all the red lines that are previous highs that the price made (liquidity) and the low from July 2023.
For me this chart is pure art, this is the game I look for when daytrading, but for this being on a weekly/monthly chart is just mesmerizing.
This previous -10% drop from Jan-Feb till today, comes from a very specific point in the chart.
And the +15% pump that I see, is coming from a very specific point as well.
As you can see this drop comes after liquidating several highs (sellside liquidity) on the way to a predominant imbalance that respected perfectly. What I want to say is that price follow liquidity first then touches a specific zone and respects it.
Now, we have the same scenario but now we have targeted July 2023 low and a weekly imbalance. A significant low has been triggered and a point of interest has been fille. Fed Pivot is coming and we expect to see a strong dollar in the long run.
I think this is just the perfect point in the chart for direction to shift and to start to price-in what is about to come. Last monday (Black Monday) was a climatic point.
Events bring the volatility for price to make it where it has to,
I think this is the turning point.
I hope you enjoyed the content this is NOT Financial advice. I just want this analysis and info to be here.
DXY Bullish Reversal Setup – Long Entry from Support Zone TowardEMA 30 (Red Line): Currently at 99.700 — tracks short-term trend, and price is hovering near this level.
EMA 200 (Blue Line): At 100.935 — indicates long-term trend, acting as dynamic resistance above.
📈 Trade Setup
✅ Entry Point:
Price: 99.699
Rationale: This level has been tested multiple times, forming a support zone. A bounce here signals a potential long entry.
🎯 Target Point (Take Profit):
Price: 102.738
Distance: ~3.04 points or 3.43% potential move upward.
Note: Marked as EA TARGET POINT, which suggests a calculated area possibly based on previous resistance or algorithmic strategy.
🛑 Stop Loss:
Price: 98.624
Reasoning: Just below the defined support zone (highlighted purple area), ensuring protection against downside breakouts.
📊 Risk-to-Reward Ratio
Entry: 99.699
Target: 102.738 → Gain of ~3.04
Stop: 98.624 → Risk of ~1.08
R/R Ratio: ~2.8:1 — favorable setup
📌 Overall Sentiment
This chart indicates a bullish reversal setup from a strong support zone, possibly targeting a mean reversion or trend reversal toward the 200 EMA and beyond.
However, keep in mind:
The price is currently below both EMAs, so the trend is still bearish.
The trade is counter-trend, relying on support holding and momentum shifting.