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1Q2025 update pre-January NFPsThis idea is a follow up on my previous DXY idea attached below. I predicted the DXY to pullback at the start of the year and for the support level between 106.9 and 107.4 to hold its ground upon this pullback. The 50-day MA currently at 107.8 is now the main support level to hold and a failed break below this level will be an early indication of another 5-wave impulse higher towards the September 2022 high at 114.8 in the 1Q2025. The announcement over the weekend of Trumps 25% tariffs on Mexico and Canada plus the 10% import levies imposed on China has sent the DXY straight up towards the current yearly high at 110.1 in the early morning trade which in dollar positive. In terms of US treasuries and the US government's debt burden, President Trump has to somehow create demand for the US treasuries and a persistent inflation environment forces investors to demand a higher yield on their treasuries. I believe Trump will create this US treasury demand by sucking dollars back into the US via his trade tariffs and suspension of foreign aid to other countries (essentially allowing the dollar milkshake theory to playout). The dollar may however get too strong for Trump's likening since a stronger dollar makes goods from the US more expensive while making foreign goods cheaper for the US which will only further exacerbate the US trade deficit. Trump essentially needs a weaker dollar to turn the US into an exporting manufacturing country, "making America great again" but I see the effect of his policies being dollar positive? Perhaps Trump will negotiate a Plaza accord 2.0 to systematically devalue the dollar...
TVC:DXYLong
by Goose96
DXY Dive Incoming? Watch the Liquidity Zones!From the higher timeframe perspective, DXY is currently hovering within a key monthly Fair Value Gap (FVG), marked in red. This zone serves as a critical point of interest and could dictate the next directional bias for the dollar. Key Observations: Current FVG Zone: -Price is consolidating within the monthly FVG. A close below this zone would provide stronger confirmation of a bearish move targeting lower liquidity levels. Bearish Bias: -The recent price action indicates weakness as sellside liquidity (SSL) is beginning to show signs of attraction. -The presence of significant sellside liquidity targets below, including: -105.411 (Weekly SSL - Sweep) -103.370 (Weekly SSL - Next Zone) -100.215 (Major Daily SSL Zone) Messy Market Conditions: -Due to fluctuating macroeconomic factors, including USD news events, we may observe temporary rallies or retracements. However, these are likely to form lower highs before continuing the descent. Confirmation Levels: -Bearish Confirmation: A daily or weekly close below the monthly FVG would solidify the bearish case, signaling that sellside liquidity at 105.411 and lower levels are likely next. -Bullish Risk: If the current FVG holds as support and price pushes higher, we could see an attempt to retest higher zones (e.g., 109.535) before resuming downside momentum. Conclusion: The expectation is for DXY to drop towards sellside liquidity levels at 105.411, 103.370, and potentially as low as 100.215. However, traders should await a clean confirmation (such as a close below the monthly FVG) to validate the move. DYOR (Do Your Own Research) and trade safely amidst potential market volatility! Let me know if you'd like any refinements!
TVC:DXYShort
by INSIDER_INTEL
Potential bullish rise?US Dollar Index (DXY) has reacted off the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 107.49 1st Support 106.47 1st Resistance: 109.64 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
TVC:DXYLong
by ICmarkets
Dollar Index - End of January AnalysisJune 2022 was the last time we witnessed a major bullish run reaching into macro imbalances @ 110. Donald Trump was elected in November 2024 and ever since, we have witnessed a similar run, in which Dollar punished those who were short based on market trend and sentiment at the time. Many long term traders saw 106 as ‘safe’ price point to place their buystops but the market had other plans… As the algorithm repriced higher upto 106, it became a self fulfilling prophecy where more buy stops were triggered increasing the likelihood of a low resistance liquidity run. Highs for the month is 110.176 Lows for the month is 107.969 Bearish bias negated if I see a candle body closure above the monthly highs and CE of 6 month sellside imbalance.
TVC:DXYShort
by LegendSince
DXY Jan30 Back testing AnalysisDXY Jan30 Back testing Analysis Asia Price is in a Premium. At 1 macro drops to the 50 level taking out sell side liquidity. London Price still running to the bottom of a FVG reacts and swings up to the MOG and CE of the higher FVG seeking a key level of buys side. Price gravitates around the buy side building orders I suspect for the ND at 8:30. NY delivering to a Premium. Price dropped to the MOG and the 50 level and rallies higher. Note Price just touches the event horizon. At 10 macro-AKA silver bullet, Price smashes down seeking the previous days FVG to rebalance. Note the bodies of the candle respect the FVG. 12 macro Price aggressively retraces rebalancing efficiently delivered Price. Price seeks another equal high by 4pm. Note the reactions on the 50 levels touches and goes higher. Price did come down to a discount however immediate reaction. Tipping its hand that the DXY parent bias is bullish?
TVC:DXY
by LeanLena
DXY anlysis 1W - US DOLLAR INDEX 📊 DXY Analysis - US Dollar Index 🔹 Respecting the Fibonacci Golden Zone The DXY has reacted to the Fibonacci golden zone, indicating a potential continuation of the bullish trend. 🔹 Weekly Candle Closed Bullish This week's candle closed bullish, reinforcing the possibility of further upside momentum. 🔹 Expectations If the bullish momentum continues, the next target levels could be key resistance areas. It's advisable to wait for additional confirmations before making any trading decisions. 💡 What do you think about this analysis? Do you agree with the bullish scenario, or do you expect a reversal? Share your thoughts in the comments! 🚀📈
TVC:DXYLong
by hamidTrader21
US DOLLAR INDEX : DXY READY TO FLY !! great opportunity !- The US Dollar Index (DXY) is showing strong signs of bullish momentum as it bounces off key support levels and begins to break through short-term resistance. - I draw a bars pattern to show you exactly how DXY will balance next weeks. The strategie that i used is very unique, just follow bars pattern up and down. - Fundamental Drivers: Positive US economic data and expectations of potential Fed rate hikes support the bullish outlook for the USD, adding confidence to the trade. - This setup offers a great opportunity to catch the next leg of the US Dollar’s potential rally. Happy trading! 📈
TVC:DXYLong
by LabgaPro
Weekly FOREX Forecast Feb 3 - 7th.This is an outlook for the week of Feb 3 - 7th. In this video, we will analyze the following FX markets: USD Index EURUSD GBPUSD AUDUSD NZDUSD CAD, USDCAD CHF, USDCHF JPY, USDJPY The USD Index is reacting to the Monthly and Weekly Supply Zone. The week before last was an aggressive bearish candle, followed by last week retracement. Although the week ended with a bullish close, it inside Supply. We could see price resume the bearish reaction to the HTF Supply this week. This could mean the majors may see bullish weeks against the USD. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
TVC:DXY
by RT_Money
DXY Back in Uptrend – Bullish Outlook on USD PairsThe U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has regained its bullish momentum, confirming a return to the uptrend on the daily timeframe. Key technical indicators signal strong upward potential, reinforcing a favorable outlook for USD strength in the coming sessions. A sustained rally in the dollar is likely to exert downward pressure on gold prices (XAUUSD) and impact USD-based currency pairs. Given the prevailing market conditions, I anticipate USD pairs to present long-term buying opportunities. Traders should closely monitor price action across major forex pairs, as the strengthening dollar may unlock significant trading potential.
TVC:DXYLong
by Rawezh92
DXY Jan30 Back testing AnalysisDXY Jan30 Back testing Analysis Asia Price in a discount. London 2 and 3 macro are weaving in and out making higher equal highs and equal lows. Note the higher highs came to the 70 level. 4 macro spiked to the .618 note price is weaving in between the MOG. 4:15 price starts to step up and bursts to the 50 level, buy side target and by 6:45 kisses the FVG. NY Price is in a Premium. 7 macro price retraces down to the 50 and inefficient price delivery in London. By 8:15 price hits the .79 just in time to get out before the news. NY PM session sees Price retrace the ND manipulation to rebalance the damage from the ND. Note-the back testing I am analyzing is the discount to premium to premium to discount. Identifying the model 2022 when key buy/sell side liquidity is taken is the trigger for the set up, inside a macro time. Note that each session respects the 50 unless in the case study of Tuesday this week when it did not. By respect I am suggesting that Price moves from discount to premium all I have to is identify where price and enter after liquidity is taken. Note that the ND sent the bodies of the candles to the CE of the FVG. COOL!
TVC:DXY
by LeanLena
DXY Jan 29 Analysis-back testing logDXY Jan 29 Analysis-back testing log Price completes trading/rebalancing inside a HTF FVG. Price rallies to rebalance a Hourly FVG from Jan21. Asia Price is delivering to a discount. London 2022 model, Price comes down takes out recent key sell side liquidity rallies to MOG and launches to the 50. 2 macro starts the rally an hour of heat 4 macro price seeks the FVG coming to the edge teasing me. Small consolidation expected after a big rally and choppy. NY-7;15 takes buy side liquidity and 8 macro pumps to the FVG setting up for retracement. 9 macro Price retraces the inefficient price from London and stops just shy of the .79 Note-previous day was high resistance pattern, where as this day was low resistance-THESES ARE THE DAYS TO TRADE. Note-When Price has big gaps like this its tipping its hand that its going rip. Seen this pattern enough times to start to trust it.
TVC:DXY
by LeanLena
DXY Jan 27 Analysis-back testing logDXY Jan 27 Analysis-back testing log Price trading/rebalancing inside a HTF FVG from Dec 18. Asia Price is delivering to a Premium in a consolidation pattern takes recent buy side liquidity, creating higher level of equal highs. Note Price does not take the higher buy side liquidity. Note the range bound candle pattern, DO NOT TRADE IN THESE CONDITIONS. London Price fake moves in 2 macro only to create equal highs. At 3 macro Price takes those highs, and aggressively lowers, for the 50 level slicing through recent taking sell side liquidity, landing right on NWOG. Weaves in and out of Friday's gap. 4:50 structure is broken as Price kisses the 70 level and declines again to the know sell side liquidity. NY Price rallies at 9:15 toward the 50 level, rebalancing efficient delivered in London. By 2 Price comes back up to hit the 50 level.
TVC:DXY
by LeanLena
DXY BULLISH🚀🔥 BIG DOLLAR INDEX TRADE ALERT! 🔥🚀 💰💎 DXY LONG SIGNAL – HIGH-POTENTIAL MOVE! 💎💰 📍 ENTRY: 107.9 🎯 TARGET: 112 🎯🎯 🔒 STOP LOSS: Manage Risk Smartly! 🔍 WHY THIS TRADE? ✅ Bullish Momentum 🚀 ✅ Technical Breakout 📈 ✅ USD Strength Incoming 🌍💵 ⚡ DON’T MISS THIS OPPORTUNITY! ⚡ 📢 LIKE, COMMENT & SHARE TO BOOST THIS POST! 🔥 FOLLOW ME for more high-accuracy trade setups! 🔥 📊💹 #DXY #DollarIndex #ForexSignals #TradingSetup #TrendTicker #ForexTrader #BoostThisPost 🚀📈💰
TVC:DXYLong
by Bishnu_Newar