My ViewI think price is at a daily resistance and might drop since the rising channel has been violated to the downside and price has BOS twice to the down side
USDX trade ideas
USD INDEX ACTIVATING AGAIN ?The name of the game for the us dollar index was breaking bottom , retest and go during the last few weeks. The short term trend is not acting as bearish as expected at the moment. The previous bottom at 106.5 also unable to form the new top and its under attack since start of the week. Finding support on 106.5 will prepare a hike in the short term targeting 107.3 first.
DXY – Break or Bounce? Key Levels to WatchTVC:DXY
The DXY has broken below the 106.96 support, establishing a new fractal at 106.14 while testing the major April 2024 fractal resistance forged at 106.51. This price action leaves the dollar in a critical decision zone, with two main scenarios in play:
1️⃣ Bullish Scenario: If the dollar holds above the newly formed support and reclaims the daily fractal resistance at 107.38, it could trigger a recovery attempt, potentially leading to a retest of previous highs and the weekly fractal resistance.
2️⃣ Bearish Scenario: A failure to hold current levels could push the DXY below the emerging triangle structure, targeting the weekly fractal support at 105.42. A break below this level increases the probability of reaching the 200% Fibonacci extension at 104.59, where a bullish Crab pattern is projected in convergence —a critical area for potential trend reversals.
🔍 Key Technical Factors:
📌 Consolidation Triangle: DXY is stuck below the double top neckline but above the most recent fractal support forged at 106.14.
📌 Fibonacci Levels : The dollar is currently trading at the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement (106.35) , with projected harmonic patterns aligning near the next 50% retracement level.
📌 Liquidity & Stop Hunts: Multiple bullish harmonic patterns emerging just below the weekly fractal support indicate possible stop-hunting activity against short positions.
💡 Key Levels to Watch:
📈 Resistance Levels:
Weekly – 110.17
Daily – 107.38
4H – 106.65
Monthly – 106.51
📉 Support Levels:
4H – 106.17
Daily – 106.14
Weekly – 105.42
Monthly – 100.15
⚠️ Final Thoughts: DXY is at a crucial inflection point. A breakout above 107.38 could fuel a bullish move, while a breakdown below 105.42 may accelerate a bearish extension towards 104.59-104.78.
Until the price confirms direction, it is advisable to remain neutral and wait for a clear signal before committing to a directional bias.
Happy Trading,
André Cardoso
💡 Risk Warning: Trading financial assets carries a high level of risk and may result in the loss of all your capital. Make sure to fully understand the risks involved before you start trading and carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk tolerance. The data and information provided in this content do not constitute financial or investment advice and should not be considered as such. Only invest what you can afford to lose, and be aware of the risks associated with trading financial assets.
DXY BullishThis analysis is based on the Wyckoff Accumulation Schematic #2. I'm bullish on DXY. We will see the full strength of the dollar soon.
DXY Swing Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
DXY is approaching a
Horizontal support level
Of 105.500 so after the
Retest we will be expecting
A local bullish correction
Buy!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
DXY Bearish to 85-90The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY). Here are some key insights from the chart:
A zigzag corrective pattern is identified.
Resistance levels at 113 and an inverse bearish level at 115 are highlighted.
The Exponential Moving Average (EMA 9) and Simple Moving Average (SMA 50) are displayed.
Elliott Wave analysis appears to be used, indicating a possible downward correction.
A bearish scenario targeting around 90 in the long term is projected.
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY). Here are some key insights from the chart:
A weakening dollar will boost growth in the export sector. I believe this will occur during President Trump's term.
possibility of uptrendConsidering the behavior of the index in the resistance range and the resistance trend line, possible scenarios have been identified. It is expected that we will see the start of an upward trend.
26.02.25 Morning ForecastPairs on Watch -
FX:AUDNZD
FX:EURNZD
A short overview of the instruments I am looking at for today, multi-timeframe analysis down to what I will be looking at for an entry. Enjoy!
Dollar strength into Trump inauguration A weaker dollar is good for Bitcoin. Let's see if the dollar gets weaker after inauguration.
My belief is that it will weaken and risk assets/S&P will continue to trend upward.
DXY SankAs analysed in the previous post. Dxy sank to the bottom of the range. The final target is the sell side liquidity resting below, so I expect bearishness until that area is breached
DXY: Buy ideaBuy idea on DXY as you can see on the chart if only if we have the breakout with force the vwap and the resistance line.
2025 – The Year of the Normalized Dollar📉💵 2025 – The Year of the Normalized Dollar! 🔥
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is showing clear signs of weakness after breaching key support levels. With interest rate cuts on the horizon and a shift in economic policy, we may be entering a new phase for the dollar’s normalization.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch
🔹 Resistance: 107.5 (Immediate resistance)
🔹 Key Mid Support: 100.95 (Next major level)
🔹 Final Target: 94.8 (Major support & potential bottom)
📰 Fundamental Factors Driving the Move
💡 Trump’s Dollar Policy: Historically, Trump has favored a weaker dollar to boost exports. His recent remarks during the Executive Order signing on January 23, 2025, reinforce this stance, as he pushes for interest rate cuts and lower energy costs.
Remarks by President Trump at Executive Order Signing (January 23, 2025):
Q: Mr. President, you said earlier that you would like to see interest rates come down.
THE PRESIDENT: Yeah.
Q: How much would you like to see them come down?
THE PRESIDENT: A lot.
Q: And will you talk with Powell?
THE PRESIDENT: I’d like to see them come down a lot, and oil prices will come down. And when oil prices come down, everything is going to be cheaper for the American people — and actually for the world — but for the American people. So, I’d like to see oil prices come down.
Q: Are you worried that there’s too much going on at once if you’re trying to bring interest rates down and get the economy back going?
THE PRESIDENT: No, no. It just works that way. I mean, it just economically works that way. When the oil comes down, it’ll bring down prices, then you won’t have inflation, and then the interest rates will come down.
Q: You said that you would demand that the interest rates come down. Do you expect the Fed to listen to you?
THE PRESIDENT: Yeah.
📉 What’s Next for the Dollar?
🔸 If 100.95 breaks, we could see further downside, testing the 94.8 region.
🔸 A retest of resistance at 107.5 would be a key test before further declines.
🔸 The global macro environment (oil prices, inflation, and geopolitical shifts) will heavily influence the dollar’s trajectory.
🌍 Economic & Geopolitical Impact
Beyond monetary policy, Trump’s trade and labor policies are also playing a role in shaping the inflation outlook. His push for tariffs and tighter immigration policies has led to higher labor costs, causing short-term inflation. However, on the global stage, Trump's potential deal with Putin to resolve the Ukraine conflict could help ease inflation worldwide by stabilizing supply chains and reducing geopolitical risks.
With Trump pushing for rate cuts, the Fed under pressure, and DXY losing momentum, could we see a full-scale dollar correction in 2025? Let’s discuss! ⏬
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The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Dollar Topped, Crypto BottomedEach cycle we've seen the same pattern in USD: Relentless rise, pops out of the range, traps bulls and slams them below the range over the subsequent ~1 yr. Each top in USD has coincided with a bottom in altcoins and kicked off altseason.
Strap in...
$DXY HOLDS FIRM—TRUMP TARIFFS & FED FUEL 2025 BUZZTVC:DXY HOLDS FIRM—TRUMP TARIFFS & FED FUEL 2025 BUZZ
(1/9)
Good afternoon, Tradingview! The U.S. Dollar Index ( TVC:DXY ) sits at 106.47 today—tariffs and Fed vibes keep it humming 📈🔥. Down a hair from 106.60—let’s unpack this greenback glow! 🚀
(2/9) – YEARLY SURGE
• 2024 Run: From 100.16 to 107+ by Dec 💥
• Today: 106.47—off 0.12% from yesterday 📊
• Driver: Trump tariffs juice inflation fears
TVC:DXY ’s got grit—2025’s off to a zesty start!
(3/9) – BIG BOOSTERS
• Tariffs: Auto, chip threats—dollar darling 🌍
• Fed: Slow cuts—rates outshine abroad 🚗
• Crypto Nod: Pro- AMEX:USD admin vibes 🌟
Greenback’s flexing—policy packs a punch!
(4/9) – MARKET PULSE
• Vs. Peers: Outpaces euro, yen—rate gaps shine 📈
• X Chatter: 107 peak, post-swearing dip?
• Edge: U.S. growth trumps global woes 🌍
TVC:DXY ’s steady—king of the currency hill?
(5/9) – RISKS IN PLAY
• Deficits: Fiscal bloat looms long-term ⚠️
• Geo-Tension: Wars nudge safe-haven bets 🏛️
• Fed Pivot: Faster cuts could dim shine 📉
Tough tailwinds—can TVC:DXY dodge the drag?
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS
• Tariffs: Inflation lift—dollar darling 🌟
• Rates: Fed’s edge over ECB, BOJ 🔍
• Haven: Chaos loves $ USD—rock solid 🚦
TVC:DXY ’s got muscle—global star!
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES
• Weaknesses: Debt piles—future wobble? 💸
• Opportunities: Tariff hikes zap rivals 🌍
Can TVC:DXY keep the crown or stumble?
(8/9) – TVC:DXY at 106.47—what’s your vibe?
1️⃣ Bullish—108+ by spring.
2️⃣ Neutral—Holds steady, risks hover.
3️⃣ Bearish—Dips below 100 soon.
Vote below! 🗳️👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY
TVC:DXY ’s 106.47 glow—tariffs, Fed, and grit shine 🌍🪙. Deficits lurk, but strength rules—bull or bust?
DXY , is Bearish !we have closed below new day opening gap and now below new week opening gap !, price can go lower until last day sell side liquidity
Bearish on the DollarBuy side liquidity was swept as price tapped into a 4H FVG. We have resting sell side liquidity below which may be the next draw om liquidity. This spells bullishness for XXXUSD pairs
Dollar Index (DXY): Pullback From Resistance
I think we may see a local bearish continuation after a test
of a key daily/intraday resistance.
A local Change of Character on an hourly clearly shows the strength of the sellers.
The index may retrace at least to 106.53
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
dxy buy tradeThe Relative Strength Index (RSI) is showing an upward trend, indicating increasing momentum. Additionally, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is showing a bullish crossover, further supporting the potential for an upward move.
DXY SET-UP I anticipate DXY to move in the Bearish direction ⬇️ after taken liquidity and the Daily Fear Value Gap.
Republican bear cycle / QELong-term sell-off in expectation of the Trump administration's projected monetary policies. In addition, on a technical aspect, the inefficiencies of the last DXY drop in Nov. 2022 are filled. The entry is given by the change in the daily structure after filling the aforementioned inefficiency. The target is looking for liquidity at the low of Jul. 23', coinciding at the 61.8 fibo of the bullish momentum of the Democratic Biden administration.
Dollar Index Bullish to $111.350 (UPDATE)I’ve re-counted the waves, as analysed on the chart above.
⭕️3 Sub-Wave Correction (A,B,C) relabelled.
⭕️Main Supply Zone highlighted.
⭕️Alternative Bias Also Shown.
Is it time to buy the US dollar?With US inflation rising, the US economy performing well, and rates higher for longer (well, I wouldn't be surprised to see the Fed hike rates by the end of 2025), the USD continues to be an obvious buy.
The TVC:DXY is currently testing key horizontal support (previously resistance) and is nearing the weekly moving averages. This could be the time to buy the dollar.
I'm personally looking to short OANDA:EURUSD OANDA:GBPUSD and OANDA:NZDUSD and buy OANDA:USDCAD and OANDA:USDCHF
