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USDX trade ideas

Your current most important DXY target until...The first target scenario in my mind for DXY is the Monthly fair value gap. Market structure is now aligned for that too to play out. - A monthly bullish gap is present below current price (inside the monthly accumulative range) - A weekly bullish gap is being disrespected to the downside (indicating the lack of momentum, leaving this range) - On the daily, price respects and creates bearish PD arrays. I'm bearish on the higher timeframes, targeting the Monthly fvg, as long as price is closing below the Daily gap outlined in the chart. (This is not to say that there are no high quality trades on the lower time frames, such as targeting the most recent daily gap to the upside) Ok be safe byyyyyyy
TVC:DXYShort
by spekularmin
DxyThis is a technical analysis of the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) on a 2-hour timeframe. The chart indicates a bearish outlook, with price currently at 105.166 and showing signs of a downtrend. Key Observations: 1. Downtrend Confirmation: The price has been consistently forming lower highs and lower lows, suggesting bearish momentum. 2. Supply Zone (Red Box): A red zone is marked at the top, indicating a possible resistance or supply zone. This suggests that if the price moves back up into this area, it could face selling pressure and drop again. 3. Projected Price Action (White Box & Arrow): The gray box below represents a potential target zone for the bearish move. The zigzag pattern inside the box suggests a possible minor retracement before continuing downward. Conclusion: The analysis suggests a sell scenario if the price respects the supply zone and rejects it. A break above the red zone would invalidate this bearish outlook. The target area appears to be around 103.866, which aligns with a previous support level. Would you like any modifications to this analysis?
TVC:DXYShort
by Forex_ViP_Signalss
DOLAR INDEX UPDATE: WEEK 11 OF 2025 FORECASTDOLAR INDEX UPDATE: WEEK 11 OF 2025 FORECAST Theme: Decoding the Dollar Index’s Next Moves in 2025 Based on the weekly chart cycle, the Dollar Index (DXY) is expected to hit the following levels in Week 11 of 2025: Upper Range: 107.6 - 108 Lower Range: 106 - 105 - 103.5 The lower range reflects the primary trend, signaling a bearish lean, while the upper range represents a short-term recovery wave. Keep an eye on these zones—2025’s twists could hinge on them!
TVC:DXYShort
by rainbow_sniper
DXY March 4 London 2 Marco backtesting the session reactionsDXY March 4 London 2 Marco backtesting the session reactions Price came down took sell side liquidity and rebalanced 15M FVG in Asia. Price came up to the range CE and 50 level and rejected. Price had clear targets of sell side liquidity. Price was weaving in a wick imbalance. Price At 2 macro Price comes up to the .70 OTE level and into a first presented FVG. Price is so heavy and should be obvious that it is a bear market. Note- Price did not want to retrace to the previuos range however in backtesting just to the 50 on the RB 50. If truely in a bear market this is a indicator. Touches the 50 and rejects-it should. Price came through the volume imbalance Price came through 3 sell stops I had noted. Price came down to ICT's FVG she noted 3 weeks ago. Price is respecting the session 50 level. All great learning. Very messy chart and it for study
TVC:DXY
by LeanLena
Restrictive monetary policy?We are still in an uptrend at dxy. This trend could continue if Trump follows through on tariffs for a number of reasons. First, tariffs could rekindle inflation, leading the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates elevated, which could cause the dollar to strengthen. Secondly, tariffs could cause economic weakness in other countries, improving America’s relative strength, creating higher demand for the currency. However, tariffs run the risk of dampening the U.S. economy, which could weigh on the dollar. While Trump’s position on the dollar is contradictory—he wants it to maintain its dominance but advocates for competitive weakening to boost U.S. exports—all eyes will be watching if tariffs serve as bargain chips or materialize into new sweeping policies. During President Trump's first term in office, we felt the sequencing of tax cuts (late 2017) and then tariffs (March 2018-August 2019) were key reasons for a strengthening dollar. In other words, the US economy had some fiscal support before tariff wars were waged. Market participants expect the imposition of bulky tariffs would lead to a global trade war. Such a scenario will be inflationary for the US economy, which would force the Federal Reserve (Fed) to maintain a restrictive monetary policy stance for longer.
TVC:DXY
by TRADINGACPVIP
US DOLLAR: Sell Opportunity after support breakTVC:DXY has broken below a key support zone, indicating a potential shift in momentum. The price is now retesting this zone, which previously acted as support and could serve as resistance, aligning with a potential bearish continuation. If sellers confirm resistance at this level, the price is likely to decline further toward the 105.800 target , which aligns with a major support level. Conversely, a breakout above the zone could signal further upside. Before considering short positions, look for bearish confirmation signals such as bearish engulfing candles, strong wicks rejecting the resistance zone, or increased selling volume. Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management. Best of luck!
TVC:DXYShort
by TrendDiva
27
Correction vs. Upside Break: Key Thresholds at 107 and 110My primary scenario is a correction. The current wave structure suggests the completion of an motive wave forming an ‘ending diagonal.’ After testing the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement zone, the market shows signs of a downturn. If the index settles below the nearest support (around 107), a deeper pullback toward 105 and lower becomes possible. The alternative scenario is a breakout to the upside. The area around 110 serves as the key invalidation level for this scenario: a decisive break above 110 would indicate the potential for renewed growth. Overall, the outlook points to a high likelihood of a correction. However, if the price breaks above 110, the bullish scenario regains relevance. ICEUS:DXY CAPITALCOM:DXY TVC:DXY
TVC:DXYShort
by shakatrade1_618
FOREX Forecast UPDATES! Monday Mar 3rdIn this video, we will update Sunday's forecasts for the following FX markets: USD Index EURUSD GBPUSD AUDUSD NZDUSD CAD, USDCAD CHF, USDCHF JPY, USDJPY Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.In this video, we will update the forecasts for the following FX markets:
TVC:DXY
by RT_Money
3
DXY Long-Term Analysis (1988-2024): Post-US Election Price CycleBased on a 36-year historical analysis of the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), a clear cyclical pattern emerges in relation to U.S. election cycles. Key Observations: Election Year Impact: After every U.S. election, DXY tends to move in one clear direction (either bullish or bearish) for the first 1 to 2 years. Reversal Phase: Following this initial move, the next 1 to 2 years typically see a reversal, where the price trends in the opposite direction of the first phase. Consistent Historical Trend: This pattern has repeated consistently across multiple election cycles since 1988, making it a significant factor to consider when analyzing DXY’s medium-term trends. Practical Implications: If the post-election trend is bullish for the first 1-2 years, traders should anticipate a potential bearish shift in the following 1-2 years—and vice versa. This can be used as a macroeconomic roadmap to align trading strategies with historical probabilities. Exception: 1996-2000 – Why It Did Not Follow the Seasonal Pattern The 1996 to 2000 period is the only major exception in this 36-year analysis. Instead of following the typical 1-2 year trend-reversal pattern, DXY remained bullish throughout the entire Clinton second term (1996-2000). Here’s why this period did not comply with our seasonal analysis: Unprecedented U.S. Economic Strength ("Clinton Boom") The late 1990s saw an extraordinarily strong economy, driven by the Dot-Com Boom, technological advancements, and record corporate profits. Unlike other election cycles where economic slowdowns or policy shifts led to reversals, the U.S. economy kept accelerating, keeping the USD strong. Federal Reserve’s Tight Monetary Policy (Rising Interest Rates) From 1997 to 2000, the Federal Reserve aggressively raised interest rates to control inflation. Higher rates made the USD more attractive, increasing foreign capital inflows and preventing a mid-term reversal. Global Financial Crises (1997 Asian Crisis & 1998 Russian Default) These crises caused global capital flight to the U.S. dollar as a safe-haven asset. Instead of a seasonal decline in DXY, the USD kept rising as investors sought stability in U.S. assets. Foreign Investment in U.S. Markets (Tech Stock Bubble) Foreign investors poured money into U.S. stocks and bonds, increasing demand for USD. This prolonged DXY’s bullish trend, overriding the usual election-based trend reversals. Conclusion: The DXY's movement post-elections follows a structured two-phase cycle: initial directional trend (1-2 years) → reversal phase (1-2 years). So you guys can plan your trades accordingly and take advantage of this repeating pattern to maximize profitability.
TVC:DXY
by MAAwan
U.S. Dollar IndexHello Dear Traders This is the updated analysis of the DXY chart. Last week, I explained its bullish trend to you, and this week I was waiting for the necessary confirmations for entry based on last week’s analysis. With this 1-hour confirmation, we can say that this chart has fully turned bullish, and the targets remain as stated in the previous analysis. Therefore, we can consider sell entries on the Euro, Pound, Australian Dollar, and New Zealand Dollar, while conversely, we can enter buy positions on the Japanese Yen, Canadian Dollar, and Swiss Franc. Thank you for your support. A very simple and clear chart has been drawn for your use. Wishing you all success! Fereydoon Bahrami A retail trader in the Wall Street Trading Center (Forex) Risk Disclosure: Trading in the Forex market is risky due to high price volatility. This analysis is solely my personal opinion and should not be considered financial advice. Please do your own research. You are responsible for any profits or losses resulting from this analysis.
TVC:DXYLong
by fereydoon1199
DXY Analysis: Rejection from Resistance – More Downside AheadWelcome back, guys! I'm Skeptic, and let's start the week with a DXY analysis. This is a crucial period for the dollar index, with many significant events unfolding—one of the most important being Trump’s tariff war. Now, let’s break down the technical outlook on DXY. 1D Timeframe Looking at the daily chart, we can see that DXY has been rejected from a key resistance zone. Additionally, since it has formed a lower high, I still maintain my previous analysis that DXY is currently undergoing a correction within its previous uptrend. This means we could see further declines. The key support level to watch here is the 35% Fibonacci retracement zone at 105.720. 4H Timeframe – Finding a Trigger On the 4H chart, we had a daily resistance zone that was briefly broken but turned out to be a fake breakout. This suggests that liquidity has been swept above the resistance, liquidating long positions, and now the market has more momentum to push downward. The main short trigger is at 106.188, but depending on momentum, we could potentially enter even earlier on lower timeframes. Key Risk Factor: While we are currently in a correction phase, the major trend is still an uptrend. That means risk should be managed carefully, and trades should be closed sooner than usual. Final Thoughts Thanks for sticking around until the end of the analysis. From now on, I’ve decided to publish separate analyses for indices, forex pairs, and BTC instead of grouping them into one post. Let me know what you think about this new format— do you prefer everything in one post, or is this better? See you in the next analysis! 🚀
TVC:DXYShort
by SkepticWise
4