SELL DXY (USD) for bullish trend reversal STOP LOSS : 107.61SELL DXY (USD) for bullish trend reversal
STOP LOSS : 107.614
Regular Bearish Divergence
In case of Regular Bearish Divergence:
* The Indicator shows Lower Highs
* Actual Market Price shows Higher Highs
We can see a strong divergence on the MACD already and There is a strong trend reversal on the daily time frame chart.....
The daily time frame is showing strength of trend reversal from this level resistance so we are looking for the trend reversal and correction push from here .....
TAKE PROFIT : take profit will be when the trend comes to an end, feel from to send me a direct DM if you have any question about take profit or anything
Remember to risk only what you are comfortable withโฆโฆ.trading with the trend, patient and good risk management is the key to success here
USDX trade ideas
DXY is ready to fall again, trade accordingly The chart I analyse the most is DXY.
Why you may ask?
Because it encompasses all pairs, get the direction right and you're already right on almost other currency pairs too. There are exceptions tho, but that is for another day
DXY is forming a textbook rising wedge pattern on a downtrend and the bias is sell. (Rising wedge breaks downwards). Keep it simple
I'm posting it for you to find buy entries on cross pairs.
I've already shown you one on EUR.
I want to post on USDCHF and USDCAD but I will take it you get the gist.
Buy XXXUSD and sell USDXXX, you can wait for volatility in the morning.
Fun fact, I've never hit sl on DXY this year
DXY at the Crossroads: How the 108โ110 could reshape the market
Key Highlights
The U.S. Dollar Index TVC:DXY is currently near an important resistance level of 108โ110.
A potential reversal of the dollar at this level could lead to further growth in stock markets and strengthen cryptocurrencies, while a break above 110+ would continue to put pressure on risk assets.
If CAPITALCOM:DXY surpasses 110 and holds above it, there is a possibility of reaching as high as the 120 mark. A rejection from the 108โ110 zone would indicate a downward trend developing, possibly pushing the index toward the 98 area or lower.
Future outcomes will depend on Federal Reserve monetary policy, global demand for the dollar and other safe-haven assets, as well as overall economic stability.
What about crypto?
There are serious risks for CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2 CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 & CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS
A long-term perspective on ICEUS:DXY suggests that โalt seasonsโ tend to occur during periods of dollar weakness. Currently, the 108โ110 zone and the MA50-W are pivotal. A potential DXY reversal here may act as a catalyst for another major altcoin rally in the coming months, while continued dollar strength could postpone any such โalt season.โ
Shaka
Profit and Learn: Is the U.S. Dollar Still Money?In this episode of Profit and Learn, we dive into the future of the U.S. dollar. Is it still the undisputed king of global finance, or is its dominance fading? With rising competition from alternative assets, central bank policies, and global de-dollarization efforts, we explore whether the dollar remains the ultimate store of value, medium of exchange, and unit of account.
Join us as we break down market sentiment, policy threats, and the role of crypto and commodities in shaping the dollarโs future. Is the dollar โtoo strongโ for its own good, or are we seeing the early signs of its decline?
๐ฐ Is the dollar still money? Tune in to find out!
Trade Idea for U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) โ Feb 19, 2025๐ Current Market Context
DXY is trading at 107.023 , slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level (106.344).
This level is a key golden ratio support, where strong reversals often happen.
The uptrend from Sept 2024 suggests that bulls are still in control unless this retracement turns into a full reversal.
๐ Bullish Trade Idea (Buy Setup)
โ
Entry: Look for bullish price action (rejection wicks, engulfing candles, or a strong bounce) near 106.344 - 106.500 .
๐ฏ Targets:
Target 1 : 108.035 (78.6% Fib)
Target 2 : 110.189 (previous high)
๐ Stop-Loss: Below 105.800 (just under 61.8% retracement to avoid stop hunts).
๐ Risk/Reward: ~1:2 or better.
๐ Bearish Trade Idea (Sell Setup)
โ Trigger: If DXY closes below 106.344 on a daily candle , it could signal further downside.
๐ Entry: Sell below 106.200 after confirmation.
๐ฏ Targets:
Target 1 : 105.156 (50% Fib)
Target 2 : 103.968 (38.2% Fib)
๐ Stop-Loss: Above 107.000 (to avoid fakeouts).
๐ Risk/Reward: 1:2 minimum.
๐ ๏ธ Risk Management Notes
Watch for fundamental news (FOMC, inflation data, rate decisions) that could cause volatility.
Use partial take profits to secure gains along the way.
If entering a buy trade, consider trailing stops once price reaches 108.035.
DOLLAR INDEX (DXY): Bearish Move From Key Level
Dollar Index looks bearish after a test of a significant resistance cluster.
I see a tiny double top pattern on an hourly, indicating a highly probable
local bearish movement.
Goals: 106.92 / 106.87
โค๏ธPlease, support my work with like, thank you!โค๏ธ
DXY short idea dxy has been bearish
price broke out of a strong area of support around the 107.480 region
we could anticipate a retest of 107.480 to go lower
or if price decides to respect current price of 107.070 which is aligned with H4 structure looking left, we could see her falling from that specific price
DXY โ A Deep Decline Ahead? (Aggressive Bearish Scenario)๐ DXY โ A Deep Decline Ahead? (Aggressive Bearish Scenario)
Analysis:
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is at a critical point. According to the aggressive bearish scenario, we might witness a significant correction or even a strong continuation of the downtrend in the coming weeks.
๐น Elliott Wave Structure:
โ
Wave A has formed as an impulse, and there is a possibility that Wave C will develop into an ending diagonal, signaling a sharp decline.
โ
If a complex zigzag pattern emerges, the decline could extend further into the 100.83 โ 95.03 range.
๐น Key Levels:
๐ A break below 105 โ 106 would be an early confirmation of this bearish scenario.
๐ A drop below 100.19 could indicate significant weakness in the dollar, leading to the next major downtrend.
๐น Fundamental Factors to Watch:
๐ Federal Reserve policies and key U.S. economic data, such as inflation and employment reports, will play a crucial role in confirming this move. If the DXY declines, risk assets like gold and equities could benefit from the shift.
๐ก Conclusion:
This scenario remains valid, but if different corrective patterns form, I also have a conservative bullish scenario, which I will share at the right time.
๐ What do you think? Are there more signs of dollar weakness ahead? ๐ค
Hashtags:
#DXY #DXYAnalysis #Forex #ElliottWave #USD #TechnicalAnalysis #DollarIndex #BearishScenario #MarketTrends #TradingView
โ
TradingView Short Description:
๐ Is the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) on the verge of a major drop? Elliott Wave analysis with key support and resistance levels. ๐๐ก
Daily Market Outlook: BTC, DXY & Gold โ Key Trade Setups (#5)The market still seems indecisive , but Iโm here to find the best trade triggers for BTC and Forex. Letโs break it down.
๐ DXY โ Breaking Key Support
DXY has entered a corrective phase after breaking below the 107.335 support.
๐น Key Support Levels:
105.656 (Aligned with the 30% Fibonacci retracement)
103.367 (Aligned with the 60% Fibonacci retracement)
๐ก 106.602 could act as a short-term support, and if it breaks, it might be time to focus on USD pairs for potential setups.
๐ก XAU/USD (Gold) โ Retesting ATH?
Gold rejected its all-time high at 2937.91 and now seems to be retesting this major resistance.
๐ Whatโs happening?
Gold is still in an uptrend, but momentum is fading.
Smaller bullish candles vs. larger bearish candles indicate possible exhaustion.
A correction could be healthy, but shorting remains risky in an uptrend.
๐ Trade Triggers:
โ
Long Entry: After a confirmed breakout above 2940
โ Short Entry: Below 2879.74 (High risk due to trend direction)
๐ BTC โ 95K Support Breaking?
BTC is attempting to break below the 95K support. If this level is lost, we could see a move toward 92K, 85K, and even 82K.
๐ Strategy:
โ
Short Trigger (Activated): 95245 (Yesterdayโs signal)
โ
If You Missed It: Wait for a pullback or a new structure before entering.
Final Thoughts
โ This is a highly volatile market โ avoid chasing trades and wait for confirmations.
โ If youโre not using risk management, these setups may not be suitable for you.
Iโm Skeptic , see you tomorrow with another market breakdown! <3
DXY short setup๐ USD Dollar Index (DXY) Short Setup ๐
Entry: Around $107.00
Stop Loss: $107.50 (Above resistance level)
Target: $106.00 (Support zone)
Risk-Reward Ratio: ~2.0
๐น Potential breakdown of ascending trendline ๐
๐น EMA alignment showing weakness ๐ป
๐น Rejection near key resistance level ๐ด
Looking for confirmation for entry. Let me know your thoughts! ๐ฌ #DXY #USDollar #Forex #Trading
USD: Fading bearish momentumOur baseline view for this week has been that the dollar correction has run its course, and we still favour chasing a USD rebound against other G10 currencies. There is admittedly some residual room for a risk-on/dollar-off move once a potential Russia-Ukraine peace deal is agreed, but markets are largely pricing it in at this stage and there are no guarantees for now that it will allow to price out longer-run geopolitical risk.
Today, markets will remain focused on any developments on the US-Russia bilateral talks on Ukraine, but barring a major breakthrough, the optimistic push and relative upbeat risk sentiment may stall or fade in the next couple of days and the dollar can continue to recover some ground.
Also on the positioning side, there is some evidence that the dollar longs are slightly less stretched. CFTC USD positioning versus G10 currencies excluding SEK and NOK (which are not reported) has inched back lower to a seven-week low, albeit remaining above +20% of open interest.
Macro developments will likely play a secondary role this week, with the exception of tomorrowโs FOMC minutes. Todayโs Empire Manufacturing index and TIC flows out of the US should have limited market impact.
#USDX 4HUSDX (4H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price is forming a flag pattern, which is generally considered a continuation signal. This indicates that the market is in a consolidation phase after a strong move, and a breakout could lead to further bullish momentum.
Forecast:
A buy opportunity may arise if the price breaks above the upper trendline of the flag pattern, confirming bullish strength.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: A buy position can be considered after a breakout above the flag pattern with strong volume.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed below the recent low to manage risk.
- Take Profit: Target the next key resistance levels based on previous price action.
Market Sentiment:
The flag pattern suggests that the market is pausing before continuing its upward move. Waiting for a confirmed breakout will help align with the prevailing trend and avoid false signals.