“The Dollar Job: Break-In Strategy for 99+ Profits”💸 “DXY Heist Blueprint: Thieves’ Bullish Breakout Play” 🏴☠️
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Welcome, Money Makers & Silent Robbers 🕶️💼✨
This is our next big Thief Trading Heist Plan targeting the 💵 DXY Dollar Index Vault. Armed with both technical precision 🔍 and fundamental insight 📊, we're ready to strike smart — not just fast.
🎯 THE MASTER HEIST PLAN:
🟢 ENTRY POINT – “Heist Entry Protocol”
🎯 Wait for price to break above Resistance @ 99.000 and candle to close ✅
💥 Plan A: Place Buy Stop Orders just above breakout
📥 Plan B: For Pullback Pros, use Buy Limit at recent swing low/high (15m–30m TF)
📌 Tip: Set alerts — don’t get caught napping while the vault opens! ⏰🔔
🛑 STOP LOSS – “Thief’s Escape Hatch”
🧠 Use 4H swing low at 98.100 as SL
⚖️ Adjust based on your lot size and number of open positions
🚨 Don't rush to set SL for Buy Stop entries before confirmation! Patience is part of the plan. 😎
🎯 TARGET – “Mission Objective”
💰 First Exit Target: 100.000
🏃♂️ Optional: Escape earlier near high-risk zones (Blue MA Line Trap Area)
⚔️ SCALPERS' CODE – Stay Sharp!
Only scalp on the Long side.
🔐 Use Trailing SL to guard your loot!
💸 Big wallets? Jump early.
🧠 Smaller stack? Follow the swing crew for coordinated execution.
🌐 MARKET OUTLOOK: WHY THE VAULT’S OPENING
💡 Currently seeing bullish momentum in the DXY
📈 Driven by macroeconomics, sentiment shifts, and intermarket pressure
📰 Want the full debrief? Check our analysis across:
COT Data
Geopolitics & News
Macro Trends & Sentiment
Fundamental Forces
📎🔗 See full breakdown
⚠️ TRADE MANAGEMENT ALERT
🚫 Avoid opening new trades during high-impact news
🔁 Always use Trailing Stops to lock in profits
❤️ Support The Heist – Boost the Plan!
Every boost powers our underground crew 🐱👤.
We rob the markets, not the people. 💼💰
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Stay tuned, robbers – more heist plans dropping soon.
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USDX trade ideas
DXY Swing Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
DXY keeps falling down
And the index broke the
Key wide horizontal level
Around 97.800 which is now
A resistance and the breakout
Is confirmed so we are very
Bearish biased and we will
Be expecting a bearish
Continuation on Monday
Sell!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Dollar Index Bearish to $96 (UPDATE)I posted this DXY sell thesis yesterday for you all while price was still at $97.70. Since then sellers have taken out the previous Wave 3 low, creating a new daily low today at $96.90📉
We still have more downside yet to come towards our $96.60 target. So, use this 'DXY Sell Thesis' to help you with your trading, so once you can use this as a confluence to buy inverse correlated markets
Free fall on DXY?With gap open at 97.66 level before the monthly close price has broken the monthly support and started to drop. We may see the price to drop to long term monthly support at 96.622 or further below to 95.66 as with the increased bearish pressure we may see the price to continue to drop to this longer term support level.
As with upcoming USD news we may see the price to move to this level with high probability bearish trend.
USD Tries to Break the Tide at NFPIt's been a painful week and a half for the USD.
Around the June FOMC meeting a hopeful bounce had built as the Fed sounded a bit less-dovish. While inflation remains below their expectations the labor market had held up relatively well, and with the threat of possible inflation from tariffs they didn't seem to be in any hurry to cut rates.
But then last week opened with Michelle Bowman saying she supported a rate cut as early as July, and DXY put in a bearish engulfing pattern. And then into the end of Q2 it was constant bleeding as the currency continued to trip down to fresh three-year lows.
Interestingly, the shocking miss on ADP data this morning illustrates weakness in the labor market, yet the USD is currently showing its first green day since last week's open.
This is likely more due to just how oversold the currency has become but it sets the stage for NFP tomorrow. While that data point is a major driver, it's supply and demand, which is denominated by positioning, that pushes prices. For tomorrow the interest is in a better-than-expected NFP print bringing a short-term squeeze in the USD, after which markets will get a look to see just how aggressive bears remain to be. The big area of interest for this is the prior swing low, at the 97.91 level, which set support in April and then held the lows in June, until the late-month breakdown move.
To date that spot still hasn't been tested for resistance and if sellers do get a chance to offer at that level, we get to see how aggressive they remain to be. - js
DXY Update: Monthly Low Retest on the RadarIn our previous update, we mentioned that our target had been reached and even noted the potential for higher prices. However, we also emphasized the need to wait for fresh signals at that point. After hitting the target, the price faced a sharp drop followed by another sell-off rally.
At the current level, we’re seeing a slowdown in DXY’s selling momentum. However, this alone isn’t sufficient to determine direction. While momentum may be fading, if sellers remain dominant, we’ll see bearish signs on the chart. If buyers regain control, bullish signs will emerge. With this straightforward logic in mind, we’re currently watching for a potential return to the fractal low level at 97.921, which was swept on the monthly chart.
Since it’s monthly close day, sharp intraday pullbacks may occur. As July opens, we believe there’s a possibility of a retracement toward the 97.921 level.
We’ll share any volume-based confirmations in the comments under this post.
DOLLAR INDEX the US Dollar Index (DXY) is trading around 97.704 -98.572,0.34% . The index has been under pressure due to easing geopolitical tensions ,Particularly optimism about a ceasefire between Israel and Iran and expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts later in the year. The DXY remains below its 100-day,200 day exponential moving average (EMA), 100day, 200 day simple moving average with bearish momentum supported by interest rate hold and expected rate cut before the end of the year.
the 10 year united states bond yield is trading around 4.279%-4.324%,we have seen gold sell off at 3336-3334 on dollar rally.
Market Outlook:
The DXY is attempting to stabilize but remains in a bearish phase until it decisively breaks above 100 resistance.
the future of the dollar index is depending on Fed policy and global economic conditions.
Summary:
The DXY is currently weak around 97.88 -98.00 due to easing geopolitical risks and Fed rate cut expectations.
Bearish momentum dominates below the 100-day EMA, 200-day EMA, 100-day SMA AND 200 day SMA
A break above 100 would be needed to signal a bullish reversal, if the retest to broken supply at 100 could become demand floor .
#dxy
Overlap resistance ahead?The US Dollar Index (DXY) is rising towards the pivot, which is an overlap resistance and could reverse to the 1st support that lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Pivot: 98.50
1st Support: 97.21
1st Resistance: 99.30
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Skeptic | Weekly Watchlist : DXY Triggers & Pro SetupsLast week, DXY played out our bearish scenario perfectly, breaking the short trigger at 98.530 and delivering a strong downward move . With Higher Wave Cycle (HWC) and Minor Wave Cycle (MWC) now bearish, I’m leaning heavier on short positions with tighter risk management. Let’s break it down with no FOMO, no hype, just reason. 📊
Daily Timeframe: The Big Picture
The key support at 98.801 was decisively broken, and we’ve confirmed below it—the major trend is now fully bearish. The next daily support lies at 96.478 , but I expect range-bound action early this week, especially after last week’s big move. Patience is key—let the market form a clear structure before jumping back in.
Key Insight: The bearish trend is locked in, but early-week consolidation is likely. Wait for the market to signal its next move.
4-Hour Timeframe: Long & Short Triggers
Zooming into the 4-hour chart, let’s pinpoint Low Wave Cycle (LWC) and triggers for long and short setups:
Short Trigger: Break below 4-hour support at 96.995 , confirmed by RSI re-entering oversold. Want to wield RSI like a pro? Check out my RSI Masterclass —it’s a game-changer! 😏
Long Trigger: Break above resistance at 98.215 . This is riskier since it’s against the bearish trend—set a wider stop-loss and take profits quickly. Why? HWC and MWC are bearish, so the first uptrend wave risks stop-loss hunts or fakeouts. I’ll drop an HWC/MWC/LWC guide soon to optimize entries, stops, and more—stay tuned!
Pro Tip: For longs, expect volatility in the first wave. Shorts align with the trend, so they’re the safer play—focus on 96.995.
Final Vibe Check
This Weekly Watchlist sets you up to trade smarter, not harder. DXY’s bearish momentum is our focus, but patience will unlock the best setups. I’ll keep you updated daily as markets evolve. Protect your capital—max 1%–2% risk per trade, no exceptions. Want the HWC/MWC/LWC guide or another pair? Drop it in the comments! If this watchlist sharpened your edge, hit that boost—it fuels my mission! 😊 Stay disciplined, fam! ✌️
💬 Let’s Talk!
Which setup are you eyeing this week? Share in the comments, and let’s crush it together!
Bearish drop?US Dollar Index (DXY) has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 98.59
1st Support: 97.69
1st Resistance: 99.25
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USDX-BUY strategy 6 hourly chart Reg. ChannelThe index is near the bottom of the channel and indicators are positive.
It worthwhile to look at this carefully, as it will help us in deciding on the other pairs. The current support is a bit lower than the close 97.26 and we can expect 98.30-98.60 area as our objective.
Strategy BUY @ 97.00-97.40 and take profit near 98.50.
DXY Weekly ForecastDXY Weekly Forecast
- Go for up move if setup given
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DXY Outlook: Mild Bearish Movement Anticipated 4hrThe DXY (US Dollar Index) appears to be entering a mild bearish phase, with a potential move down from the 97.721 level. Based on current momentum and technical indicators, it is likely to approach key support zones between 96.22 and 96.00, where a bullish reversal could potentially occur.
However, there is a reasonable chance the market could extend its decline beyond these levels, possibly reaching as low as 95.404 before finding a more stable support base.
DXY Risk Reversal Blueprint: Monthly Chart Analysis
The DXY is currently 6.5% above the midpoint of a critical confluence zone ("the box") on the monthly chart, where multiple trendlines and a key 50%/61.8% Fibonacci retracement level align to form a powerful support/resistance area. The monthly timeframe amplifies this zone’s strength, with price repeatedly respecting these trendlines (marked with arrows), confirming their reliability. The recent large retracement in the DXY signals a potential major move as it approaches this mega support. In 2017 and 2020, the DXY entered the box, consolidated for ~300 days, and then reclaimed higher, resuming an upward trend. I expect a similar pattern this time: a 6.5% drop to the box’s midpoint (aligned with the 50%/61.8% Fib zone), followed by ~300 days of consolidation and an upside breakout, potentially signaling a market top for risk assets. This high-conviction setup serves as a blueprint to de-risk and guide portfolio decisions, such as trimming or adding to positions in stocks and crypto. Given the DXY’s inverse correlation with risk assets, a move into the box could favor accumulating risk asset positions, while an upside reclamation could prompt trimming to reduce exposure. Once the DXY nears this mega support, I’ll analyze lower timeframes (e.g., weekly, daily) for bottoming signals to confirm the reversal. Monitoring price action, volume, and candlestick patterns near the box is crucial for precise timing.
#DXY #TechnicalAnalysis #Fibonacci #Stocks #Crypto #HighConviction
DXY 4hour TF - June 29th, 2025DXY 6/29/25
DXY Bearish Idea
All significant timeframes (monthly,weekly,daily 4hr) appear bearish for now.
Last week on June 25th, 2025 we saw price action break through our 98.000 zone confirming more bearish movement. This week we have two likely options that we will wait for confirmation on.
Bearish Continuation - Ideally we keep with the trend and look for lower highs below 98.000 for further confirmation. If we can spot rejection from this zone it is likely we will see DXY continue bearish for the week ahead.
Reversal - This is less likely but still possible. Price action could punch back through the 98.000 resistance and begin retesting previous highs. If this happens look for candlestick confirmation above 98.000 and expect a more bullish DXY for the week ahead.
dollar elliott wave countingdxy is falling since it peaked in Q4 2022
since their last 75bps hike dollar is constantly falling and stocks, gold, bitcoin constantly rising and making new all time high
wave W = wave Y
(equal in length, 100% projection for wave Y)
since starting of the year due to trump tariff dollar is falling
this is year in first half dollar saw biggest collapse since end of gold standard
now 100% projection target for wave Y at 95 area is big static support level
if dxy recover back to 100 area then this will be first sign of reversal
DXYDXY price has come down to test the important support zone 96-95. If the price cannot break through the 95 level, it is expected that the price will rebound. Consider buying the red zone.
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DXY 4Hr And Daily Bearish ( A minor & aslight bull trend)The DXY (US Dollar Index) could potentially rise to the 100.257 level to complete a bullish structure or flag pattern. However, it's also possible that it may face rejection around its current zone and resume its bearish trend, targeting support levels between 99.00 and 98.25.
As always, our entries should be guided by what the market and its structure are showing us. For now, the broader trend for the DXY remains bearish until it potentially reaches the lower support zone around 96.00 – 94.00, or even below that range.
This extended downside expectation is driven by several fundamental factors: anticipations of interest rate cuts in the coming months, potential tax policy changes under Trump, and persistent inflation concerns within the U.S. economy.
In light of these uncertainties, the market demands extra caution at this stage.
Good luck and trade safe!