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DXY | Harmonic Patterns | Technical Analysis. Recovery Underway?TVC:DXY Over recent sessions, I’ve been highlighting a critical zone for the TVC:DXY between $98.70 and $98.80 , where several important technical patterns are forming that could signal the start of a rebound after the recent decline. ➡️ The dollar broke below the Head and Shoulders neckline at $100.27 , hitting the default target I projected at $98.69 , which corresponds to the 200% Fibonacci extension. This is a classic confirmation of the breakdown and subsequent drop. ➡️ However, since reaching this level, the TVC:DXY has begun to form strong bullish patterns: Bullish Crab Pattern at the 161.8% Fibonacci extension, projected at $98.91 Bullish Alt-Bat Pattern at the 113% Fibonacci extension, at $98.80 These emerging bullish setups suggest a solid potential reversal, indicating that the TVC:DXY might be preparing to recover. 🎯 The default targets for these bullish patterns are around $99.95 , aligning with key resistance zones and Fibonacci confluence. Summary: The TVC:DXY has completed the expected downward move from the Head and Shoulders pattern and is now showing clear technical signs of a possible reversal. The price action in the coming sessions will be critical to confirm whether the index can sustain this recovery toward higher levels. Safe Traders, André Cardoso
TVC:DXYLong
by Andre_Cardoso
$DXYThe U.S. dollar might face downward pressure as capital shifts into safer or high-demand assets: 💰 Stocks – High quality U.S. products still attract global demand. 🪙 Bitcoin – Emerging as digital reserves. 🥇 Gold – Classic portfolio leverage in times of uncertainty. 🇺🇸 U.S. Strategy – Dollar devaluation could be a smart move to attract foreign capital. Big market = big opportunity. 👉 The U.S. needs capital to grow. A weaker dollar might be the setup. #Forex #DXY #Bitcoin #Gold #USMarkets #SmartMoneyMoves #TheMoneyAssociation
TVC:DXYShort
by TheMoney_Association
DOLLARThe relationship between the U.S. dollar and U.S. Treasury bond yields in May 2025 reflects a complex and evolving dynamic influenced by fiscal concerns, trade policies, and investor sentiment: Recent Trends: U.S. Treasury yields have risen, with the 30-year yield briefly touching 5%, and the 10-year yield climbing above 4.5%, driven by concerns over rising U.S. debt and fiscal deficits following Moody’s downgrade of the U.S. sovereign credit rating. Despite this rise in yields, the U.S. Dollar Index has weakened, dropping about 4% year-over-year, reflecting reduced confidence in the dollar as the world’s reserve currency. Typical Relationship: Normally, higher Treasury yields attract foreign capital seeking better returns, which supports a stronger dollar. The dollar and bond yields often move in tandem, showing a positive correlation (around 0.5 over recent months). This was evident recently as the dollar strengthened alongside rising yields following a preliminary U.S.-China trade truce. Current Anomalies: However, in early 2025, this relationship weakened significantly. The dollar declined even as Treasury yields rose, signaling a loss of confidence in U.S. assets amid escalating trade tensions and concerns about the sustainability of U.S. fiscal policy. This decoupling suggests investors are reconsidering the dollar’s role and are diversifying away from U.S. assets. Market Sentiment and Risks: The downgrade and rising deficits have increased fears about U.S. fiscal health, prompting some investors to sell U.S. assets, which pressures the dollar despite higher yields. Meanwhile, tariff policies and geopolitical risks contribute to volatility in both yields and the dollar. Outlook: The dollar and Treasury yields have recently realigned, moving more in sync again as trade optimism returned and the Fed maintained a steady policy stance. However, ongoing fiscal challenges and geopolitical uncertainties mean this relationship remains fragile. Summary Aspect Current Observation (May 2025) Treasury Yields Rising (10-year ~4.5%, 30-year ~5%) U.S. Dollar Index Weakened (~4% decline YTD) Typical Correlation Positive (~0.5 correlation between dollar and yields) Recent Anomaly Dollar fell while yields rose (early 2025) Drivers of Anomaly Fiscal concerns, Moody’s downgrade, trade tensions Market Sentiment Reduced confidence in U.S. assets and dollar Outlook Re-alignment underway but fragile due to fiscal risks In essence: While U.S. Treasury yields and the dollar usually move together—higher yields supporting a stronger dollar—recent fiscal concerns and geopolitical tensions have caused periods of divergence. Rising yields amid a weakening dollar reflect investor worries about U.S. debt sustainability and a potential shift away from the dollar’s reserve currency status. However, improving trade relations and Fed communication have recently brought the two back into closer alignment, though the relationship remains sensitive to evolving economic and political development Disclaimer The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. #dollar #dxy #gold
TVC:DXYLong
by Shavyfxhub
1
$DXY Dump Incoming? What’s Next for Cryptos!TVC:DXY Dump Incoming? What’s Next for Cryptos! The fractals in the chart are insane and indicate a drop in the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) that can fuel significant moves in the crypto market: Bitcoin & Altcoins Surge: As the dollar weakens, cryptocurrencies become more attractive, expecting strong rallies in BTC and altcoins. Commodities Rise: Gold, silver, and oil typically gain, making crypto a competitor in the “store of value” race. Risk-On Sentiment: Investors shift to riskier assets like crypto, increasing prices. Global FX Shift: Other currencies gain strength, making crypto a go-to asset for global investors. Bottom line: When the dollar drops, crypto thrives. Like and repost if you agree! Bookmark for future posts!
TVC:DXY
by Cryptorphic
2
US DOLLLAR INDEX - BY RICKO MMFXHumble greetings. the above instrument is looking like a accumulating Bullish model, considering the recent fundamentals and catalysts behind the instrument I stalk longs in logical areas of the provided Weekly to Daily nearby structural ranges. Should price in the 30 to 15 minute chart print out a Bullish Choch/Bullish playbook below the 4 hour internal low structure within the FVG and/or below for areas of origin I will be more confident going in for the kill.
TVC:DXYLong
by RickoMillenialMarkits
USD Index (DXY) Short Setup: Reversal Expected from Resistance Z1. Entry Point: ~102.430 The price is currently below this level at 101.583, suggesting a potential short setup once the entry level is reached or confirmed. 2. Stop Loss: ~103.196 This is the price level where losses are limited if the trade moves against the intended direction. It's placed above a strong resistance zone. 3. Resistance Point: ~100.580 This was a previous resistance level which has now been broken, indicating a bullish push. The current price is above this, which may signal a breakout. 4. EA Target Point: ~97.857 The take-profit level, significantly lower, indicating a bearish target. This suggests a short position is intended from the entry point. Indicators and Signals The chart uses moving averages (likely 50 EMA and 200 EMA), and the price has surged above them, often a bullish signal. However, the analysis seems to anticipate a reversal from the 102.430 level, expecting a drop back down toward 97.857. The move from the current price to the target would be a 4.40% decline, a significant move for an index. Trade Plan Summary Trade Type: Likely a short/sell from the 102.430 level. Risk: ~0.77 (103.196 - 102.430) Reward: ~4.57 (102.430 - 97.857) Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Approx. 1:6, which is favorable if the setup works out.
TVC:DXYShort
by EA_GOLD_MAN_COPY_TRADE
19
Trump's dollar disregardUpdated version of my chart from 2022, whereby we predicted the rising strength of TVC:DXY to fill out the channel forecasted. Gold pumping to ATH's with increased political uncertainty throughout the globe and China dumping its US treasuries i am surprised the dollar has held sustained this price. Here present is some technical analysis outlining the key levels for $TVC:DXY. Keeping this text short i am predicting the decline of the Dollar and i am currently keeping my eye on the GBP/USD chart alongside NOK/USD as see these as the most interesting in the FX markets.
TVC:DXY
by ben_findlay
US Dollar Index Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 051925Trading Idea 1) Find a FIBO slingshot 2) Check FIBO 61.80% level 3) Entry Point > 100/61.80% Chart time frame:B A) 15 min(1W-3M) B) 1 hr(3M-6M) C) 4 hr(6M-1year) D) 1 day(1-3years) Stock progress: B A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance B) 61.80% resistance C) 61.80% support D) Hit the bottom E) Hit the top Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern. When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point. As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved. If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks. If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
TVC:DXY
by fibonacci6180
The US Dollar – Under Selling Pressure Today💵 US Dollar Index (DXY) – Still Under Selling Pressure 📉 Current Zone: 100.29 The DXY continues its bearish momentum after failing to reclaim the technical resistance zone between 101.27 and 102.20. 🔍 Key Zone Analysis: 🔴 Technical Resistance Zone: 101.267 – 102.206 → Heavily rejected, confirming strong selling pressure. 🟢 Fundamental Support Zone: 99.447 – 99.939 → Key psychological level closely monitored by institutional players. 📊 Current Scenario: 🔻 As long as price stays below 101.26, the bearish bias remains intact. 📉 Downside target: retest of the 99.44 – 99.90 zone. ❌ Invalidation: clean break and close above 102.20. ⚠️ Events to Watch This Week: Federal Reserve speeches Key U.S. macro data (jobs, inflation) The DXY remains vulnerable to any signs of rate easing or economic slowdown. 📘 Reminder: The information provided is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or an investment recommendation. 💬 Boost if you’re watching the DXY too! What’s your view on this support zone? 👇
TVC:DXYShort
by Karim_Massoun
1
May 19–23, 2025GOLD (XAU/USD) 🔑 Key levels: Resistance: $3,250 – $3,280 Strong Support: $3,150 – $3,120 | $3,050 (a breakdown could push lower) 🗓️ Important News: FOMC Minutes (Wednesday, May 21) – market will react to tone regarding inflation and rate policy. US Manufacturing & Services PMI (Thursday, May 22) 🎯 Strategy: If gold dips to the $3,120–$3,150 zone, consider short-term buying, targeting a move back to $3,250. A break below $3,100 may signal a sell opportunity, targeting $3,050 or lower. A breakout above $3,280 → consider buying the breakout. Avoid trading in the chop zone ($3,200–$3,250) unless clear momentum. 💵 USD Index (DXY) 🔑 Key levels: Resistance: 104.50 – 105.00 Key Support: 103.20 – 102.80 🗓️ Important News: FOMC Minutes (high impact) U.S. Housing data, PMI, Durable Goods Orders 🎯 Strategy: DXY is showing weakness. A break below 103.20 would suggest further USD weakness → bullish for gold and EUR/USD. If DXY bounces from 103.20 → short-term recovery likely → possible correction in risk assets. EUR/USD setup: consider buying on a breakout above 1.1000 targeting 1.1200. 📈 U.S. Stock Indices (S&P 500, NASDAQ) 🔑 Key Levels (S&P 500): Resistance: 5,300 – 5,350 (near all-time highs) Support: 5,200 – 5,150 🗓️ Important News: FOMC Minutes – could cause major volatility Possible speech from Fed Chair Powell ETF flows and any remaining earnings reports 🎯 Strategy: If S&P holds above 5,200 → maintain buy on dips strategy. A break below 5,150 → opens risk for a deeper pullback toward 5,000. Maintain long positions as long as markets price in rate cuts in Q3. ✅ Weekly Strategy Summary: Market Primary Strategy Key Levels to Watch Gold Buy around $3,120–$3,150 Support $3,120 – Resistance $3,280 USD (DXY) Sell if it breaks below 103.20 Support 103.20 – Resistance 104.50 S&P 500 Buy on dips above 5,200 Support 5,150 – Resistance 5,300–5,350
PEPPERSTONE:USDX
by vificapital
1
DXY - Dollar Index AnalysisThe U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) remains in a bearish zone, as indicated by the current weekly chart. There is potential for further downside movement toward the 99.70 level, which serves as a strong support area. If this level is breached, the next key support could be found near 98.56. Alternatively, the index may experience a short-term correction to the upside. A breakout above 101.40 could trigger a move toward the 102.40 resistance level. However, this upward movement is likely to be limited, and the broader trend suggests a probable return to bearish momentum, potentially driving the index back down toward 98.56.
TVC:DXYShort
by rehankhanani
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TVC:DXY
by DeanMuller
DOLLARDollar (DXY) Outlook: Bearish Near-Term, Consolidation with Mild Depreciation Current Trends: The U.S. dollar has weakened 8.4% year-to-date, pressured by: Economic Contraction: Q1 2025 GDP shrank by 0.3%, driven by pre-tariff import surges and softening domestic demand. Fed Policy Uncertainty: Mixed signals on inflation control and delayed rate cuts erode confidence. Trade Tensions: Escalating U.S. tariffs disrupt global markets, favoring alternatives like the euro as a safe haven. Technical Momentum: Bearish chart patterns suggest further downside, with key support levels at risk. Reserve Currency Status: Despite concerns, the USD retains 57.8% of global reserves, providing a floor against rapid declines. Treasury Yields and Recession Signals Yield Levels 10-year: 4.439% 2-year: 3.976% 30-year: 4.900% Inverted Yield Curve: The 10-2 spread remains negative, a historically reliable recession indicator. Past inversions preceded downturns by 18–92 weeks, signaling heightened recession risks. Implications for USD: Inverted curves typically weaken the dollar as markets price in future Fed rate cuts. Rising long-term yields (e.g., 10-year at 4.439%) paradoxically coincide with dollar weakness, reflecting investor skepticism about U.S. economic resilience. Key Drivers and Cross-Currency Impacts Factor Impact on USD Impact on Yields Fed Policy Uncertainty ↓ (Delayed cuts weigh) ↑ (Volatility in rate expectations) Trade Tariffs ↓ (Safe-haven flows to EUR) ↑ (Risk premium in long-term yields) Inverted Yield Curve ↓ (Recession fears) – (Historically precedes recessions) Eurozone Growth (0.4% Q1) ↓ (EUR strength pressures USD) – Conclusion The U.S. dollar faces a bearish near-term bias, driven by economic softness, tariff headwinds, and technical breakdowns. Treasury yields, particularly the inverted curve, reinforce recession risks and further USD downside. However, the dollar’s reserve status and higher relative rates (vs. peers like the euro and yen) may limit severe declines, favoring consolidation with mild depreciation. Watch for: Fed communication on rate cuts and inflation. Eurozone PMI data (May 22) to gauge EUR resilience. 10-2 yield spread dynamics for recession timing clues. In summary, the dollar’s trajectory hinges on balancing recession risks against its yield advantage, with bears currently in control.
CAPITALCOM:DXY
by Shavyfxhub