top is in for the dxygm,
this idea has been in the works for years, ever since we topped out 3 years ago. there has been quite a bit of variations of this idea, but this one right here has been my primary idea for a very long time.
initially i imagined the dxy coming up to 111-113 before topping out, and i reckon it still can, but the worst is behind us, relatively speaking.
---
if my count here is correct, the dxy will begin extending down into wave c into the last days of 2025 where a major low will be put in place .
this will create a hyper-parabolic bull phase for risk assets, in conjunction with declining rates.
---
if you've been waiting for a signal to buy alts
this is your signal.
🌙
---
ps. view my private idea from last year via:
🌙
USDX trade ideas
USDX-BUY strategy 12 hourly chart Regression channelFundamentally we understand the selling pressures on USD and technically also had confirmation for that as well. now we are very oversold (and even before), and since we cannot know the exact lows, we should carefully implement BUY strategy that survives. this is an individual choice and strategy.
Strategy BUY @ 99.20-99.60 and take profit near 101.57 for now.
The Dollar's Gone Crab-Walking!!The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has recently breached the 100 level, marking the first instance of such a decline since July 2023.
This development signifies a potential shift in the dollar's strength against a basket of major currencies.
Market observers are now closely monitoring the index, particularly around the 99.3 mark, as some anticipate a possible rebound and upward trajectory from this level.
The near-term performance of the DXY will likely be influenced by a variety of factors, including evolving macroeconomic data, shifts in monetary policy.
SEYED.
Dollar Index Tests Key Demand Zone: What's Next?The Dollar Index is currently testing a major demand zone between 99.50 and 101. This area has marked the end of downward moves and the beginning of dollar rallies five times since early 2023.
The recent downward pressure is largely driven by rising expectations of an economic slowdown and a strengthening euro.
At this point, several possible scenarios could unfold, depending on how the market reacts to this key support zone:
Repeat of the Past: Just like the previous five instances, the Dollar Index rebounds sharply from the zone and starts a strong upward move.
Trendline Test: The Dollar Index breaks below this zone and moves toward testing the long-term uptrend line that originated in 2011.
Fakeouts and Reversal: The Dollar Index briefly falls below the demand zone, approaches the long-term trendline, and then stages a false recovery above the zone. After trapping both bulls and bears and creating a fake breakout signal, it dips below the trendline before reversing and beginning a new medium-term uptrend that ultimately aligns above the long-term trend.
Given the high level of global economic uncertainty and recent sharp reversals in financial markets, the third scenario may carry slightly higher probability. A similar pattern played out in 2017, when both the 200-week moving average and the demand zone were broken. The key difference this time is that TVC:DXY is much closer to the long-term trendline.
DXY – Bullish BAT Harmonic Pattern Formed
✅ Overview:
Pattern Identified: Bullish BAT
Current Trend: Bearish
Reversal Zone: Near 0.886 Fibonacci level (Potential PRZ – Potential Reversal Zone)
Bias: Short-term bearish ➝ Medium-term bullish
🧩 Pattern Structure:
X to A: Initial bullish leg
A to B: Retracement ~38.2%–50%
B to C: Extension to ~88.6%
C to D: Final bearish leg completing near 0.886 of XA
→ D point is the potential long entry zone
📈 Trade Plan – LONG Setup (Once PRZ is Hit)
Entry:
Buy near the 0.886 level of XA leg (watch for reversal candles or structure break)
Wait for confirmation on lower timeframes (1H or 4H)
Stop Loss:
Below the X-point or slightly below 0.886 zone
Targets:
TP1: 0.382 retracement of AD
TP2: 0.618 retracement of AD
TP3 (Optional): Break and retest of structure above B point
R:R Goal: At least 1:2
⚠️ Key Considerations:
Short-term DXY is still bearish; wait for reaction at PRZ
Ideal to pair with bullish divergence or support zone confluence
Watch for fundamental catalysts (CPI, NFP, Fed speakers) impacting USD strength
DXY SUPPORT AHEAD|LONG|
✅DXY is approaching a demand level of 100.138
So according to our strategy
We will be looking for the signs of the reversal in the trend
To jump onto the bullish bandwagon just on time to get the best
Risk reward ratio for us
LONG🚀
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Dollar Daily CLS I Key Level - FVG I Model 1 it goes bellow 100.Hey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument
If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS range, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model.
If you haven't followed me yet, start now.
My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution.
🧩 What is CLS?
CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets.
✅ Understanding the behaviour of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits.
🛡️ Models 1 and 2:
From my posts, you can learn two core execution models.
They are the backbone of how I trade and how my students are trained.
📍 Model 1
is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range.
📍 Model 2
occurs in the specific market sequence when CLS smart money needs to re-accumulate more positions, and we are looking to find a key level around 61.8 fib retracement and target the opposing side of the range.
👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
⚔️ Listen Carefully:
Analysis is not trading. Right now, this platform is full of gurus" trying to sell you dreams based on analysis with arrows while they don't even have the skill to trade themselves.
If you’re ever thinking about buying a Trading Course or Signals from anyone. Always demand a verified track record. It takes less than five minutes to connect 3rd third-party verification tool and link to the widget to his signature.
"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
— David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
US DOLLAR at Key Support: Will Price Rebound to 103.350?TVC:DXY is currently testing a key support zone, an area where the price has previously shown strong bullish reactions. The recent price action suggests that buyers may step in and drive the price higher. A bullish confirmation, such as a strong rejection pattern, bullish engulfing candles, or long lower wicks, would increase the probability of a bounce from this level. If buyers regain control, the price could move toward the 103.350 level.
However, a breakout below this support would invalidate the bullish outlook, potentially opening the door for further downside.
This is not financial advice but rather how I approach support/resistance zones. Remember, always wait for confirmation, like a rejection candle or volume spike before jumping in.
Please boost this post, every like and comment drives me to bring you more ideas! I’d love to hear your perspective in the comments.
Best of luck , TrendDiva
The DXY Is Crumbling To Dust - Easy 2 Percent Short Entry NowThe dollar is crumbling to dust fast. The latest tariff news with China is going to spiral the already bearish market into a future spiral.
The earning moving average values (red 5, blue 10, yellow 50, white 100) are all below price action currently. On almost all of the time frames.
We are currently sitting at a very minor support zone as circled in yellow. Price should slip easily 100.60 possibly slightly less. The bottom orange box is the bottom support zone of the DXY low since 2023.
Place your stop loss slightly above 103.25 to prevent a liquidity grab. The bears are in control of this current market do not be foolish. TRADE THE TREND!!!
USD index bearish trendThe analyst expects the correction to end when the USDX reaches a value of 101.800. This is the predicted target for the end of the "C" wave of the correction. Once the index hits 101.800 (according to this analysis), the correction is expected to be complete, and the USDX may then resume its previous (likely upward) trend.
In short: The USDX is expected to fall to 101.800 to finish a temporary price dip (correction) that's shaped like an ABC pattern.
DXY Support Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
DXY keeps falling down
In a downtrend but the
Index will soon hit a
Horizontal support
Of 100.200 and after
The retest a bullish rebound
Is to be expected
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
$DXY suffers worst day since Nov 10, 2022 – What does it mean?💵 The US Dollar Index just posted its biggest daily drop in nearly 2.5 years, crashing through the 100 level with strong volume. This breakdown signals weakness in the dollar that could have massive implications across all asset classes:
📉 Why it matters:
A weak dollar makes US exports more competitive globally, but also reflects investor fear or policy shifts.
Commodities like gold, oil, and crypto tend to rally when the dollar drops.
Could indicate a pivot in monetary policy, potential rate cuts, or macroeconomic concerns.
🧠 From a technical standpoint, this break of support could trigger further downside. The last time this happened, we saw a significant shift in risk appetite.
📊 What to watch:
Upcoming Fed statements
Inflation & jobs data
Reaction in equities and crypto
👇 Is this the start of a larger trend, or just an overreaction?
Let’s discuss!
#DXY #USD #DollarIndex #Forex #Macro #MarketUpdate #Commodities #Gold #Crypto #TradingView
DeGRAM | DXY broke the triangle downwardDXY is in a descending channel under a triangle.
The price is moving from the upper boundary of the channel, resistance level and upper trendline, which previously acted as a pullback point.
The chart failed to form an ascending structure, but it formed a harmonic pattern and broke down the mirror support level, which now acts as resistance.
On the main timeframes, the relative strength index is below 50 points.
We expect the decline to continue.
-------------------
Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Dollar Index Testing Support - Possible TankI finally noticed today (haven't been doing my research) that the dollar has been dropping since January.
Bond yields rising at the same time as the market dropping and the currency dropping can only mean that the Euros are dumping ALL American assets. Trump has basically ruined confidence in the dollar, there was a 2% drop today. I only noticed because gold popped up 2%, because I'm looking at gold futures in dollars.
If the dollar breaks support, I'm buying gold (will post chart). Other alternatives are long on UDN, short on UUP, Euros, Yen or Swiss franc. You could even leverage with options if you want to make extra money.
DXYDXY(DOLLAR) is overall bullish we are currently sitting on a demand zone once that level holds scale down to the daily timeframe for execution but once the first demand zone get invalidated we wait for the next demand zone to look for another bullish movement back into supply levels REMEMBER: TREND IS KING
Dollar Index Bullish to $111.350 (UPDATE)Since yesterday's Dollar update, price has moved according to our arrow. We saw a small dip down overnight & now buyers have once again pushed price back into the grey zone.
We are expecting price to remain within this grey zone, seeing it flip from a resistance zone into support. Once price closes above this zone, we'll have extra confirmation that Dollar buyers are ready to push price even higher🚀
DXY Bearish Setup Ahead? (Rising Wedge + Liquidity Trap)📊 DXY is forming a potential Rising Wedge pattern, which is often a sign of weakening bullish momentum.
🔍 Scenario Breakdown:
1️⃣ Price may fake out above the wedge to grab liquidity
2️⃣ Then sharply reverse into a bearish impulse move
3️⃣ Targeting the previous structure support near 103.100
🎯 Take Profit: Key zone below the wedge (~103.100)
🛑 Stop Loss: Above recent highs / wedge top
💡 Why this makes sense:
• Wedge patterns often lead to reversals or deep corrections
• Possibility of a liquidity trap above resistance
• Post-news reaction setups (e.g., FOMC) can trigger sudden reversals
• Dollar shows signs of weakening in broader context
⚙️ Technical Tools Used:
• Rising wedge pattern
• Liquidity zone analysis
• Market structure break
• Risk-to-reward approx. 1:3
Let’s see if DXY gives us the break + trap we’re looking for!
#DXY #Forex #BearishSetup #TechnicalAnalysis #LiquidityTrap