DXY Is Going Up! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for DXY.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 108.100.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 109.402 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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USDX trade ideas
Dollar Index (DXY) Analysis - January 21, 2025Dollar Index (DXY) Analysis - January 21, 2025
The Dollar Index (DXY) is currently trading at 108.70, up 0.90% from the previous close.
The index is hovering below the key pivot point at 109.40, a crucial level that could dictate the next directional move.
Immediate resistance stands at 110.20. On the downside, support is seen at 107.90, with further cushion at 106.80 and 106.00.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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DXY SELL ENTRY MODULEThe DXY is currently testing a key demand level. If a further drop is to unfold, I anticipate a valid retest before it taps into the supply OB and continues its descent. Watch for the price to enter our expected zone, confirm the setup, and then execute your trade.
Always set a stop-loss for your trades to protect your capital and manage risk effectively.
Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio.
#DXY 1H Technical Analyze Expected Move.
DXYThe U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) tracks the value of the U.S. dollar against a group of major global currencies, including the euro, Japanese yen, British pound, Canadian dollar, Swedish krona, and Swiss franc.
Recently, the dollar experienced a slight decline, partly due to the start of the new U.S. presidential administration, which did not immediately introduce new tariffs. This led to reduced concerns over trade restrictions, causing a modest pullback in the dollar’s value.
Despite this short-term dip, the dollar has strengthened over the past year, supported by solid economic performance in the U.S. Financial experts expect the dollar to maintain its strength in the coming months, though potential shifts in trade policies, especially concerning Canada and Mexico, could influence its future direction.
Key dates related to trade policy decisions may bring volatility, and analysts are closely watching upcoming reports that could lead to new tariff implementations, affecting the dollar’s trajectory.
DXY RECOVERS AFTER TRUMP’S INAUGURATIONAs markets adjust to the new U.S. administration, “a dawn of a new era," DXY recovers after Trump’s inauguration. After experiencing a decline of over 1%, the index found support around 107.56 and is now trading at 108.40 as of 3:43 PM GMT+4 (Dubai time), marking a 0.61% increase.
From a fundamental standpoint, President Trump's second administration is anticipated to have a significant impact on the U.S. economy, with a strong emphasis on key economic policies. This includes but not limited to his announcement of a 25% tariff on imports from Canada and Mexico, effective February 1, 2025, alongside maintaining existing tariffs on Chinese goods.
Additionally, his declaration of a "National Energy Emergency" highlights a push to expand oil drilling and deregulate the energy industry. This initiative aims to achieve energy independence and reduce costs but raises concerns about environmental impact and potential legal challenges.
In terms of immigration, stricter enforcement and increased deportations are expected to affect labor markets, particularly in industries heavily dependent on immigrant workers. This could result in labor shortages and higher production costs.
While these policies aim to stimulate economic growth, they come with potential risks, such as inflationary pressures, trade conflicts, and labor market disruptions. The overall impact will depend on how effectively these policies are implemented and their reception both domestically and internationally.
UPCOMING CATALYST
On Thursday, January 23rd, the U.S. unemployment claims are scheduled for release at 5:30 AM GMT+4, followed by the crude oil inventory report at 8:00 PM. The next day, Friday, will feature the release of Manufacturing and Services PMIs at 6:45 PM, and to close the week, existing home sales and consumer sentiment reports will be released simultaneously at 7:00 PM. These data points have the potential to significantly influence market movements, underscoring the importance of cautious analysis and strategic decision-making.
TECHNICAL VIEW:
From a technical perspective, the DXY is recovering from the previous day's losses, which had strengthened major currency pairs such as EUR/USD, AUD/USD, and GBP/USD. Currently, the index is trading around 108.40, with 108.80 acting as a key resistance level. Given the upcoming data releases, a favorable outcome could propel the DXY above 108.80, with potential targets at 109.09, 109.44, and 109.81 in the coming weeks. However, a correction is still a possibility. Conversely, a negative reading could further weaken the dollar, with potential downside targets at 107.48, the psychological level of 107.00, and 106.56. Analysts suggest that breakouts in either direction are possible, depending on the data's impact.
DXYThe U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is a measure of the U.S. dollar’s value relative to a basket of six major foreign currencies:
• Euro (EUR) – the largest component (~57.6%)
• Japanese Yen (JPY)
• British Pound (GBP)
• Canadian Dollar (CAD)
• Swedish Krona (SEK)
• Swiss Franc (CHF)
DXY rises when the U.S. dollar strengthens against these currencies and falls when it weakens. It is widely used by traders, investors, and policymakers to assess the dollar’s strength in global markets.
DeGRAM | DXY seeks to close the gapDXY is in a descending channel between trend lines.
After the gap formation, the price has reached the lower boundary of the channel, the support level and the lower trend line, which previously acted as a rebound point.
The chart approached the 38.2% retracement level and is now holding above the resistance level.
We expect the rebound to continue if successfully consolidated above the resistance level.
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Weakening USD $DXY after the Trump Inauguration? In the last Trump administration, the USD TVC:DXY declined in 2017 post-inauguration
I believe history could repeat itself, potentially boosting risk assets in 2025 like crypto and AMEX:IWM
Between the 2024 election and the 2025 inauguration, the USD strengthened, mirroring the 2016/2017 period, supporting this thesis
DXY- Start of correction?In my previous analysis of the DXY, I mentioned that the index might begin a correction after more than three months of upward movement and a 10% increase.
Yesterday, the market opened with a downside gap and broke below the rising trendline that had been supporting the price since the 100 mark. This suggests that 110 could now serve as a local top. As long as the price remains below this level, shorting the USD currency could present a viable trading opportunity.
I am currently looking for buying opportunities in currency pairs such as EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, and NZD/USD.
Levels discussed on 20th Jan 2025 Livestream20th January 2025
DXY: Currently below 109.40, break above, could trade up to 110 (previous swing high), beyond that, strong resistance at 111
NZDUSD: Sell 0.5575 SL 25 TP 60
AUDUSD: Sell 0.6170 SL 15 TP 40
GBPUSD: Sell 1.2150 SL 15 TP 40
EURUSD: Sell 1.0310 SL 30 TP 110
USDJPY: Buy 156.70 SL 40 TP 120
EURJPY: Sell 161.10 SL 40 TP 120
GBPJPY: Looking for reaction at 191.15
USDCHF: Choppy between 0.91 and 0.9150
USDCAD: Buy 1.4480 SL 30 TP 60
XAUUSD: Needs to stay above 2694 (trendline) to trade up to 2722 resistance
The DXY experiences declines as it reacts to monthly supply zoneThe DXY experiences declines as it reacts to monthly supply zones, while the gold market remains steady amid this shift. Market participants should watch for further corrections in the DXY and potential demand shifts in gold. follow for more inisights, comment and boost idea