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US Dollar Index

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USDX trade ideas

DXY - Bearish.Similar thesis to my NASDAQ analysis, with the DXY in a current bear trend, with key levels unmitigated below, and very close to current price action. Overall, expecting a decline in the price of the DXY over the next weeks sessions, mainly to hunt liquidity below to then continue the monthly Bullish bias and trend. Align it with the current US economic proceedings, and a declining dollar makes sense for a few more weeks until thing calm down with tariffs etc. etc. Expecting assets with a positive correlation to the dollar to also correlate any bearish moves in the DXY, with inverse assets such as gold benefitting. Mahalo.
TVC:DXYShort
by TuataraW20
DXY weekly Perspective 23.02.25DXY Analysis & Bias for This Week My outlook for the Dollar Index (DXY) remains bearish, which aligns with my bias for bullish moves on pairs like GU, EU, and Gold. Since price has already broken structure to the downside, I anticipate a retracement to mitigate the newly formed 14-hour supply zone before continuing lower. While price may react bullishly from the 3-hour or 2-hour demand zones I’ve marked, the overall momentum still favors the downside, as seen from the strength of recent bearish candlesticks. Plan of Action: 📌 Once price reaches the 14-hour supply zone, I will wait for lower timeframe confirmations before taking action. 📌 I will also check for any corresponding demand zones on my other pairs to ensure alignment across the board.
TVC:DXYShort
by Hassan_fx
1
DXY - 4H Bearish SignsTVC:DXY has shown an impressive rally from the 100 zone, forming three major bullish legs, each contributing approximately 4% gains. These bullish phases have now brought the index close to the critical 110 level. However, in the third major leg, we observe the formation of three minor legs, signaling some hesitation as it nears the resistance zone. While many expect the index to break through 110 easily, I anticipate price swings around the 109-110 range, and even the possibility of a deeper pullback before resuming its upward trend. With the NFP data release today, we might see increased volatility, offering opportunities for a potential DXY decline before any further rise. Stay alert for sharp market moves! 📉
TVC:DXYShort
by Sober_Trading
9
USD Bulls on the RopesThe US dollar (USD) – per the US Dollar Index – is on track to end February on the ropes following January’s monthly indecision candle at the resistance of 109.33. I believe USD bears have space to drive towards a ‘local’ descending support around 105.40ish, extended from the high of 107.35. Similarly, the daily timeframe demonstrates scope for sellers to strengthen their grip. Last week witnessed the Index reject resistance at 107.05, drawing focus towards an ‘alternate’ AB=CD from 105.77 (the 1.272% Fibonacci projection ratio). For those unfamiliar with Harmonic trading, an alternate AB=CD is simply an extended equal AB=CD formation using either 1.272% or 1.618% Fibonacci projection ratios. Interestingly, not only does the alternate AB=CD pattern share chart space with daily support at 105.62, but these daily levels are located just north of the monthly timeframe’s descending support line underlined above. Consequently, although there is room for bears to take control in the short to medium term, the combination of the monthly and daily support levels could entice profit-taking and encourage fresh long positions into the market, should we reach said area. Given monthly and daily charts echoing a bearish vibe, I will primarily focus on short-term resistance levels this week. One standout area of H1 resistance is between 107.24 and 107.14, made up of two trendline resistance lines (drawn from 109.88 and 106.57), a horizontal resistance level and two Fibonacci retracement ratios (78.6% and 38.2%). What is also interesting from a technical perspective is that the above-noted H1 resistance zone converges closely with daily resistance mentioned above at 107.05, therefore should the H1 resistance area be tested, the fact daily resistance is also present could add weight to a bearish showing. Should we fail to reach as high as the H1 zone, my next base case scenario is to watch local H1 supports to cede ground to trigger possible selling opportunities: the 106.43 low, for example.
TVC:DXYShort
by FPMarkets