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DXY Trading Journal March 2 Previous week in reviewDXY Trading Journal March 2 Previous week in review Price had a up closed candle on the weekly taking out previous weeks buy/sell stops. Monday price takes out previous weeks sell stops and from Dec and closes with a up closed candle. Tuesday Price raliies to take the buy stops from Monday and aggressively lowers. Wednesday opens to take Tuesdays lows and then rallies to the high side and creates equal lows. Thursday opens with a volume unbalance and takes buy stops and rebalances the FVG created from the previous Thursday, i also note a large range day. Friday Price energetically rallies to take the equal highs with the body of the candle coming to the CE of the SIBI its rebalancing. Price started the week in a discount on the .79 breaking lower at the start of the week to then seek higher prices.
TVC:DXY
by LeanLena
Short AUDUSD The Perfect Storm: Stagflation, GeopoliticsIn a world increasingly defined by geopolitical volatility and economic uncertainty, a perfect storm is brewing, casting a long shadow over the Australian dollar. The confluence of persistent stagflationary pressures, escalating trade tensions, and a resurgent U.S. dollar is creating a formidable headwind for the AUDUSD pair. This article delves into the intricate web of factors driving this bearish sentiment, offering a comprehensive analysis for macro traders and financial viewers seeking clarity amidst market turbulence. The Stagflationary Grip: A Global Economic Quagmire The global economic landscape is ensnared in a precarious dance between "sticky" inflation and a palpable slowdown. Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) remains stubbornly elevated, while Producer Price Index (PPI) figures signal continued upward pressure on consumer prices. This persistent inflation, coupled with a weakening housing market, declining consumer confidence, and a sharp contraction in global trade activity (as evidenced by the plummeting Shanghai and China Containerized Freight Indices), paints a stark picture of a "Stagflationary Weakness." www.census.gov The Federal Reserve finds itself trapped between a rock and a hard place, grappling with the unenviable task of taming inflation while averting a looming recession. Policy missteps are increasingly probable, further amplifying market anxieties. Geopolitical Fault Lines and Trade Wars: Fueling the Fire Adding to the economic woes are escalating geopolitical tensions and trade disputes. The contentious US-Ukraine situation, heightened US-China strategic competition (including technology decoupling and potential military tensions in the South China Sea), and the ever-present threat of cyberattacks are creating an environment of heightened risk aversion. President Trump's aggressive tariff policies, targeting Canada, Mexico, and China, have ignited fears of retaliatory measures and further disruptions to global trade flows. The market's reaction has been swift and decisive, with the S&P 500 experiencing consecutive weekly declines, reflecting growing investor unease. The AUDUSD Under Siege: A Technical and Fundamental Breakdown Against this backdrop, the AUDUSD pair is experiencing a decisive bearish breakdown. The U.S. dollar (DXY), fueled by its safe-haven appeal and the prevailing risk-off sentiment, is exhibiting robust strength, targeting 109.900. This dollar resurgence is exerting significant downward pressure on the risk-sensitive Australian dollar. Gaining Traction Amidst Global Uncertainty The AUDUSD has decisively breached the critical 0.64000 level, signaling a clear shift in market sentiment. While rising commodity prices, particularly in energy, have historically provided support for the AUD, the current environment is unique. Geopolitical risks and global economic uncertainties are overshadowing the positive impact of rising commodity prices. Technical indicators, such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), confirm the bearish momentum. The 20-day, 50-day, and 200-day moving averages are all trending downwards, reinforcing the bearish outlook. Key Support Zone and Outlook: We have identified a key support zone between 0.61435 and 0.60838. This zone represents a potential area of consolidation or a temporary pause in the downtrend. However, given the strong bearish momentum and the prevailing fundamental factors, we anticipate a continued downward trajectory. Impact of Strong Dollar and Risk Aversion" Traders should closely monitor the DXY and global risk sentiment for further confirmation of the bearish trend. Any sustained break of the 0.64000 level would confirm the current outlook. The AUDUSD pair is currently navigating a perfect storm of stagflationary pressures, geopolitical risks, and a resurgent U.S. dollar. This confluence of factors has created a compelling bearish outlook, with technical indicators and fundamental analysis aligning to support continued downward momentum. In this environment, vigilance and a deep understanding of the global macroeconomic landscape are paramount. Traders must remain attuned to the evolving geopolitical and economic narratives, adapting their strategies to navigate the turbulent waters of the current market. FX:AUDUSD CAPITALCOM:DXY
CAPITALCOM:DXYShort
by TyrusL
$DXY, $BTC, $XRP, Theory The TVC:DXY is in a spiralling downtrend which will cause CRYPTOCAP:BTC to pass its current ATH eventually topping again which will correlate with the TVC:DXY finding strong support between 103.6 and 104. The TVC:DXY will probably set a local range before eventually continuing on a bullish trajectory back toward 110+ ( *this will mark the end of the first half of the bull market * from Now - May) Some event in May will cause the TVC:DXY rebound to 110+ during which time we will see a major market crash lasting from (May to July). However: From 110+ i suspect the TVC:DXY will see another major correction downward which will mark the final phase of the bullrun begining about June/July until only God knows when, but historical indicators point to around October/Nov for the top. Unless CRYPTOCAP:BTC completely crashes on one of its famous bloody corrections and go to ZERO then, it MUST go above $200,000 This cycle. Remember CRYPTOCAP:BTC floats all boats , so just imagine what price CRYPTOCAP:XRP and the broader digital currency market will be... gimmi your best guess!
CAPITALCOM:DXYShort
by howiegeneral