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DXY if you're anticipating rate cuts, you're anticipating further downside for the greenback. 📉

🌀 “FX Coiled for CPI — Dollar Bounces, Yen Regains Grip”
📆 Sunday 06 July 2025 | ⏰ 16:55 BST / 11:55 EDT
📦 FX calm ≠ conviction. CPI & FOMC will break the drift.

📉 Tactical FX Moves:
DXY +0.14% — Bear flag bounce, no conviction
• AUD/USD –0.22% — Still soft, no macro or commodity bid
USDJPY –0.30% — Carry unwind watch resumes
GBPUSD –0.11% — 1.2780 break = CPI risk zone

⚖️ Volatility Picks Up:
• AUD/USD 1W IV: ▲ 7.1%
• USD/JPY 1W IV: ▲ 7.2%
• GBP/USD 1W IV: ▲ 6.8%
CPI expected to be a volatility catalyst mid-week.

🔎 Intermarket Clues:
• JPY strength re-linked to US10Y slowdown
• AUD still unresponsive to gold or BTC
• EUR stuck — passive carry, no flow leadership

🎯 Tier 1 FX Setups (Pre-CPI):
• 🔻 AUD/JPY <102.50 = clean macro breakdown
• ⚠️ GBP/USD <1.2765 = pre-CPI sweep risk
• 🟢 USD/CAD >1.3780 = oil squeeze path
• 🔻 USD/JPY <160.20 = carry unwind accelerates

💡 Strategy Brief:
🟢 Long JPY (carry unwind)
🔻 Short AUD (macro fade)
⚠️ Short GBP (if 1.2780 fails)
⚪ Flat EUR (no conviction)
⚖️ Neutral USD (CPI = trigger event)

Best Wishes and Success to All
🛡️ Take Profits, Not Chances.
💰 Manage Risk to Accumulate.
🎯 React with Clarity, Not Hope.
🌊 Flow with Intelligence, Not Noise.

⚙️ Views are Personal & Educational, reflective of our Analysis and Research.
🎯 Summary posts only. Full context via DM

⚠️ Educational content only. Not investment advice.
📉 FX data reflects futures positioning as of July 04 (reported July 06)
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Only the devil himself could come up with a big beautiful bill. Wake up people and mock me all you want Trump is the man of lawlessness and sending a strong delusion to the Masses


DXY We had a beautiful short-term expansion yesterday into the 27th-29th NWOG but failed to stay above 97.254.

What does this mean going foward?

The short-term projection to the new day opening gap @ 97.600* is a 50/50 probability which means the potential for 'Risk On' conditions for GBPUSD and EURUSD.

Range for the day: 97.254 - 96.377
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USDX EURUSD - Good Morning - I am monitoring the DXY as it didn't complete the gap fill yesterday! Then will look to take a short on EUR!
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DXY

…labor market data gets manipulated like 6/7 times a year only to be readjusted at a later date with the actual data, bare that in mind