DJIA Tests Major Resistance – Reversal or Breakout Next?The Dow Jones Industrial Average is pressing against a key resistance zone near 40,860, the neckline of a double-bottom pattern after rebounding sharply from its mid-April low:
📈 Strong 2-week rally from sub-37K lows
🔵 Price attempting to break the neckline after reclaiming the 50-day SMA
📊 RSI near neutral at 51 – plenty of room to run
📉 MACD accelerating upward, hinting at bullish momentum
If price clears and holds above 40,860, bulls could target a move back toward 42,500–43,000. Failure to break this zone may trigger a pullback toward the 50-day SMA near 41,500.
The setup is constructive — but the bulls need confirmation.
-MW
US30 trade ideas
US30 Trade Update – Target HitFollowing my earlier post, I waited patiently for a solid confirmation. After price closed above the New York ORB, I entered long — and after a long wait, the trade finally hit the target right at the higher zone I had marked in advance.
This was a good reminder of the value of patience, planning, and trusting the process. The setup played out just as anticipated, and the breakout above structure delivered beautifully.
✅ Trade plan respected
📈 Entry after NY ORB breakout
🎯 Target reached with solid momentum
📌 Reminder: This is my personal analysis and part of my ongoing learning journey. Please do your own research and always manage risk responsibly.
US30 Trade Update- Still MonitoringFollowing up on my earlier analysis, I have not entered a long position yet. While the price action respected the breakout structure, momentum has weakened, and we're currently trading below the New York Opening Range (NY ORB).
I’m holding off on any entries until we get a clean candle close above the NY ORB, which would signal renewed bullish intent. The original setup remains valid, but I’m staying patient and disciplined, waiting for confirmation before committing.
👉 If price continues to break down and fails to reclaim the NY ORB, I won’t be trading US30 for the rest of the day — I’ll let the market do its thing and wait for a better setup.
📌 Reminder: This is my personal analysis, not financial advice. I'm still learning and sharing my process — always do your own research and manage risk accordingly.
Dow Jones at Critical Levels!Dow Jones Technical Outlook:
Currently, the Dow Jones remains within a broader bearish structure 📉, trading near the lower boundary of its descending channel.
Nonetheless, the formation of higher highs and higher lows on the daily and 4H timeframes ⏰ suggests that a potential bullish reversal may be developing 🔄.
The 40,700 – 40,300 range is a key decision zone ⚡️:
• A confirmed breakout above this level could trigger a minor bullish rally 🚀.
• Conversely, a failure to hold above this area and the formation of new lower highs and lower lows would reinforce the ongoing bearish trend 📉.
Additionally, the recent bullish weekly and monthly closes 📅 support a bias toward further upside momentum.
In the initial phase, we may see a corrective move to the downside on lower timeframes to form a wick (shadow) for the monthly candle before any significant bullish continuation 🔄📈.
Stay flexible and monitor price action closely! 👀
US30 Stuck at Resistance – 28/04/2025🛑 US30 Stuck at Resistance – 28/04/2025 🛑
📈 Big Bounce — But Stuck Below Key Resistance!
US30 has made a strong recovery from 38,000s, but now it’s consolidating right under the 40,260 - 40,360 resistance zone. The bulls are trying to hold above 40,000, but momentum is stalling ⚡.
🔍 Key Observations:
🔹 Price hovering around 40,000
🔹 Major resistance = 40,260 → 40,360
🔹 40,701 is the "final boss" resistance zone
🔹 EMAs (blue/white lines) starting to compress → ⚠️ squeeze coming soon!
🎯 Trade Plan:
🟰 Range between 39,800 - 40,360
🔻 If we reject and lose 39,800 → look for short plays targeting 39,200/38,955
🚀 If we break and close above 40,360 → clean upside toward 40,700+
🧠 Mindset Reminder:
⚡ Tight ranges = avoid overtrading
⚡ Wait for breakout confirmation → momentum will come
DOW JONES MONTHLY | Pullback in Motion
After tagging the $45,071 previous high, the Dow is now reacting sharply — down over 4.5% and sitting right on the 0.236 Fib level at $41,080.
⚠️ Momentum shift confirmed by this monthly candle.
Next key levels:
0.382 at $38,692
0.5 at $36,762
0.618 at $34,832 — the golden zone
This move could be a healthy correction within an uptrend — or the start of something deeper.
🔍 Watch price reaction around these fib zones closely.
Navigating Trump Tariffs on the Dow JonesNavigating the movements of the **US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average)** can be challenging, especially amid shifting economic policies. The Dow, which tracks 30 major U.S. companies, is highly sensitive to trade policies, corporate earnings, and geopolitical risks. Trump’s plan to impose **10% across-the-board tariffs** and **60%+ tariffs on Chinese goods** has sparked concerns about inflation, supply chain disruptions, and retaliatory trade measures. Investors are closely watching how these policies could impact multinational companies within the index, particularly those reliant on global trade, such as **Boeing, Apple, and Caterpillar**.
For everyday Americans, higher tariffs could mean **rising prices on imported goods**, from electronics to household items, worsening inflation. While tariffs aim to protect domestic industries, they often lead to **higher production costs** for businesses that rely on foreign materials, potentially triggering job cuts or reduced consumer spending. The stock market’s reaction—volatility in the US30—reflects these uncertainties, as investors weigh the risks of slower growth against potential benefits for U.S. manufacturers.
Traders navigating the US30 must monitor **Fed policy, corporate earnings, and trade war developments**. If tariffs escalate, defensive stocks (utilities, healthcare) may outperform, while industrials and tech could face pressure. Long-term investors might see dips as buying opportunities, but short-term traders should prepare for turbulence. Ultimately, Trump’s tariff policies could reshape market dynamics, making adaptability key for those trading the Dow.
Trade Idea: US30 Long ( BUY LIMIT )Technical Justification:
1. Daily Chart:
• Price has recently bounced strongly from a significant support zone around 37,675, confirming a bullish rejection.
• RSI is rising from oversold levels (currently around 48), showing momentum is shifting upwards.
• MACD is still negative but starting to converge, signaling a potential reversal in the mid-term.
2. 15-Minute Chart:
• Strong bullish move, breaking through previous structure highs.
• MACD and RSI are both in bullish territory, RSI ~63, not yet overbought.
• Price consolidating around 40,090, suggesting possible continuation.
3. 3-Minute Chart:
• Micro trend is clearly bullish.
• Minor consolidation after a push upward — ideal for breakout or pullback entry.
• RSI at ~49, healthy for continuation, MACD slightly bullish.
⸻
Fundamental Backdrop (as of now):
• Earnings season in the US is ongoing with strong reports from major companies.
• Rate cut expectations later in the year are improving market sentiment.
• Recent data suggests soft landing scenario, supporting risk-on assets like equities.
⸻
Trade Setup:
• Direction: Long (Buy)
• Entry: 40,050 (pullback entry)
• Stop Loss (SL): 39,750 (below recent breakout base)
• Take Profit (TP): 40,650
FUSIONMARKETS:US30
US30?
Hi,
Discussion with Treasury Sec & Finance Minister KATO...
BESSET: Please don't sell our bonds anymore.
KATO: No will have to sell.. our Yen is weak
If we don't sell.. anyone else would..
BESSET: We will maintain interest rates as is.. what say you?
KATO: Okay... but you will inform us when you make changes
BESSET : ( *wink*)...
So that is the made up conversation. Do you think it's a possibility?
But biz is biz...
Japan would balance it's treasury.. It will sell as balancing act. That's my my 2c.
IF Yen is weak by another 5-10% (up on USDJPY).. Kato will not hesitate to unload again
Hehe.. This is just a story.
All the best
For now, I think Japan.. halting it's selling.. US30 up 10% (my prediction to 44000 for now)
Trade Idea: US30 Short (SELL STOP)1. Technical Analysis
Daily Chart
• Trend: Still overall bullish long-term, but in a short-term pullback phase after peaking.
• MACD: Bearish crossover with widening histogram — indicating continued downside momentum.
• RSI: At 45.05 — neutral-bearish, room to fall to oversold.
• Price: Strong reaction at ~37675.05 area, bounced back to ~39562, forming a potential lower high.
15-Min Chart
• MACD: Recently crossed bearish after a sharp rally.
• Price Action: Approaching resistance zone (~39562), failed to make a new high.
• RSI: 44.78 — leaning bearish, but not oversold yet.
3-Min Chart
• MACD: Just flipped bullish but weak — suggesting possible micro pullback before continuation.
• RSI: 48.82 — very neutral, no extreme condition.
⸻
2. Fundamental Context (as of April 2025)
• Recent sharp pullback from all-time highs hints at risk-off sentiment returning.
• Likely driven by Fed rate uncertainty, inflationary stickiness, or geopolitical jitters.
• Earnings season volatility could also play a role.
• No strong bullish macro catalyst to support a fresh rally continuation yet.
⸻
3. Trade Setup: SHORT Position
Bias: SHORT
Reason: Price hit resistance at 39562, confirmed by 15M MACD cross and RSI weakness. Daily still bearish momentum. No major bullish catalyst.
⸻
ENTRY:
39550 (near current resistance, confirmed failure to break higher)
STOP LOSS (SL):
39800 (above recent minor high, above 15M key level)
TAKE PROFIT (TP):
38900 — Minor support zone, clean level from 15M + previous consolidation area
FUSIONMARKETS:US30
Trade Idea: US30 Long ( BUY LIMIT )Technical Analysis Summary:
Daily Chart:
• The US30 is bouncing off a recent sharp correction with a bullish engulfing candle forming at support (around 37,675).
• RSI is recovering from oversold territory, now at 46.14 – momentum is shifting.
• MACD still bearish but histogram is shrinking, indicating weakening downward momentum.
15-Minute Chart:
• Strong recovery after a double-bottom near 38,200.
• RSI at 74.55 shows near overbought but still trending up – strong momentum.
• MACD showing a strong bullish crossover and rising histogram – confirmation of intraday trend.
3-Minute Chart:
• Strong breakout to the upside with consolidation at highs.
• RSI around 58 – room to move higher.
• MACD bullish, histogram expanding – short-term continuation likely.
⸻
Fundamental Context (as of April 2025):
• Recent correction in US indices is likely a pullback within a broader bull market (based on Q1 earnings optimism and easing inflation expectations).
• No major Fed tightening signals – bullish for equities.
• Dow Jones (US30) often rebounds strongly after panic drops, especially when technicals align with macro calm.
⸻
Trade Setup (Buy):
• Entry: 39,700 (current consolidation after breakout)
• Stop Loss (SL): 39,150 (below last minor pullback structure and below 3M EMA support)
• Take Profit (TP): 40,800 (near previous structure on the Daily and round number psychological level) FUSIONMARKETS:US30
US30: Local Bearish Bias! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse US30 together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 39,946.6 Therefore, a strong bearish reaction here could determine the next move down.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 39,429.8..Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Dow Jones INTRADAY oversold bouncebackKey Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 40954
Resistance Level 2: 41510
Resistance Level 3: 42216
Support Level 1: 39600
Support Level 2: 38534
Support Level 3: 37832
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
US30Anyone Bearish or Bullish, say something
I willl be aggressively Bullish if US30 breaks the 40000.00 key level and get a clear retest, supporting it to go higher, to 42020.00 key level.
>US30 failed to break 37864.46 key level to continue selling, now 37864.46 is supporting US30 to go higher.
>US30 is supported by the trend line.
But if US30 fails to break the 40000.00 key level. I will be going with the market structure, as US30 is been selling. But will be aggressive selling if US30 trade below 37864.46 key level
Update will be given
US30 Bouncing Back – 23/04/2025🚀 US30 Bouncing Back – 23/04/2025 🚀
📈 Dow Showing Strength Off the Lows!
After bottoming near 38,400, US30 surged back above the key 38,955 level and is now consolidating just below 40k. Short-term trend has flipped bullish 📊.
🔍 Key Observations:
✅ Higher low confirmed
📈 Strong bullish impulse off 38,400
🔄 Retesting EMA support as price consolidates
📍 Still under major resistance at 40,701
🎯 Trade Plan:
🔹 Bullish bias above 38,955
🚀 Long setups valid on break & close above 40,000 → target 40,701 / 41,200
❌ Rejection from here could form a lower high → watch for bearish divergence
🧠 Psych Note: Don't chase this late rally — wait for confirmation above resistance or a pullback for re-entry.
Trade Idea: US30 Long ( MARKET )Technical Justification:
Daily Chart:
• Oversold Conditions: RSI is at 35.90, approaching oversold.
• MACD is deeply negative (-905.428 / -831.781), signaling extended downside and a potential for a mean reversion bounce.
• Price recently bounced sharply off a support area around 37,800–38,000, forming a possible bullish rejection wick.
15-Min Chart:
• Bullish Divergence visible in RSI and MACD.
• RSI rebounded from sub-30 to 52.10, signaling strengthening momentum.
• MACD histogram has reduced in negativity, suggesting decreasing bearish pressure.
3-Min Chart:
• Clear short-term uptrend forming after a strong intraday drop.
• RSI 62.56 and MACD turning positive show bullish momentum building.
• Price just reclaimed a key intraday level (~38139) with follow-through.
⸻
Fundamental Bias:
Recent oversold market conditions, combined with potential short-term relief rally due to earnings optimism, Fed rate pause speculation, or geopolitical cooling, support a tactical long bias.
⸻
Trade Setup:
• Entry (Buy): 38,150
• Above the minor resistance turned support zone and confirmation of bullish momentum.
• Stop Loss (SL): 37,800
• Below the recent strong support zone from Daily and intraday.
• Take Profit (TP): 38,750
• Just below the next major resistance zone on the 15-min/1H chart. FUSIONMARKETS:US30