Dow Jones H1 | Approaching a pullback resistanceThe Dow Jones (US30) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 44,308.44 which is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss is at 44,450.00 which is a level that sits above an overlap resistance and the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit is at 44,074.17 which is a swing-low support.
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US30 trade ideas
Could the price rise from here?Dow Jones (US30) has bounced off the pivot and could potentially rise to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 43,908.34
1st Support: 43,228.22
1st Resistance: 44,759.62
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Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
DOW JONES formed 1st 1D Golden Cross since 2022!Dow Jones (DJIA) completed on Monday its 1st Golden Cross on the 1D time-frame since December 12 2022! This powerful bullish pattern comes with the price close to its All Time High (ATH).
Being inside almost a 3-year Channel Up, the current rise is the pattern's latest Bullish Leg following the April 07 2025 bottom (Higher Low). Both previous Bullish Legs rose by +39.96% before forming a Higher High.
Based on the Fibonacci retracement levels, last time the previous Bullish Leg was within the 0.382 - 0.5 Fibonacci Zone, it formed a Re-accumulation Phase for 3 months. As a result, we shouldn't dismiss the fact of trading sideways for the rest of the Summer and then picking up the pace. Our end-of-year Target remains 50000.
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๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ
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US30 โ Bearish Outlook Below 44,500 as CPI Looms US30 โ Bearish Outlook Below 44,500 as CPI Looms
US30 rallied and successfully reached our resistance target, as expected in the previous analysis.
However, with todayโs CPI release, the market is likely to see increased volatility. As long as the index trades below 44,500โ44,570, the bias remains bearish, with downside targets at 44,210 and 43,960.
โข If CPI prints below 2.6%, we may see a bullish breakout toward 45,100
โข Above or equal to 2.6% supports continuation of the bearish move
However, we expect a 2.7% reading, driven by tariff-related price increases, which would support the bearish scenario.
US30 Update โ 07/16/2025๐ US30 Update โ 07/16/2025
The bearish momentum continues โ and it's clean.
After rejecting 44,555โ44,600 supply last week, US30 has been in a clear downtrend, and now weโve broken below 44,000, tapping into the 43,900 zone. Sellers are dominating, and buyers havenโt shown strength on any retrace yet. โ ๏ธ
๐ Market Structure:
โ
Lower highs, lower lows locked in
๐งญ Rejected 44.6k supply on lower volume = bearish intent
๐ Price now below EMAs (20 & 50), which are sloping down hard
๐ Current price printing near multi-week support
๐ Key Levels:
๐ฝ Support: 43,800 โ 43,600 โ 43,300
๐ผ Resistance: 44,100 โ 44,220 โ 44,555
๐ฃ Break of 43,800 = high probability for further downside flush
๐ก Trade Ideas:
๐ป Short Setup โ Trend Continuation:
Entry: Pullback into 44,100โ44,200
Confirmation: Bearish rejection candle
TP1: 43,800
TP2: 43,600
SL: Above 44,300
โ ๏ธ No long bias unless bulls reclaim 44,400 with conviction.
US30 Bearish IdeaAs we can see this is a anticipation of us being in a quarterly shift in the markets and having an assumption that we had a retracement up to collect more orders for smart money to go short. We have relative strength with US30 against both NASDAQ and the SP500. We have seen resistance in our premium arrays of our weekly FVG and daily order block
* Fundamental analysis:
We are are having a shift in our bond yields which could potentially effect the dollar giving it strength and you add the fact that dollar is under valued when we have a stronger dollar rate than the rest of the basket currencies we could see it negatively effect the Dow this quarter. The Dow is very over valued and we have had consistent quantitative easing from the Fed and the Fed balance sheet has been still consistently decreasing. The commercial interest have also seen a great rise of buying dollar and if dollar is being bought up then something would need to be sold.
Dow Jones Industrial Average Index - 4 Hour Chart4-hour chart of the Dow Jones Industrial Average (US30) shows a recent price movement as of July 13, 2025. The index is currently at 44,315.0, reflecting a decline of 285.5 points (-0.64%). The chart highlights a sell signal at 44,312.0 and a buy signal at 44,318.0, with a shaded area indicating a potential downward trend from a recent peak. Key price levels include 44,855.7 (high) and 43,902.2 (low), with a support level around 44,315.0.
Bearish drop?Dow Jones (US30) has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which has been identified as a pullback support.
Pivot: 44,114.05
1st Support: 43,228.22
1st Resistance: 44,522.33
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
US30 Price close below Bullish reversal Then drop to 43,800The US30 is currently in a consolidation phase after a strong bullish rally, but is now showing signs of weakness. The index is facing resistance near 44,700, and as long as the price remains below this level, the bearish correction is expected to continue.
If the price fails to break above 44,700 and closes below this resistance, we could see a push toward the support zones at 44,004 and 43,800. A bullish reversal may only be considered if the price successfully holds above 44,700 on a strong candle close.
For now, bearish bias remains intact unless a confirmed breakout occurs above key resistance.
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US30 (Dow Jones) Is On My Radar โ The Momentโs Getting Close!Hey Guys,
I've marked my sell zone on the Dow Jones (US30) chart.
Once price reaches my entry range, Iโll be jumping into this high-probability trade setup.
๐ช Entry Levels: 44,551 โ 44,632 โ 44,677
๐ Stop Loss: 44,725
๐ฏ Targets:
โข TP1: 44,468
โข TP2: 44,359
โข TP3: 44,126
๐ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Approximately 2.41 from the 44,551 entry
Your likes and support are what keep me motivated to share these analyses consistently.
Huge thanks to everyone who shows love and appreciation! ๐
DowJones bullish continuation breakout supported at 43990Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 45000
Resistance Level 2: 45440
Resistance Level 3: 46000
Support Level 1: 43990
Support Level 2: 43700
Support Level 3: 43420
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