EFERT trade ideas
Efert Analysis- Bear Trap13/4/25
TF 1W/1D
Efert was trending inside a bullish channel since Oct 23
Although it has given a breakdown from the channel but this move can convert into Spring or Bear Trap. It will be confirmed with a daily closing above 190 within next 3 days
Buy 192-199
Short term TP 229 & 248
Long term TP 310 ( Oct 25)
In Sha Allah
SL below 180
EFERT Breakout & Reversal: Chart Analysis & Trade StrategiesCurrent Price: 168.00 PKR
Resistance Levels: Weak High: Around 175 PKR
Support Levels:
Strong Low: Around 145 PKR
Intermediate Support: Around 155 PKR
Trend:
The stock has shown a recent uptrend with a sharp rise from the lows. The consolidation phase appears to be occurring between 160 PKR and 170 PKR.
Report Insights :
Earnings Expectations: Expected EPS for 2QCY24 is 3.85 PKR, which is a 52% decline QoQ. Expected DPS is 4.0 PKR for 2QCY24.
Operational Challenges: Decline in sales volume due to the Enven plant's turnaround until mid-Jun-2024. Net revenue is expected to decline by 43% QoQ.
Market Performance: EFERT has outperformed the KSE100 Index with a 49% gain YTD.
Trade Strategy for Engro Fertilizers Ltd (EFERT):
Breakout Trade:
Entry: 175 PKR
TP1: 185 PKR (5.11%)
TP2: 200 PKR (13.64%)
SL: 170 PKR (3.41%)
RR Ratio: 1.5 (TP1), 3.53 (TP2)
Reversal Trade:
Entry: 155 PKR
TP1: 170 PKR (9.68%)
TP2: 185 PKR (19.35%)
SL: 150 PKR (3.23%)
RR Ratio: 3 (TP1), 6 (TP2)
Key Trade Confirmation Points:
Volume: Look for increased volume on breakout above 176 PKR or on dip buying at 155 PKR.
Candlestick Patterns: Watch for bullish reversal patterns near support levels or strong bullish candles on breakout levels.
Market Sentiment: Keep an eye on overall market trends and any news specific to the fertilizer sector or EFERT.
Confluences:
Sector Performance: The fertilizer sector's relative strength compared to the KSE100 Index supports a bullish outlook.
Dividend Announcement: A confirmed dividend of 4.0 PKR/share could boost investor confidence.
Technical Indicators: Use RSI, MACD, or moving averages to confirm entry points and momentum.
EFERT Breakout & Reversal: Chart Analysis & Trade Strategies*EFERT Chart Analysis:*
*Current Price:* 168.00 PKR
*Resistance Levels:* Weak High: Around 175 PKR
*Support Levels:* Strong Low: Around 145 PKR
*Intermediate Support:* Around 155 PKR
*Trend:* _The stock has shown a recent uptrend with a sharp rise from the lows._
_The consolidation phase appears to be occurring between 160 PKR and 170 PKR._
*Report Insights:*
*Earnings Expectations:* _Expected EPS for 2QCY24 is 3.85 PKR, which is a 52% decline QoQ._
_Expected DPS is 4.0 PKR for 2QCY24._
*Operational Challenges:* _Decline in sales volume due to the Enven plant's turnaround until mid-Jun-2024._
_Net revenue expected to decline by 43% QoQ._
*Market Performance:* _EFERT has outperformed the KSE100 Index with a 49% gain YTD._
*Trade Strategy for Engro Fertilizers Ltd (EFERT):*
*Breakout Trade:*
- *Entry*: 176 PKR
- *TP1*: 185 PKR (5.11%)
- *TP2*: 200 PKR (13.64%)
- *SL*: 170 PKR (3.41%)
- *RR Ratio*: 1.5 (TP1), 3.53 (TP2)
*Reversal Trade:*
- *Entry*: 155 PKR
- *TP1*: 170 PKR (9.68%)
- *TP2*: 185 PKR (19.35%)
- *SL*: 150 PKR (3.23%)
- *RR Ratio*: 3 (TP1), 6 (TP2)
*Key Trade Confirmation Points:*
_*Volume:* Look for increased volume on breakout above 176 PKR or on dip buying at 155 PKR._
_*Candlestick Patterns:* Watch for bullish reversal patterns near support levels or strong bullish candles on breakout levels._
_*Market Sentiment:* Keep an eye on overall market trends and any news specific to the fertilizer sector or EFERT._
*Confluences:*
_*Sector Performance:* The fertilizer sector's relative strength compared to the KSE100 Index supports a bullish outlook._
_*Dividend Announcement:* A confirmed dividend of 4.0 PKR/share could boost investor confidence._
_*Technical Indicators:* Use RSI, MACD, or moving averages to confirm entry points and momentum._