KSE-100 UPDATE/ANALYSIS 03-06-2025We had previously advised caution against excessive bullishness due to the strong resistance at the all-time high (ATH) level of 120,800. At that time, the index was forming a Head & Shoulders (H&S) pattern on both the 15-minute and 1-hour timeframes — a typically bearish formation. Fortunately, the index did not break below the neckline of that pattern.
Instead, we are now observing the formation of an inverted Head & Shoulders, which is a bullish reversal pattern. This shift in structure, combined with today's strong closing, positive volume distribution, and notably higher buying volumes, supports our bullish outlook.
A breakout above the ATH level is now anticipated, and in the event of a successful breakout, our projected targets for the KSE-100 are:
TP1: 120,544
TP2: 121,878
TP3: 123,271
While the ATH resistance has not yet been breached, we expect this level to be tested and potentially broken in tomorrow’s session.
KSE100 trade ideas
Another Possible Setup of Cup & Handle
Closed at 120538.01 (03-06-2025)
Another Possible Setup of Cup &
Handle is appearing on Top.
But still Resistance od 120660 - 120700
is there.
If crossed, 123000 is on the cards.
On the flip side, slight bearish divergence is
there on shorter tf, so dip can be a buying
opportunity.
Hoping for a Good Move Upside! Inshaa ALLAH!
KSE100 UPDATE 2/6/25We have been telling all along that Index is bearish, though it has been in a Pullback Rally which is forming right shoulder of H&S pattern.
Index will be considered bullish only when it crosses and closes above 1,21,000 on 1D basis.
Till then we should avoid impulsive buying and observe given Entry/Exit levels with strict Stop loss levels as given for each Scrip.
On positive side the Index is very much safe above 1,18,000 level. Beyond that Secondary Support lies at 1,15,100, which also happens to be target level in case of Breakdown of neckline of H&S Pattern
KSE UPDATE 04/06/2025(LTF)As predicted yesterday, KSE100 broke its ATH today, others were never clear when will it happen.
Also KSE100 attained 2 out 3 short term targets today and is on its way to TP3 as marked.
In days after Eid and Budget KSE100's next measured target is 1,33,000 In Sha Allah.
HTF Analysis of KSE100 will be posted tomorrow or day after.
So at last now "KSE100 is always in Long".
KSE-100 UPDATE 30-May-2025Today’s powerful closing although has decreased the chances of scenario discussed in precious update, the scenario involved KSE-100 making H&S top and going downwards. But it has not totally eliminated the bearish probability. Much depends on KSE-100 continuing its Price Action in the enclosure of upward channel (blue).
If the Price Action falls below the same channel and closes on 1H – then it may continue to form the Right Shoulder of the H&S pattern whose downward targets were previously discussed.
It is once again reiterated that market will be considered Bullish only if it crosses its ATH ie. 120,780 on Daily Closing Basis. Before crossing that crucial level, the market can Breakdown of the 1H channel and resume its Bearish trajectory.
As many times said previously - “the index is safe above 118,100 level”.
KSE100 UPDATE ON 1D AND FUTURE TARGETSKSE100 gave much awaited Breakout above its ATH yesterday.
It has been trading in a range since Dec 2024.
This Trading Range gradually shaped up into Wyckoff Re-accumulation Phase.
After performing requisite Wyckoff Events like PS, AR, ST UT, SPRG, SOS, it broke out the range with supportive Volume Gradients and Price Action.
We had predicted three immediate target levels for the index, out of which two were achieved yesterday. The third one around 1,23,280 is shown on today's chart as TP1 on 1D.
Other targets calculated from various Measured Moves have also been marked on the chart.
TP1 -- 1,23,280
TP2 -- 1,32,360
TP3 -- 1,36,000
TP4 -- 1,38,670
Immediate Support -- 1,20,200
Secondary Support -- 1,15,100
KSE100 UPDATEIt was discusses yesterday that the Index has broken down from Double Top Formation and is bearish on Short Term.
Though the INDEX IS STILL BEARISH TILL IT CROSSES ABOVE THE PREVIOUS TOP OF THIS DT FORMATION. But the index seems in the process of converting the DT formation into a HEAD AND SHOULDERS TOP.
IMMEDIATE SUPPORT SAME-- 1,18,170 (Index is safe above this support)
IMMEDIATE RESISTANCE WILL BE TODAY'S TOP --1,19,660
We shouldn't be carried away with bullish emotions after today's rally, till Index confirms its uptrend by breaking and sustaining above its ATH.
KSE-100 UPDATE 27-MAY-2025As previously explained KSE-100 broke the immediate support and resultantly, it has formed a Bearish Breaker Block at 118,540, it also has given Breakdown of Double Top Formation.
After breakage of the immediate support and Double Top Formation, the Measured Move target for DT Formation below is @116,100. Nearest support at this level is in the form of Bullish Breaker Block lies @115,100.
The index is in BEARISH MODE at LTF/Short Time Frame. The Index is trading below EMA-20 at 1H TF. Today's minor rally was just a Pullback to the Breakdown level.
STRICT ADHERENCE TO STOP LOSSES & OPENING OF SUGGESTED SHORT POSITIONS IS RECOMMENDED.
In wise words of Al-Brook - “THE INDEX AT THE MOMENT IS STILL ALWAYS IN SHORT” on LTF.
KSE-100 UPDATE (26-MAY-2025)KSE-100 broke the immediate 1H support which was discussed yesterday. Resultantly, it has formed a Bearish Breaker Block at 118,540.
After breakage of the immediate support, the Measured Move target below is @116,580. Nearest support at this level is in the form of Bullish Breaker Block lies @115,100.
The index has switched to BEARISH MODE at LTF/Short Time Frame. The Index is trading below EMA-20 at 1H TF.
STRICT ADHERENCE TO STOP LOSSES & OPENING OF SUGGESTED SHORT POSITIONS IS RECOMMENDED.
As the famous Al-Brook says - “THE INDEX AT THE MOMENT IS ALWAYS IN SHORT” on LTF.
KSE-100 UPDATE 25-MAY-2025KSE-100 has failed to breakout of the ATH resistance for several days now. On LTF, it has formed many Bearish ERCs - which indicate further Bearish Follow through in coming week.
On Monday if Market holds above 1,19,530 for at least one hour only then take new positions.
Resistance is same 1,20,750.
If the market stays between 1,19,530 and 1,18,630 just wait and watch.
If the market goes below 1,18,600 and stays below there for at least one hour you can take short positions .
In case of this breakdown lower supports are 1,18,100 and 1,16,600 followed by 1,15,100.
Disclaimer:
This analysis of the KSE-100 Index is based on our understanding of technical charts and market trends. It is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. We recommend that all traders perform their own analysis before making any trading decisions.
KSE100 UPDATE 22/5/25KSE100 made a promising start and continued its bullish behavior through most of the day, but selling pressure returned to market in last hours.
Market is technically strong and ready to Breakout and start its journey to 1,33,000, it just needs a impetus in the form positive news to cross the final hurdle.
Market has created a short term Trend Line on 1H, and took support from it around 1,19,100.
Market is totally safe above 1,18,100.
Nonetheless if it falls below 1,18,000 then there is 1H Breaker Block at 1,15,100 to support it.
KSE100 UPDATEAs previously shared the index is primed for the Breakout which is now expected sooner than later.
The index today made a very meaningful candle.
Meaningful in the sense that this Positive Candle with biggest volumes of this week has taken a shape of a Bullish Hinge.
Hinge is like a mini reversal and in this scenario, this Bullish Hinge is the Harbinger of Breakout above ATH of 1,20,800 which is acting as shackles to the market move and preventing it move above and beyond.
As already shared Next Target of KSE100 as per Measured Move is 1,33,000 In Sha Allah.
KSE100 UPDATEAnother day of extremely low volumes, looks like everyone is waiting for market to show its direction clearly before they get on the trade or another reason might be that Strong Hands have possession of most of the Market Mover Stocks which they won't sell till market breaks out and reaches at 1,33,000.
Index is safe above 1,18,100 Bullish Breaker Block, but if it falls below it then next downside target will be 1,15,100.
Suggestion don't take random trades without proper Analysis and adhere to Stop Loss strictly specially if market breaks below 1,18,000
KSE100 UPDATEKSE100 seems stuck between 1,18,000 and 1,20,800.
It is trying to breakout of this congestion zone but same hasn't happened so far.
Though there are still some chances of it reversing to 1,15,000 level but good thing that has happened is that it has created a bullish breaker block between 1,18,100 and ,1,19,200 which is providing strong support.
Chances of breaking out still seem greater than reversal.
KSE100 UPDATEAnother futile attempt by the index to break the shackles and blast off from the congestion to new uptrend.
On 1H TF the index hasn't touched the EMA for more than 20 candles, which is sign of strength
Index is expected to take support from 20 EMA on 1H, which is around 1,18,700.
index is considered safe and poised to breakout till it's trading above the Breaker Block which is below 1,15,100.
Conclusion : Trade based on technical analysis not emotions
KSE100 UPDATEAs discussed in previous posts, KSE100 is facing heavy overhead supply at resistance levels between 1,18,500 and 1,20,800.
Till all overhead supply/selling is not absorbed by buyers, the index cannot breakout of this 6 months long consolidation phase.
Today's performance by the index is indicative of the fact that index has managed to absorb most of the overhead supply and is ready to break the shackles and move to next target of 1,33,500.
In lower portion of the chart1H shows index steadily absorbing the supply and moving in skyward trajectory.
Though the odds have now tilted to breakout rather than reversal to lower levels but caution mustn't be thrown out of the window by reckless buying
If the index is to breakout to new heights, it will have to do it with heavy weights who have not moved upwards yet
Noteworthy are
EngroH, Efert, Steel sector, Pharma, Refinery
It's time for sector and stock shifting because the stocks which dominated to index recently have mostly reached near their potential/resistance areas
KSE100 UPDATE FOR 15/5/25As already explained several times that it won't be easy for the index to break above this congestion/consolidation range which has been going for almost six months now.
Since 80% Breakout attempts fail so all attempts by KSE100 to breakout of this range have failed so far. There seems to be lot of Supply/selling ,in the zone between 1,18,800 and 1,20,800 which compels the market to retreat.
Until all overhead Selling/supply is not absorbed by the buyers index won't start its journey to next measured move around 1,33,000.
In case of repeated rejection in next few days at current levels market can revert back to lower limits of this consolidation range around 1,05,800.
Cautious buying and adherence to SL is highly recommended
KSE100 UPDATE FOR 14/5/25As already explained the Index faced rejection from the Supply Zone/ Resistance Area today, though there were above average volumes but still the index remained range bound and couldn't break the hurdle.
To start its journey towards 1,33,000 level index must break and sustain above the resistance area which spreads from 1,18,700 to 1,20,800.
If index fails to break above these levels in this week, today's range will just act as Up-thrust or Bull Trap and index may revert back to 1,15,000 level.
Cautious buying and adherence to SL levels is recommended