𝐓𝐡𝐞 𝐊𝐒𝐄𝟏𝟎𝟎 𝐢𝐧𝐝𝐞𝐱 𝐢𝐬 𝐛𝐮𝐥𝐥𝐢𝐬𝐡𝐓𝐡𝐞 𝐊𝐒𝐄𝟏𝟎𝟎 𝐢𝐧𝐝𝐞𝐱 𝐢𝐬 𝐢𝐧 𝐛𝐮𝐥𝐥𝐢𝐬𝐡 𝐬𝐭𝐚𝐭𝐮𝐬 𝐧𝐨𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐭𝐨 𝐰𝐨𝐫𝐫𝐲 𝐟𝐨𝐫 𝐦𝐞𝐝𝐢𝐮𝐦 𝐭𝐞𝐫𝐦 𝐬𝐜𝐞𝐧𝐚𝐫𝐢𝐨.
In short-term scenario (Q1-Q2, 2024) 𝐊𝐒𝐄 𝐢𝐧𝐝𝐞𝐱 𝐢𝐬 𝐢𝐧 𝐢𝐭𝐬 𝐂𝐑𝐓𝐈𝐂𝐀𝐋 𝐀𝐑𝐄𝐀, if it sustains above the critical area it will definitely go up towards the new all time high milestone.
𝐴𝑙𝑡ℎ𝑜𝑢𝑔ℎ 𝑖𝑡 ℎ𝑎𝑠 𝑓𝑢𝑙𝑓𝑖𝑙𝑙𝑒𝑑 𝑡ℎ𝑒 𝑚𝑖𝑛𝑖𝑚𝑢𝑚 𝑟𝑒𝑞𝑢𝑖𝑟𝑒𝑚𝑒𝑛𝑡 𝑓𝑜𝑟 𝑐𝑜𝑟𝑟𝑒𝑐𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 𝑖𝑛 𝑡𝑒𝑟𝑚𝑠 𝑜𝑓 𝑣𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒 𝑎𝑠 𝑤𝑒𝑙𝑙 𝑎𝑠 𝑡𝑖𝑚𝑒, but if it could not sustain above the critical area, then it might 𝐠𝐨 𝐝𝐨𝐰𝐧 all the way between 𝟓𝟓𝐊 - 𝟓𝟕𝐊 or in more severe conditions 𝟓𝟏𝐊 - 𝟓𝟓𝐊.
In my view it would not go very deep down below 55K, however sustainability over critical area is very important.
I hope that the 𝒔𝒖𝒄𝒄𝒆𝒔𝒔𝒇𝒖𝒍 𝒅𝒆𝒗𝒆𝒍𝒐𝒑𝒎𝒆𝒏𝒕 𝒐𝒇 𝒏𝒆𝒘 𝒈𝒐𝒗𝒆𝒓𝒏𝒎𝒆𝒏𝒕 𝒊𝒏 𝒄𝒐𝒎𝒊𝒏𝒈 𝒅𝒂𝒚𝒔 𝒔𝒉𝒐𝒖𝒍𝒅 𝒔𝒖𝒑𝒑𝒐𝒓𝒕 𝒊𝒏𝒅𝒆𝒙 𝒖𝒑𝒘𝒂𝒓𝒅 𝒎𝒐𝒗𝒆𝒎𝒆𝒏𝒕.
Therefore, 𝒄𝒂𝒓𝒆𝒇𝒖𝒍 𝒊𝒏𝒗𝒆𝒔𝒕𝒎𝒆𝒏𝒕 𝒘𝒊𝒕𝒉 𝒑𝒓𝒐𝒑𝒆𝒓 𝒓𝒊𝒔𝒌 𝒎𝒂𝒏𝒂𝒈𝒆𝒎𝒆𝒏𝒕 𝒘𝒊𝒍𝒍 𝒃𝒆 𝒕𝒉𝒆 𝒌𝒆𝒚 𝒇𝒐𝒓 𝒔𝒖𝒄𝒄𝒆𝒔𝒔𝒇𝒖𝒍 𝒂𝒏𝒅 𝒑𝒓𝒐𝒇𝒊𝒕𝒂𝒃𝒍𝒆 𝒕𝒓𝒂𝒅𝒆𝒔.
KSE100 trade ideas
KSE100 KSE100 ANALYSIS
In last 10 years,
> 7/10 times KSE100 ended on Bullish note Year-wise
> 7/10 times January was Positive
> 61796 is an Important Support Level that should
be Sustained Initially
> Next Important Support is 58427
> However, if 67100 is broken and sustained this time,
we may witness 72500 and then 80000
KSE 100 is BullishKSE-100 is extremely bullish for 2024, specifically for the upcoming month of January 2024. There has been no divergence on the RSI, which is a classic indication of trend reversal, moreover the recent pull back is healthy as a new higher low is defined. In the coming weeks, market is more likely to recover and print new higher highs, breaking the previous all time high. The projection of AB=CD pattern indicates that the rally could continue till 80k. Targets are mentioned on the chart.
KSE 100 is BullishKSE-100 is currently facing selling pressure after a parabolic move, it has printed an all time high of 67k, and is currently undergoing a correction, which could possibly define a new higher low for this bullish rally. No divergence on RSI is a clear indicator that the rally is not finished, and there is still some room for upward movement.
Bears are lostThe KSE 100 Index concluded its most recent trading session at 66,223, indicating a positive gain of 1505.56 points or 2.33%. Significantly, the index demonstrates bullish momentum. We advise investors for a cautious stance and focus to explore day trading opportunities with a strict stop loss policy.
Hanging Man Candlestick on KSE100Introduction:
Over the last five months, the KSE 100 Index has displayed a remarkable rally, surging from 39,894 in June 2023 to 56,873 as of today, November 14, 2023—an impressive 42.5% return in a relatively short period. While investors have enjoyed these gains, the current market situation requires a discerning eye.
The Hanging Man Candlestick: A Signal to Exercise Caution:
Today, the KSE 100 Index has formed a hanging man candlestick, indicating a potential reversal. Notably, a similar pattern emerged on October 24, 2023, when the index reached a high of 51121. Surprisingly, that hanging man did not result in a reversal, and the bullish trend persisted.
Precautionary Measures:
While a hanging man candlestick alone doesn't guarantee a trend reversal, historical context prompts us to consider precautionary measures:
Review Portfolio Allocation:
Assess your portfolio allocation and ensure it aligns with your risk tolerance and investment objectives. Consider rebalancing if necessary to maintain a diversified and resilient portfolio.
Set Stop-Loss Orders:
Establish clear stop-loss orders: to limit potential losses in the event of a significant market downturn. This disciplined approach helps protect gains and manage risk.
Stay Informed:
Keep a close eye on market news and economic indicators . Any unexpected developments could impact market sentiment and trigger rapid market movements.
Consider Hedging Strategies:
Conclusion:
As we navigate these dynamic markets, it's crucial to balance technical analysis with historical context. The previous hanging man candle on October 24, 2023, reminds us that not every signal leads to a reversal. Stay vigilant, review your strategies, and adapt to market conditions. #MarketAnalysis #InvestingWisdom #RiskManagement #PSX #KSE100
Testing all times highToday's closing is very important for the index as market is testing major resistance level which was seen 6 years ago. Please be alert to close positions in profit where possible if shares were bought for trading.
If market closes on an upward trend, market can show bullish momentum
KSE 100 Index toward all time highThe KSE 100 Index has shown a significant pattern with a break out of double top formation with bullish momentum. Furthermore, Index is challenging the resistance of 50,887 that need to break for the testing all time high of 53,127. Previous resistance of 49,404 now acts as first support level for the index and if the support breaks then 48,976 will be the second support.
Moreover, Index is highly over bought on weekly and daily time frame and shows bearish divergence on weekly time frame., while MACD suggests a bullish sign.
Struggling for break outThe KSE 100 Index has shown a significant pattern with a double top formation at the 48,976 level, which now serves as a major resistance point for the index. If this level is breached due to high trading volume, the index may then target its next resistance level at 53,127. On the downside, the first support level is situated at 46,590, while the second support level is at 45,771.
Moreover, it is worth noting that the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has crossed the 64 level, indicating potential bullish momentum, while the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) suggests a bearish trend when analyzed on a weekly time frame.
KSE 100 index sell side tradeAs KSE 100 index is moving towards it H4 supply and will return immediately from there if we get any rejection on level we will be shorting
The confluance for sell baised is on H4 break of structure as higher low was broke and move back upward and we will return from supply level
KSE100 IndexThe KSE 100 Index has successfully broken above its resistance level at 46195 and has now established this level as support after closing above it. This development suggests that if bullish sentiment continues in the market, the index could target its next resistance level at 47262. Furthermore, if this resistance is surpassed and sustained, the subsequent resistance level is approximately 48441. Conversely, if the support level at 46195 is breached, the index may test its second support level at 44460.
Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently stands at the 55 level, indicating the potential for upside movement. Moreover, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is crossing above, accompanied by a decrease in bearish volume and an increase in bullish volume, which signifies bullish potential in the market.