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Brent Crude Oil Futures

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Comparing Different Asset ClassesThe above chart illustrates the performance of different asset classes in % change from Mar'20 low . The list of included assets is as follows: Copper Gold ES Brent DXY For the futures markets, the Jun'21 contracts are used; for DXY, the ICEUS index is used. As seen in the chart, the best performing commodity is copper, the rise in copper prices is led by firm demand, especially from China. The oil market comes in second here, with an increase of almost 60%, oil price is now entering overbought territory, though there is still some room for further upside. The S&P500 comes in third here with an increase of almost 55% from the Mar'20 low. Many traders are still looking to get more upside exposure here; nonetheless, the risk of sudden price plunge is elevated at these levels. With regard to gold — the safe-haven asset which usually outperforms all other asset classes during financial turmoils — its performance hasn't been anything close to spectacular. The reason for lack of performance by gold is BTC and silver, both of which showed outstanding resilience to overall market conditions. Our loser of the year is DXY, which has lost almost 10% of its value since the Mar'20 low. Talking of BTC, I did not include BTCUSD in the chart as the chart gets destroyed by it, I am attaching it here separately for ease of reference and to show how BTC is turning the financial world upside down.
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by Zoen_Trieste
Cheap Oil Isn't Green!Oil is going to boom like it never has before, we're going to see oil top $200+/barrel. This will be the result of several interacting factors. Many soon-to-be vaccinated Americans with government stimulus in their pockets will the hitting the road for epic vacations in the coming months. The entire population has cabin fever, thanks to year-long pandemic lockdowns followed by a harsh, bitter winter. The spring/summer/fall of 2021 will be the summers of the 1960's and Route 66 on steroids. Many folks think they're gonna hit the road and stretch that $1400 as far as it'll carry them, but oil prices are going to put a damper on the drive. The sheer pent up demand is going to push oil very quickly to $75 at a minimum. We'll likely see $100 by early summer. Biden hates oil, he killed the Keystone XL pipeline on day one in office and has been very clear about his negative sentiment toward pulling oil or gas out of federal land. This is only the tip of the iceberg. Americans love and drive the wheels off of their behemoth SUVs. These vehicles get atrocious fuel economy and are without doubt viewed as a serious threat to the climate by the green-minded political party now in power. Many investors seem to believe that a simple government decree-- "Only electric cars by 20XX"-- will the the lever that shifts the population away from fossil fuel. So everyone buys Tesla and goes back to sleep. This is incorrect. The true behavior changing lever will be the price at the pump. Gasoline prices will be pushed so high that the only logical response will be to get back into hybrid, electric, or ultra efficient gas-burning sedans. This wave is coming. Governmental policies, taxes, etc, will drive Brent up towards $200 + over the next few years.
ILong
by scottybfx
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Top for this great Oil bull market since those negaSimilar extreme price activity in Oil. One has to wonder if sometimes, the mood of one market has been transferred to others. It seems to have been a volatile emotional day all round. The difference in price behaviour on the day however, is that Oil has so far not seen any of the recovery equities achieved. While Goldman Sachs has just come out with a $90 forecast this year, the forecast here is in exactly the opposite direction at $65.00. With further potential stretch risk as low as $61.50. This forecast is based on both the price action behavior of the past week, what a reasonable correction to the huge trend from sub-zero would look like, and, the fundamental upheaval in OPEC perhaps freeing up production. While at the same time, demand could be foppish due to the extreme prices now being seen at the fuel pump. The overall medium term upside pressure of the US dollar continued, reasserting itself significantly in New York.
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by WilliamDing