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GD1! trade ideas

Can Gold Close above $2350?Gold (August) / Silver (September) Gold, last week’s close: Settled at 2339.6, up 3.0 on Friday and 8.4 on the week Silver, last week’s close: Settled at 29.56, up 0.304 on Friday and down 0.382 on the week Gold and Silver futures failed to respond to a barrage of supportive economic data through the end of the week, and despite a positive finish, it felt more or less flat-footed. We now look to ISM Manufacturing at 9:00 am CT, and it can be a tough datapoint to balance; metals are used in the manufacturing process, but weaker data is seen supportive to the Fed cutting rates. At the end of the day, we must see a sustained move in Gold out above major three-star resistance at 2348.7-2350.6 and Silver above 29.95-30.12 in order to encourage price action to come out of a constructive bottoming pattern. Bias: Neutral/Bullish Resistance: 2348.7-2850.6***, 2355.3-2358.8***, 2369** Pivot: 2338-2340.5 Support: 2326.8-2329.7***, 2322**, 2312.2-2315.9***, 2304.2-2306.8*** Silver (Sept) Resistance: 29.70-29.74***, 29.95-30.12*** Pivot: 29.50 Support: 29.40**, 29.25***, 28.90-29.07****, 28.65-28.74**, 27.84-28.08**** Check out CME Group real-time data plans available on TradingView here: www.tradingview.com Disclaimers: CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com *Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
COMEX:GC1!
by Blue_Line_Futures
Will GC find support around 2330 before retesting highs?GC has been finding strong support around the 2300 mark for months. My hypothesis is that the most recent touch at 2310 last week will be the last test of that level for a while before we test new highs again. There are large lots of resting liquidity between the current value of 2335 and 2330, so I'm going long at 2332 with a 3 point stop loss at 2329. I think 2330 will be a strong support level and bring us up closer to 2350 on the Monday trading session. Taking a 4:1 Risk/Reward here.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by SkyIsCalling
#202427 - priceactiontds - weekly update - gold futuresGood Evening and I hope you are well. Quote from last week: bull case: Bulls see the green support line and want to keep it support and keep the market above 2300/2320. They stalled the market long enough that not enough bears want to push their luck, selling the lows here. They also managed to print 2 bars above the daily ema, which makes the market more neutral. comment: Keeping this very short bc the tl;dr almost covered it all. Trading range and a descending triangle. Huge support 2300 and until either that or the upper triangle bear line is broken, it’s as neutral as it gets. Buy low, sell high and scalp. 55/45 imo that bears get a breakout below but do you really want to bet on those odds? I don’t. current market cycle: trading range until 2300 or 2385 is broken. key levels: 2300 - 2385 / below 2300 comes 2270 in play bull case: Bulls keeping it above support but can not print consecutive daily closes above the daily 20ema. Will probably see a breakout over the next 1-2 weeks. Invalidation is below 2300. bear case: Bears need a strong break below 2300, that’s it. Invalidation is above 2385. outlook last week: “short term: Play the triangle if the support holds. ” → Last Sunday we traded 2331 and now we are at 2339. Triangle held. Good outlook. short term: Neutral. Play the triangle. medium-long term: For now I think the most reasonable outlook I could give is a trading range 2200-2500. This could hold for some time. Bear in my still thinks this rally is moronic and we will see 2000 again this year but that’s as unreasonable of an outlook one could hold so don’t. —unchanged current swing trade: None and won’t enter. Just scalps for me. Chart update: Made the support more obvious.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!
by priceactiontds
GC1! / Gold / Xau - Idea I.Hey Guys… Yearly Chart: Bullish Engulfing Pattern 2367 and 2283 are important Yearly FIB levels to watch Above we find 2485 and 2543 Below we find 2230 and 2150 Quarterly Chart: Bearish Star? -> Q3 will tell. -> Stochastics at level 90 monthly: a little weakness after the Rallye - 2 Stars and an Inside Bar - Stachastic is OB and turning. Will be happy to take a reversal if the signal occurs (using a trading system) 3D: Bullish breakout is generally to be expected. = Neutral to Bullish
COMEX:GC1!
by MeruEU
2024-06-27 - priceactiontds - daily update - goldGood Evening and I hope you are well. gold comment: Daily ema at 2346 and we closed 2339. Bulls can’t close above it and bears can’t break below 2300. Today was strong enough for bulls to try and get a second leg. Measured move is up to 2375ish. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 2300 - 2360 bull case: Bulls first target tomorrow is to stay above the 1h ema and then break above 2350. 2350 is big resistance until broken. If they manage to break it, high probability we see 2360+. Invalidation is below 2300. bear case: Need a break below 2300. No better arguments for their case. Bears kinda tried down to 2304 but market stalled so long down there, that bears just gave up before EU open and market just melted higher. Was this a buy vacuum produced by bears stepping aside, rather than strong bulls buying? Will find out tomorrow. Invalidation is above 2350. short term: Odds favor the bulls for a second leg up but 2350 is big resistance until broken. medium-long term: For now I think the most reasonable outlook I could give is a trading range 2200-2450. This could hold for some time. Bear in my still thinks this rally is dumb and we will see 2000 again this year but that’s as unreasonable of an outlook one could hold so DON’T. current swing trade: None trade of the day: Long anything after bar 6 broke above the range and the 1h 20ema.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!
by priceactiontds
Gold Macro Analysis - $2400 by JulyGold has been trading in and above the previous ATH zone since April of this year. Large amounts of seller volume was enough to bring us down to $2300 June 7th; however the zone held. We've failed to make either a higher high or a lower low during the last week and we're currently in a tighter consolidation on the daily chart. There's liquidity on both sides, but it's more likely we see a break in the short term downtrend than prices below $2300. $2375 shouldn't offer much resistance, with $2400 being the next psychological price and previous resistance level.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by Coolstud
Gold/Silver Neutralizing FridayGold (August) / Silver (September) Gold, yesterday’s close: Settled at 2344.4, up 13.2 Silver, yesterday’s close: Settled at 29.525, down 0.089 Gold and Silver futures are again on their backfoot. Despite a firm tape overnight, comments from Fed Governor Bowman that it is not time to cut rates, even pointing to the possibility of hikes in the case of persistent inflation quickly eroded the positivity. It is important to understand that Bowman is the most hawkish voice at the Fed and no stranger to outlier comments. We now look to CB Consumer Confidence data at 9:00 am CT. Today marks the expiration of July options for both Gold and Silver, and this could bring a wonky tape through midday. For now, strong resistance has developed into the latter part of Friday’s bludgeoning, bringing major three-star resistance at 2348.7 in Gold and 30.07-30.12 in Silver; we must see move out above here in each in order to even start the path to neutralizing Friday’s tape. Bias: Neutral/Bullish Resistance: 2348.7***, 2355.3-2358.8*** Pivot: 2341 Support: 2329.5-2331.2**, 2318-2320.2***, 2304.2-2310.9*** Silver (Sept) Resistance: 30.07-30.12**, 30.19-30.27**, 30.40-30.57***, 31.04-31.15*** Pivot: 29.90 Support: 29.69-29.79**, 29.30-29.38***, 29.03-29.05**** Check out CME Group real-time data plans available on TradingView here: www.tradingview.com Disclaimers: CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com *Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
COMEX:GC1!
by Blue_Line_Futures
Triangle sideways pattern in the fourth waveGreetings, Dear friends, I hope you are well and have had a week filled with successful and profitable transactions. My analysis of the Gold market: It is very clear that we are in the third wave, and with a little precision, I mean the first wave and the third wave, and with the extension of the Fibonacci expansion. The fourth wave is only due to the movement of the wave to the side, from my point of view, the running triangle pattern can be very likely until this analysis is invalidated, and after its completion, the price action will be witnessed with strength and an extension of the impulse pattern. Note: I am a new analyst in the world of wave principles with three years of experience, and I am developing an analytical idea. There is no 100% certainty in financial markets due to the complexity of various patterns that can change. However, I do my best to back up any analysis I share with you guys with everything I've learned so far. A brief explanation of the three fundamental laws of the wave principle: 1. The second wave should never go beyond the beginning of the first wave. 2. The third wave should never be the shortest wave between waves 1, 3, and 5. 3. The fourth wave must never enter the territory of the first wave. Ralph Nelson Elliott was the founder of this theory, and when asked about his view of the market, he always referred to five waves in the direction of a larger trend and three waves against the direction it was taking. After completing an eight-wave cycle, a larger cycle is formed in the future. It's as simple as that. May his memory be cherished, and may his soul rest in the shelter of God Almighty and the eternal world. I am attaching the analysis of this market that I shared with you earlier to this current analysis. The last word of my analysis text is repetitive, except for the explanation of the current analysis, because I also trade in the financial markets and am active in my social networks, working hard to improve my skills in analysis and trading to reach my goal. I apologize for repeating the text. I welcome suggestions and criticisms, and I will certainly respond, but a logical reason is important to me. Thank you for taking the time to review my analysis, and thank you all. To all my dear friends and colleagues, first of all, I wish you health and success in your goals. Mehdi Abbasi with the nickname (Mr. Nobody)
COMEX:GC1!Long
by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP
12
Gold trading - short or none trade. Sallers dominance Futures contracts for gold are under selling pressure. Analyzing the cumulative volume with Wyckoff Wave, it is evident that the selling pressure is strong enough for gold to reach the last support level. In my opinion, it's either a Short position or no trades at all. ChatGPT Wyckoff Wave Volume (Cumulative Volume): Cumulative volume analysis is a market analysis method proposed by Richard D. Wyckoff. It involves tracking the total trading volume over a specific time period and interpreting whether the volume is increasing (indicating strength of trend) or decreasing (indicating weakening of trend). Selling Pressure on the Gold Market: You argue that the Wyckoff Wave cumulative volume indicates strong selling pressure in the gold market. This suggests a high volume of selling transactions, which may imply a downward trend in gold prices. Support Level: You suggest that volume analysis indicates gold could fall to the last support level. Support levels are historically price points that attract buying interest and can halt price declines, unless breached. Your Market Approach: Your conclusion is that due to strong selling pressure, one should consider a short position on gold or refrain from trading altogether to avoid risk. For more details visit volumedaytrader.com
COMEX:GC1!
by VolumeDayTrader